Tyler Vance
Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open
Our efficiency ratio has been among the top decile of the industry every year for 15 consecutive years. In the quarter just ended, our efficiency ratio was an excellent 34.4% and for the first nine months of 2017 was 34.9%. While our efficiency ratio has been excellent, we have a longer term goal of improving that ratio even further. However, we don’t expect much of any improvement over the next few quarters, infact our efficiency ratio might increase slightly for one or more quarters in the near term. As we have discussed for many quarters now, we have been focused on developing our products and infrastructure to allow us to continue to achieve high performance even as we become a much larger bank. We have previously discussed our increased focus on developing technology based products and solutions through our Ozark Labs, which we think will be critical to our success in the rapidly evolving retail banking environment. We have also talked about our focus on expanding and enhancing our infrastructure for information technology, information systems, cyber security, business resilience, enterprise risk management, internal audit compliance, BSA/AML monitoring training, and other important areas as well as expanding our human and physical infrastructure to serve low-to-moderate income and majority minority markets and customer segments. All these initiatives are important elements in our preparation for significant future growth and we have already made significant progress. These initiatives have been and will continue to be an important emphasis for us during the fourth quarter of this year and into 2018 as we complete most of this infrastructure build that has been underway through 2016 and 2017. We expect our total non-interest expense to increase during the fourth quarter by approximately $3 million to $5 million compared to the level of non-interest expense in the third quarter. We also believe that we will continue to have further increases in our level of non-interest expense during the first half of 2018. We anticipate that we will see that rate of increase subside in the second half of 2018 after most of our infrastructure build is complete and our expenditures for consulting fees subside from the current level. Accordingly, after mid 2018 we expect to see a generally improving long term trend in our efficiency ratio. There are several key factors among others needed to accomplish our long term efficiency goals. First, we expect to ultimately utilize a large amount of the excess capacity of our extensive branch network tapping many billions of dollars of additional deposits through existing offices. That potential is very evident in the recently released FDIC’s bank deposit market share data as of June 30, 2017. For the 156 cities and towns, excluding New York City in which we had deposit gathering offices, we had 4.13% of the branches but only 1.40% of the deposits. We believe we can grow two or near market share period. Our ability to achieve substantial deposit growth in many of these cities and towns while adding minimal amount of overhead should have favorable implications for our efficiency ratio. Second, we expect to achieve further efficiencies overtime from our ongoing deployment of technology applications from Ozark Labs. We believe these factors among others will allow us to achieve an improving efficiency ratio long term. Of course, our guidance regarding an improving efficiency ratio does not consider the potential impact of any future acquisitions. Let me change subjects and discuss liquidity. We have long expected that we could accelerate deposit growth as needed to fund our loan and lease growth. Our experience in recent years has validated that expectation. Atleast monthly and more often as needed, we have had a comprehensive 36-month projection of our expected loan fundings of loan pay downs and other sources and uses of funds. These detailed monthly projections of needed deposit growth provides a goal through our deposit growth strategies. This has proven to be a very effective process. Currently, we have 47 offices in 34 cities in spin-up mode, offering various deposit specials along with an enhanced level of marketing activity. Our branch network of approximately 243 deposit offices continues to have substantial untapped capacity as I just mentioned, and we believe that capacity is sufficient to fund our expected loan and lease growth over the next several years. At the same time, we plan to add de novo branches in new markets, which is to provide the additional deposit capacity to support future growth. At September 30, 2017, our total deposits were $16.8 billion, which was a $582 million increase in total deposits from the previous quarter end. Our organic deposits, which exclude broker deposits, grew a very healthy $934 million in the quarter just ended. Because of this significant growth in organic deposits in the quarter just ended, we decreased our volume of broker deposits by $352 million from $1.57 billion or 9.7% of total deposits at June 30, 2017 to $1.22 billion or 7.2% of total deposits at September 30, 2017. For the first nine months of 2017, we have decreased broker deposits by $771 million. Of course we are not subject to any regulatory limitations on our volume broker deposits and our internal policy calls for a 50% limit, which we are well below; but we are nonetheless pleased to see our percentage of broker deposits continue the downward trend over the past six quarters. We consider net growth in core checking accounts as one of our most important deposit metrics. We achieved excellent organic growth in our number of net new core checking accounts with 6,173 net accounts added during the quarter just ended, bringing our total net new core checking accounts to a record 17,000 plus for the first nine months of this year. As we’ve discussed in previous conference calls, the Durbin Amendment started impacting our service charge income as of July 1. During the third quarter of 2017 our service charge income was $9.7 million which was a decrease of $2.0 million from this year second quarter. This was consistent with our estimate given in the July conference call that the Durbin Amendment would result in a pre-tax reduction and service charge income of about $1.95 million per quarter. In the quarter just ended, our cost of interest-bearing deposits increased 12 basis points compared to the second quarter of 2017, as we increased rates on competitively bid deposits and rates at certain offices and spin-up mode in order to grow deposits to fund growth. Given our expectation for strong growth in non-purchased loans and leases in the fourth quarter, we expect to continue to grow deposits significantly. Based on this combined with possible further increases in the fed funds target rate, we expect additional increases in our cost of interest-bearing deposits. Our goal is to hold the rate of increase in our cost of interest-bearing deposits below and hopefully well below the rate of increase in our yield on non-purchased loans and leases. As Greg noted, if the Federal Reserve continues the recent pattern of Fed funds rate increases, that goal should be achievable, as it has been over the last five quarters. Now, let me turn the call back to George.