Patricia Poppe
Analyst · Barclays
Thank you, Jonathan. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. This morning, we're reporting full year 2025 core earnings of $1.50 per share at the midpoint of our EPS guidance range and up 10% over 2024. This marks our fourth consecutive year of double-digit core EPS growth. I'm proud of how our team stayed focused on our highest priorities: safe, reliable and affordable service for our customers, while at the same time, delivering strong results for investors. Looking ahead, we're raising and tightening our 2026 core EPS guidance range. We are increasing the low end by $0.02, which brings the range to $1.64 to $1.66. At the midpoint, our 2026 guidance implies 10% EPS growth. Looking further out, I'm pleased to reaffirm our growth outlook of 9% plus annually from 2027 through 2030. As you've come to expect, we'll also continue our practice of basing future growth on our actual earnings. As previously announced, last month, I began the 5-year extension of my contract as CEO, which runs through 2030. I'm energized by the work ahead. Our priorities are clear: safely keep the lights on and the gas flowing and keep making bills more affordable. It's a safety, reliability and affordability trifecta that we're delivering here at PG&E. On the safety front, in 2025, we had a 43% reduction in serious injuries and fatalities compared to 2024, and our serious preventable motor vehicle incident rate improved by 30%, achieving some of our best-ever safety metrics. On reliability, our system-wide performance measured by SAIDI improved by 19% from 2024. And on affordability, it's our consistent execution on our plan, our simple, affordable model, which is allowing us to chart a differentiated path for our customers. On January 1, we delivered our fourth reduction in electric rates in 2 years, with our gas rates also going down. Combined with prior decreases, our bundled residential electric rates are now 11% lower than January 2024, with the typical customer paying about $20 less per month, that's progress customers can feel. If our pending 2027 GRC were to be approved as filed, combined gas and electric bills would be flat to down compared to 2025, and we're going to keep pushing because fighting for customer affordability is core to our strategy. Looking ahead, we see opportunities to further improve this trajectory through the addition of rate-reducing load from data centers and other electric growth. This new load can deliver a win-win for California, economic development and affordability. Slide 4 should be familiar by now and summarizes our consistent execution track record. Each year brings different headwinds and tailwinds, but our approach is unchanged: plan conservatively and execute relentlessly to deliver consistent, predictable results over the long term. In 2025, we confronted early headwinds with strong execution during the year, particularly on the cost side, ultimately putting us ahead of plan. This allowed us to redeploy and pull ahead costs in the back half of the year. That's our model doing exactly what it's designed to do, deliver consistent results for owners while redeploying outperformance to benefit our customers. As shown on the slide, over the past 4 years, savings generated under our simple, affordable model have allowed us to redeploy over $700 million for the benefit of customers while still delivering for our investors. These are dollars which could have shown up as higher profits, but which we chose instead to deploy towards better customer outcomes and derisking future years. Said another way, profits and customer savings go hand-in-hand. Turning to Slide 5. We remain intensely focused on helping California find a path to address the state's wildfire challenge. We will stay constructive and tenacious until we reach a more sustainable, safer and affordable future for our customers, for our communities, for our state and for those who commit their capital to us. Since our last call, the California Earthquake Authority stakeholder process for SB 254 Phase 2 has been progressing, and they are tracking towards submission of their report and recommendations to the governor and legislature by April 1. I should note that the April 1 CEA report won't be the end of the road for Phase 2. In fact, it will mark the beginning of the legislative process. We aren't getting specific today on which policy choices might be most effective, but be reassured, our team is actively engaged. In terms of core principles, our goal is to address the open-ended and unknown risks which the current construct puts on the IOUs and our customers. For California to attract your much-needed capital, you must be able to quantify and price the risk. Our customers and hometowns need us to access affordable capital as a prerequisite for safe, resilient and clean energy system they expect. Turning to Slide 6. Ignitions were down 43%, which resulted in a third consecutive year without a major fire caused by our equipment. This was achieved despite elevated fire activity statewide. As we do every year, we're looking to drive further safety improvements in 2026. We expect to further expand our continuous monitoring capabilities, including our smart meters, which are helping us get ahead of potential issues, anticipating failures before they happen. In late January, we announced the launch of Emberpoint, a new venture between Lockheed Martin and PG&E Corporation, marking a critical milestone in our mission to end catastrophic wildfires. Emberpoint is intended to integrate next-generation wildfire solutions and set a new standard of wildfire safety. With our regulator's approval, we can bring our wildfire mitigation experience and proven layers of protection while Lockheed Martin brings its cutting-edge prediction and detection along with military-grade equipment and tools to help our firefighters stay safe while putting out fires faster. We can accelerate at scale the deployment of technology at the lowest societal cost. The goal being speed to safety, making our system and others safer, faster. In addition, Emberpoint gives us a pathway to flow some savings back to our customers over time. Also in January, 5 finalists were announced in the autonomous response track of XPRIZE Wildfire, where PG&E is a main sponsor. This summer, the 5 finalists will be tasked with demonstrating autonomous systems which can detect and fully suppress a high-risk fire in a 1,000 square kilometer test zone within minutes, while leaving decoy fires untouched. We couldn't be more excited to be helping advance real-world adoption of game-changing solutions. On the regulatory front, in December, the CPUC voted out revised guidelines for utility undergrounding plans. This is a key step that moves us toward initiating our 10-year plan filing with OEIS likely in the third quarter of this year. Earlier this week, we and the other IOUs made a required filing with the CPUC to establish the benefit cost ratio methodology. Aligned with that, the CPUC guidelines provide us a path for us to file for approximately 5,000 miles of additional undergrounding over 10 years starting in 2028. These miles will represent the next phase of our undergrounding journey and will add to the 1,900 miles we expect to have completed by the end of 2027. Combined with overhead hardening, this would bring our total system hardening plans through 2037 to almost 11,000 miles and more than 3/4 of the high fire threat miles we plan to harden based on our current modeling. The remainder of our overhead system and the HFTDs will be protected with operational controls like PSPS, EPSS, maintenance, including vegetation management and continuous monitoring as it is today. As illustrated on Slide 7, we see PG&E's affordability story as our story of the year. As I mentioned earlier, on January 1, we lowered our bundled residential electric rates for the fourth time in 2 years, and our average bills for those customers are now 11% lower than in January of 2024. That's a headline worth repeating. We hear a lot of discussion of affordability in absolute terms. But what gets less attention is that our bills, as measured by share of wallet, are below the U.S. average. Our value proposition relative to income levels is therefore better than average. Our prices are moving in the right direction, and we believe this will become easier for policymakers to recognize going forward. As our 2027 GRC proposal laid out, our simple, affordable model allows us to make needed investments while holding our bill increases at or below typical inflation. Back in 2024, we started talking about our simple, affordable model amplified. This showed an opportunity for further improvement in each of the key elements, our goal being to bend our future customer bill trajectory down even further. Today, as shown here on Slide 8, I'm excited to share with you that we're officially updating our simple, affordable model to show a new target future bill trajectory of 0% to 3%. You heard me, 0% increase in our bills is in sight. We've amplified 2 key enablers: our nonfuel O&M savings and electric load growth. Our confidence in the PG&E performance playbook and in our ability to drive savings has continued to grow. We still see plenty of headroom for savings, as indicated by our capital to expense ratio, which has improved from 0.8 to 1.0 over the past 2 years. While improving, our ratio remains well below our peer group average of 2.0, while top decile performers are close to 3. Turning to our rate reducing load story here on Slide 9. Since our third quarter update, we've seen significant growth in projects moving into the final engineering stage, which now stands at almost 3.6 gigawatts. That's up 2 gigawatts, more than doubling from last quarter. We're excited by the opportunity to bring on large load and deliver savings to our bundled customer base while enabling growth and economic prosperity for our state. In January, Carla Peterman represented us at a ribbon-cutting ceremony at the Equinix Great Oaks South Data Center, the first data center to come online under our joint implementation agreement with the city of San Jose. This was an opportunity to demonstrate that PG&E is delivering on our promise to provide fast, reliable power to large energy users. For each gigawatt of large load, we see the potential to drive savings of 1% or more on average monthly electric bills. In order to do this, it's actually quite simple. We just need to get the pricing right. And while the relationship between data centers and customer affordability is now receiving a lot of attention at the national level, demonstrating savings for our core customers has been nonnegotiable for us from the beginning and continues to be so. With that, I'll hand it over to Carolyn.