Lishan Aklog
Analyst · Lake Street Capital Markets
Thanks, Dennis. So let's now proceed with a systematic update of our business. I'll start with Lucid, which, as usual will take up the bulk of my time, and then proceed with brief updates on CarpX commercialization, the various health launch, and close with the short rapid fire updates on other products in our portfolio. First, some background for those of you who are new or just catching up to the Lucid story. Lucid is a commercial stage medical diagnostics technology company, focused on the millions of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease or GERD, also known as chronic heartburn, who were at risk of developing the esophageal pre-cancer and cancer, specifically highly lethal esophageal adenocarcinoma or EAC. We believe our lead products the EsoGuard esophageal DNA test performed on samples collected with the EsoCheck esophageal cell collection device constitute the first and only commercially available diagnostic test capable of serving as a widespread screening tool, to prevent these esophageal cancer deaths through early detection of esophageal pre-cancer can add risk to our patients. We formed Lucid in May 2018 as a subsidiary of PAVmed to license the technologies underlying EsoGuard and EsoCheck from Case Western Reserve University. Since Lucid's inception, PAVmed has managed Lucid pursuant to a management services agreement and finance its operations through working capital advances. This past June 1, Lucid issued a convertible promissory note to PAVmed and exchange for the cancellation of the $22.4 million in working capital advances and management services fees that have accumulated as of that date. And just over three years since Lucid's inception, we have advanced the technology underlying EsoGuard and EsoCheck from the academic research laboratory to commercial products within a scalable business model. EsoGuard as an NGS DNA methylation assay performed on samples collected with EsoCheck, EsoGuard has shown greater than 90% sensitivity and specificity at detecting esophageal pre-cancer and cancer in a published multicenter case clinical studies. EsoGuard is commercialized in the U.S. as a laboratory developed tests performed at our CLIA certified laboratory partner Research Dx, and was granted final Medicare payment determination of $1,938, effective January 1 of this year. We believe the total addressable market opportunity for these products is approximately $25 billion based on the Medicare payment rate, and a well-defined target population of at least $13 million of the highest risk per patients already recommended for pre-cancer screening. EsoCheck is commercialized in the U.S. as a 510(k) cleared esophageal cell collection device, EsoCheck proprietary collect and protect technology makes it the only non-invasive esophageal cell collection device capable of precise anatomically targeted and protected sampling, which is required to accurately detect early stage esophageal pre-cancer. The EsoCheck procedure can be performed by a nurse or other trained clinician in an office setting in less than five minutes without anesthesia or sedation. As I reaffirmed in my opening remarks, Lucid has disclosed its intent to proceed with an IPO and raise growth capital as a standalone public company to drive a growth strategy focused on expanding commercialization across multiple channels, and expanding the clinical evidence for EsoGuard and EsoCheck to support our ongoing regulatory reimbursement and commercial efforts as well as recommendation of our products and clinical practice guidelines. Bit more of background for those of you that are new to the story on the relationship between GERD esophageal pre-cancer and cancer. This year approximately 20,000 U.S. GERD patients will be diagnosed with esophageal cancer and approximately 16,000 will die from it and over 80% death rate which maintains its position as the second most painful cancer in the U.S. Unlike other common cancers, mortality rates are high even in our stages. As a result of preventing deaths from esophageal cancer, which is Lucid's core mission requires us to detect changes at the pre-cancer stage also known as Barrett's Esophagus, or BE. Esophageal pre-cancer can be monitored in its early stage and cured with endoscopic ablation in its later dysplastic phase, which reliably halts progression to esophageal cancer. In order to take advantage of this opportunity to prevent esophageal cancer deaths, GI clinical practice guidelines recommend screening for patients with long standing or severe GERD and three or more risk factors. The highest risk GERD card which I previously mentioned, that is recommended for screening consists of the estimated $13 million U.S. men over 50 with one additional respect. This group represents the primary target for EsoGuard and EsoCheck. Unfortunately, less than 10% of these at risk GERD patients undergo esophageal pre-cancer screening using traditional upper GI endoscopy. We believe EsoGuard and EsoCheck have the opportunity to correct the tragic shortcomings of the current care paradigm and serve as the first widespread screening tool to prevent cancer deaths through early detection of esophageal pre-cancer in these at risk or patients. Let me now update you on the status of EsoGuard and EsoCheck in certain key areas before doing a deeper dive into EsoGuard commercialization. On the regulatory front, during the past quarter we received CE mark certification for EsoCheck and completed CE mark self-certification for EsoGuard indicating that both may be marketed in CE mark European countries. On the manufacturing side we're in the process of transferring EsoCheck to a high volume manufacturing, Coastline International, Inc. based in San Diego, which will increase capacity of our lines from about 10,000 units per year to over 1 million. We expect to complete the transfer by the end of this year. This will not only provide efficient long-term manufacturing capacity, but substantially lower the per unit cost of goods. We anticipate doing the same for the EsoGuard specimen kit manufacturing as demand dictates. On the reimbursement front let me start with a brief history of the CMS process that EsoGuard has gone through to secure Medicare reimbursement. In 2019, we secured gap fill determination for EsoGuard's PLA codes through the CMS clinical laboratory fee schedule process or CLFS. This allowed us to engage directly with the Medicare contracts for Palmetto GBA and its MolDx program. Culminating in our submission of CMS payment coverage student payment and coverage dossiers for their technical assessment in May of 2020, so over a year ago. Things moved according to schedule on the payment side and in October of 2020, CMS granted EsoGuard final Medicare payment determination of $1,938 which became effective January 1. They have moved much more slowly on the coverage side, we continue to await Medicare local coverage determination or LCD from MolDx. We understand the COVID-19 pandemic and change of administration's has resulted in a significant backlog of LCD reviews. We continue to believe that our dossier presented a strong case for coverage based on the well-established and well defined adverse population already recommended for screening by professional society guidelines. Our new VP of market access and reimbursement has been in regular contact with the leadership of MolDx and has confirmed that the delay is entirely due to their COVID workload and resulting backlog. The CLIA laboratory of Research Dx has not yet received payments or denials for submitted Medicare claims. Although according to our regulatory consultants, EsoGuard is currently in a bit of a Medicare reimbursement gray zone with national and CMS payment effective, but its LCD or coverage determination still pending. Although technically, Medicare is required by statute to pay claims on tests for which it has not issued a non-coverage determination in practice that may or may not pay claims for diagnostic tests awaiting an LCD through the MolDx program. The processing of Medicare claims to date has been slowed by the fact that EsoGuard just recently received a special code called a [indiscernible] code, which was introduced to streamline the claims processing process. On the private payer side, as I mentioned, the laboratory has begun to receive out of network payments for EsoGuard tests and we have begun the process of engaging with private payers during this past quarter. During May we held a successful advisory Board meeting with medical directors of major insurers, which provided positive feedback and indicated good alignment with our strategic approach. We felt that the feedback fundamentally supported the major unmet clinical need for widespread acceptance of pre-cancer screening to prevent esophageal cancer deaths, and have now acknowledged the existence performance state of EsoGuard on samples collected with EsoCheck in detecting esophageal pre-cancer and cancer. And that since our test addresses some major unmet clinical needs we can expect payment and coverage determinations to be based on cost effectiveness, not net cost savings. The dialogue focused on collecting two types of data. Clinical utility data to demonstrate that EsoGuard positively impact clinical decision making. Most notably that patients with a negative EsoGuard test don't also undergo a costly endoscopy. And healthcare economic analysis of the cost of EsoGuard testing in the target population, relative to the fully burdened cost of endoscopy with biopsies and the cost of caring for patients who develop esophageal cancer due to failure to screen for pre-cancer. We'll discuss in some detailed our expectations for the portfolio of clinical utility and healthcare economic data, which would be needed to secure payment and coverage and finally our expectations to align with our plan studies including a large EsoGuard registry we are launching. Another important topic regarding implementing mechanisms, to ensure that EsoGuard testing is performed and billed for a consistent with practice guidelines. We discussed our commitment to help control in indicating testing working collaboratively with payers through audits and risk sharing arrangements as needed. They medical directors indicated that by establishing strict evidence based criteria for who will undergo the EsoCheck procedure for EsoGuard testing, our proposed Lucid test centers had the potential to serve as an important check against on indicator testing. We have a second advisory Board meeting scheduled next month with a new set of Medical Directors and I am looking forward to additional validation of our approach. Once we have submitted sufficient test to a specific payer, often in a specific region to get on their radar, we will begin more direct contractual discussions to become an in network provider on their various points. In terms of Europe, now that we've secure CE mark certification we're proceeding with developing a European market strategy. We are engaged with a major Geneva based consulting firm to help us develop and execute a country-by-country strategy to secure reimbursement in Europe, leveraging strong existing relations with European key opinion leaders in esophageal disease who are participating in our clinical trials. Let me now move on to EsoGuard commercialization starting with our engagement with GIS. Our initial EsoGuard commercialization efforts are focused on DCI physicians. We are gratified that they have generally embraced the notion that EsoGuard has the potential to enhance their practice by expanding the funnel of esophageal pre-cancer patients. Our messaging to the GIS is now well honed and includes several important concepts. First, that unlike Cologuard, EsoGuard does not seek to compete with or cannibalize their existing endoscopy business. Since so few add risk per patients ever see GI, much less undergo an endoscopy. Second, that we believe widespread EsoGuard testing will dramatically expand the funnel of esophageal pre-cancer patients in their practice for definitive diagnosis, monitoring and treatment. Third, since there are many patients already in their practice, who are candidates for EsoGuard testing, including patients undergoing colonoscopy. And fourth that we will work collaboratively with them to engage their referring physician network, educate them on the relationship between GERD esophageal pre-cancer cancer and EsoGuard testing. So as I noted in my opening remarks, these efforts are working well and have boosted a well-received - have been boosted by a well-received presentation this past May, at the largest GI meeting in the world by our busiest GI physician, Dr. David Poppers from NYU. Dr. Popper has reported positively on his initial experience with EsoCheck and EsoGuard. Let's not move on to our recent expansion of EsoGuard commercialization to include primary care physicians and the role of our Lucid test centers. So as I previously noted nearly all GERD patients exclusively cared for by primary care physicians and only a small - a very small portion of them ever see a GI physician. In fact, very few PCPs understand that GERD can lead to cancer. That's not withstanding, we believe that PCPs will be receptive to widespread esophageal pre cancer screening of adverse GERD patients to prevent cancer deaths once they are educated on the relationship, clinical guidelines for such screening and the availability of a new simple non-endoscopic office-based procedure to screen at risk patients for esophageal pre-cancer. This past month we hired a dedicated Phoenix sales rep with extensive experience in marketing diagnostic tests to PCP. His early engagement with them in the Phoenix area has yielded positive results, that's driving early referrals to test centers. He already has dozens of one's meeting scheduled with PCPs in the area in the coming weeks. So Lucid test centers whose launch in Phoenix we announced this week, operated in a leased medical office suites and located in Scottsdale Tempe in Glendale, Arizona and are staffed by a EsoCheck trainers practitioner and medical assistants employed by Lucid. Our analysis indicates that the economics of these centers should be attractive. We estimate that a single nurse practitioner supported by a medical assistant will be able to perform up to 20 EsoCheck procedures per day. The number of procedures per clinician per center necessary to cover the personnel costs and medical office leases is very modest less than two tests per week. Assuming payer reimbursement becomes acceptable, once that threshold volume is reached the program economics should become strictly marginal. We hope to launch Lucid test centers in at least three more cities this year and states contiguous with Arizona, most likely Las Vegas, Salt Lake City in Denver. We then hope to steadily expand into the remaining Western US states which allowed nurse practitioners to fully practice without physician supervision and then eventually nationwide. These Phoenix test centers will also support the next phase of the pilot program, an EsoGuard telemedicine program operated in partnership with Upscript Health, our recently announced independent telemedicine provider to accommodate EsoGuard's self-referrals from direct to consumer marketing. We are fully engaged with Upscript and to complete the development of the Lucid branded telemedicine platform, which should be ready to launch in the fall. In order to put to support this expanded commercialization efforts, we have significantly expanded our full time sales and marketing team over the past quarter and recent weeks, first at the senior leadership level, and now increasingly at the markets development manager and sales representative level. So as I previously noted we expect to continue to make substantial additions to the team over the coming quarters. Finally, let me close out Lucid with a brief update on our clinical research and development program. This program seeks to expand the clinical evidence of our products efficacy to support our ongoing regulatory reimbursement and commercial efforts. We are actively enrolling patients in two international multicenter clinical trials to support FDA PMA approval of EsoGuard use of EsoCheck as an In-Vitro diagnostic indicator to detect non dysplastic Barrett's Esophagus. ESOGUARD BE-1 screening study which will enroll 500 to 900 and bail GERD patients over 50 years of age with one other risk factor and the ESOGUARD BE-2 as a case control study which will enroll approximately 500 GERD patients with a previous diagnosis of non-dysplastic or dysplastic, Barrett's Esophagus or esophageal cancer, along with normal controls. These studies have 68 sites in the U.S. and Europe, with 31 active sites in the U.S. and five active European sites in the Spain and Netherlands. Despite COVID enrollment has been decent since they launched - since we launched a reboot in April to enhance training and introduce a new preservative. The early enrollment numbers in Europe are particularly strong. We're still targeting completion of enrollment by the end of 2022, and PMA submission to the FDA in 2023. In order to support these and many more upcoming clinical trials, we have begun the process of bringing our clinical research infrastructure in-house, beginning with our data management system. Finally, I'll now close with some brief updates on our other products. I don't have time to provide much background or context for those of you who are just learning about PAVmed. So as always, I'd encourage you to refer to our website and SEC filings for additional information or contact us with any questions. Let's start with CarpX, our minimally invasive device to treat Carpal Tunnel syndrome. I'll be frank and state that the past year has been quite frustrating for CarpX as we faced repeated challenges building momentum towards a full commercial launch. It started with the COVID related supply chain issues and limited access to searching the cadaver training and early cases. I was hopeful that we would build momentum in the first half of this year following the first successful case in the U.S. in December. But we learned by the second quarter that our model of utilizing a contracted National Sales Manager to drive recruitment of KLOs and drive early adopter case volume was simply not working. We decided to fully reboot our CarpX commercial efforts and build a full time CarpX sales and marketing team with deeper experience enhanced surgery and more specifically in Carpal Tunnel release. We hired a CarpX National Sales Manager, Kevin Roberts who hit the ground running in June. Kevin brings over a decade of experience in orthopedic sales, including an extended at Trice Medical, and Trice played an important role in successful launch and commercialization of a minimally invasive Carpal Tunnel release device. Kevin brings a large number of contacts in the hands of specifically in the hand surgery space, including surgeons and distributors. His early work is beginning to pay dividends. He said he has successfully recruited longtime hand surgeon clients to serve as early adopters and advisors completed cadaver training sessions and has more scheduled and have gotten them to schedule a CarpX cases. We remain committed to a steady and deliberate initial commercialization plan, focused on optimizing the procedural steps and safety and look to expand our team and broaden our commercialization efforts before the end of the year. As frustrating as things have been I've remained very upbeat about the future of what I still believe is a groundbreaking product, including exciting R&D work on future generations of the technology which is underway. Next, Veris Health. Things are off to a really great start here and I am more excited than ever about the prospects for this technology. The core technology which we inherited with the Oncodisc acquisition includes the first intelligent implantable vascular access port with biologic sensors and wireless communication, combined with an oncologist designed remote digital healthcare platform, that provides patients and physicians with new tool to improve outcomes and optimize the delivery of cost effective care through remote monitoring and data analytics. Things are rapidly moving forward on both the hardware and software front, the device design work is going well. And we should be in a position to do some initial animal testing this fall. The software design side is also going well. We are engaging with highly experienced digital health software developers to build both the Smartphone and cloud based applications. As I previously noted, Tim Baxter has been an important resource for us. And we are looking forward to continuing our discussions with Microsoft's healthcare and Internet of Things team on potential collaboration. On to NextFlo, the news here is very good. We expect to wrap up verification and validation testing of the groundbreaking NextFlo IV set in the fall and should be well positioned to file our FDA 510(k) submission in early Q1 and hopefully received clearance in Q2. We're going to start building our commercial infrastructure for this product this fall. Our engagement with large strategic interested in the disposable infusion pump application continues albeit be at a slow pace, while we continue to advance this technology. So we're well positioned to sell commercialize it, along with the IV set if a deal is not consummated. This past quarter we were also solicited by an even larger strategic company and market leader in the space on the broader NextFlo portfolio including the IV sets. As this engagement is just getting underway and I look forward to seeing where it takes us. Two updates on port IO our implantable, intraosseous vascular access device. The long planned human study in Columbia, South America was getting ready to commence early this summer, when the process came to a grinding halt as a result of a severe COVID outbreak across South America. Things appear to be back on track and we'll hope to finalize our FDA approval and begin enrolling patients soon. On the U.S. front, we've submitted our FDA pre submission package last month and expect to have a meeting to finalize a U.S. IDE trial in support de novo application this fall. Finally a few brief highlights from products in our emerging innovations portfolio. Work on EsoCure our esophageal ablation device is progressing well, histopathology and data from our second animal study earlier this year look very promising, and we continue to advance the design of the thermal ablation catheters and thermal infusion console forward. We hope to be in a position to submit for our 510(k) clearance in 2022. DisappEAR restorable pediatric ear tubes continue to progress in close collaboration with our research development and manufacturing partner Canon USA, despite some early challenges with the molding process. Our target date now for FDA for our 510(k) submission is the first half of 2022. I don't have any new data or milestone to report on our Solys non-invasive glucose monitoring technology. Work on our proprietary technology is going well and we expect the second generation prototype to be ready for testing human volunteers and a diabetic animal model before the end of the year. So thank you all for your attention. And with that operator, we can now open the call to questions.