Jeff Rodino
Analyst · CL King and Associates. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Andy, and good morning, everyone. Our RV revenues of $674 million in the fourth quarter were up $228 million or 51% and represented 59% of our consolidated sales. RV wholesale unit shipments were up 13%, totaling approximately 147,600 units for the quarter. Retail unit shipments decreased 16% to approximately 86,000 units in the fourth quarter. The decrease in retail unit shipments is attributed to continued limited model availability, as well as being consistent with traditional seasonal winter retail demand trends. Especially in comparison to the Q4 2020 backdrop, where retail fulfillment occurred far later in the year due to COVID related disruptions earlier in 2020. With the emergence of some winter restocking, RV dealers are well-positioned, yet not back to historical inventory stocking levels to meet strong continued retail demand in the initial selling months in the first half of 2022. Seasonal winter buying patterns, typically lightest in the winter months, coupled with the RV industry is unique and distinct ability to continue to flex production levels beyond what would be expected given the supply chain constraints, have allowed dealers a better opportunity going into 2022 to establish a solid initial base to sell from, which compared to an extremely fair level earlier in 2021, which we believed constrained retail sales overall in 2021. Record OEM reported backlogs continue to point to a strong expected 2022 retail season. Our estimates indicate the recalibration of dealer inventories has just started with TTM weeks on hand at the end of December 2021, up 27% to approximately 11 weeks to 12 weeks from December 2020 estimated comparative weeks on hand at approximately 8 weeks to 9 weeks. This level is significantly below our estimates of approximately 26 weeks to 30 weeks, historically carried on average across the industry pre -pandemic. Despite the modest build in dealer inventory, dealer inventories are down 29% when compared to 2019. Our retail sales are up 22% on a TTM basis. Further looking at the durability of RV end markets, we pointed the demographic shifts, which indicate positive long-term structural changes in composition of RV-owners according to the RVIA, $72 million Americans plan to go RV being in 2022 and KOA has reported that advanced bookings in 2022 are up 51% over 2021 bookings. Additionally, an estimated 69% of new RV owners are millennial's and Gen X, with growing Gen Z demographic. Millennials currently spend the most on RV purchases with an average purchase of $82,000, and 84% of these participants plan on purchasing a new unit in the next five years. The increasingly diverse composition of RV owners, including growing demographics of single individuals, many of whom are seeking increasingly more remote areas for their camping locations, and the flexibility of the units to support more boondocking, continue to fortify our loyal and growing baseline of lifelong RV enthusiasts. On the acquisition front, while we continue to strategically diversify our market mix, we also continued to invest in our fundamental RV platform with the acquisition of the industry-leading alpha systems and its new product capabilities, including highly-engineered and proprietary offerings in adhesives, sealants, membranes, and butyl tapes to the RV space, as well as our other end markets. Now turning to the marine industry, which Andy mentioned has been an active part of our strategic diversification strategy in alignment with our belief in long-term potential of the leisure lifestyle markets. Our marine revenue increased $81 million or 75% in the quarter to $189 million, and represented 16% of our sales, up from 14% in the fourth quarter of 2020. Marine wholesale unit shipments were relatively flat in the fourth quarter of 2021 from 2020 due to the capacity limitations as a result of supply chain constraints. On a pro forma run rate basis, we expect our marine revenues are approaching nearly $1 billion in annual sales and constitute a meaningful strategic diversification, and our end market mix. Retail demand for boats has not fallen off. And while marine retail sales in the quarter decreased approximately 5% primarily due to lack of inventory on dealer lots and the capacity constraints previously mentioned. Our estimates indicate that dealer inventories and weeks on hand have gotten worse when compared to December of 2020. We estimate that the TTM weeks on hand at the end of December 2021 are approximately 12 to 13 weeks down from an estimated 18 to 19 weeks on hand at the end of December 2020 or an estimated decrease of dealer inventories of approximately 35% year-over-year. This represents an even more dramatic decline than our estimates on the RV front. And we believe historical marine inventory levels approximated 35 to 40 TTM weeks on hand, on average across the industry. Based on these current estimates on our channel checks, OEM production requirements indicate channel fulfillment production level needs well into 2023 and likely into 2024 to restore dealer inventories to acceptable levels and even estimated new normal levels. Marine markets trends are durable, not only from an OEM production vantage point, but around the overall consumer environment for the 100 million Americans who go boating each year. New boating entrants are sticking with boating, and new and existing boaters continue to drive demand not only for new boats, but aftermarket parts and accessories. Our marine aftermarket business has grown to over a $128 million of annualized revenue. The addition of Wet Sounds, Sea-Dog, SeaDek, Coyote, Tumacs, and Williamsburg in 2021 along with our existing profile of OEM and aftermarket products, extends our capabilities to fulfill the needs of both OEM and marine aftermarket growth. The marine space is driven by new participants across a diverse range of demographics who seek the freedom and versatility of water-based recreation and the amenities of building which fosters similar to the RV and markets, work and study from home opportunities, pet-friendly accommodations, and the portability of marine lifestyles to satisfy a variety of objectives. Even with the expected production increases in 2022, supply continues to be outpaced by new entrants, existing boat owners, who are upgrading or adding to their fleet and a grilling boat club consumption of new boat production. Demands for new boats with the latest amenities and features, poises OEM production and ideal supply demand dynamics that we predict will continue until later stages of 2023. I will now talk a little bit about our housing and industrial side of our business, which Andy has mentioned collectively approximated 25% of our overall revenues for the quarter. Our manufactured housing sales of $151 million represented 13% of our total revenues in the quarter, increasing 24% over the fourth quarter of 2020 on an increase of MH wholesale unit shipments up 7%. MH OEMs are experiencing some of the most attractive market conditions in the last decade. With ASPS increasing in the quarter. And during the year and across all MH unit types. Despite the very strong production run rate volumes, backlogs continue to break record levels with very few order cancellations. OEMs have responded by investing in new plants and expanding capacity of existing plants to meet consumer demand. The acceptance of MH as a viable alternative to site build continues to accelerate. As those MH relative cost advantage and environment of rapid inflation, labor constraints, and rising interest. Consumer demand for MH units remains specially durable and will continue to be a growing factor in the accommodation of the overall U.S. housing demand as site-built single [Indiscernible] family housing grows increasingly out of the reach for many families. Growing MH communities, the momentum of urban to suburban migration, and the attractiveness of MH housing in comparison to pricing for site-built homes all pointed the long-term outlook for the MH to be strong driving factor in our profitability and revenue mix going forward. Revenues are industrial market sector, which is primarily tied to residential housing and home improvement, were a $134 million or 12% of our overall sales mix in the fourth quarter increasing 39% to the prior year. Total housing starts for the fourth quarter of 2021 increased 5% with multifamily housing increasing 39% in the quarter. Home-builders continue to experience an increase in backlogs, as well as a decrease in backlog conversion, which means homes are taking longer to build. As a result of the sharp increase in both single and multifamily housing in 2021, further driven by work and study from anywhere demand, many consumers have decided to remodel their existing homes rather than purchase a new home. As a result, our industrial sector greatly benefit from DIY and home improvement activity, and demand from our big box customers was exceptionally strong during the quarter and the year. And we see these trends continuing into 2022. I'll now turn it over to Jake, who will provide additional comments on our financial performance. Thanks, Jeff, and good morning, everyone. Our consolidated net sales for the fourth quarter increased 49% to $1.1 billion driven by increases in our RV, marine, MH, and industrial primary end markets. For the year, net sales increased 64% to $4.1 billion. Revenue from our leisure lifestyle markets, which comprise of RV and marine, increased 56% with RV and marine revenues up 51% and 75% respectively. RV content per unit increased 24% to $4,006 per unit, and marine content per unit increased 76% to $3,632 per unit. Revenues from our housing and industrial markets increased 30% in the quarter with MH revenues up 24% versus the prior year, industrial revenues up 39% compared to the prior year. MH content per unit increased 13% to $5,153per unit. Gross margin in the fourth quarter was 19.8%, increasing 140 basis points compared to the prior year. Gross margin for the year was 19.6% increasing 110 basis points from prior year. Size and scale of our operations applied against our focus leverage of fixed costs while still making investments in our infrastructure to support our strategic growth plans, helped to highlight some of our capabilities to our customers in unlocking capacity, purchasing power, and the scope of our footprint to bring resources to our growing markets. Our operational platform is designed to anticipate and accommodate run rate changes in demand, technically improving the execution of our team's operations and production efficiencies. Our platform is further enhanced by strategic investment in processes and technologies that helped translate into more effective production and delivery of our products. Warehouse and delivery expenses decreased 20 basis points for the quarter and 60 basis points for the year as the scale of our operations benefited from an increase in the volume of activity and the associated leveraging of fixed costs. Operating expenses for the quarter were 11.5% of sales compared to 10.4% in 2020. Primarily attributable to an increase in SG&A expenses. These increased costs reflect the incremental impact of higher costs related to our acquisitions, as well as increased incentive compensation to reward our people as a result of our performance. In addition to investments processes and continuous improvement in our human capital management initiatives. For the full year operating expenses were 11% of sales compared to 11.5% in 2020 beneficially impacted by strong revenue growth relative to our ongoing investments in human capital as we continue to actively manage our cost structure in alignment with our revenues. Operating income of $95 million increased 52% in the fourth quarter, and operating margin of 8.3% increased 30 basis points. For the full year, operating income of $352 million increased a 103%, and operating margin of 8.6% increased 160 basis points. Our diluted earnings per share in the fourth quarter was $2.62 up 60% from $1.64 dollar in the prior year, and $9.63 for the year up 129% from $4.20 in 2020. Our overall effective tax rate was 22% for the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to 26% in the prior year. Overall, effective tax rates for the full-year of 2021 was 23% compared to 26% in 2020. The quarterly and year-over-year decreases both reflect changes in state taxes and [Indiscernible]. We expect our overall effective tax rate for 2022 to be approximately 25% looking to cash flows, we generated approximately $105 million of operating cash flows for the fourth quarter 2021, an increase of a 121% compared to $47 million in the prior-year quarter. For the year, we generated $252 million of operating cash flows, an increase of 57%, the strong generation of operational cash flow in the quarter and year occurred despite our delivered investment in inventory as we prepared and positioned our operational platform for an expected strong start to fiscal 2022 in all four of our primary end markets. We expect our year-end investment in inventory translate into strong operating cash flow generation in the first half of 2022, driven by OEM production at leisure lifestyle and housing. In alignment with our strategic investments in automation and capacity expansion initiatives, as well as our disciplined capital allocation strategy, we invested $21 million in capital expenditures for the quarter, and $65 million for the full year, the increase of $33 million over 2020 for the full-year. These investments support our proactive approach to drive scalability both up and down by utilizing more advanced automation, technology, and AI which will support higher value added capacity for our customers for the long-term. Currently forecast 2022 capital expenditures to approximately $90 million in alignment with the strategy. Strategic investments in business acquisitions totaled $210 million for the fourth quarter and $520 million for the year. In the quarter, we acquired Wet Sounds, Inc. designer, fabricator, engineering, and distributor of innovative audio systems and accessories, including amplifiers, tower speakers, sound bars, and sub woofer sold direct to OEMs, consumers, dealers, and retailers, primarily within the marine and power sports markets. In addition, we introduced into our portfolio Williamsburg and manufacturer of seating for the RV and marine end market, sold primarily to OEMs in these markets. Both acquisitions represent a continuation of our strategic expansion of our marine and RV product portfolios and customer marine OEM and aftermarket solutions. In December, we opportunistically completed the offering of $259 million of 1.75% convertible senior notes to continue to position our capital structure with dry powder and flexibility. These notes will mature in December 2028 and we structured the notes to require us to pay cash for the par value of the notes and not issue shares, which will therefore not be dilutive to earnings as result. In fourth quarter in accordance with our dividend policy, we've returned $8 million to shareholders in the forms of quarterly dividends, an annualized increase of 18%, and we further deployed $17 million in the form of share repurchases. Dividends for the year totaled $27 million in share repurchases for the year totaled $49 million, or a total of 612,325 shares repurchased. In January of 2022, our Board of Directors approved our increased share repurchase authorization to $100 million. We expect to continue to tactically target share repurchase in 2022 based on market conditions and valuations that we believe reflect attractive returns to our shareholders and on our investments. At the end of the fourth quarter, we had approximately $532 million of total liquidity comprised of $123 million of cash on hand. Unused capacity on our revolving credit facility of $409 million and a total net leverage ratio of 2.3 times. This leveraging liquidity profile positions us to be very flexible and to operate our business under a variety of strategic scenarios. And most importantly, our debt maturity schedule represents patient capital with the vast majority of our debt maturing and the 2027 to 2029 timeframe. As we head into 2022, we currently expect 2022 RV wholesale shipments to remain flat around 600,000 thousand unit shipment level, and we expect retail shipments to be down mid-single-digits. Based on these estimates, we expect the resulting build of dealer inventory to support a new normal baseline level of inventory that is expected to be discounted for pre -pandemic levels. In our marine market, we expect marine wholesale shipments to be up low double-digits, and marine retail to be flat to up low mid-single-digits. Resulting inventory implications point towards lean dealer inventories throughout 2022 with restocking to appropriate levels not occurring until 2023 or even 2024. On the housing and industrial side of the business, we expect MH wholesale shipments to be up mid single to high single digits for 2022 with retail sales absorbing available wholesale production on a real-time basis. In our industrial end market, we expect 2022 new housing starts also grow in mid to high single digits. That completes my remarks, and I would like to turn it back to Andy.