Earnings Labs

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI)

Q2 2014 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 30, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Analysts

Management

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Pitney Bowes second-quarter 2014 results conference call. (Operator Instructions) Today's call is also being recorded. I would now like to introduce your speakers for today's conference call, Mr. Marc Lautenbach, President and Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Michael Monahan, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Charles McBride, Vice President Investor Relations. Mr. McBride will now begin the call with a Safe Harbor overview.

Charles McBride

Management

Good morning. Included in this presentation are forward-looking statements about our expected future business and financial performance. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to be materially different from our projections. More information about these risks and uncertainties can be found in our 2013 Form 10-K Annual Report and other reports filed with the SEC that are located on our website at www.pb.com and by clicking on Investor Relations. Please keep in mind that we do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information or developments. Also, for non-GAAP measures used in the press release or discussed in this presentation, you can find reconciliations to the appropriate GAAP measures in the tables attached to our press release and also on our Investor Relations website. Additionally, we have provided slides that summarize most of the points we will discuss during the call. These slides can also be found on our Investor Relations website. Now, our President and Chief Executive Officer, Marc Lautenbach will start with a few opening remarks. Mar?

Marc Lautenbach

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining us. We are pleased with our second quarter financial results, which were in line with our long term strategy for the business. Importantly, our second quarter results contributed to a solid first half performance that continued to substantiate both the strength of our long term economic model and our long term strategy. Further, we remain ahead of schedule in our multi-year journey to transform our company and unlock the inherent value of Pitney Bowes. As a result, we’re increasing our 2014 guidance for both revenue and adjusted earnings per share. Mike will give you more details on our guidance shortly. In terms of our second quarter results, revenue, EBIT, adjusted EBIT margin and adjusted EBTIDA, all5 grew year-over-year. Free cash flow for the quarter was strong at $162 million. All these measures are important indicators of our performance in the quarter and first half of the year and position us nicely for a solid conclusion to the year. You know from previous conference calls, meetings and analyst days, I believe it is important to provide an update on our progress to transform Pitney Bowes against our three strategic initiatives. They are stabilizing our mail business. Second, driving operational excellence and finally, growing our digital commerce business. Turning to the stabilization of the mail business, in the second quarter we saw a decline of 5% for the aggregate of our physical mail businesses, which include our Small & Medium Business, Presort and Production Mail businesses. The revenue performance of these three businesses was different than the last couple of quarters. However, it’s what we expected for this quarter. Mike will unpack this performance in a moment, but there were two factors both around timing. The first was a couple of very large transactions in…

Michael Monahan

Management

Thank you, Marc, and good morning. As Marc indicated we’re pleased with our second quarter results in light of the balanced mix of investment, efficiency, strategic change and growth we achieved. Importantly, results in the quarter are consistent with the longer term trends and the objectives we laid out for the company at our Analyst Day. We expect continued improvement in the second half of the year. We believe we’re on the right track to generate enhanced value for our shareholders, clients and employees. Going into the second quarter, we knew we had a challenging comparison for Production Mail against the prior year, due to a couple of large deals in 2013. This impacted our consolidated revenue growth comparison by more than 2 percentage points alone this quarter. Additionally, as Marc noted, we accelerated the account shifts in our North America mailing segment as part of our go-to market channel strategy, which caused some temporary disruption in the sales process in April and May. However, results in June were back on trend. Despite these two factors, year-over-year revenue grew on a reported basis, and was flat on a constant currency basis. We continue to invest in our new ERP system, and increased investments in sales, marketing and account acquisition for our growth initiatives. Even with this incremental expense, we managed to reduce SG&A significantly, both in terms of dollars, and as a percentage of revenue when compared to prior year. Adjusted EBIT dollars and margin both improved driven in part by EBIT margin improvements in three segments. Based on our year-to-date results and our outlook for the remainder of the year, we’ve increased our annual guidance for revenue and adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations. We have also narrowed the range for GAAP earnings per share from continuing operations.…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) And our first question will come from Kartik Mehta with Northcoast Research. Please go ahead. Kartik Mehta – Northcoast Research: Good morning. Just a couple questions on the digital commerce business. Marc, how much of that growth is eBay and how much of it is just your ability to expand beyond that and that business segment just starting to take hold for Pitney?

Marc Lautenbach

Management

I think it was all of the above. As you know we don’t break out particular revenue with clients. As I commented, our ecommerce business continued to perform very well. We’re pleased with that. As Mike indicated, and I indicated as well, however it was balanced across the portfolio, License revenue growing double digits, marketing services growing, good performance and shipping. So I would say the performance across Digital Commerce was balanced. Certainly ecommerce has been a strong engine. We expect it will continue to be a strong engine. I would reiterate what I said. I mean, we take for granted this business now which is $211 million a quarter, but growing north of 20% for a couple of quarters. We now have a pretty big business that’s scaling at pretty remarkable rates. I'm very pleased with that performance. Kartik Mehta – Northcoast Research: Marc, as you look at your software business, it's been kind of stuck in that $400 million range for a little while now. Do you finally feel that you're in a position to be able to break that? I know you've made some changes and are those -- do you feel comfortable that those changes will result in that business finally achieving the kind of growth that you would expect?

Marc Lautenbach

Management

If I just said yes, would that be enough? Kartik Mehta – Northcoast Research: Probably..

Marc Lautenbach

Management

Listen. No. I think the change – to answer the question, we’re very confident in the changes that we made will have the right effects. You’re starting to see shoots of it now. We’re acquiring some new clients. You’re starting to see the impacts of specialization. It's not as pervasive yet as across the board as it will be in 12 months, but there’s enough early signs, and I can’t believe I've got enough experience here to know that having a specialized sales force is a pretty sure bet in terms of driving the kind of growth. That said, we’re still early days in that. Kartik Mehta – Northcoast Research: And then just one last question. Where your balance sheet sits and where your debt levels are, is this the level where you would like to keep it or is the thought that you'd like to continue to lower the debt from here?

Michael Monahan

Management

In terms of the balance sheet, I think as you’ve seen, we’re in very solid shape. I think what I would say about the balance sheet is we have flexibility in terms of balancing both investment in the business, as well as continuing to look at debt management. We look at it carefully. We do have a number of investments that we’re making in the business on an organic basis. But the bottom line is I think it gives us flexibility in what we need to do around the balance sheet.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question in queue will come from Ananda Baruah with Brean Capital. Please go ahead. Ananda Baruah – Brean Capital: Thanks, guys for taking the question and congratulations on a solid quarter. Just a few from me, if I could. I guess the first is with regards to the comments for the core mailing business. When you say that the second half of the year should resemble March quarter, should we interpret that as meaning low single-digit declines? Do you expect to go back to down 2% kind of area?

Marc Lautenbach

Management

I don’t think the conversation requires a lot of interpretation. Certainly the second half of the year looks like more like the first quarter. I think that’s kind of how we would characterize it. I'm not going to give you a specific number, but that’s I think a fair characterization of how we see it right now. Ananda Baruah – Brean Capital: Okay, great. And then you mentioned the investment you're doing in Digital Commerce and the impact that it had on the margins this quarter. I guess what should be our expectation anecdotally for how the margins sort of manifest through the balance of the year? They were down on a year-to-year basis this quarter and they've been increasing nicely kind of prior to that. So just any context there would be useful.

Michael Monahan

Management

In terms of context, obviously there’s different ways that we invest in the business. So I think what you’ve seen is some improvement in the gross margin which is representative of the scaling business. But then the decision to reinvest both in infrastructure as we broaden the base of customers, building out channel capacity, the infrastructure associated with the growing volume of the business. And so it’s a combination of those things, but obviously the aggregate of Digital Commerce includes both the Ecommerce investments as well as the investments we are making in the software business around the channel. As the business scales over time we would expect to see that come through in margin improvement. Ananda Baruah – Brean Capital: Got it. That makes sense. And should we view the balance of this year as being sort of falling more on the investment side, sort of not yet -- or should we expect to see -- I guess you're going to be investing for the balance of this year. Do you think you can expand margins for the balance of this year or should we not have that expectation?

Michael Monahan

Management

Yeah. I think you latter comment is the right one. We said explicitly we plan to invest in the second half of the year. How that impacts margin will really be a factor of how we see the revenue come through.

Marc Lautenbach

Management

I think a little context here is probably helpful. We were very clear 15 months ago that our strategic intent in Digital Commerce business for the near to medium term was to grow. We see $28 billion of opportunity there. We are growing nicely. A couple of hundred million dollars a quarter is nice, but we are still early stages in these markets. So our strategic intent is to get real strength in these markets over the next several years and that’s where our focus is. I want to take advantage of what I think are some great capabilities to build a great franchise. And these businesses intrinsically have good margin performances, but as you are building them you realize a slightly different profile. Ananda Baruah – Brean Capital: Got it. Thanks, Marc. And then just last one for me. With regards to the software, the license growth comments in software, were they across the software portfolio, location intelligence, data quality, et cetera, or are they more focused in particular areas?

Michael Monahan

Management

In terms of that I’d say it was obviously across the portfolio. We did have some good wins in location intelligence in particular.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Shannon Cross with Cross Research. Please go ahead. Shannon Cross – Cross Research: Thank you very much. Good morning. My first question is with regard to the North American mailing and then how we think about some of the restructuring you're going to be doing in Europe. Obviously there was a bit of a hiccup earlier in the quarter in terms of the changeover in sales force. Can you talk a little bit more about what happened there, what you've now seen in July, and then how we should think about some of the changes in sales force that you're going to be making in Europe I guess in the coming quarters.

Michael Monahan

Management

Shannon, I would say it was less of the hiccup than more of a planned acceleration of the implementation of our go-to-market, which means we’re moving from a heavier load of direct selling to more web and inside sales. Naturally when you go through that transition there’ll be some impact. Because of the success we’ve had over the last year or so in that implementation, we actually decided to accelerate and really essentially complete the North American effort as we began in Europe, as we noted. We obviously have the benefit of the learnings from the North American implementation. To Marc’s earlier point, this is a long term transformation of the business and we will expect that there will be little differences quarter to quarter here and there. The important thing is that after two months of implementation, because we implemented it on April 1, we are essentially back on track, which I think lines up well with what we saw in the earlier phases but on a smaller scale. Shannon Cross – Cross Research: Okay. And just to confirm, July has continued the same kind of trend line that you saw in June?

Michael Monahan

Management

Well, I’m not going to get into month to month, but obviously our annual guidance reflects our confidence around the business as a whole. Shannon Cross – Cross Research: We’ve got to try, right? Okay.

Michael Monahan

Management

Never knock you for trying.

Marc Lautenbach

Management

July hasn’t even ended yet. Shannon Cross – Cross Research: And then on the Digital Commerce business, I'm just curious, Marc, as you look to the growth going forward for Digital Commerce, how much -- or for e-commerce especially, how much is required to sort of expand in additional partners and that relative to the sort of focus on eBay at this point? I know you do have some other smaller ones. And versus what are you hearing from eBay in the terms of what they are seeing from their sellers and their willingness to adopt international sales and their willingness to go out and sort of evangelize the opportunity?

Marc Lautenbach

Management

Listen, I’m not going to comment for eBay. They are more than capable of commenting for themselves, nor am I going to talk about specific relationships. I will say our first focus has been and always will be to take care of the clients that we have. We see that as our primary responsibility. That said there’s a lot of demand for this stuff and these capabilities. You see it in some of the others in the industry and in parcels. Then the confluence of parcels and global together is an incredibly exciting combination. This marketplace as we pointed out in May is roughly $6 or $7 billion dollars. We’ve got a business here that’s growing nicely, but we’ve got a ton of headroom. My expectation is that we’ll take great care of the clients that we have and in reasonable time we’ll continue to add clients. Shannon Cross – Cross Research: Okay. And then just finally, in terms of use of cash from an acquisition standpoint, it seems like you're pretty comfortable with the assets you have. What are your thoughts on share repurchase and that now that the balance sheet is in really good shape?

Michael Monahan

Management

As I mentioned earlier, I think what the condition of the balance sheet today really provides us is flexibility. It’s another arrow in the quiver so to speak and we will look at it opportunistically as we’ve talked in the past, but right now the good news is we have plenty of opportunities to invest in the business organically as well as to look at how we might add to that capability. Shannon Cross – Cross Research: I guess the question is how often do you sort of review it? Because it's been -- you've had the arrow in the quiver for a while in terms of your commentary. So I'm just curious, are we getting closer to sort of that or do you still think that the organic investments and opportunity are going to outweigh it for the foreseeable future?

Michael Monahan

Management

I think we have the option. That’s the important thing. So we always look at the various tools we have available to us. We look at it on a regular basis, but we’ll use it when we think it’s most appropriate to use it.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions) And next in queue is George Tong with Piper Jaffray. Please go ahead. George Tong – Piper Jaffray: Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to revisit your performance in the e-commerce segment, particularly around the eBay partnership. Can you give us some insights perhaps qualitative into the magnitude of the e-commerce from the step-up, and how many countries you're currently serving in the eBay partnership?

Michael Monahan

Management

In terms of outbound countries to address the last part first, we now ship outbound to 55 countries around the world. So that’s for any of our e-commerce customers. That’s something that we’ve continued to expand and grow and we’ll continue to grow. To the earlier question about this business we are a U.S outbound business today. We have opportunities to go outbound to more markets as well as we have the opportunity to be outbound from other markets around the world. There’s a lot of opportunity for growth. Ecommerce was obviously a meaningful driver in the Digital Commerce portfolio and that shows up in our business services growth. George Tong – Piper Jaffray: Got it. You've previously provided e-commerce revenue targets of about $200 million to $300 million over the next two to three years. Is that still sort of your goal going forward?

Michael Monahan

Management

I think the way that particular comment was phrased was around some early stage growth initiatives. I would say that e-commerce has proven to be very successful relative to that estimate because I think it was a three or five year estimate. So we feel very good about where we’re positioned for e-commerce over the future. George Tong – Piper Jaffray: Great. And then just turning to profits, your current operating margins in Digital Commerce and specifically e-commerce are likely lower now than where they structurally can be due to your near-term investments. Can you just provide some additional color on the investments you're making and when you expect to see margin expansion in the segment?

Michael Monahan

Management

Are you talking specifically to the digital commerce segment? George Tong – Piper Jaffray: Really focused on e-commerce.

Michael Monahan

Management

On e-commerce. Yeah, I think that the question will be how much opportunity do we have and where over time. I would expect clearly we’ll continue to make investments both as I say in expanding our current base of business as well as expanding the markets that we can serve. So clearly as the business scales there will be first contribution on a gross margin line and then leverage as we get bigger. And that will -- the relative level of investment will really be against what we see as the growth opportunity in the business. George Tong – Piper Jaffray: And would you say your investments in e-commerce are targeted more along the lines of sortation capacity or would you say they're targeted more along the lines of sales and marketing?

Michael Monahan

Management

I would say there’s three things. There’s the infrastructure to support the physical movement of the goods. There’s the investment in the technology where we believe we have some significant competitive advantage. And the third piece is as you described which is expanding our channel and support infrastructure. George Tong – Piper Jaffray: Got it. That's helpful. And then just going back to your core business, could you provide some additional details around what recurring revenue trends were in North America internationally specifically, whether we're close to breakeven and how much of a deceleration and decline we're seeing?

Michael Monahan

Management

Obviously you can see the individual line items on the P&L in aggregate, and we don’t tend to break those out individually. But in both North America and international, we did see improvements in the recurring revenue streams on a year-over-year basis comparing second quarter to second quarter. Particularly good was in the supplies area where we saw again continued growth in both of those places and we saw in particular some improvement in financing revenue in the international space where as we’ve stabilized that base over time it’s manifested itself in improved outlook relative to financing revenue. George Tong – Piper Jaffray: That's very helpful. And then I guess lastly, with your balance sheet now sort of where you'd like it to be, your cash flow usage is now much more flexible, which opens the door to M&A. Can you just sort of talk about what kind of M&A opportunities you're focused on and where you'd like to focus and direct your spend in terms of inorganic growth?

Marc Lautenbach

Management

George, I’d go back to what we’ve said along. M&A we have the assets that we think we need .we’ve got an addressable market in our growth businesses of $28 billion. So as you look at the intersection of those two points, what it leads you is the kinds of acquisitions that we’ll be more inclined to do would be around adding capabilities and that would tend to be make versus buy types of decisions. Either we can develop it ourselves or we can partner with others. So while I wouldn’t rule out something broader than that, I think in the main that’s what we’re going to be looking for. As you know we’ve put out pretty disciplined financial criteria that any acquisition would have to make and we continue to think those parameters for decision making are correct. So it’s got to be accretive in a fairly short amount of time. It’s got to be cash flow positive in five years. It’s got to be strategically coherent. It’s got to have the right IRR. So I would say beyond the intersection of those broad principles, what you would expect is we’ll be very disciplined.

Operator

Operator

At this time there are no additional questions in queue. Please continue.

Marc Lautenbach

Management

So let me close. From my perspective and I think a fair judgment is our transformation is ahead of any schedule I would have envisioned, our first half results and our improved guidance I think clearly demonstrate the point, and on balance we are very pleased with where we are. That said, the most compelling evidence for our transformation I see in our client relationships, the 1.5 million Small and Medium Business clients that we do business with every day ,some of the largest e-commerce, social media and business platform companies in the world and what we hear -- what I hear from these clients over and over again is our products are relevant and our strategies are on target. So the way I net that out is I’m more confident than ever in our future and our way forward. So I very much appreciate everyone’s interest in the company and we continue to work to improve our business. We’ll talk to you again in 90 days. Thank you.