Operator
Operator
Good day and welcome to the Outfront Media First Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Greg Lundberg. Please go ahead, sir.
Outfront Media Inc. (OUT)
Q1 2015 Earnings Call· Tue, May 5, 2015
$30.47
+0.30%
Same-Day
-2.45%
1 Week
-4.20%
1 Month
-2.62%
vs S&P
-3.04%
Operator
Operator
Good day and welcome to the Outfront Media First Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Greg Lundberg. Please go ahead, sir.
Gregory Lundberg
Management
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining our 2015 first quarter earnings call. On the call today are Jeremy Male, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Donald Shassian, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. After today’s prepared remarks, we'll open up the lines for a question-and-answer session. A slide presentation to accompany today's call can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website at outfrontmedia.com, along with the earnings release and an audio webcast of the call. I'd like to note that this presentation includes a new disclosure of historical quarterly revenues for our acquired Van Wagner assets, as well as a slight revenue and expense reclassification, which Don will discuss in a moment. This conference call may include forward-looking statements, relevant factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements are listed in our earnings materials and in our SEC filings. In addition, on this call we'll refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures and when we say OIBDA we’re referring to adjusted OIBDA. Please refer to the appendix of the slide presentation and our earnings release on our website for reconciliations of this and other non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures. With that, I will now turn the call over to Jeremy.
Jeremy Male
Management
Thanks Greg and good afternoon, everyone. I'm pleased to be able to give you an update on our business today, while I only spoke to you a few weeks back when we reported our annual results. I'm delighted to report that we've fully delivered on our expectations communicated to you at that time. As you can see on Slide 4, our total revenues were up 4.9% on an organic basis, right in line with our expectations. This was driven by organic revenue growth of 12.8% in our Transit & Other business and 1.7% in Billboards. Our Transit business turned in a particularly robust performance in the quarter, especially on the national side as many advertisers utilized our displays to engage with their target audiences in our key urban centers. In terms of revenue growth, we saw positive contributions from both local and national. You'll recall that our overall U.S. revenue mix is now around 45% national and 55% local, which we feel positions us very well for the future. I do want to point out and as many of you know, our Transit business has a lower margin profile than Billboards. Don will go into these figures in more detail, but the shift in the revenue mix this quarter did result in our adjusted OIBDA being a little lower than it would have been had more of the ad dollars gone on to our Billboard assets. That said, our AFFO was nicely up, and this 14% increase illustrates why our Board raised our regular quarterly dividend for the first quarter of 2015, by 4.6%. Last week, the Board declared the June 30th quarterly payment of $0.34 a share, the same level as in quarter one. Speaking of the second quarter, which I'll discuss later on this call, our sales team are working hard, our brand is resonating and we're seeing some great new advertisers come into our space; but before we get into this further, I'd like to first turn the call back over to Don, who will take you through the first quarter financials.
Donald Shassian
Management
Thank you, Jeremy and good afternoon everyone. Before I turn to this quarter's financials, I want to bring your attention to a reclassification in our presentation this quarter. Specifically, we have reclassified our sports media business from our Billboard revenue category reporting to the Other component of our Transit & Other revenue category; and we have reclassified Billboard production and installation revenue from Other to Billboard. As we consider 2015 reporting, we believe these changes enable you to see a more accurate picture of the underlying performance of our primary Billboard business. In terms of magnitude, these changes are not significant to any quarter or the year. Please turn to Slide 6, which shows a summary of our year-over-year performance of adjusted OIBDA, net income, EPS, funds from operations or FFO and adjusted funds from operations or AFFO for the quarter. As you will recall, we began operating as a REIT on July 17, 2014 and we closed on the acquisition of Van Wagner on October 1, 2014. This table adjusts for one-time expenses, such as restructuring charges and is positioned in 2015. As you can see, our Q1 2015 REIT comparable results, were net income of $1.3 million, diluted EPS of $0.01, FFO of $50.4 million and AFFO of $49.5 million. Those metrics are then compared to 2014 on a REIT comparable basis, adjusted for gains on dispositions, incremental standalone cost, incremental interest expense arising from the formation borrowing and the taxes during 2014 as if we were REIT for the entire year. As you can see, all of the metrics are up over the prior year with the exception of net income, which primarily reflects increased appreciation and amortization in 2015 from acquisitions and increased interest expense on the acquisition related debt. Now, let's turn to Slide 7…
Jeremy Male
Management
Thank you, Don and please now, turn to Slide 15. Firstly, let me take a moment on our business outlook for the second quarter. At this point, our current total revenue growth expectation is that Q2 is likely to be in the low single-digit range with continued outperformance in Transit relative to Billboard. As usual, this outlook only represents our view at this point in time, and is on a constant dollar basis. Please note that it also includes revenues attributable to the Van Wagner outlets for both periods that excludes revenue that were part of the New York City kiosk business. So, as we look forward, we're still seeing nice trends in National and we're certainly pleased with our Transit business, but we'd like to see a bit more growth in our Billboard business, where we benefit from the higher operating leverage that this segment enjoys. I spent time in our last earnings call, outlining our digital strategy in some detail. I want you to know that we're also moving along as planned. This includes technology enhancements for how we transact business with our customers, new sales tools and technologies for our sales people and new digital technologies that will let our advertising customers engage with people in dynamic new ways. You'll see in here, more about all of these as we progress through the rest of this year. I've been saying for the last 20 years, that it's a very exciting time to be out-of-home, and you know what, it still is, particularly in the U.S. market where there are exciting new technologies and analytics that will make our proposition even more impactful for brands as we go forward. So, with that, operator, let's now, open the line for questions.
Operator
Operator
Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And we go first to Alexia Quadrani with JPMorgan.
Julia Yue
Analyst
Hi. This is Julia Yue one for Alexia. First of all, great to see improvements in your revenue trends in National advertising. Could you give some more color on how relationships with media, buyers and planners are changing, in terms of how you're educating them to factor them more effectively? And are they asking for any capabilities in particular that may convince advertisers to shove some of their budgets outdoor? And I have a follow up.
Jeremy Male
Management
I'll take that. So, I guess the first thing to say is that, we're trying to re-orientate our sales team, our National sales team in particular, more towards the media planners, the media strategies and to clients and in fact, we've had a sort of sales force reorganization that is specifically directing people if you like, away from, if you like the classic trading environment of our national media, which is typically with the out-of-home buyer, towards those other categories, higher up the food chain. I think whenever you start talking to advertisers, what people want is increasing information about audience, so exactly who are you going to reach at a particular point in time and to whatever extent you can to be able to show, okay, what is going to be my return on investment for any given dollar that we're spending. It's really that are where we're spending a lot of time, if you like, working on our data analytics so they're going to enable those advertisers to better make those intra-media decisions. I've said before that I continue to believe that when you look at U.S. out of home and you compare it to other markets, it's really that National sector that we have most upside. It's a fact that the top 100 advertisers are still spending less than 2% of their ad dollars on out-of-home against a national average of closer to 5%, and if you compare it to other key markets around the world, there are probably about 25% less disposed towards out-of-home than we believe they could be. So, we're going to keep working on it. It's not a question of flicking a switch. I think some of our data developments later in the year will help the process and that's where we're putting a lot of our time.
Donald Shassian
Management
Julia, you had a follow on?
Julia Yue
Analyst
Yeah. Thanks. Then also, as you convert more digital boards and start using more technology based transaction methods to sell ad space, how do you think it will affect the visibility and to the business and perhaps volatility as the length of contractor likely to be shorter and advertisers may start buying ad space closer to the launch of their campaign?
Jeremy Male
Management
To be honest, I think, that's actually a good thing, Julia, what it does, it gives us a lot more flexibility as we go forward, to be able to react to advertiser demand. It's a fact at the moment that a lot of people consider that out-of-home -- you know what, it's just a little bit too difficult, because you have to lay down too early, it's difficult to get signs. We can now be, far more reactive through our digital assets than we've ever been able to before and that really just, hits very well with clients advertising spend patterns. So, I think, as we become more adept as we increasingly smooth, what is, I talked -- before, I've used the word, somewhat clunky buying process, I think, as we smooth that out in the future, that will actually work for us rather than against us. And, it's just a fact that, dollars come later in today's media market.
Julia Yue
Analyst
Great. That's very helpful. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
We're going to go now to Marci Ryvicker with Wells Fargo.
Marci Ryvicker
Analyst
Thanks. I have two questions. The first, your increase in National as a percent of revenue to 45%, is that driven just by the growth that you're seeing or is that a function of Van Wagner being added to the mix? Then, the second question is, is there any update on the RFP for the New York City transit contract? Thank you.
Jeremy Male
Management
Thanks Marci. I'll take both of those. The principle reason for the shift, we were previously around 60-40 and now it's 55-45 is principally down to Van Wagner, whose assets were far more disposed towards national advertisers and that they are -- they were very dominant in New York and LA, which is where national advertisers want to be, and that's one of the reasons that we were -- we honestly believed that Van Wagner married so well with our legacy business. With regards to the MCA, you'll probably remember on the last call, I think, we said, we're expected to see something from April, that didn't happen. Unfortunately, this is one of those things where we don't control the timing. I guess, we'll probably see it in the second quarter, but I guess, the important point is that, whenever it comes, we're ready. We've been spending a lot of time as you can imagine working on the response from what we presume the anticipated RFP is going to request and without wishing to sound arrogant for a second, we remain confident that we're well placed in order to response of that RFP when it does come out.
Marci Ryvicker
Analyst
I would imagine that the later it is, the better it is for you, given that it would take somebody else coming in quite a bit of time to actually put up the structures that they need to?
Jeremy Male
Management
Well, I think from the point of view of the absolute structures, I think a lot of the RFP may well be about developing new structures, if you like particularly, we're guessing with a more digital trust, so that, from when the new contract period starts, but let's put it this way, all the while that we haven't had it, it's fine. As I say, whenever it comes, we're ready.
Marci Ryvicker
Analyst
Got it. Thank you, very much,
Operator
Operator
And we go now to Aaron Watts with Deutsche Bank.
Aaron Watts
Analyst
Afternoon guys. Curious on the growth you're experiencing on the Billboard side of the house, is it your sense it's more money coming to the space overall, you're taking some share, [indiscernible] just any thoughts there.
Jeremy Male
Management
Thanks Aaron. I guess, there's a couple of points. I mean, when you look at the growth that we enjoyed in the first quarter, towards 5%, I suppose the first point is that, it's a little bit early to talk about whether or not we're taking share, because we haven't seen the numbers for the other home market as a whole and indeed not all companies have reported. So, I don't think that's something I can particularly comment on. When we look at ad business, there's no doubt at all that, Transit has been strong, as we said on the call, we'd actually like to a see a little bit more strength in our Billboard business. I think it's also maybe making the point that, we said that we continued to give separate information for Van Wagner and we will continue to do so, but increasingly when, clients and agencies look at our business, they do really see it now as one business, and that's certainly how we're viewing our overall performance in the Billboard market.
Aaron Watts
Analyst
Okay. That's helpful. Then, I guess, separately, thinking about M&A opportunities, I know, those opportunities come across your desk all the time. Can you maybe just talk about scale of the opportunities you're looking at, what's the kind of spread between the [indiscernible] at the moment on multiples and how high a hurdle that's setting for getting something more done? Then also, are you at all limited due to the fact that your leverage is a little bit elevated coming out of the Van Wagner deal? Does that preclude you from maybe taking advantage of some of those opportunities?
Jeremy Male
Management
I guess, that's -- there's a couple of things there. I mean, the first is that, I believe one of the key successes for our business last year was acquiring what we felt was the best set of independent assets that were out there in terms of the Van Wagner assets when they became available. When we look around now, we're probably, at any one time, looking at four or five deals. Some of them can be quite small, they can be, whatever it is, 6 to 10 boards, and some of the men might get up into the whatever 40, 50 boards and therefore into the sort of handful of millions of dollars category. I don't think we feel particularly feel hampered by our current leverage. One thing we are finding and I think it's fair to say is that, there have been some operators who have seen some of the multiples that have been out there in the market and not just our multiples over the last six months and automatically sort of assume that their assets may, would carry -- have an accounting value than certainly we would price on them. We've said more than once, to operators who are interested in selling their business that, [indiscernible].
Donald Shassian
Management
And here, if I may add, we spent about $9.9 million on four small acquisitions in the first quarter and we'll continue to look at those acquisitions that meet our qualitative and quantitative. Your second question about, do we have any limited flexibility on larger transactions, because the leverage -- I'm going to say, I don't believe that we are limited, now our transactions have to be with 100 debt that could be a piece of equity. They real key for us is finding the right qualitative and quantitative transactions that are going to grow and be accretive to AFFO per share. So, I think that we've got a solid balance sheet, we've got a pass to be able to de-lever. I don't think we have a lot of very large transactions out there but, we'll be quite mindful about how to finance, but it doesn't take us out of the market for looking at things, whatsoever.
Aaron Watts
Analyst
Great. Appreciate the thoughts. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] We now go to Tracy Young with Evercore ISI.
Tracy Young
Analyst
Hi, I have two questions, the first relates to the yields per board on the digital side. Is there any for us to think about it? Is it related to inventory or its about education and sales force? Anything you could help us with that would be great. Then, in terms of National, are there any categories that you saw improve in the quarter, year-over-year? Thanks.
Donald Shassian
Management
Yield is, sort of we've really seen a dip on the digital side. I'm not sure one quarter is a trend as of yet. We are really trying to educate all of our sales people on the value of our Boards and spending a lot of time in analyzing and understanding and getting them to really price these appropriately. So, I don't think it's a pricing issue necessarily, there could be a little bit of occupancy that's sort of built into that, but we really think there is still an inherent organic growth in the business, by really focusing on the value of these boards, digital specifically, and the question earlier about things being sold to shorter flight times if you would, we think that creates more value for these boards, and more pricing perspective for us. That can give us more leverage.
Jeremy Male
Management
In terms of the second part of that question Tracy, we really prefer to comment on category trends over time and that we think a trailing 12 month is probably a better way of look at it, because to be honest, you can get some spikes going on just dependent upon what a particular advertiser, objective's might've been in terms of new product launches or whatever in a particular quarter, but just to give a little bit of color, on Transit, which was obviously the main growth driver of the business in the first quarter, that free sort of prime movers road for us were financial services and telecom utilities and professional services. If we look at the business as a whole, the three most significantly growing categories were computers, internet, financial services again, and also retail.
Tracy Young
Analyst
Thank you, very much.
Jeremy Male
Management
Looking at the legacy business only if you would, which is the most accurate data, to be able to give you that perspective.
Tracy Young
Analyst
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
And we'll go now to Jason Bazinet with Citi.
Jason Bazinet
Analyst
Thanks. A question for Mr. Male. I think when I've asked you this in the past, you sort of said it was an irrelevant metric, and so maybe that's still true, and maybe you can educate us as to why it's irrelevant, but in terms of miles driven, you know, those numbers have gone down for years and now they seem to have rebounded a bit. Can you just explain why that doesn't manifest itself in sort of revenue tailwinds for you?
Jeremy Male
Management
I guess, for a number of reasons really. I mean, I guess, the first point is, that actually, 30ish percent of our business is actually directed at public transit, where actually public transit audiences for example are growing. So, in that area, it's [indiscernible] audiences are up, therefore number of eyeballs are up, therefore we believe that we should be able to command high rates. In terms of total miles driven, it's just one metric. I mean, a lot of our inventory is pedestrian oriented, in a number of these markets. It's also, the speed of those, the speed of travel can be very important in other ways, actually dwell [ph] time are you getting with -- what dwell [ph] time are you getting with our board. So, I guess, I'm not saying it's irrelevant. And if so, I wouldn't go as far as to say that, but I'd just say, it's one piece of -- it's just one metric in a range of metrics that we'll be talking to our clients about.
Jason Bazinet
Analyst
Can you remind us what the -- I assume there's some sort of auditing or mechanism or something that tells a buyer how many cars travelled by a billboard or something to the extent it's not transient. Can you just remind us of the delay or the mechanism by which that ultimately manifests itself in the pricing for a board?
Jeremy Male
Management
So, every board across the country, be it ours or others, there is an audience measurement system that comes through the TAB, which is a jointly funded organization by the media owners and the media and the buy side, and what that tells you is who and how many people pass our boards on a weekly basis. So, we can actually give a rating for any board across the country, say, taking into account the demograph that they want to hit, and we use that information when we sell. I think we could probably use it better to be honest. When I look at our business, around the country and I've been to most of our offices now, I think a number -- I think a lot of our pricing is actually based on legacy, it's based on what the board has always been priced at in the past rather than necessarily if you like the quality of the demograph and numbers of people we're achieving, when Dom was making some comments earlier in terms of yield, I think it's one area that we flagged up right at the start, when we were on our IPO roadshow, this being an area of opportunity for the business, you know what it's still mostly opportunity, because actually it's that piece that I think we need to do quite a bit more work on as we go forward.
Jason Bazinet
Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
Operator
And we go now to Davis Hebert with Wells Fargo Securities
Davis Hebert
Analyst
Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. Just wanted to start with Van Wagner, up almost 10% year over year, just wondering if you could drill down on that a little bit, is that an easy comp year over year, is it execution under sort of the out-front umbrella, just wondering if you could provide any color on that.
Jeremy Male
Management
I don't think it's a particularly easy comp. That's not as we see it. We've put the businesses together in the final [indiscernible] last year, we reorganized our sales force so that pretty much from January, this year, we had one sales force, marketing both sets of assets. And as I said a little bit earlier, I think we have to be a bit careful now when we look at how, at that business versus the legacy business because our clients aren't really thinking about it like that. They're thinking, I'm buying from out front, part of it is obviously geographic. When you look at it, actually our New York business and our LA business generally were pretty strong in Q1. So, part of it will just be that their assets also were in those geographies that performed well, if that helps at all Davis.
Davis Hebert
Analyst
That helps very much. Then on cannibalization, your transit result's very strong. Are you seeing any dollar shift out of static billboards and similar to digital? I mean, are you seeing any digital dollars taking share from the static side?
Jeremy Male
Management
Let me take the second piece first. I think one of the strengths of our portfolio of assets when you compare it to other portfolios in the market, is that we've got this great transit business. So, in a way, whatever your objectives are, our message is that we've got the best media for your client news. It is a fact that -- there've been a couple of advertisers who this year have been more disposed towards in the first quarter anyway, more disposed to transit than the billboards. We have seen a bit of money shift over and I guess, the fact that, we've got those assets very much benefits us. In terms of digital versus analog, we've been very cautious and we said right the way along that we want to have a very measured build out on digital to minimize any cannibalization or attrition from our analog boards. In any given market, when we look at investing in digital, we will take into account the fact that a, you're going to lose an analog board in order to convert, but also you will be taking a small portion of revenues from those other boards in the area, and we build that in when we do our IRR calculations to make that investment decision.
Davis Hebert
Analyst
Okay, helpful. Then last one for me, Clear Channel Outdoor mentioned having some hope around a resolution in the digital board situation in Los Angeles and I know it's a smaller part of the pie for you, but just curious if you're expecting anything positive on that front.
Jeremy Male
Management
As you rightly say, it was a much smaller piece of the business, within our legacy business, we had 12 boards in LA, whereas Clear Channel had sort of 80 plus. So, that's relatively a bigger piece for them and we were very quick out of the gates in fact in converting those digital assets to static, so that we would start taking revenues on those boards, early after that decision was first made. I think it's very hard to be specific in terms of when we're likely to see a resolution to that. I think it would be fair to say that we're not banking on seeing anything within the next six months or so for sure.
Davis Hebert
Analyst
Okay, thank you, very much.
Operator
Operator
And we'll go now to Bryan Goldberg with Bank of America.
Bryan Goldberg
Analyst
Thanks. Just a quick one for Jeremy. Thanks for the color on second quarter trends. I was just wondering, what -- how would you characterize your level of visibility right now on the low single digit performance playing out and sort of what are the bigger swing factors we should be thinking about as we enter the summer period and the end of June?
Jeremy Male
Management
I guess, the first point is that, and we do reiterate this, this is -- we're giving some color if you like at a particular point in time and it's fair to say that we are now, in week of the 13 week quarter. So, I guess that's one point. I think it's also worth saying that, increasingly as we discussed a little bit earlier on this call, money does come late and I think we need to take that into account. So, when we look at it, one category, that actually wasn't that strong for us in Q1 that we think is going to come back, we think movies is going to start with the slate they have, we think that's likely to be an increase in category as we go through the year, but beyond that, that's probably all I'd like to say right now.
Bryan Goldberg
Analyst
Okay. Thank you very much.
Operator
Operator
And there are no further questions in queue at this time.
Jeremy Male
Management
Okay everyone. Well, I'd like to thank you very much for your questions today, and we look forward very much to seeing many of you at an investor conference on May 19 in Boston. Thank you, once again everyone.
Operator
Operator
This concludes our conference. Thank you for your participation.