Jean-Christophe Flatin
Analyst · BNP Paribas. Please go ahead
Thank you, Brian, and good morning, everyone. Slide 4 has the key messages I want you to take away from today's presentation. You will hear us use the word progress a lot today. As I believe the biggest takeaway from today is that, we are making progress toward our North Star of structural, consistent, profitable growth. As we discussed last quarter, we have driven a significant transformation over the past two years, and we will further progress in the first quarter of 2025. In this first quarter, our financial results came in largely as we expected, and we made progress on our top line, our cost structure and our cash flow. Today, you will hear both from Daniel and Marie-José about how we are executing on our 2025 priorities. These 2025 priorities all have the overarching theme of disciplined allocation of resources in order to create value and we believe that is exactly what you should see in our results. We have been allocating resources with the goal of igniting positive momentum in our business. These resources have built time, people, and capital to engage with customers and consumers in the unique way that only Oatly can and we are starting to see results. We are being disciplined in this resource allocation, and we are generating the fuel for these investments by aggressively continuing to drive efficiencies throughout the company. In the quarter, we continued to make progress in driving efficiencies in both our supply chain and SG&A, and we redeployed a portion of those savings to our growth focused investments. We believe this progress keeps us on track to deliver our first full year of profitable growth, as a public company. Therefore, with one quarter of results behind us and with strong plans for the rest of the year, our full year guidance remains unchanged. Slide 5 shows a summary of our quarterly performance. I am proud to report that we have made progress on many of our key financial metrics. It is a big recognition for the team's efforts over the past two years to see that our first quarter results for gross profit, gross margin, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow were all the best they have been since our IPO. Our top-line performance was a bit mixed. So, while we grew volume a solid 9.2% in the quarter, with notably strong volume growth in our Greater China segment and solid volume growth in Europe and International, our constant-currency revenue growth was 0.7% in the quarter. As we enter 2025, we plan for our first quarter top-line growth to be below the full year guidance level. While we made good progress and even outperformed our expectations in several markets, we continued to face some challenging dynamics in North America, where we have not yet fully deployed resources to ignite positive momentum. We believe the investments we are making combined with our action plans to drive positive momentum will enable us to accelerate total company growth later this year. Now, I will turn the call over to Daniel to give you a more detailed update on how we are progressing on our 2025 priorities.
Daniel Ordoñez: Thank you, JC, and good morning, everyone. As a reminder, our 2025 priorities are to ignite positive momentum globally, aggressively pursue cost efficiencies to simplify and generate fuel for additional demand-driving investments and to deliver our first full year of profitable growth as a public company. First, to ignite positive momentum globally, we're executing against three pillars: increasing our relevance to customers and consumers, attacking barriers to conversion, most notably preconceptions on taste and misinformation on health increasing the availability of our products to consumers. The first pillar is relevance, rooted in our fantastic portfolio of products that consumers love. Our Barista family is second to none, as demonstrated by its velocities and continued growth. It has changed the game and as it grows into occupying more usage occasions, channels, and price points, it is best to leverage the growing momentum in the coffee and beverage space. You should expect us to continue to into the coffee and beverage space, further driving cultural relevance and conversion into oat milk. way, that only Oatly can. And we are starting to see expand into the coffee and beverage space, further driving cultural relevance and conversion into oat milk. But relevance does not start and stop with the product, Oatly is a generational brand that maintains its cultural edge with millennials and Gen Z, as you can see in the examples on Slide 9. Next example of how we are activating the brand at global scale is our collaboration with Nespresso, with whom we developed an Oatly-branded pot for the perfect latte or flat white experience. Nespresso boutiques across most cities of the world will experience this collaboration over the course of this year with stunning visibility. At local level, we continue to execute relevant brand activations like It Works in Tea in the UK, reminding Brits that our product works just as well in tea as they do in coffee. This result of these high-impact activations have been outstanding in terms of awareness, and you should expect us to continue executing this in the future and we're not stopping there. Slide 10 shows you some examples of how we're attacking one of the primary barriers to conversion, which is the preconception on taste. Those of you who have followed us for a while know that our proven model is to drive experience in the foodservice channel and then to ensure that consumers can find us in retail so that they can repeat the experience at home and other occasions again and again. We're taking that exact model and dialing it up, owning the growing momentum there is in the coffee and the beverages space. There is a taste bonanza and a flavor bonanza going on in coffee around the world, and our teams are intimately woven into this community. So, whether in a coffee shop in Shanghai, Brussels, Mexico, Dubai or Boston, Oatly is uniquely positioned to bring the hottest emerging global taste trends to their menus. We're working with most of our foodservice customers to revitalize their menus and bring the most exciting new news to the category. They want us to help them better understand the market, better understand Gen Z, and, therefore, better anticipate what is next and help them to become more competitive. On the left, you can see just few examples of what we have been developing with them among thousands of signature drinks that we are creating with and for our customers all around the world. Expect these examples on the slide just to be the tip of the iceberg and we are supporting these efforts with provocative integrated brand activations across digital and in real-life platforms that encourage consumers to try converting from dairy to Oatly. An example is our ongoing blind taste test activation. We have been executing taste test across many markets, and the results are remarkably consistent, showing that roughly half of the sample refers Oatly to dairy milk. Since our household penetration has not yet reached that 50% level, that potentially means that millions and millions of people are having a sub-optimal coffee drinking experience. Finally, we closed the loop with impactful in-store retail executions. I'm happy to say that our in-store execution is ever so strong and has become one of the key reasons behind the sustained commercial traction that is reflected in market share gains and velocities that remain well above our competitors. Slide 11 shows what we have been doing to attack another large barrier to conversion, which is misinformation on health. Instead of creating more noise, we have been systematically engaging with registered and renowned dietitians, nutritionists and key opinion leaders, arming them with science-based facts about our category and our products, so they can be advocates for the truth. The science behind our product is unequivocal. 45 plant-based meals like Oatly are recommended in dietary guidelines all around the world and while there's plenty more to do to ensure that the public is not being misled, our tracking data shows that negative media coverage has declined very significantly compared to last year. So, we're making progress on ensuring the discussion on our category is balanced and honest. Now let's talk results starting on Slide 12. We have started to roll out this strategy in Europe, and this slide shows the retail takeaway data for our European markets. You can see that we have started to accelerate our volume growth, and we have persistently highlighted Oatly continues to outperform both the plant-based milk category as well as the oat milk categories. Slide 13 is even more interesting though as the data gives us the confidence to say that we're on the right track. Our two largest markets in Europe are the UK and Germany, and they are precisely where we started to roll out. On the left, you can see that our German business has accelerated growth to nearly 8% in the last 12 weeks. On the right, you can see the UK data. If you recall from several quarters ago, we mentioned how the UK market was seized on sluggishness. We believe the actions that we have taken have started to revitalize our UK business moving from decline to incipient growth. So, good progress and plenty more to do. It is important to note, though, that we have not yet fully deployed this playbook across all our markets, but we will do so throughout the course of this year and consistently, as we move forward. Igniting category momentum will not happen by a snap of a finger, but by consistently focused on breaking down the barriers that exist with culturally relevant execution and surgical resource allocation. North America is the largest market, where we have not yet rolled out this playbook, but the strategic direction will be identical, and so is the external context and the relevance of the brands and the portfolio. So, let's then discuss North America. Last quarter, we mentioned some discrete headwinds within these segments. First, we're navigating a change in sourcing strategy at our largest customer, and second, we're going through an SKU rationalization on certain frozen items. In the first, over 100% of the segment's year-on-year sales decline came from the impact of our largest customer and the decline in the frozen business. While we expect these headwinds to continue to impact our year-on-year growth rates for the rest of the year, we view them as temporary. We were able to offset some of these headwinds, most notably with distribution gains on the core portfolio. However, the gains were not enough to offset the declines from the largest customer in frozen. Slide 15 goes a level deeper. In the quarter, we continued to outperform both the plant-based meal category and the oatmeal category, even while including the impact of the frozen business decline but if we remove the impact of the frozen products, our retail scanner data would have shown only a 1% decline in the quarter. This outperformance relative to the category was driven by share gains in each of our drink sub-categories, which outline the core beverage portfolio strategy that I referred at the end of my discussion. This is clear evidence that we continue to execute well despite category headwinds. Retailers are seeing the strong execution and allocating us more shelf space as shown on Slide 16. We see these distribution gains are evidence that our customers continue to see a bright future for our category, and these distribution gains are an important building block as we prepare for the North America segment to execute the brand playbook in a similar fashion to Europe. Additionally, our line-up of creamers and other coffee complements, which include a variety of flavors and packed sauces has been performing well with solid velocities. We continue to pursue additional distribution opportunities in both measured and not measured channels, and you should expect us to report steady progress on these fronts. Slide 17 shows that the Greater China segment is performing well. As many of you know, the category here is not as developed as it is in the other two segments. So, the application of our strategy still focuses on strong execution with the foodservice channel and is just now starting to rebuild our retail presence in a disciplined manner. The foodservice business continues to perform well in the quarter, and it is now larger than it was before we executed the strategic reset, as you will remember, we initiated mid-2023. On the right side of the page, you can see that the retail side of the business is starting to gain traction now that we have entered the club channel. While it is early days, we continue to believe that the retail channel is a very large opportunity for this segment, and we're making good, steady progress. Now I want to turn the discussion to our second priority, which is to aggressively pursue cost efficiencies that generate the fuel for demand-driving investments. Slide 19 shows some of the progress we have been making. In the first quarter, we reduced our cost of goods sold per liter by 15% year-on-year and 6% compared to last quarter. Our teams have done a stellar job, leveraging our fixed assets with volume growth, finding additional efficiencies, renegotiating contracts, as well as rightsizing our network, including plant closures. I am pleased to say that this translates into a year-on-year total cost of goods reduction of $10 million. Slide 20 shows the progress we have been making on SG&A efficiencies. As we discussed last quarter, we have driven a significant reduction in our total SG&A over the past two years, and we continue to make progress in quarter one. This has been driven primarily by a reduction in overhead spent. We have taken a portion of the savings from the supply chain and SG&A and strategically redeployed part of these savings into the brand investments, I mentioned previously. Turning now to Slide 21. As we look forward, we intend to continue to drive productivity and efficiency savings in our supply chain and SG&A, and then redeploying a portion of those savings into demand-driving brand activation to ignite positive momentum. We will start to roll out the strategy to more European markets and North America in quarter two, and given the size of the market, we expect that our investments will be tilted towards the North America segment. While we have confidence in North America, where the category remains soft, and as we roll out the strategy, we will continue to pursue additional distribution opportunities across all channels. I would now like to turn the call over to MJ.
Marie-José David: Thank you, Daniel, and good morning, everyone. Slide 23 shows an overview of the quarterly P&L. In the first quarter, we reported a revenue decline of 0.8% and constant-currency revenue growth of 0.7%. We continue to drive strong gross margin expansion with our first quarter gross margin expanding 450 basis points year-over-year to 31.6%. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $3.7 million in the quarter, which is a $9.5 million improvement compared to last year's first quarter. Our gross margin and adjusted EBITDA are our best quarterly results as a public company. Slide 24 shows the bridging item of our total company revenue growth. We grew volume by 9.2% in the quarter, which was partially offset by an 8.5% decline in price mix. Foreign exchange was a 1.5% headwind. As mentioned on our last earnings call, our 2025 revenue growth will be impacted by a change in sourcing strategy at our largest food service customer in North America. The impact of that headwind in the first quarter was approximately a 270 basis point headwind to revenue growth. Slide 25 shows the drivers of our strong year-over-year gross margin expansion. The benefits of absorption and supply chain improvement improved margin by 490 basis points. This reflects the benefit of rightsizing our supply chain through 2024, including the closure of our Singapore manufacturing facility in December, which drove approximately 240 basis points or just under half of the supply chain-driven margin expansion. The reminder comes from volume absorption, productivity efficiency as well as improved sourcing. Pricing and product mix added 30 basis points to our gross margin in the quarter. While our revenue bridge that I discussed on the prior slide shows a headwind from pricemix, we drove a mix benefit in the quarter, as we reduced sales in lower margin products and increased sales in higher margin products. We experienced 60 basis point headwind from inflation in the quarter. Finally, the impact of foreign exchange movement was a 10 basis point headwind to gross margin. Slide 26 shows the year-over-year improvement in our adjusted EBITDA. The $9.5 million improvement compared to last year's first quarter was mainly driven by a $8.4 million increase in gross profit. The $1.1 million year-over-year improvement in SG&A and other reflects our ongoing efficiencies programs, which were partially offset by increase in branding and advertising. Slide 27 shows segment-level detail. On the top line, our 0.7% constant-currency revenue growth was slightly below our expectations as the European International and Greater China segments both On adjusted EBITDA, our $3.7 million loss in the quarter was slightly better than expected, primarily driven by the Europe and International segment. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow on Slide 28. First, our business plan remains fully funded. As of the end of the quarter, we had $74 million of cash and $211 million of our credit facilities. The middle of the slide shows our free cash flow improvement. In the first quarter, free cash flow was $21 million of cash, which was our best quarterly performance as a public company and a $25 million improvement compared to last year's first quarter. Within that $21 million, $5.5 million was for payments related to restructuring and severance, as well as $7.6 million for annual incentive plan payments. We expect the majority of these payments will not occur again this year. On the right side, you can see our progress on working capital. In the quarter, we've reduced our trade working capital by another $2 million. In the quarter, our trade receivables were below $100 million for the first time since Q1 2022 when our sales base was much lower. We have created a cash mindset into the entire organization, and this is generating results. In summary, we are making solid progress on improving our cash flow, and we expect continued improvement as our second half adjusted EBITDA is expected to be higher than the first half, and no P&L cash flow drivers are expected to improve through the year. Our first priority for 2025 is to deliver our first full year of profitable growth as a public company. Slide 30 shows our outlook. We continue to expect constant-currency growth in the range of 2% to 4%. The improvement from the first quarter's growth rate is expected to be largely driven by the benefit of executing the playbook Daniel discussed more broadly. For adjusted EBITDA, we continue to expect to report in the range of positive $5 million to $15 million. We continue to expect the improvement to be primarily driven by gross profit as the benefits of stronger net sales, as well as our ongoing supply chain efficiency program flow through. As Daniel mentioned earlier, the North America segment and several European countries are expected to launch integrated run activation in the second quarter, and we intend to support the launches from an increase in run activations. As such, second quarter adjusted EBITDA is likely to be comparable to Q1 level. We are not currently including any significant direct impact of tariffs into our guidance, since we believe the majority of the products we import from Canada are U.S. and CA compliant. We do, however, assume that the current economic conditions and consumer behavior remain largely consistent for the rest of the year. Finally, we continue to expect CapEx to be in the range of $30 million to $35 million for the full year. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, we are now prepared to take questions.