Robert G. Doyle
Analyst · Bear Stearns, please go ahead
Sure. It’s a very thorny issue it’s -- and quite frankly we are spilt on our board, we have an interesting board we have some real hard ass operators like John Wright metallurgical engineer, John Willson is the ex-CEO of Placer Dome, he is a miming engineer and these guys, you know, they want to protect their cost ratio. All you do that is you hedge when you’ve got an all time record metal price, you (inaudible) and in doing so you protect your cost and you maximize your revenue and you know and that is what the hedge is all about and you protect the downside of this, and there is all kinds of ways to do that in the you know, in the hedging world, you can buy any programs but at the end of the day it’s always a hedge. If the price of metal goes up it looks like a bump and that’s what happened the us in Q1 after we thought we were heroes and stepping in front of the zinc during last year and getting 72,000 tons an all time high, almost an all time high that time and then watching the price double. So that’s the you know, the hedge we also have on board a couple of fund managers Michael Larson he runs Bill Gates’ money and Bill Fleckenstein who is a fund manager and a very, very strong opinion guy and a wonderful, wonderful board member. And both of these guys make the observation that you know, it’s fine to hedge you know, you do make, perhaps if the metal price goes down you make a financial gain. But it will also do in the hedge you know, zinc like we did and what’s the new accounting rules that were different and what they were when we are actually get into that hedge loss fall, a kind of rules change and we have to choose this big non-cash accruals for the hedge losses which were non-cash items. It really obscured our earnings picture, it obscured our cash generation potential, it obscured our earnings, when we had good earnings, but we have throw this big non-cash losses and it really did negative, I would say it paints a more negative pictures that needed to and that cost us a lot. So when you weigh the benefits against the cost, it is a tough and thorny issue which we have debated, every single board meeting we have a debate on this. And that’s going to continue. Now lesser issues that are still hedges, but once that are more easily explained our hedges, for example on currency, we hedged our Mexican peso risk against the dollar to mitigate significant changes in that set of currencies. We are now -- probably going to do the same thing in Argentina once we have our cost we are purely define, to reduce the risk of a blowout on either side, on the currency side against our budget. We have a real debate going on right now in our board whether or not to hedge gold, at current prices we can -- for example (inaudible) is going to put us about 70,000 ounces a year, 60,000 ounces a year. We can get a floor of $600 and all the upside above $1000 ceiling -- you know, just - you know, that’s something which we you know which we actually -- we had board meeting last week, we had a discussion about that, we are not going to do anything right now because we think that the negatives of hedging gold currently are out way by the positives. And that’s where it came down, but it is a thorny issues. Never say never I will not say we’ll never hedge thing again, I will not say we will never ever hedge gold, but I will say we will never hedge our silver. We will never hedge our silver because our silver gives, we will never hedge our silver because our silver gives our investors our leverage, the second we hedge that we take away that leverage and why invest in Pan American compared to something else, so that’s one thing that is sacrosanct, we will not hedge our silver production.