Mark Harding
Analyst · Raymond James. Please state your question
Thank you, thank you very much, and I’d like to welcome you all to this investor call. Little bit unusual for us as this is kind of an interim call but enough exciting news has occurred recently that I wanted to bring a little bit more color and a little more detail to specifically how the Company’s proceeding with some of its core assets and it conterminously occurred at about the same time as our third quarter financial results. So, we will incorporate some of those financial results as part of the presentation but for the most part what I’d like to do is just kind of highlight some of the key elements of the initiation of starting development at Sky Ranch. For all of those that are listening on the call, you can find the slide deck for this call on our website; it’ll be on a home page. There’ll be a link to it on the home page, will drive you to where the link is and it’ll be sort of the nine months ended May 31, 2017 slide deck. So that’ll give you a path to get to the deck for this. And then as part of my presentation, I’ll try and note the slide changes as we move through the presentation, so that you all can follow on with me on that. So, for the first part, what I’d like to do is talk about our Safe Harbor Statement that statements that are not historical facts contained or incorporated by reference in this presentation are forward-looking statements. I think most of you are familiar with forward-looking statements, but that’s our slide two. Real briefly on for those that are new to the story or new to the Company, we’re a water utility Company. At our DNA level, we provide water and waste water services here in the State of Colorado. We have a large portfolio of water that we own in an area where you can own water as a real property asset. And then what we also -- how we monetize that asset is we’re a water utility where we add connection charges to the Company’s water systems. We also have some raw land that has been fully entitled and is available for development, and that’s really where I want to spend most of the specifics of this call on and really to update you on the recent news of agreements that we have with three national homebuilders for development of our first phase of that project and then provide a little bit more color on some of the more active development of oil and gas activity in our service area as well. So, with that, as many of you are familiar with we have a fee structure that allows us to collect charges based on connection charges. We get tap fees and those are connection charges to our systems. Our tap fees are currently $26,600 for a water tap fee, about $4,600 for sewer tap fee. Those are the rates and charges that we’re anticipating with our Sky Ranch project. So, we get about $30,000 per connection for water and sewer taps fees, and then we get monthly water and sewer bills. So, we get about $1,000 per connection on the water side, about $1,500 per connection, on sewer side to give us about $1,500 per connection per year on the water -- monthly water account billings -- that’s actually annual number but we -- on a monthly cycle. So, let me talk a little bit about our Sky Ranch project for those of you who are not familiar with where this is at. This is along the Interstate-70 Corridor. So, we’re positioned exactly 4 miles south of DIA; we’re about 16 miles east of Downtown Denver. The project as a whole is about 930 acres. We’re zoned for about 4,400 single family homes, and that’s a mix of products between standard detached single family homes as well as the multi-family homes. We have about 1.3 million square feet of commercial area along I-70 frontage there; we have about a half-mile frontage along the Interstate; we have that corridor section reserved for commercial development. And in total, this represents somewhere close to 5,000 single family connections, if you add up all of the -- kind of depends on the commercial use, but residential plus commercial use should be about 5,000 single family equivalents. So, if you look at this one for the Company at the water utility level, that generates about $120 million in water tap fees, about another $25 million in sewer tap fees, so about $145 million, $150 million in tap fee revenue and then at that $1,500 per connection per year, about $7.5 million year-over-year revenue. The next slide, slide six will really give you kind of an aerial orientation and maybe some of the activities going on in the corridor. The Denver metropolitan market is extremely active; it’s in top five of the most national, major metropolitan area economies. And we’ve got a very diversified economy, a very highly motivated, very educated young workforce. There’s a high attraction for all sorts of industries in the area. And where our positioning is, we find ourselves kind of in an area where we have a tremendous amount of employment activity. The airport itself, which is about four files directly to our north, somewhere close to 30,000 jobs; there’s a new convention center hotel that’s being built in the city of Aurora, the Gaylord Hotel, and that’s currently under construction, massive project; it’s about 5,000-room hotel, will generate I think about 2,500 jobs. We have most recently announced an Amazon Fulfillment Center, which is really 2 miles from our property, which is another 1,000 jobs to the region. So, you have a high concentration of economic activity really being invested in this corridor, which is terrific for us. I mean, we’re looking at meeting the market potential for development activity, not only for our single family product but also capitalizing on some of those opportunities in the commercial corridor and being able to bring some employment and some of that metric into the project as well. So, I want to focus on slide seven. Slide seven would really allow me to delineate. It has a lot of information. So, I will spend a little bit of time on this, kind of drill down on what we’re doing with this particular phase. This first phase is 155 acres; there is a small 5-acre outparcel there. So, so we don’t control the entire 160. But, what this enables us to do is we had looked at number of different configurations to bring this to market. And we’re looking at marketing not just the first phase of our project but looking for builder partners that were interested in participating in all phases of what we’re doing or all residential phases of what we’re doing. So, we had talked to as many as 10 different homebuilders, and these are all large national public homebuilders that do business here in the Denver market and really trying to get a feel for whether or not they had product or whether they had interest for what are these that we’re offering. This particular project along the Interstate corridor, we’ve got the opportunity to really develop this out for a entry level product here in the Denver metropolitan area. Entry level here is probably starting at around high-$200,000s, low-$300,000 price range for single family detached homes. And to give you an appreciation for how that metric is, historically the Denver area has seen 50% of all new home starts, all new home single family detached home starts have really concentrated their market segment in that entry level product. And just because of either land availability, projects far enough along and the entitlements projects that have access to all of their zoning, their utilities, water sewer, transportation, the limitation on projects that are ready to go on that that number has really has fallen to about 4%. So, it has probably the most -- the highest underserved market segment of the entire metropolitan areas, really that entry level product. So, we got a tremendous amount of success talking to the national builders because there just wasn’t very many projects that had lots that they could compete in that entry level area. Not only was it a limited number of that but then the project of this size that would have maybe as many as 4,000 units that were going to be concentrated in that entry or move -- first mover market gave us a tremendous opportunity in the marketplace, and we saw that in terms of the reaction that we got from multiple builders in the area. As our discussions continued with the builders, there were a lot of builders that were interested. The three that we ended up getting contracts with, we got contracts with Richmond American Homes, KB Homes, and Taylor Morrison. Those three were sort of the first three that had expressed an interest in that; they were the most active on bringing that interest to a contract stage, and we’re able to get contracts with each of those three; we signed those; we announced those within the last ten days and are really excited about bringing these builders into the projects. Not only are they interested in this first phase but they have interest in phases beyond this; and so, each of them have very distinct product segments that they are going to be putting on this particular one. We think they all complement each other rather than compete with each other in terms of what their offerings are looking for, and each of them have a sizeable enough inventory to make a significant marketing effort to bring traffic to this area and then also be able to push on into the next phases and be able to take a look at lots in the next phases. What this will try and delineate for you is some of the investments that we’re going to be making and then how we’re going to be able to monetize each of the individual lots. We’re developing finished lots for all three builders; two of the builders were working under a platted lot agreement, where they’re going to buy platted lots, and then we’ll have a development agreement that we develop those lots on their behalf; and then the third builder has an incremental where they are just buying finished lots. What this illustrates is some of the regional offsite improvements. So, we will be responsible for clearly the water and the sewer utility systems, those who are kind of our bread and butter. The tan area, the orange area; there is a brown area and an orange area; that orange area will be the master plan site for our sewer plan. So, we’ve got an initial cost estimate of our wastewater treatment facility that will be around $5 million which the Company will invest in to. This will be a zero discharge facility. So, we will take a 100% of the water that comes out of that plan, we will bring it back to a reservoir that we currently have and we will be able to reuse that water for our irrigation water supplies for the community itself. So, all of the parks, the open space, the common areas of this area will be irrigated with the return flows from that water supply. We have some drainage improvements. So, the green area will highlight some of the drainage improvements that we have to do in that area so that we can retain the flows, not only from this particular parcel but this is a master plan site where we will be able to retain any storm water runoff flows from the phase two property, the other portions of our property as well. So, we are designing that at its build out capacity to make sure that we can manage the storm water drains there. So that’s about $2 million investment. Here is the entry road monument. So, we’ve got the Monaghan Road, which will go from the Interstate staff, will develop about the first mile of that roadway to get access down to another thoroughfare there, 6th Avenue and then extend about a half a mile of that along the southern border of the property for our second entry in the later phase of that. But that entry road Monaghan Road will be about $2 million. And then we have some additional investments in finished water treatment. So, we’ll have a finished water storage tanks. So, we’ll have about 1 million gallon storage tank for that to -- for us to allow us to deliver max day water flows as well as just a little bit of fixture pump station and works like that. So, we have got about $3 million investment in that. So, all total, take a look at some of those offsite construction costs, that’s about a $12 million investment. Then drilling down a little bit into a little bit more detail, we’ll have how we are going to phase this for each of the three builders. So, the brown area really represents about 200 lots, and that’s going to be divided amongst all three of the builders. So, 200 lots, and we can go and then we can do some overlot grading, and excavation, we can take a look at the roads, curbs and gutters, the water, the storm, sewer, the sewer collection; all of that infrastructure will be in the brown area for our first phase of this, and that’s common area for all three of us. So, it allows us really to take advantage of some economies of scale, be able to phase in some of that infrastructure, be able to deliver lots to each of the three builders on that, and then also have our ability to incrementally expand beyond that. And what that allows us to do is we will also be able to phase in some of the streets in that. So, we can do -- the overlot grading will have to be done all at once. But we don’t have build all of those streets all at once. We can be much more real time in some of those streets and delivering those as each of the builders take down their individual lots and they have quarterly lot purchases and each of them have slightly different lot purchases. But each of them will have quarterly lot purchases from us that allow us to be able to expand that on, on a real time basis. And really the opportunity here was what we wanted to do is work with all of these builders such that they weren’t required to inventory too much infrastructure and neither was the company, and that they would be able to make certain investments, for example, they will be buying some platted lots; they will be making some progress payments to us as we complete certain portions of these facilities to allow us to mutually being in a position where we are improving each other’s cash flows. So, we are using some of those progress payments to be able to invest in the overlot grading and their roads and the curbs and gutters and the additional infrastructure to deliver those finished lots. Where we are at in the overall cycle of how we are going to deliver these finished lots? We have got final plats and final designs for the community already filed with the county. We have got some hearings with them this month as well as into next month. Anticipate that by the end of August, we will have substantially all of the remaining construction drawings and all of the detailed grading plans established, reviewed by the county and approved by the county engineering staff, road and bridge staff and all of those elements. So, what we like to be in a position of doing is be in a position sometime in that September-October timeframe, probably closer to October. As soon as we have all of those plans finalized from the county, we will go to bid to the market, allow the market to be able to help us do this construction portion of that. Some of the water and the sewer facilities might be bid a little bit prior to that because those are a little bit farther along, the water facilities are little bit farther along, and we’ll get the sewer facilities where we’re nearly done with the design on the sewer facilities. So, those will be looking to be bid sometime later this summer as well, get those under construction such that we can be in a position to deliver finished lots to the builders sometime next spring, so the capital -- really are spring, and would be extending through April, May time and so being in a position where they can pause [ph] out there sometime in that timeframe and capture some of that market, be able to build. We can build out here; it’s a little bit challenging for us to do some of the roadway improvements. So, we don’t like to do the asphalt or the concrete over the winter. So, what we’ll do is be in a position to inventory some of those roads and the curbs and gutters on that such that we are giving them an inventory that they can build here [ph] on that. And then really from the first phase, we can pop out and expand incrementally for each of the builders, whether we do that in one cycle so that we hit all the corners for each for the three different builders or for one builder at a time, we can do either of those. It kind of depends on the absorptions of each of the builders and how each of their individual units are taken down and how their product lines are going. So that kind of gives you a feel for this. If you look at the total investment, we’re projecting that we’ll probably look to invest about this $18 million and then be able to expand off of that. We’ll be getting some of those dollars from the builders as we do progress payments and then from there using the sale of the finished lots to be able to expand out into the other phases of this, whether that’s going to be individual phases for each builder or collective second phase. This may very well go in two phases where we do one phase which includes all three builders in a common area of interest and then one phase for each builder individually, kind of depends on how the market firms up on that, but that’s a look at how this phase is for us, how we deliver each individual lot. Some of the economics on this. Generally speaking, we’re selling lots and so it depends on the size of a lot, whether that’s a 45-foot lot or 50-foot lot, but lot prices will range from $67,000 to $75,000; so call it round number 70,000 per lot we’ll get for the sale of the finished lot. We’re estimating and this will firm up once we get to bidding that out that we’re somewhere in $50,000-$55,000 range for finished lot costs. So, we’ll get a determination on that once we bid that stuff out and how we cash flow that is a little bit of what I’ve described and how some of those cash flows work. And then, as we’ve talked, we’ll get the sewer tap water, and sewer tap fees attributable that’s on round numbers, about a $100,000 per lot for each of these individual lots between the land value and the water and the sewer charges. Moving on to the next slide. What that really illustrates is where we’re going to next. So, later this year, I would say, about that same time when we’re positioned to send this out to the market for contracts, for bidding on the construction and grading stuff, we’ll be starting the land planned on the next phase of this, which will be the 480 acres. That’ll be a pretty large undertaking for multiple different types of opportunities for the Company. We’ll have a 160 acres right there up along the interstate that we’re going to talk -- take a look at the lot of the commercial retail line industrial type development. So, those are an area where the Company will take a look at more, like super pad sites. We’re not going to do any of the vertical stuff where we can create five-acre pad sites or any pad sites for specific uses. We’ll have a variety of options for them to have a flex plan to allow us to react to the market and what it is that they’re looking for on that. And then as you transition south, we’ll probably transition into some multifamily residence. We’ll take a look at some attached single family, these paired products. We have a number of builders that have interest in the paired product where they can have side by side units; and then again focusing on the core strength which is going to be our detached single family product. So, this will be much larger in terms of the number of connections and the number of units. This should be somewhere between 2,500 and 3,000 SFEs. A lot of that’s going to be dependent on the scoping of the multifamily and a lot of the type of development that we have on the commercial site. But this will be the real lion’s heart of the project. And again, we want to be careful such that we’re delivering a lot of this infrastructure on a more real time basis. The bulk of the hard part is always going to be opening the project. And we’ve been able to be fortunate to have an existing water system that pipeline has been developed up to the property, and we have adequate capacity to provide build out water for this and some of that capacity is being used already in the industrial segment of what it is that we’re doing. But, it allows us to have sufficient water supply for all of the development. And then we can incrementally expand on some of that stuff in the development of -- the horizontal development of the project as well. Whether the Company does all of the horizontal development or just some of this horizontal development, will kind of be a function of how -- what our experiences are with this first segment. I would say that we’ve been very encouraged by how we’ve been able to market this, how we’ve been able to contract for this. Our current performance on being able to bid a lot of this work out, to be able to manage that work and be able to see it through to completion, we’ve got a great management team, we’ve got a great field team that have been able to do that and we’ve got some very -- outstanding help at the Board level. So, a lot of that has really helped with our successes in bringing this project to market. If we move to the next segment, this is going to be an illustration of sort of some of the commercial layout there where you come off to the Interstate, and this shows kind of a jog off land of the Interstate and some of the transportation network and our ability to deliver a multitude types of lots and pad sites for infrastructure in there. And while our zoning is up to about 1.3 million, we can go -- certainly go beyond that. Certainly that’s a market based principle and some of these layouts are showing as many as 3 million square feet of commercial development, which we think will be -- all indications to-date have been that there’s a very significant interest for commercial development at this site just because there’s not a lot of competition or there’s not a lot of availability for other types of commercial development in this area. So, we’re interested, certainly we’ll see how that plays out. We’ve got some professionals that are helping us with this. We’re working with CBRE on a listing right now for some of this engagements, so we’ll see how that kind of transitions over the next few months. Let me give you a quick update on some of the oil and gas activity in the area. So, slide 10 really kind of illustrates our footprint in terms of where this lease area is. As most of you know, we have about 200 square miles in Adams and Arapahoe county, right on top of where our water systems are that are in active development for oil and gas interests. We do have two rigs currently servicing the area. So, we have one rig that has drilled its fourth well; it’s I think relocating to its fifth well pad site. And then just within the last few weeks we had a sector rig show up for another operator that started its first well and I think they’re on a four-well program for this year. So, we could see somewhere around 12 to 15 wells this year depending on the second operator. I think we have a little bit more confidence in our major and larger operator and the number of wells that they’ve got planned; I think they’ve got nine wells planned for this year and then we’ll be moving on. There’s really three operators now in this field who’ve picked up leasehold interests. The third operator has given us indication that they’re going to be pretty aggressive about their drilling program in 2018 but until they get a number of their wells finalized and some of the infrastructure in terms of how their gas collection system works, they’re looking at bringing a rig in late this year in that December or early part of 2018. So, we may see as many as three different operators collectively working their leasehold interests. Still to-date, this is really being drilled for hold by production. We don’t see a lot of field development yet. One of the wells that are being drilled right now will be a two-well pad site. I think there’s two wells that are two-well pad sites. But then, as they start to transition into this, you may see as many as 16 to 20 wells per pad site. And some of the -- the third operator’s had a little bit of discussion with us about that kind of activity. So, still wait and see how that plays out. Moving on to the next slide, that’s just a little bit more information. One of the interesting things that I will highlight about this is couple of different frac designs. So, traditionally a frac design has used about 10 million gallons of water and that transitions to about $100,000 in revenue for us on that. But, we did have one of the new operators that actually used a new frac design that doubled that. So, they were in little even in excess of $200,000 in terms of the well -- the waters for that particular well design. They were very happy with that. I think that that might be the model that they go to. I think we might see one or two of those high water use designs this year, so that they can continue to compare what the results of those types of wells are to the traditional design. But certainly, we have the water available for that system. Drawing your attention to slide 12, this is our Wild Pointe acquisition. So, this is an existing water utility that we entered into an agreement with towards the end of last year. And what I really do want to highlight is this is really working out nicely for us. We’ve got a number of caps that have been added to the system. So, I think we’ve recorded about 43,000 in tap fee revenue attributable to it. We should expect to see somewhere in that 60,000 to 80,000 in tap fee revenue this year attributable to that and then generating just monthly service revenues, I think we’ve got about 50 -- somewhere between $50,000 to $60,000 a month and in annual water revenues, we have not hit this summer peak season yet. So, a lot of that is going to be seasonal. But this is working out very nicely for us, so just exactly down the middle of fairway in terms of what it was that was our expectations about how we modeled it, the number of opportunities between the commercial corridor as well as expanding out the residential and building up the rest of the remaining residential out there. So, one that we like, we have few more net out for other opportunities, similar to this in the same vicinity that certainly would make sense for us, once that we think would make sense for the owners of those systems as well. We can bring a number of value adds to this in terms of our operating their systems and then maybe ultimately in the future bringing new water to the region and being able to expand development opportunities on the property. So, those are things that we look for and continue to have an interest in but they have to meet our investment criteria for that. So we’re very careful about valuations and how we do that. Moving on to the next slide, want to just give you a quick update on our WISE project, Many of you heard me talk about WISE over the years but what this is a regional water system. We’re fully finished on completing our WISE interconnect. And what that really does is allows us to move water to and from in addition to infrastructure capacity and expanding our footprint in terms of where and how we can deliver water; it also includes additional water. So, it really doubles our water capacity in our system, which allows us to be able to develop Sky Ranch, at the same time keep up with three rigs that may be working the field. So, it’s a terrific opportunity, both for us to supply water and expanded our infrastructure and our footprint and our delivery capacity but it also expanded our ability to partner with other water providers and other geographic areas where we can look at service opportunities throughout the reach of the system. So, we’re very excited about that that has been tested, it’s been flowed. And so, we’re one of the first parties to be able to take water deliveries from that system. Some of the other providers are continuing to finish out their infrastructure and be able to complete deliveries of their water to their system. Some of those will extend into 2018 but some of those I would say, two thirds of them should be finished sometime by 2017. But, we finished our system sometime in that April timeframe. So we’re very excited about that opportunity. Let me just give you some of the highlights on the numbers. So, you will see some drilling frac revenue, so that was one frac, so we had the 221,700 [ph]. So that was that new design of that frac, so we had a nice increase in water delivery opportunities for that. We’re -- they are currently fracing -- we got that four-well inventory right now. So, we will start to see back to back fracs of water all summer long. So, you will start to see that additional revenue show up really, mostly in that fourth quarter and then balancing out the calendar year end for that water deliveries. Our municipal revenues are seasonally up a little bit. This year, we had about 25% increase that I’ll call that more little seasonal delivery increase. And then oil and gas, one of the things that I’ll draw some attention to is we had one of our wells was down for most of our third quarter. They were doing some maintenance activity on that. We have not seen a full year or a full month of production since that well came back on line. So, I’ll be interested to see if it stays the same, if it helps or if it hurts, to see how their well redevelopment program compares with what we do in the water business because we do very similar activities where we will take a well down every four or five years; we will do some maintenance on the downhaul activity, and we usually see an increase in water activity. I am betting that they have got this down sufficiently enough that they are doing it because they want to continue to maintain or improve production out of the well. But we have been very pleased with these wells. These wells continue to produce about 300 barrels a day. So, we are generating around $25,000-$27,000 a month in revenue as we get full month revenues out of these wells. And they are predominately oil wells. I think they are about 70% oil production on it. So, the last two slides are going to be just a balance income statement for the nine months operations. I’m not going to review those. You all can take a little bit more detail on those. So, what I would like to do is kind of open it up to questions and see if I’ve answered all your questions, terrific; if I haven’t, I’ll try and give you little bit more color. So, I’ll turn it back over to operator and we will queue up for some questions.