George Gleason
Analyst · KBW. Please proceed
Well, Matt, it's going to depend on a totality of circumstances. Number one, we're always looking at the strength and quality of sponsorship and capital partners and their investment and their commitment to continue to support a project that may be maturing a little more slowly than was originally expected. So, sponsorship, quality of sponsorship, capabilities of sponsorship are certainly number one. And number two is just the long-term expected prognosis and outcome on that project. It's not particularly alarming to us that a project delivers without leasing. The question that really drives our evaluation of a project is, number one, do the sponsors have the will and the capability to support a project until you have a successful outcome? And number two, is the project of the quality in nature that you're going to have a successful outcome, whether it's this year or next year or three or four years down the road. And if you've got sponsors who have the motivation and the capacity to carry it, and the project is going to ultimately have a successful outcome, then you certainly have a positive view of the project. And the San Diego project certainly fits that criteria. The motivation that drives our customers to support their project is largely dependent upon the tremendous investments they have in the projects. If you've got our average loan to cost on our portfolio, I think is 51%. Jay, is that where we are now? And our average loan to value is 42, 43%. Even with all the reappraisals in this cycle, that's still where we are on a weighted average loan to cost, loan to value basis. When you've got 50% of the cost of a project invested as equity prep equity, or mez, your subordinated members of the capital structure, you have a, by the very nature of the capstack, you have an inherent motivation to defend that investment. For example, our loan on the San Diego project's a half billion dollars. The capital partners in that equity and mez have over a billion dollars committed to that project. They are not going to walk away from a billion-dollar investment lightly. So, the second part of the test is, is the project capable of having a successful execution. Now, there's a lot of noise in the CRE world today about projects that are just totally dead. And those are projects that are principally older projects that are in bad locations, have 50 or 60 or 30 or 40-year-old designs, and are not built to current standards. So, the combination of our low leverage and the fact that we've got ground up new construction that is built to modern standards, modern needs, modern expectations from tenant and buyers, so that our sponsors have won a huge incentive because of their big investment. And two, a motivation to continue to support it because our projects will ultimately lease or sell and be successful. The other thing I would tell you about that is, we talk a lot and we've said this since the Fed started raising rates that we expected the vast majority of our sponsors would continue to support their projects until economic conditions normalized or property performance reached a stabilized state. And that's certainly true. What I would point out to you, while we have a handful of substandard loans and a handful of special mentioned loans in the RESG portfolio, all of those loans are current. And the sponsors remain engaged in working towards solutions on those projects. And the only two instances we've had where sponsors have given up on a project are the two pieces of OREO we have. So, every one of our substandard credits is current and performing in the sense that it's not past due. Now we put one of them on non-accrual because we wrote it down. And what caused us to do that is some noise from the sponsors about their commitment on that small project to continue to support it, so that we consider the most challenged project we've got. But even with that, the sponsors have made their monthly interest payment out of their pocket this month and they continue to work to try to craft a path forward that will salvage some of their investment. Keep our loan growth. We wrote it down. We classified it because we take a pretty conservative, proactive view on these things, but it's still a current loan.