Mike McAllister
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open
Thanks, Sherri. The Montney is a key driver of our liquids growth. Our Montney liquids production has grown to 16,000 barrels per day in Q2. 80% of these liquids are condensate. Our realized prices for Canadian condensate this year have averaged 95% of WTI. In Q4 of 2016, our liquids mix in the Montney was 11%. Our 2017 drilling program has an average liquids mix of 35%. In Q2, total mix in the Montney has grown to 14%, with only 12 net wells on stream. The production growth associated with the startup of our Montney plans in Q4 will increase our liquids mix to 20%. We've drilled 41 net Montney wells so far this year, and now expect to have 65 net wells on stream by year-end. As Sherri just showed, this increasing liquids mix is expanding our margins both for the Montney and for the entire company. The Montney plants continue on track and on schedule to startup in the fourth quarter. Our well results continue to support our liquids growth plan. We have over a year of production from our most liquids rich areas of the play, and we have seen sustained liquids rates. The plot on the slide shows those liquids rates for a number of our Tower wells. These Tower wells are on track to produce 25% to 40% liquids over their full life. These results are a good example of our deep inventory of premium locations in the Montney. By Q4 this year, we are set to double our total liquids production from the Montney to over 30,000 barrels per day. This growth in high-value liquids production, combined with disciplined execution is directly contributing to Encana's corporate margin expansion. This year we have been successful at driving significant productivity improvements across our portfolio. We have taken a highly structured approach to understanding how to increase well productivity in unconventional rocks. We used innovation and technology to optimize our completion design and well targeting. One of the most important points is that these productivity gains are not coming from just pumping more water and sand. More sand and water can lead to better wells, but it also means higher costs. Year-over-year, we have modestly increased the amount of sand and water we are using, but we have dramatically tightened our cost of spacing to create more effective fractured networks. This has had the effect of improving well productivity without substantially increasing well costs. As a result of our well performance improvements, we boost that our Permian type curves by 20% back in June. Our type curve IP180 is now the highest of our peers in the Midland Basin. We continue to see that our approach to dense well development is adding incremental volume to our Permian acreage position. On our Q1 call, we shared the impressive results we were seeing in Eagle Ford and the Montney from our new completion designs. Based on those results, we are now announcing updates to our Montney and Eagle Ford type curves. Our Montney type curve have seen improvements of 20% to 30% in IP180. Our Eagle Ford type curves have increased by 45% in the Eagle Ford Zone and 15% in the Austin Chalk Zone on IP180 basis. Our latest completion designs from Duvernay are just coming on production. So, for now, those type curves are unchanged. The impact of increasing our type curves means our premium locations are more valuable, our business plan is more resilient than it was before. We now expect to be able to grow within cash flow at today strip prices, and these type curve improvements are a big part of why this is the case. Our type curve increases also mean we are converting more inventory into premium return category. Since we originally disclosed our premium return inventory last October, we have drilled 230 gross wells, we've replaced all 230 of those locations plus converted a further 1,790 locations for a total increase of 2,020 additions. This means for every well we plan to drill in 2017, we've added six locations to our premium inventory. At our Permian Investor Day, we announced increase of 700 locations in the Permian. Today we're increasing the Montney premium inventory by 1,000 locations. Importantly, the liquids mix of this inventory has once again shifted higher. The number of locations in the inventory has increased and the type curves are 25% higher. We continue to evaluate additional opportunities in Montney as we progress our completion designs. In the Eagle Ford, we are increasing the premium inventory by a further 40 locations. This is a combination of both Eagle Ford Zone and Austin Chalk. This is on top of the fifty Austin Chalk locations we added earlier this year. Similar to the Montney, the inventory has grown substantially, and the type curves are 15% to 45% higher. We are still testing additional opportunity in both the Graben area of the Eagle Ford and in the Austin Chalk. In the Duvernay, we've fully replaced all 30 locations we have drilled since October, and we are continuing to evaluate further opportunity from advanced completions in the Duvernay zone itself and in the Montney. Our development approach utilizes large multi-well pads, advanced completion designs, integrated infrastructure and detailed planning to maximize returns. In the Permian, we believe the best approach to development is to exploit as much of the stack as possible at one time. We call this developing the cube. The cube is aimed at getting at the most value at the highest returns from a stack pay resource. For 2017, well performance has been outstanding. Altogether we brought on stream 59 wells year-to-date. The average well performance of our 2017 program is running about 25% better than our 2016 average. Overall, these well results rank at the very top of the Midland Basin. These improvements have been driven by our completion designs and precision targeting. What's even more impressive is the majority of our 2017 program has been drilled using our cube development approach with denser well spacing than our competitors. We now have enough long-term data to be convinced that our dense well spacing is leading to true incremental recovery. We are also encouraged to see that cube - that each cube we have developed has outperformed our previous addition as we continue to progress our designs. The cube approach has benefits both above ground and below ground. We believe this is the best approach to maximize corporate returns. In stock reservoirs there is a clear benefit to drilling and completing the entire cube at once. We minimize the risk of communication with the pleated reservoir and avoid offset frac hits. Above ground, our approach is to developing the cube gives us significant cost and cycle time advantages. We can maximize efficiency and get higher utilization from our equipment crews and infrastructure. Our approach has established us as a leader in stacked pay unconventional rocks. I fully expect us to continue find new ways to tune our approach by embracing technology to cerate value. We are now able to operate a development scale in the Montney. And this impact is showing up in our cost and productivity. We are now seeing D&C cost under $3.5 million per well and well productivity increases that support a 25% increase in type curves. We've done a great of work understanding the rocks using our structured approach to maximize value. We rely heavily on data driven analytics to deliver better wells for the lowest capital expenditure. We use a variety of methods to physically map and interpret our reservoirs, evaluate well performance and model future opportunities. In Q2, we brought on a four well pad in South Dawson area with Montney. We also have averaged over 525 barrels per day of liquids and over 2600 BOE per day in the first 30 days. This production flows to the South Central Liquids hub, the first phase which came on in the second quarter. These well results are confirming our updated type curve expectations. As we continue to implement advanced completions designs across the Montney, we expect well performance to improve going forward. In the Montney, we have two cube developments underway currently. The north part of Tower acreage, we're getting ready to turn over to production with 28 wells in this cube. In the south part of Tower acreage, we are currently drilling 20 well cube development. All of these wells will flow to the new Montney plants which are on track for a Q4 2017 startup. We are continuously learning as we developed a play. And we expect our cube developments to approach -- to evolve over time. We are also focused on quickly deploying our learnings into subsequent well pads to optimize our well designs and increase productivity. Above ground just like the Permian, our approach developing the cube gives us significant cost advantages. We can maximize efficiency and get higher utilization from our equipment, crews, and infrastructure. This has led to our most recent pacesetter cost of under $3.5 million per well for 9000 feet laterals. We focus on innovation as a tool to continuously improve the advance completion concepts that we piloted in Eagle Ford less than one year ago has now been implemented in all four of core plays with tremendous success and continuous to evolve. In the Montney, our initial well results using titter cluster design are yielding at 3%-5% increase in condensate production in the first 180 days. In the Permian, we're just starting to see the results from our advance completions for the first three wells on production. In the first three days, these wells succeeded our type curves by 20%. Therefore, this is upside to the boosted type curves, we just updated a month ago. In all of our plays, we continue to push the envelope on our completion design by quickly implementing learnings and new technologies. However, completion design is not the only place the team is innovating. Across the organization, we're always looking for new ways to leverage technology and commercial ingenuity to create value. One example is our approach to water sourcing in the Permian. In June, we shared the details of our Howard County water solution. By using a third party, we reduced our upfront capital investment in exchange for area dedication. This approach makes sense for Howard County because there is less existing infrastructure which means more upfront capital would be required. By contrast in Midland Martin counties, we are self-building simple just-in-time water hubs to recycle our produced water and provide water for our completions. In 2017, we expect to use 25% recycled water in the Permian, which contributes to savings of about 300,000 per well and operating savings of about $0.80 per BOE. In Martin County, we expect to recycle 100% of our produced water for the remainder of the year. In the Montney, we have started to implement the early learnings of our full well fiber optic system. And we have started analyzing early production. The data is giving us further confidence that we are on the right track with our titter clusters. We also continue drive efficiencies through data analytics and automation. When our gas plants came on stream in the Montney later this year -- when they come on stream later in the Montney this year our team will control each facility with their iPads, which translates into lower costs and better operating performance. I will now turn the call over to Reneé.
Reneé Zemljak: Thanks, Mike. With improved capital efficiency, higher margins, deeper premium inventory, and a more financial strength we have made the company significantly more valuable and more resilient through the first half of 2017. We are focused on continuing that trend through the second half and into 2018. We have been highly disciplined about managing risk and preserving our short-cycle capital advantage. Our capital program is 100% short-cycle. We have successfully managed the inflation pressure in the first half of this year with sophisticated supply chain management and efficiencies. One simple example is that we planned to ramp up rigs early. We did that back before year-end 2016, and we planned to ramp down rigs through the year. As part of that plan, we are now running 17 rigs, which is five rigs less than our peak rig count earlier in the year. This meant we are not out fighting to add services when the market was busiest. We also did not enter into long-term take-or-pay agreements where we could be at risk of being long capacity. We are keeping our capital program highly focused on drilling and completions, and avoiding expensive upfront investment by taking a just-in-time approach to our infrastructure solutions. On the midstream front, our arrangement with the Veresen Midstream in the Montney gives us a lot of flexibility at a very competitive rate. The startup of our Montney plants in Q4 will act to reduce our Canadian per-unit T&P, while adding higher margin production. Year-to-date, our Canadian T&P is $8.91 per BOE. Finally, as we have shared earlier, we have managed the market access risk in both the Montney and the Permian with the combination of physical sales arrangements, firm transportation, and active basin hedging. And now I'll turn the call back to Doug.