Murray D. Martin - President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Jay Vleeschhouwer with Merrill Lynch, please go ahead
Sure. On the international side, firstly, last year we had a similar anomaly in international where we had shape-based rating which slowed down the ten year history we had of significant growth. So we see... that is actually washing out this year and we see that now returning positively. We also made some of the structural changes which will also give us a positive change as we move forward on the EBIT side. So we see Europe coming back stronger and then Asia Pacific is growing in the 20 plus percent range for the last number of years. So we see that as a continued growth area for us. Now when we talk about varying components, as we look at the international markets, they are in varying states of development. So you had markets that are developed similar to the U.S. or Western Europe, but you also have markets in different stages, whether it is Brazil, an India or a China, which I see as making significant changes in growth. And as we do that, we see them tending to move from a cash society... you are asking about indicators... from a cash society to a credit society. As that occurs, there is a significant change in the demand profile for our types of products. So that is one we are very keen on in the international and developing market spaces. At the same time, regarding investments, we look at and, as we did in Europe, we expanded our direct footprint. And what that does is it places us in a position to grow the market and to grow in multiple places, not only around our traditional products that we have in that market, but to bring in new goods and services that we have not offered in those markets that we have proven elsewhere. At the same time, in some of those markets, there are other opportunities to leverage our technologies. If you look at Asia, tax metering is a very significant item and other things that need to be evidenced as being secure proof that what is on the document is true. So we see those types of things and then branches into other areas of related software space as expansion. So we will be continuing to invest as we did in the fourth quarter and this quarter in creating a regional center in Singapore, building that out with capability and talent, enhancing our country management in the region and growing that expansion. At the same time, on the leading indicators, when you get back to those specifics, you really have to look at how the different financial dynamics are in our more developed spaces where we have a higher market share because they will have a more direct effect. We don't see huge swings, but as we've said, we have 25% of our business is in financial services. So if there is a shift there, we look and watch what the volumes are, we look at the transaction volume through that space. And those things generally give us a leading indicator of what is to come. As the transaction volume in financial services starts to decline, we can expect that the sector will see a slowdown in the sort of 60 to 180 days out if it continues. So those are the types of things that we really watch, and then we look at consumer spending definitely has an effect as to how our business will go on the long term. Short-term anomalies on anything have a very low effect because of our recurring revenue strength.