Earnings Labs

Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM)

Q1 2016 Earnings Call· Tue, Jun 7, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Oxford Industries Inc. First Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. Today’s conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the floor over to Ms. Anne Shoemaker for opening remarks and introductions.

Anne Shoemaker

Management

Thank you, Stephanie, and good afternoon everyone. Before we begin, I would like to remind participants that certain statements made on today’s call and in the Q&A session may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results of operations or our financial condition to differ are discussed in our press release issued earlier today, and in documents filed by us with the SEC including the risk factors contained in our fiscal 2015 Form 10-K. We undertake no duty to update any forward-looking statements. During this call, we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find a reconciliation of GAAP financial measures to certain non-GAAP financial measures in our press release issued earlier today, which is posted under the Investor Relations tab of our website at oxfordinc.com. Please note that all financial results and outlook information discussed on this call, unless otherwise noted are from continuing operations and all per share amounts are on a diluted basis. As a reminder, the results from the Ben Sherman business are reflected as discontinued operations for all periods presented. Also on April 19, 2016 the company acquired Southern Tide which is presented as a separate operating group. And now, I’d like to introduce today’s call participants. With me today are Tom Chubb, Chairman and CEO; and Scott Grassmyer, CFO. Thank you for your attention. And now I’d like to turn the call over to Tom Chubb.

Tom Chubb

Management

Good afternoon and thank you for joining us. Our consolidated results for the first quarter fell short of our expectations driven primarily by a sales shortfall at Tommy Bahama our largest operating group. The miss came in two ways, first like other fashion retailers we saw weak traffic in our stores and online throughout the quarter, but it got significantly worse late in March and all of April. Secondly, we underestimated the impact of the shift in timing of an important loyalty card promotion from April to May. Since May, when our loyalty card program kicked in we've seen strong conversion and a return to positive comps at Tommy Bahama. Although traffic remains sluggish we expect significant improvement in the second quarter with a high single-digit increase from the top line compared to last year. Lilly's contributions at Oxford continue to be a highlight, we were very pleased with Lilly Pulitzer's first quarter performance as our Lilly customer continue to respond to our products and marketing. As you likely remember, last spring included the April 19 Lilly collaboration with Target that resulted in an unprecedented response from the marketplace and drove consumers to our stores and website. This helped drive year-over-year sales increases of 17% and 39% in the first and second quarters of 2015. While we have top line growth planned for the second quarter this year we expected it to moderate to the low single-digits against this very tough compare from last year. Another important highlight of the first quarter was our acquisition of Southern Tide, this small but fast growing lifestyle brand is a great addition to our portfolio as it evolves and redefines the boundaries of a classic southern brands. This business which we have known well for quite some time came to us with a…

Scott Grassmyer

Management

Thanks, Tom. Please refer to our press release issued earlier today for complete results for the first quarter of 2016. I’ll now walk you through a selection of highlights from the first quarter as well as our guidance for the second quarter and full fiscal 2016. In the first quarter of 2016 consolidated net sales were 256 million compared to 260 million in the first quarter of 2015. Decreases in Tommy Bahama and Lanier Apparel were partially offset by 10% increase in sales at Lilly Pulitzer. First quarter also included 12 days of sales from our newly acquired Southern Tide business. Consolidated gross margin in the quarter expanded slightly over the prior year period by Lilly Pulitzer representing a greater proportion of net sales. SG&A increased primarily due to incremental cost associated with operating additional retail stores and restaurants, and the inclusion of Southern Tide transaction and operating expenses. This was partially offset by lower incentive compensation expense. Our consolidated operating income in the first quarter was 32 million compared to 35.5 million in the first quarter of 2015. Earnings per share were $1.21 compared to $1.29 per share in the same period of the prior year. And adjusted EPS was a $1.26 compared to $1.30 in the first quarter of 2015. Now, to the balance sheet; our balance sheet remained strong. The increase in our inventory balance at the end of the quarter reflects the addition of Southern Tide and inventory to support anticipated sales growth in our other businesses in the second quarter of 2016. We ended the quarter with a 153 million of borrowings outstanding and 78 million of availability under our revolving credit facility. On May 24 2016, we amended and reinstated the facility increasing its size to 325 million. The new agreement has a maturity…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And we go first to Rick Patel with Stephens.

Rick Patel

Analyst

I apologize, if I miss this. But in your opening remarks, did you talk about Tommy Bahama being up high single digits and Lilly up low single digits and if that was the case, were you referring to 2Q sales or was it same store sales, just some help there?

Tom Chubb

Management

I think I was referring to the Q2 sales projection, Rick. That Tommy would be up high singles and Lilly up low single digits in sales.

Scott Grassmyer

Management

Yes. So we’re expecting a negative comp in Q2 at Lilly due to the rough comparison from, really in the last three years.

Rick Patel

Analyst

That’s really helpful. Thank you. And can you talk about your underlying assumptions for Tommy, as we think about the rest for the year. I know, what your top line guidance is for, looks like it’s up mid-single digits. Do you think, you can achieve positive comps for the year or have you paired [ph] back your assumptions for the back half given some of the weakness that you saw earlier this year?

Tom Chubb

Management

Well, we have as we always do, we’ve certainly re-forecasted that based on the latest information we have, the latest trends in the business. We do expect Tommy to be able to post a very modestly positive comp. It’s not going to be, it’s going to be a lower comp than we’ve probably have in a number of years. But we do think that they’ll be modestly positive for the year.

Rick Patel

Analyst

And can you also talk about the levers for Tommy from a merchandising perspective. I guess, what’s working, what’s now and as your customers become a bit more sensitive to perhaps the macro conditions. Is there any way for you to augment your assortment to capture customers in this new environment, perhaps things like focusing on more entry level items and things of that nature?

Tom Chubb

Management

Well, I think we’re mainly focused on is making sure that our best guest and this is true in both Tommy and Lilly that we’re activating them, getting them into the store, satisfying their needs and doing some business. So a lot of the marketing focus in Tommy and Lilly has been on getting that loyal guest into the store. And you can see evidence of that and how that’s worked. In Tommy Bahama, as we talked about in my opening comments and we referred to it in the press release, we had sort of an annual loyalty card promotion that shifted fundamentally from April to May this year. And that negatively impacted April more than we expected, but it really work quite well in May and May was actually better than we had initially expected it to be. So those were the things that were focused on and Rick I don't think the issue is that our guests can't afford the product. I think it's just that they're not in -- you know not in a spending mood right now as much as we'd like them to be.

Rick Patel

Analyst

And last one from me. Can you provide some context on how stores performed in tourist markets versus the rest of the chain? Any deviations from prior quarter trends there?

Tom Chubb

Management

We definitely in Tommy Bahama saw some challenges in markets, particularly those that are big with Canadian consumers and travelers, so Hawaii which is a very large market for us, I believe it's our number three state and gets a lot of Hawaiian or excuse me Canadian tourists, you know we saw a pretty severe negative impact and that really goes back to the back half of last year and then certainly in the first quarter of this year. There're less Canadians traveling to places like Hawaii and Florida and Arizona and when they go they're spending significantly less money than they would in the past and it has everything to do with the you know with the currency and the devaluation of the Canadian dollar versus the U.S. dollar.

Rick Patel

Analyst

Thanks very much and all the best for the rest of the year.

Tom Chubb

Management

Okay, thanks a lot Rick.

Operator

Operator

We'll go now to Ed Yruma with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Ed Yruma

Analyst

I guess first on inventory, I know that there was obviously a build in anticipation of the loyalty card shifting into the second quarter, but I guess how would you characterize kind of your overall inventory levels and I guess within the revised guidance you provided, how should we think about mark downs, either both in your stores or at your wholesale partners you know for the balance of the year.

Tom Chubb

Management

Well we feel very good about the inventory and you know if you look at the increase about half of that is coming from the addition of Southern Tide and then outside of Southern Tide on a GAAP basis we're up 11% I believe and on a FIFO basis 8%. So given the environment and everything that's going on we actually feel really good about the inventory levels. If you look specifically at Tommy Bahama which is the biggest pool of inventory, we're actually only up 4% year-over-year there. So we feel like we're in really-really good shape on the inventory and that we're in terms of our own business I don't think we're looking at a big markdown and exposure.

Scott Grassmyer

Management

No, I think Tom you’ve done a great job of keeping pace you know in your outlooks and keeping the goods moving and Lilly of course has their flash sale, which might be a little bigger flash sale if we don't hit our comp numbers, but they can move the goods, so I think and they move them in good margins. So I think we're in really good shape inventory wise and don't expect a major gross margin erosion in the [indiscernible].

Ed Yruma

Analyst

Got it. As it relates to Southern Tide I think you talked a little bit about being able to use your existing distribution capabilities to improve service level. I know historically you've kept kind of the brands in a very discreet, I guess, is there an opportunity or are you contemplating an opportunity in this omni-channel environment to potentially consolidate some of the back office functions of your different brands?

Tom Chubb

Management

Well Southern Tide came to us smaller and in earlier stage than Tommy or Lilly did, so they were both significantly bigger, significant -- the businesses has been around longer and they were significantly more developed and evolved when we bought them. So with Southern Tide being smaller in earlier stage, I definitely think that there are -- the opportunity for them to benefit from being part of Oxford is greater. So if you start on the supply chain area things like physical distribution and fulfillment as I've mentioned in my opening comments we're literally in the process of moving that as we speak, we're probably about 90% complete on that move and we're actually already shipping product out of our distribution center in Lyons, Georgia and that's a highly engineered very efficient and very high service DC that we've had down there a long time. So that should improve service and save the money over the long term. And very importantly we're able to do that without them having to really do a lot of thinking or work to get there, so all they had to do was to become part of our company. And then there is obviously work involved in the move, but it's a whole lot easier than developing that capability over the long time. We expect to do similar things for them in the shipping area, so we have contracts for ocean freight shipping, FedEx and UPS that benefit from our scale, we believe we'll be able to roll Southern Tide into those and help them on rates, but also do it in a way that doesn't require a whole lot of work or effort on their part. Then when you get into some of the things like ecommerce, and well they have a nice ecommerce business already, but retail where they don't have any of their owned company, owned stores at this point, those are all areas where I don't know that we're going to directly roll them into one or the other brand platforms, but they certainly will benefit a lot from all the knowledge and expertise that we have in those other operating groups. So, long winded way of saying yes, I think Southern Tide will benefit significantly from being on our platform and a lot of it is you know their efficiency and cost savings, but a lot of it is really just putting them in a better position to grow without having to develop certain capabilities on their own.

Ed Yruma

Analyst

And one final follow-up if I may, I know it's been some time since you did Lilly and certainly quite a while since you did the acquisition of Tommy. As you sit and look at Southern Tide, I know it's a smaller business than either of those two when you acquired them and but how would you think about the white space for it in the longer term opportunity as you kind of think about the business?

Tom Chubb

Management

We think it’s got great, lots of white space in front of it and if you look at the brand, it's the sort of the message of the brand is classic, southern and coastal and that’s a message that really resonates pretty broadly. A lot of people from all over the country vacation on the southern coastal regions and places like Charleston and Savannah and Pontevedra and throughout those South and that represents a happy memory for them. They like the brand, they like the logo, it's very appealing, so, we think it can be strong not only in the South East but throughout the country. And when you look at the sort of the updated classic point of view that's one that can resonate with a very broad section of the population, the price point being sort of the premium or affordable luxury price point, is a great place to be right now. So, we think it's got lots of lots of white space in front of it.

Operator

Operator

And we'll go now to Pam Quintiliano with SunTrust Robinson and Humphrey.

Nick Hyatt

Analyst

This is actually Nick Hyatt on for Pam, thanks for taking our questions. We just have a couple of questions for you. First just want to go back to the tourist destinations topic and we're just wondering if there is anything you're doing to combat the weakness there and also on that same topic just wondering if you think the potential or the recent improvement in some of the currencies should be a tailwind maybe in the back half or further down the road?

Tom Chubb

Management

I think I'll take the second part of that first, and I think on the currency situation it's certainly at this point doesn’t look like year-to-year, it's going to be worse in the back half for us than it was last year. So, it should, if it's -- I don't know whether it'll be a tailwind or not, but at least it shouldn't be an increasing headwind, if that makes sense. So, that should help a little bit in the year-to-year second half. Then on the first part of the question about what we're doing in tourist markets to try to combat some of the negative factors at work there. Well obviously there's certain parts of that, that are beyond our control but there are a lot of things that are within our control and there are a lot of things that we're doing in terms of the end marketing activities, trying to establish good ties with tourist groups and tour companies within those regions, hotel concierge and all that type of stuff. We're not just sitting back and accepting the fact that it's going to be tougher to do business, we're very active locally in marketing these destinations and trying to do what we can to improve this situation.

Nick Hyatt

Analyst

Next question I have for you is, just wondering if you can talk a little bit about Waikiki and how performance is going there and if you can, have you've been able to gauge if there has been an impact on Japan from Waikiki.

Tom Chubb

Management

Well, first of all I would tell you our timing on opening Waikiki was obviously not great, I mean it was many, many years in the works and we opened it as soon as we could get it open. But the Hawaiian market has been tough and you can hear that not only from us, but there are plenty of official statistics on tourist spending there and that kind of thing that you can read and understand that it’s not been a great time for upper end retailers in the Hawaii. All that said, I would tell you that we’re very happy with Waikiki. Again we didn’t open in the greatest time in the marketplace, but we’re happy, it’s a beautiful store and restaurant combination that represents the brand beautifully. We’re seeing all kind of guests there, we’re doing good business and we do believe that it is having some positive impact in Japan. Our Japanese business and it’s not slowly due to Waikiki obviously, but has actually been comping up really nicely this year so far.

Nick Hyatt

Analyst

Wonderful. Well, thanks that’s helpful as well. And one other question we have for you just around Southern Tide. I just wanted to say congrats on the transaction there. And just wondering if you can, first if talk us through a little more on what motivated your decision to pursue Southern Tide. I know you talked about it a little bit, if you can just give us more details there. And then if you could talk about some of the things you mentioned around new channel and maybe give us an idea of the timing that you could see there, if you have an idea of that, so in terms of improving ecommerce and retail stores. And lastly, if you can just, sorry, give us anything else in terms of what you think, you can do to move the needle?

Tom Chubb

Management

At Southern Tide?

Nick Hyatt

Analyst

At Southern Tide. Yes.

Tom Chubb

Management

Yes. So let me start with the first part of that question and what it is that we like about Southern Tide. I think if you know what the other key brands we own are, in Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer, Southern Tide is a very natural extension, it’s got a very clear and strong brand position. Again being classic Southern Coastal, it’s very clear in its positioning, it’s a happy brand about happy times and happy places. Which is similar to Tommy and Lilly and we believe that those types of brands elicit a kind of emotional connection from the guest that we believe is part of the formula for success. And if you look at it from a distribution standpoint, we’ve always talked about the fact that we like brands that have wholesale distribution, that’s specialty store driven and in the department store world is sort of Nordstrom and up kind of the distribution and Southern Tide exactly fits to bill there. Their distribution outside of their own website is specialty store and then they sell Nordstrom and [indiscernible], which is just terrific distribution from our point of view. From a price point perspective they’re in that sort of affordable luxury or premium space with similar pricing. So what you see in a Tommy Bahama or a Peter Millar and that’s a great place in our mind to sit in the marketplace. And then last but not least is the people at Southern Tide. We don’t have a lot of excess executive here that we can parachute into an acquisition and takeover. So having people in place in a business that are culturally aligned with us, have the same values and principals in the way that they operate the business in the same vision about how to run…

Nick Hyatt

Analyst

Perfect, that answers all my questions, thanks for your time, and good luck on the quarter.

Operator

Operator

And we go now to Eric Beder with Wunderlich Securities.

Eric Beder

Analyst

Can you talk a little bit about the wholesale side for Tommy Bahama, [indiscernible] or was it better or worse, how does that look?

Tom Chubb

Management

You mean in the sale through at retail amongst the wholesale customers. Well look we don't have perfect information about it but as you know the majors you know almost to a store had a tough spring. So you're in a very tough climate when you're selling within those stores, that said we believe we generally held our own at worst and did well at best within those environments, so in some of them our selling was really pretty strong in others it sort of held its own within the climate. But I don't think there is anywhere where we really think we're lagging behind what the overall business of the store was.

Eric Beder

Analyst

Great and I know that this year you've rolled out more aggressively with the Tommy Bahama women's product. What has been the response to that have you seen significant changes in that percentage of products that was a year before?

Tom Chubb

Management

Yes, so as you know Eric and you've seen and probably most people on the call know we have worked over the last several years to really build a much stronger women's effort this spring was the first season where we really had what I'm going to call the new women's product out there. We did generate a lot of newness, so I know that you shop and you saw what it looked like and women's was -- there was a lot of newness there this spring. Though we -- through that newness we created an awful lot of excitement in our stores and among our consumer base from a selling perspective some of it worked well, some of it didn't work as well as we hoped and from that we're learning a lot from a fit, a fabrication standpoint, a price point standpoint and a merchandizing standpoint. And this is exactly what we had hoped would happen, was that we gained a lot of learnings out of spring '16 and that's happened and we'll incorporate those learnings into future seasons as quickly as we can and we're convinced that we're on the right path with women's in terms of whether it moved the needle or not this spring the answer is, it didn't. We didn't increase our percentage of women's and in fact I think we probably went backwards slightly and that is a result of you know it being somewhat hit and miss and I think also in fairness to the women's effort it's very difficult when the environment's as tough as it was this spring. It's going to be hard to really push on a new initiatives like that, see as much success as you'd want to. So bottom line Eric again it didn't move the needle, but it did accomplish an awful lot of what we were looking for it to accomplish this spring, and if you know from talking to us over the last several years we're very-very committed to the women's effort, we think we've got the right team in place and we think they're headed in the right direction. The design and merchandizing teams spend a lot of time in market, key markets this spring. So, places like Newport Beach I think in Scottsdale and Palm Desert actually on the floor watching guests shop the line and talking to guests, so that they were first hand getting the input and are able to incorporate that. Then of course we're aggregating that information otherwise for them as well.

Eric Beder

Analyst

And Oxford Internet, I think Tommy Bahama international, what's going on there, I know you talked about [Multiple Speakers].

Tom Chubb

Management

I’d say we're executing our plan quite well this year, the Australian business is performing nicely, the Japanese business is comping quite nicely. We're continuing our sort of overhead reduction efforts there and are exploring the possibility of licensing some of the markets. So, I think we're -- that part of the business is tracking very well to achieve its objectives for the year.

Eric Beder

Analyst

And finally just remind us, how many stores do you plan on opening at Tommy’s this year, and what's the amount of openings you’re expecting for Lilly in terms of store openings this year?

Tom Chubb

Management

We've just opened the three in Lilly in May and we've got another two coming in Lilly in the balance of the year I believe and then we have a net of zero in the first quarter, is that right, in Lilly. So, we'll be five total for the year.

Scott Grassmyer

Management

And we'll open eight at Tommy.

Tom Chubb

Management

Eight at Tommy.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we'll go now to Jeff Van Sinderen with B. Riley and Company.

Jeff Van Sinderen

Analyst

Most of my questions have been answered. But I did have a question on ecommerce, anymore color maybe you could share there, what you're seeing at each brand? And then maybe if you could just touch a little bit more some of the omni-channel initiatives that you're working on?

Tom Chubb

Management

So, in ecommerce in general, I would say that we -- that the big takeaway would be as that for the year, we still expect ecommerce to be a strong driver of growth and in the first quarter we saw some turbulence there in going into May especially in Lilly Pulitzer where you didn't have the -- all the excitement that Target created last year, you didn't have that this year. But ecommerce is still going to drive more than its share of growth. And then your other question I think was about omni-channel?

Jeff Van Sinderen

Analyst

Yes, just wondering maybe -- I know you mentioned that you were hiring, you were bringing on talent to work on some of those things and just thought maybe there were some new things to share, in terms of focus there?

Tom Chubb

Management

Yes, I think it's a big focus of our investment both from a capital perspective and a people perspective. So, we mentioned in our prepared comments that a very significant portion of our CapEx for the year is dedicated to IT initiatives which for the most part are centered around helping to build our omni-channel presence in the various brands. And that's a change from the past. So, the proportion of our CapEx that's being dedicated to e-com and omni-channel initiatives is growing. And we think that's important, we think to build for the future that we need to do that, then from a people perspective we are continuing to dedicate a lot of our new hiring to people that live within that world. So, that includes people focused on social media and other digital forms of communication, people in that ecommerce world, people in the IT world that are dedicated to supporting some of those initiatives. Does that help?

Jeff Van Sinderen

Analyst

Yes, that definitely helps. I know it's a small part of the whole pipe for you, but just wondering if there's anything to share on your restaurants, what are you seeing there?

Tom Chubb

Management

Well, restaurants had some challenges in the first quarter too. Their traffic I think was down a little bit last than what we saw in non-restaurant locations, but they were not totally immune to what was going on in the broader marketplace and within the other parts of our business. All that said, we’re still very bullish about our restaurants and our island locations as we move into the sort of new age of retail and sort of branded and fashion apparel world. We really think that those island locations are a huge asset to us, they give us a point of distinct and a way of communicating our brands to consumers that is fairly unique and you can see Jeff, out there in the marketplace that a lot of people or actually turned play catch up with us. But I’ll tell them and tell you, it’s not the easiest thing to do. We’re glad that we’ve been added in Tommy Bahama for 20 years. Because we know how to run in our operator restaurant business and again we think that combined with the retail at those locations gives us a distinct relatively unique way to get our brand message across in an environment, where it’s harder and harder to do that.

Jeff Van Sinderen

Analyst

Yes. And you certainly seem to have that model figure out putting well. I appreciate you’re answering my question. And then best of luck for the rest of the quarter.

Tom Chubb

Management

Okay. Thanks a lot Jeff.

Operator

Operator

And with no further questions in queue. I’ll turn the call back to Mr. Tom Chubb.

Tom Chubb

Management

Thank you very much for your attention today. We appreciate your support and we look forward to speaking to you again couple of months.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our conference. Thank you for your participation.