Mark Barrenechea
Analyst · National Bank, please go ahead
Thank you, John and welcome everyone to fiscal 2016 Q1 earnings call. Let me start by sharing with everyone that personally I feel great and I look forward to seeing all of you at Enterprise World in two weeks time. Fiscal 2016 is teed up to be a transformative year for OpenText as we increase our focus on digital transformation and we see more customers adopting our managed services. We are poised to deliver project Blue Carbon, our next major EIM release which will be unveiled at Enterprise World. Project Blue Carbon is the enabling platform for digitalization, full of new and compelling innovations for customers. Our improved margin engine will generate greater long term cash flows and we continue to deliver smart capital allocation through our dividend program, our buyback program and meaningful M&A transaction. The IT industry is going through sweeping changes, perhaps the most change I’ve seen in my 30 years in the industry. The market has progressed from the adoption of internet technologies to leveraging the flexibility, efficiencies and speed of the cloud is now seeking full digital transformation to ensure continued successful operation in hyper competitive and hyper connecting markets. A great example of this is seen to the latency of analytics where requirements have progressed from reporting and visualization to analysis and predictability. It was once a better way to compete a task about improving pure human efficiency. Today, digital is about fundamentally impacting business which is about prediction, an analysis of in-human amounted data, it’s about automation and disrupting markets with technology. This is inning one for digitalization. As an all things both in life and in business being stagnant is usually the unsafe place to be because when you are stagnant you are the target. Change is always the safest choice. Those technology firms that embrace change in our successful outfit keep their customers central to that change. They must come with you on any technology shift and they must come with you on your digital transformation. This year we have witnessed the Symantec split BMC, Compuware, Tibco, Dell and Informatica going private, SolarWinds is about to join those ranks. We have HP splitting into two companies and making announcements. They will be exiting the cloud infrastructure business. We have Dell and Silver Lake’s proposal to purchase EMC and you have SaaS, PaaS and IaaS firms finding their rightful place in the market. This market is advancing and consolidating. As a largest independent provider of EIM solutions, OpenText is singularly poised to capitalize on this disruption. I see three core elements underlying these changes. First, enterprises have changed the way they consume technology. While most enterprises are hybrid today and we see them remaining hybrid, they are consuming more cloud based solutions from IaaS and SaaS to managed services and subscriptions and increasingly preferring to work with vendors who can see their needs. Enterprises also change while they purchase and they’re not interested in [indiscernible] interfaces and helpdesks. They are interested in digital, security, analytics, lightweight applications, mobility and the cloud with an eye towards leveraging a changing workplace, millennial workforce, a changing way to connect with their customers, the need to move faster with more purpose. Digitalization affects every industry and profound in numerous ways. It is increasingly obvious that the options are simple, digital or dying. Many predict that half of today’s incumbents will not thrive in the digital world. Let’s consider some examples. Insurance companies need deeper analytics and direct relationships with their consumers to provide optimized services. This is done with Big Data Analytics. Insurance agents will ultimately go away, they will be disinter-mediated by digital. Banks need to automate everything from personal to retail banking to institutional investing, it’s about automation, efficiency and improved digital customer service and customer experience not to mention security. Construction is modeling, planning, and testing in a virtual world before sable hits the ground. In government, citizens are looking for immediate access to their information, services on demand and digital interaction with their presiding administration. Logistics is moving to one hour delivery and maximum efficiency on warehousing, stocking patterns and customer purchasing prediction and on it goes, digital changes everything. Third, a growing percentage of the world is in a state of uncertainty and we live in a time where 1% to 2% GDP growth is normal particularly for the world’s most developed economies. Emerging markets are slowing, China is slowing, there are deflationary concerns. The strength of the U.S. dollar has created foreign exchange challenges. Even the automotive ecosystem in EMEA in the pharmaceutical giant have recently paused which should be short term, mining, construction and other capital intensive markets have slowed as well and as predicted by industry experts, it looks like IT spending may be slowing as well, commodities are down, oil prices are down. In fact even the Q3 U.S. GDP growth index has been raised downward today to 1.4%. It is our view that the amount of uncertainty was on an uptick in September. We see these changes and uncertainties as opportunities. Firstly, we are pursuing a deep strategic focus on digitalization which will help customers differentiate, grow and become more efficient. Digitalization is about creating a better way to live, and a better way to work, a better way to innovate, a better way to engage customers, a better way to leverage the supply chain, a better way to scale, a better way to gain insights, and a better way to control your business. I will come back to Blue Carbon later and how Blue Carbon will help customers create a better way to live and work. Secondly, our Cloud strategy is about capturing new spend and manage services and hosting service services to help customers balance between OpEx and CapEx. We are not however interested in revenue substitution. We see our license business remaining stable on an absolute dollar basis. Cloud is now one-third of our revenue and looking out at of fiscal 2020 aspirations we expect Cloud to ultimately be about 50% of revenues. We also expect more than 90% of our revenues to be recurring. And we’ve talked about in the past announcements, we have successfully made this transition to cloud while significantly expanding margin. The third opportunity I see is with the OpenText intelligent growth system or OTIGS as we call it. It is our operational DNA by using OTIGS to guide our recent restructuring programs we have created an even stronger earnings engine with OpenText. We remain confident in our 2020 aspirations of generating annual adjusted operating margins between 34% and 38%. Fourthly, M&A is at the core of our business model. We are a platform operator, we acquire businesses within our six strategic markets ECM, BPM, CEM, iX, Discovery, and Analytics collectively we call these platforms EIM. We seek value based assets that have higher recurring revenues and we do our analysis on a cash basis with clear ROI goals and payback time line. Once acquired, we integrate new assets into one of our core platforms extracting redounding cost and leveraging our distribution channels and operational capacity. This core discipline allows us to efficiently on board new assets to our operating model. We expect to complete multiple acquisitions this year that have ample liquidity cash and capacity. Lastly, our capital allocation strategy is working and is focused on shareholder return. The foundation of the strategy is a strong margin engine and generating strong cash flows. Combined with our dividend program at 20% of trailing 12-month operating cash flow, our buyback program and M&A the opportunity before us is strong. To summaries, the IT industry is going through a large-scale change and uncertainty is to be expected. But OpenText is well positioned to deliver shareholder value by capturing the opportunity in the Cloud and the need for customer digitalization. We would do this through compelling internal product innovation, meaningful M&A, a strong earnings engine, and a compelling capital allocation strategy. Let me spend some time on Q1. In constant currency, we grew total revenues 3% and we grew recurring revenues 4%. As John said, we had a negative 34 million total revenue impact in the quarter due to FX. This is roughly a negative effect of 8% on revenues. Assuming currencies do not decline further, we expect to see two more quarters of these large negative foreign exchange impacts on revenues. I know a year ago the euro was a 1.27 and the euro closed today at 1.09. As John highlighted, license was negatively affected $5 million, Cloud negatively affected 9 million, customer support negatively affected 15 million, and PS negatively affected 5 million on the revenue line. Currency is masking the strength of our business right now. We started the new fiscal year a little slower on revenue and MCB than I wanted to see and I am not concerned. Our Q2 pipeline is strong. Within the quarter, partner license revenues were 38%. We also recently announced major updates to our partner program. The new program is creating a Cloud ready partner ecosystem. The more value a partner brings to OpenText and our customers, the more we will invest directly in them. First, we have a greater focus on larger scale and global value added partners such as SAP, AT&T, Deloitte and Accenture. Second, we will now pay a referral fee on any partner opportunities closed. Third, we will no longer pay recurring revenue fees to partners. It’ll take us about a year to fully make this transition. And fourth in general partners can no longer sell both license and professional services simultaneously. Geographic book-of-business was 58% Americas, 34% EMEA, 8% APAC. Our Americas business was up 2% year-over-year.
, : With our announcement to acquire Daegis we will add to our discovery platform and we had a nice actually set of customer wins this quarter, including Amazon, Deloitte, Delta Airline, Daimler, and Blue Cross Blue Shield. I’m also pleased with how our field changes for May are resonating inside and outside the company. The new cost structure and efficiency is showing in the P&L and our field programs are reflective in the strength of our Q2 pipeline. We have the right team and the right solutions to win. Let me transition to project Blue Carbon in enterprise world a bit. We are gearing up for the largest customer event of the year taking place between November 8 and 13 in Las Vegas, Nevada at the MGM Grand. We are expecting over 2000 attendees and over 300 partners. The conference will illuminate how digitalization is creating a better way to work. The platform to enable this is Project Blue Carbon, OpenText Next Generation of EIM software for on premises and Cloud customers alike. Blue Carbon is on track for beta and first customer shipments this quarter and generally available in our fiscal Q3 or calendar Q1. Project Blue Carbon will translate into the following release names. OpenText Suite 16 and OpenText Cloud 16. OpenText Suite 16 will feature deep integration inter and intra sub sites. Content suite, process suite, experience suite and analytics suite. Newly discovery will be a pay for add-on option to content suite and info fruition our updated enterprise search platform will be included with content suite for free. Suite 16 is available on premises and as a managed service. Analytics integration will be available in all the Suites and we will be providing support for new open stack that includes the post scratch database hoping customers to further lower the total cost of ownership. Suite 16 also fully movable enabled via Applet [ph]. OpenText Cloud 16 includes Suite 16 as a subscription and as a managed service. It also includes OpenText core, our next generation SAS ECM platform designed for enterprise use. And make no mistake we plan on winning in this market. We also introduced, we’ll also introduce archive centre in the Cloud for SAP, Oracle, Microsoft Exchange, the OpenText Suites and Gmail. Cloud 16 will also include analytics as a stand-alone service, analytics as a service for the supply chain and a new state of the grid reporting solution, which illuminates important and interesting statistical data across our billions of transactions and trillions of dollars worth of completed commerce. This solution allows customers to answer questions like our manufacturing transactions up or down month over month, year-over-year. Our retail transactions up or down will be able to report against information by geography, industry, customer, time, product or set of other facet. Cloud 16 will also include our next-generation transportation and logistics module. And lastly, we will be on a quarterly schedule for our Cloud 16 solutions where we update functionality every 90 days or at the speed of the Cloud. Project Blue Carbon will be unveiled to enterprise world as OpenText Suite 16 and OpenText Cloud 16. With release 16, we plan to drive aggressive new customer acquisition, upgrade and competitive replacement programs. It’s time. I hope you will be able to join us at Enterprise World as we get into the potential of our next-generation platform. Our Investor and Analyst Day takes place on Wednesday, November 11 and we expect to have some fun with Mike Myers keynoting that morning and please contact Greg or Sonya for more details on the November 11 event. Let me summarize today’s remarks. I am pleased our restructuring actions are behind us and that those actions have delivered at even stronger margin and earnings engine. Cash flow is our ultimate business objective. Our adjusted operating target model for fiscal 2016 remains unchanged as John talked about and we are reiterating our 2020 aspirations, 50% of our revenue from cloud and 90% recurring revenue and an annual adjusted operating margin between 34% and 38%. Our disciplined approach to capital allocation is focused on shareholder return. Optimizing for cash flow, dividends at 20%, TTM operating cash flow, our buyback program and value based M&A. We expect to complete additional transactions this year and we have plenty of capacity to put to work smartly. FX continues to be a challenge for us on the top line with a negative 34 million total revenue impact. Seeing past these FX challenges in constant currency, we grew total revenues 3% and recurring revenues 4%. Again assuming today’s currency rates remain stable, we expect another two quarters of these large FX movements to finally get behind us. The uptick and uncertainty though it seemed short term, it did affect some end of quarter buying decisions, however I’m not concerned. Our Q2 pipeline is strong and we have the right field leadership team in place to go execute against the opportunity. Project Blue Carbon, Suite 16 and Cloud 16 is on track for beta and delivery and focused on helping customers create a better way to work via digitalization. Our approach to cloud via managed and hosting services is additive revenues to the company and Cloud 16 is a significant step forward to the OpenText cloud including quarterly updates, core archiving analytics, next generation transportation logistics and the state of the grid visibility. While E16 is a strongest software release in the history of the company and as I said earlier we plan to drive aggressive new customer acquisition, upgrade and competitive replacement programs. With all this in mind, we expect fiscal 2016 to be a transformative year for OpenText. With that, I’d like to turn the call over to the operator for your questions.