Kevin Neveu
Analyst · Benchmark. Your line is open
Thank you, Carey, and good morning. As Carey mentioned, we are very pleased with the strong cash flow our business is generating and we’re thrilled with the progress we made with our international and Canadian units, while our U.S. segment is stable, activity is a little slower than we would like. In the Lower 48, customer demand appears to have troughed. The combined drag effects of capital discipline, low natural gas prices, operator consolidation and delayed drilling plans seems to have bottomed out. And we’re noting an increase in customer conversations regarding drilling programs and plans or considerations to pick up rigs and modestly increase activity later this year and into 2025. As the E&P, our consolidation transactions draw to a close and those operators commenced integration of the drilling teams, we expect the drilling contractor mix to shrink to fewer and larger, more capable drillers rather than the fractured vendor base used by many of those acquisition targets. Some of this contractor rationalization is already underway and we are encouraged by the sophisticated customer interest in our Alpha Automation, safety performance and overall rig performance. We believe Precision is very well positioned to grow market share over the next several quarters. We also see some of these acquired drilling teams falling out of the transactions, reforming with private equity and looking to utilize the most technologically advanced drilling rigs they can find. One of the rigs we added this month was contracted to one of these new private equity startups, and the drilling team is well familiar with Precision's capabilities. Encouragingly, we are also in discussions with several of our Haynesville customers who are in the early stages of planning and anticipating increasing LNG export demand. The Haynesville is a region that has traditionally been a stronghold for precisions Super Triple rigs. We currently have six available rigs in the region and it seems plausible we will have some additional reactivations before year end. Currently in the U.S. we have 38 rigs operating and expect to hold in the upper-30s through the third quarter with a modest increase, perhaps to the low-40s in the late fall. Super Triple leading edge rates have remained stable in the low-30s per day. However, we did activate a couple of legacy CWC rigs in Wyoming and while these are ac rigs they are not super spec and as a result the day rates are a little bit lower. Turning to our International segment, Precision's activity revenue EBITDA will increase approximately 50% as compared to last year. While we have no new contracts to report, we remain very active bidding our idle rigs. I will remind the listeners that we have three active rigs in Saudi Arabia. These are deep high capacity drilling rigs operating in the strategic Manefa oil field for Aramco. The rigs have been on long-term contracts since 2010 and are currently contracted up for several more years. In Kuwait we have five Super Triple 3,000 horse power ultra large drilling rigs all operating on long-term contracts. We renewed most of the rigs last year, including spending the maintenance capital last year to recertify those rigs. We expect a long runway of strong and sustained free cash flow from international rigs and will continue to bid our idle rigs, including potential redeployed U.S. rigs, but only at rates that meet our return expectations and deliver free cash flow over the full contract duration. Our Canadian businesses both drilling and well servicing are performing at the highest levels in over a decade. Starting with our Canadian Drilling Group to update you, we have activated three more rigs today raising our active rig to 77 from the 74 mentioned in our press release last night. Customer demand has been substantially stronger than we anticipated earlier this year and we have been more than pleasantly surprised by the acceleration in heavy oil drilling across the full spectrum of Clearwater, Manville, conventional heavy oil and SAGD. The precision super single rig is a clear market leader with 26 different heavy oil customers using our rigs. Our Canadian Super Single rig fleet includes 48 rigs with 43 running and a third of those are pad equipped, significantly increasing the value for our customers and for precision. Now, as a refresher for the listeners, the precision Super Single rig was specifically designed for shallow to medium depth, high efficiency, slant and horizontal drilling and has its origins in the early 1990s. Between 2010 and 2016, we built out and upgraded our current fleet of 48 fully standardized Super Single rigs. All Precision's Super Singles are manufactured or upgraded in our in house manufacturing facilities in Calgary and Nisku [ph]. Our comprehensive vertical integration on the Super Single underpins the low operating cost we maintain. This high efficiency design is based on a mechanical drive system with hydraulic controls that enables precise horizontal drilling control and extremely precise wellbore placement. These rigs also incorporate fully mechanized drilling and pipe handling operations. Super Singles are safe, efficient and highly reliable, with the lowest operating costs of any rigs in our fleet. These rigs can be moved well to well in under one-hour and pad-to-pad in just a few hours, requiring as few as 21 truckloads, almost ten fewer than similarly capacity rated Tele-Doubles. The rigs can be easily upgraded to increase drilling torque, increase hydraulic capacity, or add pad walking systems for significantly less capital than any competitive rig. This combination of versatility, precision drilling capabilities, safety and efficiency has made our Super Single rig the market leader in all complex, shallow-to-medium depth drilling applications from Manitoba to Northeastern British Columbia. While we do not break down our revenue and margins by rig type, I'm confident to quote base margins in the range of $7,000 to $14,000 per day with the upper end of the range typical for pad equipped Super Singles. This overlaps with our triple margins, which start in the $12,000 range and move up from there. During the second quarter, Precision's Evergreen team introduced two new evergreen products which improve the fuel efficiency, reduced emissions, and improve the safety and versatility of our Super Single rigs. We began rolling these products out to the field and have equipped nine rigs with our hydrogen injection combustion catalyst system, which offers our customers fuel savings and emissions reductions in the 6% to 8% range. Further, Precision's high mass lighting system has also been adapted to our Super Single rigs, and we've deployed four of these to the field. We expect both of these evergreen systems to roll out across the full Super Single fleet over the next 12 months, adding over $500 per day of additional incremental margin. Leveraging this across our Super Single fleet results in a $6 million to $7 million annualized incremental margin run rate. Now, turning to our Super Triples and the Montney gas condensate play in Canada, our current fleet of 30 rigs is virtually fully committed, with just a few windows available in activity this quarter, which we expect to fill with short-term customer programs. Rates remain strong in the low- to mid-30s for the base rig, with alpha automation in evergreen and other extras pushing those rates in the mid- to upper-30s. I mentioned earlier that we've been somewhat surprised by surging customer demand in heavy oil following the TMX opening. It seems we may experience a similar Montney surge once LNG Canada is fully commissioned and shipping LNG at capacity this time next year, it's conceivable that the market may be several rigs short. Recent customer contracting activity and particularly the contract duration customers are seeking seem to support the notion of a prospective rig shortage. And as I've mentioned in the past, we have idle fully winterized Super Triple 1,200 in a DJ basin and will consider redeploying some of those rigs to Canada if the contracted rates are in the upper-30s and the customers pay the full mobilization cost. We expect to have better visibility on this opportunity later this year and into 2025. As I mentioned earlier, we have 77 active rigs today and expect to be in the range of 75 to 80 through August and could see our rig activity trend further upwards in September and through the fall as our customers therefore what looks like a very busy 2025. In our Canadian well servicing operations, we see much of the same customer demand and fundamentals. Additionally, government mandated well abandonment activity is a 22% and growing wedge in that business. We have fully integrated the CWC fleet into precision and the results are clear in our average rates, our margins and our total activity. Now well servicing activity can be heavily influenced by weather, namely rain, and by forest fires. Through the second quarter now into July on any given day, we may have had anywhere from five to 20 rigs delayed or postponed due to those issues. Typically, if these deferrals are material, it will push demand later into the fall when drier and lower fire conditions normally persist. Today we're operating 71 service rigs and expect to be in the range of 70 to 85 rigs for the balance of the third quarter, and expect the higher end of that range may trend closer to 95 in the fourth quarter. So, to wrap up, we have many Precision employees who listen in on this earnings call, and we encourage our staff to do so. I want to thank all the Precision people who once again delivered a strong quarter of safety performance for their intense focus on operational efficiency and their outstanding efforts on cost control, so great work to the PD team and thank you all. I'll now turn the call back to the operator for questions.