Steffan C. Tomlinson
Analyst · Brent Thill with UBS
Thank you, Mark, and thank you all for joining us. As we conclude FY '13 and look towards FY '14 and beyond, I'll provide a brief refresher on our hybrid revenue model and highlight the positive impact it's having on the business. Then I'll discuss our results and conclude with guidance. First, our revenue model is comprised of 3 components. The first and largest component is our PA series of appliances and other products. When these products ship, we bill and recognize all the revenue at the time of shipment. The second component is maintenance and support services, which is priced at approximately 16% of the appliance list price per year. The third component is subscription services, which is the recurring SaaS-based revenue element of our business. Currently, we have 4 subscriptions, each priced at 20% of the appliance list price per year. For both maintenance and support and subscription services, we have annual and multiyear options. For either option, we bill the entire amount upfront, and it goes on to the balance sheet and deferred revenues and revenue is recognized ratably over the term of the contract. All 3 components of our model grew well in fiscal 2013. Product growth was strong in Q4 and the fiscal year, and we expect that to continue in FY '14. Services growth was also strong, and this has had a positive impacts on billings, deferred revenue, the visibility of future revenues and free cash flow. With that context outlined, I'll now turn to our results. In Q4 '13, total revenue grew to a record $112.4 million, an increase of 49% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. For the fiscal year, we reported record revenue of $396.1 million, a 55% increase over the prior year. Our results were driven by our land and expand strategy. The geographic mix of revenue in Q4 was 62% Americas, 22% EMEA and 16% APAC, with all theaters posting growth on a year-over-year and sequential basis. Our revenues were diverse, as we did not have any vertical or any customer concentration. Looking at the different components of revenue in Q4, product revenue was $65.5 million, an increase of 32.4% year-over-year and 7.7% sequentially. Growth was driven by sales of our mid-range 3000 and high-end 5000 PA series of appliances. Our services revenue totaled $46.9 million, an increase of 79.1% year-over-year and 15.9% sequentially. The growth in services revenue can be attributed to strong billings in previous quarters and to the increasing adoption of our subscription services. Services revenue accounted for a 41.8% share of total revenue, which is a 720-basis-point increase year-over-year and 180-basis-point increase sequentially. We expect strong contribution from our services business to continue. Well, of course, there may be some fluctuations in services as a percent of total revenue due to a relative stronger product growth in any given quarter. The support and maintenance revenue component of services in the quarter was $25.3 million, an increase of 85.6% year-over-year and 15.9% sequentially. The renewal rate on maintenance is currently greater than 95%. The recurring subscription component of services revenue in the quarter was $21.7 million, an increase of 72.1% year-over-year and 15.9% sequentially. The renewal rate for our subscription services is currently greater than 85%. As the attach rates for subscriptions increase and the renewal rates for both subscription and maintenance remain high, billings has become an increasingly more meaningful metric for our business. Billings in Q4 were $142.3 million, an increase of 50.1% year-over-year and 7.5% sequentially. To provide some annual insight, billings for FY '13 were $509.5 million and grew 57.4% year-over-year. Product billings were $243.8 million and grew 43% year-over-year, accounting for 48% of total billings. Support billings were $136.2 million and grew 75% year-over-year, accounting for 27% of total billings. Subscription billings were $129.6 million, which grew 71% year-over-year and accounted for 25% of total billings. Additionally, the length of our services contracts has been increasing over time. The dynamics we've outlined for billings naturally impacts deferred revenue. Total deferred revenue in Q4 was $249.2 million, an increase of 83.5% year-over-year and 13.6% sequentially. Short-term deferred revenue was $153.9 million, an increase of 14.9% sequentially. Turning to gross margin. Total non-GAAP gross margin in Q4 was 74.5%, an increase of 260 basis points year-over-year and 40 basis points sequentially. Q4 non-GAAP product gross margin was 75.2%, an increase of 40 basis points year-over-year and 80 basis points sequentially. The sequential increase was primarily due to product mix and cost reductions. And as a reminder, there will be fluctuations in our product gross margin, primarily due to when new appliances are shipped. Q4 non-GAAP services gross margin was 73.5%, up 690 basis points year-over-year and down 20 basis points sequentially. We're pleased with the leverage we're demonstrating in our services business, as evidenced by the year-over-year increase. The sequential decline was primarily due to investments in our customer support organization as we continue to add systems and personnel to accommodate the rapid growth of our customer base. Longer term, provided subscription attach rates continue to increase and renewal rates remain high, it should be a positive tailwind for services margin expansion. Moving on to operating expenses. In Q4, we continue to execute our investment plan of focusing on product development and expanding our sales and go-to-market organization. In Q4, non-GAAP research and development expense was $14.3 million, an increase of $1.5 million from the prior quarter, due in part to headcount additions and project-related expenses. And as a percentage of revenue, R&D expense was 12.8%, an increase of 10 basis points sequentially. Q4 non-GAAP sales and marketing expense was $53 million, an increase of 7.4 million from the prior quarter. The cost drivers in the quarter were primarily due to a very strong end of year performance, which resulted in increased sales commissions and accelerators, as well as increasing our go-to-market headcount prior to the new year in order to get maximum impact on productivity in 2014. As a percentage of revenues, sales and marketing was 47.1%, up 210 basis points sequentially and up 20 basis points year-over-year. It is worth noting that all sales and marketing expenses are incurred upfront, but services revenues are recognized ratably over the term of the contract, which doesn't match the expenses with the billings in the quarter. Q4 non-GAAP general and administrative expense was $8.7 million, a decrease of $0.6 million from the prior quarter. As a percentage of revenue, it was 7.8%, a decrease of 140 basis points sequentially. While the cost of setting up our international structure decreased in Q4, G&A was impacted by increased expenses related to the IP litigation with Juniper. In total, Q4 non-GAAP operating expenses were $76 million or 67.7% of revenue. Non-GAAP operating margin was 6.8%, up 370 basis points year-over-year and down 40 basis points sequentially. Free cash flow margin was 31.9% compared to 21.6% in Q4 '12, which is a result of the evolution of our model to increasingly higher services components. Our non-GAAP effective tax rate for Q4 was 38.7%, and for the fiscal year, it was 40.1%. These rates give effective tax adjustments in Q4 related to the valuation allowance on our deferred tax assets and interim tax costs associated with the implementation of our international structure. Non-GAAP net income for the quarter was approximately $4.7 million or $0.06 per diluted share using 76.7 million shares, compared with non-GAAP net income of $4.5 million or $0.06 per diluted share in Q3 '13 and non-GAAP net income of $1.9 million or $0.03 per diluted share in Q4 '12. Non-GAAP results for Q4 included $1.4 million of expenses related to IP litigation with Juniper. If we had excluded IP litigation expenses from our non-GAAP results in Q4, then our non-GAAP EPS was $0.07 per diluted share. To provide transparency, on our IR website we provided a supplemental schedule that shows the historical impacts of the IP litigation costs. Beginning in Q1 '14, we'll be excluding the IP litigation expenses from our non-GAAP results and guidance, as we believe the expense is not indicative of the underlying business. For fiscal 2013, we reported non-GAAP net income of $16 million or $0.21 per diluted share compared with non-GAAP net income of $14.7 million or $0.14 per diluted share in fiscal 2012. Non-GAAP results for the fiscal year 2013 included $3.6 million of expenses related to IP litigation, which on a tax effective basis was $0.03 per diluted share. On a GAAP basis for the fourth quarter, net loss was $15.8 million or $0.22 per basic and diluted share compared to Q3 '13 GAAP net loss of $7.3 million or $0.10 per basic and diluted share and a Q4 '12 GAAP net loss of $4.6 million or $0.18 per basic and diluted share. For fiscal year 2013, we reported GAAP net loss of $29.2 million or $0.43 per basic and diluted share, primarily related to a stock-based compensation expense, compared with a net income of $0.7 million or $0.00 per basic and diluted share in fiscal 2012. Turning to the balance sheet. We finished July with cash, cash equivalents and investments of $436.9 million. In Q4, cash flow from operations was $41.7 million, and free cash flow was $35.9 million. Capital expenditures in the quarter totaled $5.8 million. For fiscal year 2013, cash flow from operations and free cash flow were $114.5 million and $92.1 million, respectively. In Q4, the accounts receivable balance was $87.5 million, down from the prior quarter balance of $91.5 million. The quality of our receivables remains excellent. Average days sales outstanding were 72 days, up from 71 days last quarter. We are updating our DSO target range to 65 to 75 days, reflecting the changing nature of our revenue stream, as recurring services revenue continue to increase as a percentage of our business. Let me now move to our guidance. In Q1 '14, we expect revenue to be in the range of $118 million to $122 million, which represents 37% to 42% growth year-over-year. In Q1 '14, we expect non-GAAP EPS, excluding the impact of IP litigation expenses, to be approximately $0.07, using 76 million to 78 million shares. I'd also like to highlight a number of points for modeling purposes. While seasonality has been difficult to determine due to our strong growth, we believe that over the longer term, Q2 and Q4 may show our strongest sequential growth in revenues. We expect to increase operating margin throughout the year, exiting Q4 in the low double digits. And we remain on track to achieve our non-GAAP operating margin target of 22% to 25%, exiting Q4 FY 2016. CapEx for FY '14 will be in the range of $45 million to $50 million, with the majority of the spending occurring in the first half of the year. The effective tax rate for FY '14 is anticipated to be in the range of 38% to 40% on a non-GAAP basis. This rate is dependent on a global pretax profit mix. Finally, the share count is expected to increase by approximately 1% per quarter. With that, I'll turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A.