Mark Barrenechea
Analyst · Cormark Securities. Please go ahead
All right. Thank you, John and Steve. There are two topics I'd like to cover today, M&A and Release 16. Before I get into those details let me start with a few comments on our Q3 performance. There are many metrics, but the one metric above all is cash flow. As cash is king. We are very pleased with our record operating cash flows of $190 million and the execution that supported it. The team delivered these results with a $15 million drag on revenue due to FX a very busy quarter in deal flow and execution while completing and launching Release 16 while strengthening my leadership team on 12% left operating expenses I know in constant currency OpEx was $179 million this quarter compared to $203 million last year same period. We delivered these results on a growing mix of revenue that is recurring in cloud based, recurring revenues were 85% to total revenues and cloud revenues were 2.3 times larger than our licensed revenues. And we delivered this while expanding adjusted operating margin 480 basis points again in constant currency. Beyond the numbers and the 15% dividend raise, the company got stronger in Q3. And it was a wonderful thing to see. On to my first topic, mergers and acquisitions. M&A is our leading growth driver and it's central to our business and financial model. We are generating expanding cash flows that will be reinvested into acquisitions at market leading rates of return. There are hundreds of assets available within the enterprise information management market and our pipeline of targets is increasing. Open Text is a consolidator and as a culture of proven history of integration. Our M&A model is differentiated from others for many reasons, but let me just highlight two, an integrated go-to-market and integrated engineering organization. We acquire businesses within our enterprise information management market strategy using our proven approach to M&A. We then operate those businesses leveraging our intelligent growth business system creating superior products, customer success, and shareholder value. Over the last 10 years Open Text has delivered a cash flow CAGR of 25%. We are an industry consolidator, have completed over 50 acquisitions, and perhaps it's our Canadian roots. We have a culture of integration and we seek value. The enterprise information market is highly attractive. That as revenue scale it is growing and provides transformative capabilities for customers. Its addressable market is well over $20 billion in customer spending with a greater than 7% growth rate and garnishes high profits unlike other hardware software or services markets. Our market is reshaping itself today, and Open Text is shaping its future. As I mentioned, there are hundreds of acquisition targets and the EIM customer base is Marquis. By Marquis I mean there are larger deal sizes, the deals are more transformative and there’s low credit risk given the Marquis nature of the customers. EIM is at the core of long term trends and purchasing decisions, digital, information governance, business networks, cloud, predictive analytics and security. M&A models run in a continuum. From what I like to call platform operators to asset acquirers, companies such as Danaher, Roper, Amitech, Blackstone, KKR, Constellation and Open Text, have M&A models at their core and fall somewhere in this continuum. Platform operators pursue M&A led businesses with their strategic market theses. Purchase assets within that market strategy and then drive deep value to integration and innovation. Asset acquirers purchase individual assets and operate and optimize them as standalone businesses. Open Text is a platform operator. And we believe in the value of an integrated salesforce, integrated engineering, and integrated operations. And for our business, this should lead to the greatest cash flows, highest cash flow multiples, and thus maximum shareholder return. Why? Because the model scale. Our asset targeting methodology is all about unlocking value. We evaluate businesses within the context of our EIM strategy and look to fill functional white spaces, vertical capabilities for key geographic expansion opportunities. Ideal targets have special situations that would benefit from the Open Text intelligent growth business system and scale. We value recurring revenues, past the higher margin and strong cash flows. We are attracted to strong leadership teams, solid products and leading distribution models and we are very capable of entering a challenging situation where one or more of these areas need immediate attention. What we target is supported by our proven methodology. We have a seasoned and dedicated in-house corporate development team from all the way from sourcing to closing which include diligent deal closing, asset integration and monitoring first year performance. Cost synergies are more preferred to revenue synergies. Our business cases are mostly based on cost synergies and cash models. We prefer cash flow over higher revenue growth and set minimal thresholds on AOM, AOI and cash flows. This is what we mean when we say onboarding to the Open Text target model. Our internal financial models have simple and clear cash-based metrics on IRR, pay-back, terminal values, and other key metrics. Day one integration is a critical element of success. We have over 3 billion in accessible capital to deploy in the next few years. We arrive at the $3 billion number by adding together our current cash on hand plus future annual operating cash flows, new cash flows from acquired businesses, available debt within our conservative debt to EBITDA ratio of three times, less our potential dividend disbursement and CapEx investment. Our two most recently announced acquisitions certain CEM software assets from HP Inc. and ANX are write-down our M&A power alley. The HP assets will extend our leadership in CEM and ANX adds training grid and cloud services capabilities in healthcare, transportation, and auto. Valuation meets our traditional methodology. The HP assets will be on our operating model within 12 months. ANX will be in our operating model day one. High recurring revenues and Marquee install base under our leadership and distribution weaken a lot more value and these two acquisitions will ultimately be cash flow oriented. With these two acquisitions, we expect to on-board between 115 million and 125 million of new revenues in fiscal 2017. The acquisitions are expected to close in Q4. We do not expect, as John said, any meaningful revenues from these acquisitions within Q4, though we will have some acquisition-related expenses. Lastly, within our M&A -- lastly, with our M&A capabilities expanding and our target pipeline growing, it is our intent to close and integrate more transactions at a more predictable pace. We will remain disciplined value buyers, cash flow oriented; patient capital allocators, but steady and measured wins the race. I expect to deliver more transactions at a more predictable pace in the coming quarters ahead. On to my second topic for today, release 16. Release 16 is now available to our customers and partners and the early feedback is very favorable from our customers, such as BNSF railway, Oxford Properties, Phillips 66, and Bell Canada. It is the most complete and integrated platform for digital transformation in the industry as far as we can see. Release 16 is a platform to drive organic growth in the coming years and as a result of our approach to innovation and integrated and sustained engineering. The company focus now turns to enablement and adoption. Release 16 is a singular platform for the management, analysis, and exchange of enterprise information enabling digital transformations. One platform to manage all information, digital experiences, and processes; one platform for predictive analysis; one platform to exchange information through business networks, business-to-business, cloud-to-cloud, and machine-to-machine; hybrid both on-premises and in the cloud. It is the key platform to enable the divisionalzation of key enterprise processes, to enable disruptive business models, and to deliver the next-generation of information and process-based applications. Release 16 provides for many on-ramps for growth. New customers, competitive replacements, upgrades to new modules and full suites. New and expanded partnerships such as Accenture Digital and ENY to help bring Release 16 to their customers. New vertical opportunity like healthcare transportation and logistics; new adoption of the business network, and analytics and predictive analytics everywhere within our suites. Customers purchasing enterprise systems make decade-long decisions. The market is changing real-time and customers will look for stability, certainty, long-term commitment to innovation, and a technology partner that they can count on, and that is Open Text. Just over the last 90 days, we have seen Lexmark and SiteCore being sold as well as the pieces of SDL. We have acquired core inter-woven assets as well as ANX. Given the early positive reaction to Release 16, the changing market landscape, we want to deliver more features and capabilities faster at a defined and predictable series of Enhancement Packs. We will follow Release 16 with a series of Enhancement Packs or EPs. Release 16 EP1 is scheduled for Q2 fiscal 2017, EP2 for Q4 fiscal 2017, and EP3 for Q2 fiscal 2018. These Enhancement Packs will be available on-premises and in the Open Text cloud and what will follow the EP series will be project BAM. Let me highlight two very important aspects of the ECP initiatives. EP1 will include Extended ECM for Salesforce. What we have completed for SAP and Oracle, we plan on delivering for Salesforce. EP2 will include our next generation of analytics, our cognitive release. Actually, we’ll be supporting Hadoop and Spark, Apache, immediately enabling thousands of open algorithms in a developer platform for customers to create their own algorithms. In many ways, IBM Watson is a very closed and a very expensive platform. That sledgehammer is not needed for the majority of predictive workloads that we can see. In EP2, we intend to provide an alternative to IBM Watson. This is the time to invest and go faster. Where other companies are slowing their investments, deinvesting altogether, being sold or cannot make a dollar of profit, customers should have full confidence in choosing Open Text for their digital platform in their next decade of infrastructure investment. I’m very excited about the opportunities of Release 16, Extended ECM for Salesforce, and our cognitive – our future cognitive capabilities. We’ll talk more about Release 16, the EP series and BAM at our May 12 Investor Day in New York City. Let me spend a moment on the Open Text cloud. The Open Text cloud consists of three elements – managed services, number one; number two, our trading grid and value-added network; and number three, SaaS applications. We are approaching a 1,000 managed service customers, and we offer managed services across all our solution pillars with Release 16. Notable wins within the quarter include CIBC, DC Comics and Government of New Zealand. It is an important growth area for the company. Cloud 16 added new key logistics and healthcare protocols. Our ANX acquisition will add key vertical capabilities to our value-added network and trading grid. As it relates to our SaaS applications, all customers renewing maintenance, all their cloud services agreement at par value, will now receive equal usage rights for free on Open Text Core. This new program will go live this quarter. We think there are approximately 10 million end users we can attract to Core, while providing even more value to our customer service and maintenance programs and revenue streams. Once on Core, customers can upgrade to more capability or capacity and go from premium to paid. This program will enable customers to seamlessly and cost effectively integrate on-premises and in the cloud ECM solutions from one vendor. Only Open Text can enable this as a single provider and is the only vendor in the market today integrating file sharing, sync and collaboration technologies, with core enterprise ECM records management and governance. As for our overall financial model, as we onboard more cloud revenues, we have four years and yet another quarter of results. And the results speak for themselves. As we onboard new cloud revenues, we continue to expand our adjusted operating margin, which was up 480 basis points this quarter. Looking towards our fiscal 2020 aspirations, we expect our mix of business to be 50% from the cloud, over 90% of our revenues recurring, and our adjusted operating margins between 34 to 38%. And we expect to achieve this, while our license business remains constant on an absolute basis. Sorry, if I keep repeating myself over and over again on these collective points. I think it's very important to understand our financial model and four years of data points and yet another quarter. In summary, it's an exciting time. The market is reshaping itself and Open Text is defining its future. Our M&A with our intelligent growth business system is a proven approach to delivering market leadership and shareholder value. M&A will be our leading growth driver for the years to come. As I said earlier, with our M&A capabilities expanding and our pipeline growing, it is our intent to close more transactions at a more predictable pace. We remain value buyers, cash flow oriented, patient capital allocators and steady and measured wins the race. We delivered record operating cash flows in Q3 on 12% less operating expenses. Release 16 is now available to customers providing a clear choice in the marketplace as to which vendor customers should choose. Release 16 has potential on-ramp to grow that Steve and the field are driving over the coming quarters. Some of those on ramps include M&A, both announced in any future transaction, Release 16 for new customers, upgrades and more adoption via suite analytics in the business network, key vertical opportunities in financial services, healthcare, transportation, public sector, expanded partnership such as Accenture, and E&Y, EP1 with Salesforce, managed services and capturing our install base with core. And in general we believe customers will look towards innovation, certainty and stability and Open Text will be a leading consideration for the digital transformation needs. The EIM segment is being recognized for its transformative capability. It's large, growing and there are hundreds of potential targets for us and we have a proven approach to M&A, the capital to deploy and the leadership team ready to execute and go capture that opportunity. I am in my fifth year as CEO at Open Text, I'm honored and humbled every day to lead the business. I realigned my leadership team and my responsibilities approximately 100 days ago and that realignment is already bearing fruit in our results and our strategy and our announced plans. My energy, passion and optimism for Open Text has never been stronger. I hope you will join us on May 12th in the New York City for our Annual Investor Day. We will go into more depth on the company, strategy and plan. We have a solid day planned where myself, John Doolittle, Stephen Murphy and Muhi Majzoub will be presenting and available for Q&A. With that I'd like to turn the call over to the operator for your questions.