Mark J. Barrenechea
Analyst · TD Cowen. Please go ahead
Thank you, Harry, and welcome to today's call. Let me kick off the call with a statement. The strategic value of OpenText to our customers has never been higher. We continue to build cloud momentum with our business clouds, business AI, and business technology. And we see proof points of this as evidenced by our continued strength with large multi-year cloud contracts and our upward revisions in future cloud bookings expectations. And with the AMC divestiture now complete, we have increased our capital flexibility to accelerate growth in the $200 billion information management addressable market. Long term, we expect our business to deliver mid-single-digit total revenue growth through a balanced approach of cloud-led organic growth plus M&A comprised of 20% plus enterprise cloud bookings growth, 7% to 9% organic cloud growth, 2% to 4% total organic growth, and 1% to 2% M&A growth, powerful cash flows at 20% plus of revenues, and a new return of capital framework comprised of 50% of trailing 12-month free cash flows returned to shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks and 50% for Cloud M&A. And to jumpstart this new return of capital program, we are announcing today a $250 million share buyback over the next 12 months, and our intention to return $450 million to $500 million of capital to shareholders in fiscal ‘25. Let's get started. You'll see in our investor deck today our four point strategy to building shareholder value. Point one of the strategy is to continue to lead the OpenText business system with a relentless focus on execution. Simply said, an OpenTexter always puts customers first, innovates, cares about people, and strives for exceptional performance. Our culture sets us apart. Point two, accelerate cloud growth. Our strategy to accelerate cloud growth is working. We've increased our R&D investment to an annualized $900 million, or 16% of fiscal ‘24 revenue. This helped drive enterprise cloud bookings growth of 63% in Q2 and 53% in Q3. We've increased our F ‘24 enterprise cloud bookings targets to 33% to 38%. And we're confidently projecting 20% plus cloud bookings growth in both F ‘25 and beyond, up from prior targets of 15%. We expect our cloud revenue organic growth to reach between 7% and 9% by fiscal ‘27. And the best part is we're just getting started in our AI and security journey. The OpenText Cloud opportunity continues to expand across our business clouds, business AI, and business technology. We are well aligned to Gartner and customer spending priorities in cyber, information security, data, cloud platforms, and AI. We're focused on winning more workloads for knowledge workers, business networks, customer experience, and digital operations. We're helping customers build and own their own capabilities in the private and public cloud and to do so securely. We're unlocking new developer opportunities in large-scale software companies and let's understand it, we're all software companies today and we're rapidly adding IoT and AI capabilities. We see two huge opportunities in AI. First, to help our large install base of customers prepare their operations and data through systems consolidations to our Cloud Editions. And second, to grow our aviator and thrust offerings. We officially introduced Titanium X at OpenText World Europe a couple weeks ago, our next-generation autonomous cloud. We demonstrated our latest Aviator technology with Cloud Editions 24.2. We made business AI as easy as pressing a button. And we made clear the step function and productivity a knowledge worker can gain with learning models applied to information management. Customer analyst feedback is extremely positive. And while many customers are still researching and piloting, Aviator is helping us win now. We have unique capabilities to move enterprises into actionable business AI use cases to securely exploit both unstructured and structured data and accelerate customer value through partnerships like SAP, Google, and Microsoft. Consider Pick n Pay, leveraging DevOps Aviator for scaling testing and quality. A leading global apparel company accelerating invoice intelligence with Content Aviator. Zurich Airport leveraging our SaaS service management and universal discovery in the cloud. Please watch on opentext.com the recap of our OpenText World Europe where I demonstrated OpenText’s Content Cloud 24.2 with Content and Search Aviator, running the United States National Transportation Security Board data archive. It shows the power of automation plus AI, providing clear and bankable productivity gains for any knowledge worker. You can also hear directly from our customers of Nationwide, Carl Zeiss, Juniper, [Framatome] (ph), and Criteo at the event. Point three of our four-point strategy, powerful free cash flow generation. We are targeting an F ‘24 free cash flow of $725 million to $800 million, and our medium-term aspiration by fiscal ‘27 of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion, or 20%-plus of free cash flow as a percent of revenue. We expect to achieve these higher free cash flow aspirations through a series of actions. Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion from a technology enabled business through leveraging our data, automation, and AI. We are just getting started in deploying AI internally, completing all micro-focused integration expense, lower special charges over time, lower interest charges, and potentially lower rates over time. It is a combination of margin expansion, more technology enablement, elimination of integration expense, and a reduction in interest burden that is the path to our free cash flow aspirations. Point four, disciplined capital allocation. We expect to pay down our debt on May 6th by $2 billion, and with our net leverage ratio now below 3x, we are increasing our return to capital to shareholders by introducing a $250 million buyback and re-entering the M&A market with a new framework that is future-oriented while leveraging the best parts of our operational disciplines. You will see in our investor presentation today our capital allocation strategy comprised of two elements, primary and additional allocation. For the primary, we intend to allocate 50% of our trailing 12 months free cash flow to dividends and buybacks. We have a strong dividend track record, as you know, of returning $1.9 billion over the last decade. I'm now pleased to add a buyback program to that return strategy. As noted, our target is 50% of trailing 12-month free cash flow allocation. And we're going to start higher with a $250 million buyback, and we tend to return again between $450 million to $500 million to shareholders in fiscal ‘25. For the additional part, we intend to allocate the other 50% of trailing 12 months free cash flows to cloud-based M&A. Further, we are excited about the M&A opportunity for information management in the cloud for higher recurring revenues. We intend to cast a wide net across information management for established technologies with proven customer value propositions. We're looking for small to medium-sized cloud companies that will benefit from our business system, general operations, benefit from our distribution, and benefit from our multi-billion dollar cloud foundation and cloud operations. We'll always seek value in organic growth. You can expect us to complete multiple M&A transactions in the coming year while growing organically. Let me turn to our financials and our medium term aspirations. For Q3, our results reflect strong execution and strong customer trust. On cloud bookings, $165 million, up 53% year-over-year. We more than doubled our $1 million plus wins year over year from 13 to 28. Average cloud deal size is up 30%. Contract terms are longer. Customers are increasing their commitments for long-term durations with ramps to full value. Our investment is also up to fuel that growth, to get customers ramped, and to introduce new capabilities like AI and IoT. We have total revenues of $1.4 billion, up 16% year-over-year. We ended cash of $1.1 billion and free cash flow of $348 million, up 14% and just had fantastic wins at Akamai, Nestle, Shell, Tyson Foods, BAE Systems, and MAN. Recall, we're an annual business, and for full fiscal of ‘24, our targets include cloud bookings growth between 33% to 38%, 6% to 8% cloud growth, total revenues between $5.745 billion to $5.795 billion, and free cash flows between $725 million to $800 million, up from $655 million last year. Today we're also presenting preliminary F ‘25 targets and subject to change. These preliminary targets are without the AMC business. We're expecting enterprise bookings of 20% plus, cloud revenues of up to $1.9 billion, total revenues between $5.3 billion and $5.4 billion, free cash flows between $575 million to $650 million, which includes -- really important, which includes a one-time $250 million tax payment for the AMC divestiture. Excluding our tax payment from divestiture, our free cash flow would be growing again year-over-year. And we do -- we'll talk more about this. And again, a return of capital between $450 million to $500 million. We're excited about our cloud business, cloud additions, Titanium X, our next-generational autonomous cloud, security, SAP, and Aviators. Our cloud bookings are strong and growing faster than the market, and it's a leading indicator of our cloud momentum. We're also maintaining our medium-term aspirations, but moving them from ‘26 to ‘27. Why? Customers are trending more and more to sign larger contracts with longer-term commitments of four-plus years that also include ramps. This is driven by industry trends and our strong multi-year roadmap of capabilities. This is positive news. Customers are increasing their commitments to OpenText for longer durations. You also see this positive trend from other cloud providers such as SAP, Google, Microsoft, and AWS, our most important partners. Our F ‘27 aspirations include enterprise cloud bookings of 20% plus, total revenues of $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion, cloud organic growth of 7% to 9%, total organic growth 2% to 4%, adjusted EBITDA of 36% to 38%, and free cash flow between $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion, reflecting strong continuous growth. And M&A will contribute to these aspirations. Well, let me wrap up and thank you for joining today. And let me conclude my remarks where I started. The strategic value of OpenText to our customers have never been higher. We're increasingly confident about our business, our ability to grow in the cloud and produce higher profits from these higher revenues. And that's reflected in our increased visibility today that we are providing. To recap, OpenText has a highly attractive financial model with a predictable, resilient, and growing revenue stream up per quartile adjusted EBITDA margins and growing free cash flows and a very strong balance sheet. Our four-point strategy is designed to build shareholder value and to create a long-term recurring revenue and highly profitable business model. And we're excited to reduce our debt by $2 billion, execute to a $250 million buyback and a new return of capital strategy, return to M&A, and deliver a stellar F ‘24 of 6% to 8% cloud growth. I want to express my deepest appreciation to the entire OpenText executive team and my colleagues for always putting customers first, innovating, caring about people and for their exceptional performance. I'm delighted to welcome Todd Cione, President of Worldwide Sales, responsible for all new sales. Let me congratulate Paul Duggan, President and Chief Customer Officer, responsible for all renewals, professional services, and support. And to Madhu Ranganathan, President and CFO, responsible for finance, operations, and corporate development. Please visit opentext.com to read about our exceptional leadership team, ready for the next growth chapter in our business clouds, business AI, and business technology. May the one that brings peace bring peace for all. Let me turn the call over to Madhu, but before I do, I want to wish Madhu a very happy birthday today. Madhu?