Robert B. Michaleski
Analyst · Canaccord Genuity
Thank you, Denise. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Pembina's conference call and webcast to review our third quarter 2013 results. I'm Bob Michaleski, Pembina's Chief Executive Officer. And joining me on the call today are Mick Dilger, President and Chief Operating Officer; Peter Robertson, Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer; and Scott Burrows, Vice President of Capital Markets. For this morning's agenda, we will follow our standard process. I'll spend a few minutes reviewing our third quarter 2013 results, which we released after markets closed on Friday, provide an update on Pembina's recent developments and then open up the line for questions. I'd like to remind you that some of the comments made today may be forward-looking in nature and they're based on Pembina's current expectations, estimates, projections, risks and assumptions. I must also point out that some of the information provided refers to non-GAAP measures. To learn more about these forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures, please see Pembina's various financial reports, which are available at pembina.com and on both SEDAR and EDGAR. Actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking statements we may express or imply today. So both our financial and operating performance during the third quarter and first 9 months of 2013 were very strong. I'm happy to report that Pembina delivered another successful quarter and continued driving value for our shareholders. With the announcement of a new growth project, our recent dividend increase and growing and sustainable cash flows, Pembina remains committed to maximizing long-term and sustainable shareholder returns. At a high level, our current -- or sorry, our strong financial and operational performance was positively impacted by several factors. These include higher propane prices, which benefited our Midstream business, and increased volumes on our conventional and oil sands pipelines, as well as in Gas Services due to higher customer activity in our operating areas. Pembina and its shareholders continue to benefit from our integrated service offering, our continued investment in our businesses and the strategic location of our assets. In the third quarter, adjusted EBITDA increased by 31% to $201 million from $154 million in the third quarter of last year. This increase was largely because of improved operating results in each of our businesses and returns on new assets and services. When looking at the year-to-date figures, adjusted EBITDA totaled $596 million compared to $391 million in the same period of 2012 due to the same reasons I just mentioned and the completion of our Provident acquisition, which occurred in April of 2012. Adjusted cash flow from operating activities increased almost 42% to $189 million during the third quarter of 2013 relative to the same period last year when adjusted cash flow from operating activities was $133 million. Per share, this increase was approximately 33%. Year-to-date, the jump in adjusted cash flow from operating activities is even more impressive. We saw an increase of 68% from $322 million in the first 9 months of 2012 to $540 million for the same period last year -- this year, sorry. Per share, this increase was just over 36%. Our strong financial results for the periods were the result of very solid operational performances across each of our businesses. For our conventional pipeline business, average throughput increased by 10% during the quarter and by 9% in the first 9 months of the year compared to the same periods of last year. Increased oil and gas producer activity in our service areas resulted in a number of newly connected facilities and increased volumes at our existing connections and truck terminals. Conventional Pipelines saw its revenue increase by 31% during the third quarter of 2013 to $103 million compared to $79 million in the same period last year. For the first 9 months of the year, revenue increased 25% to $300 million from $240 million for the same period of 2012. These increases were primarily due to stronger volumes, as I've mentioned, and new connections, as well as the pipeline segment we reassigned from Midstream at the beginning of the year. Offsetting higher revenue in Conventional Pipelines was OpEx, which increased around 25% for both the third quarter and first 9 months of the year compared to the same periods last year. These increases were largely because of our ongoing pipeline integrity program, as well as the additional expenses we experienced for power and labor. Third quarter operating margin was 34% higher this year than in the same period last year and approximately 27% higher for the first 9 months of the year compared to the first 9 months of 2012. Our Oil Sands & Heavy Oil business generated improved results for the periods as well. This was largely because we transported volumes beyond our contracted capacity on the Nipisi pipeline as a result of a new pump station that we placed in service on this system. As such, our operating margin for the third quarter and first 9 months of 2013 increased about 13% and 11% compared to the same periods of last year. Gas Services also saw a higher throughput, with the Cutbank Complex processing an average of 288 million cubic feet per day during the third quarter and 293 cubic feet per day in the first 9 months of 2013 compared to 275 million cubic feet per day in both the third quarter and first 9 months of 2012. These increases reflect sustained interest of producers and, more specifically, our customers in the areas surrounding our Gas Service assets and their push to extract liquids from the liquids-rich NGL, which is still attracting higher commodity prices relative to dry gas. Higher processing volumes, increased fees for additional capital we invested at the Cutbank Complex and greater recovery of operating expenses bumped revenue in this business by 33% and 35% for the third quarter and first 9 months of the year. Offsetting this revenue increase were higher operating expenses, which were largely the result of power, operating labor and maintenance costs associated with higher volumes and increased activity at the expanded Cutbank Complex. Overall, operating margin in Gas Services increased about 25% and approximately 25 -- 27% for the third quarter and first 9 months of 2013 compared to the same periods last year. For Midstream, this is the second reporting period where we can draw a true comparison between a given period in 1 year to the next. As a reminder, the assets we acquired from Provident are reported in our Midstream business and we don't -- we didn't own these assets until April of last year. Our NGL Midstream activities had another solid quarter. Operating margin for the period increased 40% compared to the same quarter last year, and NGL sales volumes during the quarter were -- of 2013 were almost 99,000 barrels per day, a 14% increase compared to the third quarter of 2012. This increase was driven by higher sales of propane, butane and condensate. Our Redwater West assets, in particular, benefited from a stronger year-over-year propane market, bringing in an increase in operating margin during the third quarter of about 31%. Similarly, Empress East operating margin benefited from stronger year-over-year propane markets, as well as lower inventory acquisition costs driven by lower extraction premiums. Operating margin at Empress East again increased substantially by almost 63% to $19 million during the third quarter of this year compared to the same period of 2012. Moving to our crude oil-related Midstream activities. Operating margin increased about 6% during the third quarter of 2013 compared to the same period last year due to our ability to capitalize on differentials related to specific commodities during the quarter and increased activities and services at PNT and at Pembina's truck and full-service terminals. On a year-to-date basis, higher volumes and increased activity on Pembina's pipeline systems, robust demand for Midstream services, wider margins in the first quarter of the year, as well as increased throughput at the crude oil Midstream truck terminals, resulted in an increase in operating margin of about 14%. As I noted in our first quarter's conference call, some of the opportunities we were able to take advantage of during the first quarter of the year and which drove such strong first quarter results are not typical, especially with respect to margins and storage activities, and we have seen this business normalize a bit through the second and third quarters. On a consolidated basis, results of our businesses were very positive. The third quarter proved to be another successful period in which we were able to demonstrate our continued ability to improve our financial and operational results by capitalizing on our integrated service offering and extracting further value from our assets. I'll now provide a relatively brief update on our growth projects. Conventional, we have substantially completed, or are just about start commissioning, our Phase 1 NGL expansion, which will increase capacity in our Peace and Northern pipelines to 167,000 barrels per day. We are also continuing to progress with our Phase 2 expansion plans, which will further increase NGL capacity to 220,000 barrels per day by mid-2015. For our crude oil and condensate expansions, we have substantially completed and are just about to start commissioning our Phase 1 expansion, and we'll bring an additional 40,000 barrels per day of crude oil and condensate capacity on the Peace Pipeline, and we'll be accepting December volume nominations from our customers. We are continuing to progress detailed design and engineering work for our Phase 2 expansion and expect the regulatory process to go quite smoothly. Once Phase 2 is complete, our crude oil condensate capacity will reach 250,000 barrels per day by late 2014. In addition to all of this, in September, we announced plans to proceed with the $115 million Simonette pipeline expansion. This project was not part of our previously announced capital expenditure plans and was driven by area producer demand for firm service between Simonette and Fox Creek, Alberta. The Simonette pipeline expansion is expected to initially deliver 40,000 barrels per day of liquids to our Fox Creek Terminal and will access our previously announced Phase 1 and 2 Peace expansions. Once the project is complete, it is expected to provide us the operational flexibility for additional future volumes nominated through our previously announced Open Season process that would support a potential Phase 3 Peace Pipeline mainline expansion. The new pipeline is expected to be in service in the third quarter of 2014, subject to the necessary environmental and regulatory approvals. Once complete, we will have 3 pipelines in the quarter capable of segregating and shipping various grades of crude oil, condensate and natural gas liquids. We are also installing 8 clean crude oil and condensate truck unloading risers at our Fox Creek Terminal to help facilitate trucked-in volumes to access Edmonton area markets through our Peace Pipeline mainline expansions. We expect to have these risers in service before the end of this year. Lastly, on our Open Season, we are currently working diligently to finalize mining transportation agreements with our customers. The process is proceeding very well, and Pembina expects to have an update early in the new year. In our Oil Sands & Heavy Oil business, we completed an additional pump station on the Mitsue condensate pipeline, which brought Mitsue's capacity from 18,000 barrels per day to 22,000 barrels per day during the quarter. We also announced -- and also continue to move forward with the work related to our previously announced $35 million engineering support agreement for the proposed Cornerstone Pipeline System. I'll turn now to new developments in Gas Services. In late October, we completed and placed our Saturn I facility and associated pipelines and infrastructure into service. The Saturn I facility is a 200 million cubic feet per day deep cut processing plant and has the capacity to extract up to 13,500 barrels per day of NGL. The plant is currently seeing throughput of 165 million cubic feet per day with liquids recovery coming in ahead of expectations. I'm happy to say that we completed this project on budget. As announced back in August, we are proceeding with Musreau II, a new 100 million cubic feet per day shallow gas plant and associated NGL gas gathering pipelines located near our existing Musreau facility. The facility is expected to cost $110 million and is underpinned by long-term take-or-pay agreements. Musreau II is designed to handle propane-plus and is expected to yield about 4,200 barrels per day of NGL for transportation off our Conventional Pipelines. Regulatory and environmental approvals are now in place and construction is underway with the targeted in-service date in the first quarter of 2015. With respect to our other previously announced projects, construction on the fully contracted Resthaven gas plant is still on track to be in service by the third quarter of 2014. Lastly, we will -- we have received the regulatory -- required regulatory and environmental approvals for Saturn II, which is a 200 million cubic feet per day twin of Saturn I, and are progressing construction with an expected in-service date of late 2015. Saturn II will leverage engineering work completed for Saturn I and is expected to cost $170 million. We expect the Saturn II facility will have the capacity to extract approximately 13,500 barrels per day of NGL, which will be transported on the same liquids pipeline lateral Pembina constructed for the Saturn I facility. Now on to our Midstream business. We continue to see growth opportunities aimed -- increased opportunity for our customers in the Midstream space. Our largest project in this business is the second 73,000 barrel per day fractionator, RFS II, we're constructing at our Redwater site. During the quarter, we completed land clearing, began washing the feed cavern for the fractionator, ordered all long-lead equipment and are progressing construction. We expect RFS II to come in service in the fourth quarter of 2015. As mentioned last quarter, we are upsizing certain facilities associated with RFS II to accommodate the potential development of the third facility, RFS III. We haven't put commercial contracts in place yet, but we believe there is sufficient demand for fractionation capacity beyond what will be available after RFS II is complete. If RFS III does proceed, it would leverage engineering and design work for both RFS I and RFS II. During the third quarter, we also completed the land acquisition in the Alberta Industrial Heartland for approximately $20 million. The site, which we are calling the Heartland Hub, will be a further build-out of the larger Nexus Terminal and features existing real access and utility infrastructure to support the future development of rail, terminalling and storage facilities. Further to that announcement, we also entered into a multiyear agreement with a major North American refiner for loading up to 40,000 barrels per day of various crude grades on to crude oil rail cars at our Redwater facility. We are pleased to announce that late October, we loaded at Redwater, which we believe to be the first 100-plus car unit train in crude oil service to leave the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. This highlights the advantage of pipeline connected service integrated with storage and rail. This is part of a phased expansion of terminalling service and is a service Pembina will be building out at its Nexus Terminal. We are also actively working on the development of a propane export project as we see this as an opportunity that fits our integrated strategy and one which could help alleviate some of the propane oversupply we are seeing in Canada and North America. We are still looking at various options for the terminal and associated infrastructure, as we're finding that the more involved we get with this project, the more that we're learning about which sites are most economical and practical. I'm happy with the progress we're making and hope to be able to provide more details in the coming months. As always, ensuring we have the right amount of capital in place to fund our projects remains an important component in our plan to execute on our growth strategy. To that end, so far in 2013, we have successfully raised almost $950 million through various public financings. In July, we closed our first preferred share offering for gross proceeds of $250 million, followed by a second preferred share offering in October for gross proceeds of $150 million. Early in the year, we also issued $200 million in 30-year notes and raised $345 million in equity. At the end of the third quarter, Pembina also has over $1.5 billion of unutilized debt facilities available and exited October with $75 million of cash. Given our healthy balance sheet and successful financing programs to date, Pembina remains well positioned to accomplish our goals and continue to lever superior and improving results for our shareholders going forward. So before closing, I'd like to take a moment to acknowledge this will be my last quarterly call as Pembina's CEO. At September, I announced my plan to retire at the end of the year after 35 years of service with the company. My time with Pembina has been rewarding on a professional level, of course, but also, and more importantly, on a personal level. I've met many great friends here over the years and have had the opportunity to become more involved with our great community at Calgary through various initiatives, including my role with United Way. I'm looking forward to continuing my relationship with Pembina and my colleagues as a member of Pembina's Board of Directors following my retirement as CEO. Mick Dilger, President and Chief Operating Officer, will succeed me as CEO effective January 1, 2014. Mick has worked closely with me and the board for many years, and he was identified early on in his career with Pembina as a potential candidate for CEO. I know our company is in the best of hands as I transition the role of CEO over to Mick and pursue retirement. Mick has the expertise, the business skills and, most importantly, the vision to see Pembina into the future. In closing, looking back at what we have accomplished over the year, I am very pleased with how 2013 has progressed and can say with confidence that we're well on our way to finish the year off with record financial and operational results. As I prepare for my retirement at the end of the year and transition my duties as CEO to Mick Dilger, I believe very strongly in Pembina's future and know that we have the right people and strategy in place to continue driving long-term and sustainable shareholder value going forward. With that, we can start the Q&A. Denise, please go ahead and open up the line for questions.