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OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, May 1, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the OneSpaWorld First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. And now I would like to turn the conference over to Allison Malkin for some introduction. Please go ahead, Allison.

Allison Malkin

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to OneSpaWorld's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call and Webcast. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that certain statements and information made available on today's call and webcast may be deemed to constitute forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect our judgment and analysis only as of today, and actual results may differ materially from current expectations based on a number of factors affecting our business. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. For a more thorough discussion of the risks and uncertainties associated with the forward-looking statements to be made in this conference call and webcast, we refer you to the disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements that is included in our first quarter 2024 earnings release, which was furnished to the SEC today on Form 8-K. We do not undertake any obligation to update or alter any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition, the company may refer to certain adjusted non-GAAP metrics on this call. An explanation of these metrics can be found in our earnings release issued earlier this morning. Joining me today are Leonard Fluxman, Executive Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; and Stephen Lazarus, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer. Leonard will begin with a review of our first quarter 2024 performance and provide an update on our key priorities. Then Stephen will provide more details on the financials and our guidance. I would now like to turn the call over to Leonard.

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

Thank you, Allison. Good morning, and welcome to OneSpaWorld's First Quarter 2021 Results Conference Call. I'm very pleased to report another strong start to the year with our first quarter generating record results. We delivered robust double-digit growth in total revenue, income from operations and adjusted EBITDA, all of which were at record setting levels. We also achieved significant accomplishments towards our strategic priorities, which provide for our ongoing growth in the current year and well into the future. In fact, the ongoing strong momentum of our business from fiscal 2023 into early 2024, resulted in the best first quarter in history of our company. The resounding success across all fronts is a testament to the superior execution of our strategy by our exceptionally talented team. Their relentless dedication to innovation, enhancement of partnerships, leveraging of our category dominance and adept navigation of our intricate business model have yielded extraordinary guest experience and outstanding service to our esteemed cruise line and destination resort partners that is translating into increased value to our shareholders. As we look ahead, the second quarter is off to a positive start, and we expect the continued superior execution of our strategy, combined with our ongoing ability to provide extraordinary service levels to our cruise and resort partners through a differentiated luxury experience for guests, and will position the company for continued success. Based on the continued strong execution by talented team, new partnerships and new initiatives, which continue to drive organic growth, we have raised our annual outlook beyond the outperformance achieved in the first quarter. We currently expect total revenues to increase by 10% and adjusted EBITDA to increase by 12% at the midpoint of our guidance ranges from fiscal 2023. Additionally, in further demonstration of the confidence in our strategy, our near- and…

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

Thank you, Leonard. Good morning, everybody. We are pleased to report a strong start to the year with better-than-expected top and bottom-line results, along with further improvements to our balance sheet. I will share some more details on our first quarter that we reported this morning. Total revenue was $211.2 million, up 16% as compared to $182.5 million in the first quarter of 2023. The increase principally was attributable to our average ship count increasing 9% to 188 health and wellness centers on board ships operating during the quarter compared with our average ship count of 173 health and wellness centers onboard ships operating during the first quarter of 2023. In addition, we benefited from our initiatives to drive revenue growth and profitability in each of our onboard health and wellness centers through enhanced pre-booking of guest services, onboard guest engagement and experiences, our guest service and product offering innovations, and the disciplined execution of our complex operating protocols by our onboard and corporate teams. Cost of service was $144 million compared to $126.3 million in the first quarter of 2023. The increase was primarily attributable to costs associated with increased service revenues of $172.2 million in the quarter from our operating health and wellness centers at sea and on land compared with revenues of $150.1 million in the first quarter of 2023. Cost of products was $33.5 million compared to $28.3 million in the first quarter of prior year. The increase being primarily attributable to costs associated with increased product revenue of $39 million in the quarter from our operating health and wellness centers at sea and on land compared to product revenues of $32.3 million in the third quarter of 2023. Net income was $21.2 million or net income per diluted share of $0.21 as compared to a…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We'll start with a question from Steve Wieczynski from Stifel.

Steven Wieczynski

Analyst

So I want to start with the revised guidance for the last 3 quarters of the year. And I think this is now your -- I don't even know, third, fourth straight quarter in which you've materially beat kind of the midpoint of your guidance range. So, I guess as we think about in the last 3 quarters of 2024, just wondering how you're thinking about or what you're embedding in terms of the way you're thinking about your customer base? And if you're assuming that spend levels stay status quo or you're embedding some conservatism in there just because you really just don't know where the consumer is going to go. You're just trying to understand how you're thinking about spend levels for the last 3 quarters of the year.

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

Steve, I'll start off. So, as I mentioned, the first quarter saw very strong spend levels, which continued from prior year. And we have continued to see that here as we've started into the second quarter. Obviously, nobody has a crystal ball of certainty around what's going to happen over the remainder of the year. We do think spend on board should remain strong. Bookings are very favorable, the booking trends that all the cruise lines have talked about and you're keenly aware of to point in the right direction. However, having said that, in the latter part of the year, I think it's not unlikely to expect maybe a slight softening in some of the spend, which we've accounted for, but we expect generally that onboard performance will remain strong.

Steven Wieczynski

Analyst

Okay. Got you. And then maybe a bigger picture question, but based on your free cash flow generation, which remains obviously very strong, I mean, it's pretty clear that your balance sheet could essentially be debt-free in the next year or so. So, I guess the question is, how are you guys balancing -- obviously, you just announced the share repurchase program, but how are you balancing a share repurchase versus a potential, initiating a dividend again versus some kind of acquisition? And if you thought about some acquisition or potential acquisitions down the road, what type of acquisitions would you guys be looking at? Or what is out there that would make sense for you guys?

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

Let me touch quickly on the cash use, and then I'll let Leonard talk about the acquisition side of things. So, as it relates to the buyback, the feeling was that was the most appropriate near-term action to take and it aligns specifically with the $15 million of cash that came in from the warrants, which, as you know, historically, you accounting for those on a treasury basis, but because they were all converted -- almost all of them are converted on a cash basis, it does increase the share count. And so, we felt it would be most appropriate to take that $50 million and reduce the share count back to where it would have been as if those shares were converted cashless, hence, the $50 million buyback, and it doesn't really change any of our thinking overall around continuing to pay off debt at these interest rates, and potentially a subsequent introduction of a dividend. So all of those things remain on the table. We have exhibited that for the past 2 quarters. Not only able to do one thing where we have in the last 2 quarters, paid off debt and bought back shares. So, as we move forward, we'll continue to evaluate what we feel are the most appropriate ways of returning cash to shareholders. And I will let Leonard answer the part on the acquisitions.

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

So, Steve, I mean, it's interesting times. I mean, we haven't found, although we've been prevented a lot of ideas by bankers, inbounds. And we're always getting them. It's not like there's just a pickup in it. But certainly, people are always showing us ideas. We've discussed some of these ideas, but there's nothing really compelling on the table right now. But if you look at what would make sense for us and the vision around what we would target to do is, we would want to do something that not only augments what we're doing on board, but adds incremental value to our offering on board in any of the protocols that we can do, most likely, the best target for that is going to be in, I would call, the wellness mindful space where there's a lot of new technologies, a lot of ways in which we can learn more about our bodies, et cetera. And to the extent that there are diagnostic tools within the capabilities of that target that can enhance what we can do on board in our Medispa, and then transfer that to some kind of land-based or e-commerce type experience where they can continue to help and service the guests that we've started the initial consultation with. I think that would make a lot of sense because we could certainly increase the offering of supplementation on board, continue with supplementation for guests who sign up with us and take some of the seminars and educational seminars that we do on board. So, not easy to find, but I'm sure we'll find something like that. But I think that fits into the vision very, very well. So, A, helping us improve the offering on board, capture more guests because of interest in immunity, wellness, mindfulness, things that we can continue to do to serve our guests between cruises, or even if they don't come back, they'll be able to participate in some form of nutrition counseling, supplementation, et cetera.

Operator

Operator

And now we have a question from Sharon Zackfia from William Blair.

Sharon Zackfia

Analyst

It's really a nice surprise to continue to hear about the resilience in our business. We're not hearing that throughout the broader experience with space outside of cruise. I guess when we think about a consumer that maybe is looking for more value, more broadly, I mean, how do you think you're communicating that? Because you're obviously doing that very well? Or do you think the consumer is just in a different mindset once they get on that ship and the wallets open up? I'm also curious on prebooking, which is obviously a big positive for you. Does the prebooking cadence for future cruises look as good as it has been? I'm just wondering if we're seeing any reticence on that and that might come to play kind of further down the pike.

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

Thanks, Sharon. Yes, look, I mean, we're extremely pleased with the resilience of the onboard spend. As I did mention on the call, we've made some simplifications of the offering menu services. The offering is much easier to navigate for our guests, and obviously, we're trying to focus on how to get them to spend at the highest level of that service offering, which would then accompany that offering with the potential to do more retail, which is where we're focused on right now. And as you saw, retail during the quarter was quite strong. So, we're not seeing pushback on price on service or on retail. We're moving into the second quarter where ships seasonally move to other geographies, but so far, so good, and we expect the second quarter to continue just as well. I think the prebook, we still are new in terms of the prebook rollout on NCL, which is an incredibly great opportunity for us where it wasn't there in the first quarter of 2023. So, we introduced that late '23. And so, the cadence of that is still starting to bleed through the numbers and will positively impact it probably by the third quarter, whilst we take on all the ships. So, we continue to do as much as we can in terms of optimizing what people are choosing on the prebook front, which is yield management. And we'll continue to invest in that as we move forward, not only in our own IT capabilities, but together with the cruise lines and helping them focus on it, because a big focus for them as well is how to get people into all of their prebooking amenities that they offer. And certainly, as we've demonstrated to them what certain banners are doing versus others, we're able to get their attention on how to grab more of that prebook. So, I think we're optimistic that, that number will continue to grow. And clearly, it is positively impacting top line for us.

Sharon Zackfia

Analyst

Can you still hear me? Sorry, my phone cut out for a second. I wanted to follow up on that because I think you're making some incremental investments in tech and AI this year. What you're doing there, tell me in '25 and beyond?

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

So, across the company, Sharon, we're investing in back-office automation with AI capabilities. We're in the early stages of navigating where we're going to go first, what's the lowest hanging fruit that we can tackle and improve in terms of efficiencies. And then on the other side, on the flip side on board, we're going to look, as we mentioned before on other calls, how we can use AI to improve our marketing offerings, replicating best-in-class across all of the ships, or at least all of the ships in that geography with that demographic. So, I think all of those capabilities are being -- the architecture is in play right now. We're planning on it. We have a kickoff meeting very soon on where we're at and next steps to follow. So, together with the enhancements that we've made in data collection and data capabilities, which is helping us improve performance on a weekly basis. We're able to triage it much quicker than before as we've mentioned on prior calls, and we'll continue to invest in that platform as we move forward. And it's becoming more and more of an everyday tool versus just being able to flash our revenue on a Monday. So, the team is immersed in data, figuring out where the weak points are, where the week manages, if there are some need help, how we get more training to them quicker and how we focus on improving sell-through and attachment.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Max Rakhlenko from TD Cowen.

Maksim Rakhlenko

Analyst

Great. So first, what's your latest thinking around the number of ships that we should be modeling for you guys over the next few years given your own wins, including one that you discussed this morning with us, as well as some more data points coming across at an industry level. And then when you combine the new ships with your own initiatives that you're discussing, what's the latest thinking around the medium-term revenue growth profile for the company over the next few years?

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

Max, we continue to have high vessels in total coming into service, new builds that is in 2024. And then in 2025, there are 8 of those. One of the numbers goes up likely depending on when Virgin announces the brilliant lady coming into service. So, in terms of the ship -- new ship introduction numbers, those continue to look good. They continue to support our thesis that we believe we can grow revenues in the high single-digit rate, and we remain committed and have reiterated that is a medium-term growth rate on the top end.

Maksim Rakhlenko

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then nice job on raising the full year guidance. Curious, how does the team now view the EBITDA margin power of the business and then opportunities to expand past the high-end, which is now at 11.9% for the year. So curious if you could just rank order the line items, which have the greatest opportunity for further margin expansion from current levels.

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

So, as it relates to margin expansion, I think it's always comes back to what we talk about, which is where our focus lies. And again, I don't want to sort of imply anything that is misinterpreted, right? But for us, the focus certainly remains on absolute dollar generation. We've talked at length about how generating revenue on board with a highly variable cost model, provided that it's marginally -- that there's marginal contribution always makes sense even to the extent that you need to do promotional or disputing activity, which in fairness to date has not been required a lot. But as we move forward, perhaps if consumer spending, we can likely we would certainly entertain that. So, just as an overarching theme, the focus for us is not necessarily EBITDA margin in and of itself because if it was, then we could simply drive that at the expense of absolute dollars, but we want to bring absolute cash into the business. And so, we will always do that as long as it's on a marginal contribution basis. The biggest way that happens on board is through the demand and through the improvement in the marketing programs. But again, it's difficult, right? We know that 85% of the model on board is variable in nature. And so, driving that percentage up is more challenging. There is some benefit that you get as revenue grows and the company continues to scale, that we get the benefit of leveraging some of the fixed costs that we have at a corporate level, which obviously don't go up in lockstep versus what revenue goes up, but those go up more on a step basis. So, for us, the focus is going to be on driving the total revenue. And while we hope that the margin will continue to improve, the absolute dollars is where our focus will remain.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Laura Champine from Loop Capital.

Laura Champine

Analyst

I hear that the share repurchases are not incorporated in the outlook for 105 million diluted shares in Q2. But any color you can give because you do have that cash on your balance sheet already on the timing of potential share repurchases?

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

We want to be opportunistic, Laura, when this weakness in the stock is when we will be most aggressive in terms of the buybacks. So, no, unfortunately, I don't think we would signal specific timing on when that would occur as the focus will be to utilize it on an opportunistic basis.

Laura Champine

Analyst

Understood. That's helpful. I don't want to read too much into a small thing, but your products segment did grow a little bit faster than services. Is there anything going on from a product innovation or a promotion perspective that's helping drive that line?

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

So, Laura, as I mentioned before, I mean, the simplification of our menu skews towards services and the choice of those services tend to result in a higher sell-through of product, generally across space and body. I think with some of the new cryotherapy, body services, spatial LED, et cetera, we're starting to see those results come through. And there is a very heightened focus on getting retail attachments improved over 2023. Even with the increased pricing in services, we saw some catch-up there. And so, we continue to have and prioritize sell-through as a big focus of what we're doing at the same time as ensuring that we are providing the guest with a very luxurious and good service overall.

Operator

Operator

Another question comes from Gregory Miller from Truist Securities.

Gregory Miller

Analyst

I thought to ask about the new banner announcement and your expectations with Aroya in terms of the wellness spend from the guests that I presume are largely from the Gulf region of the world, any behavior of the kind of wellness spend habits that they may have on that ship.

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

Yes, Greg. I think it's still early to tell how this plays out. I mean, it's a new cruise line. It's a new part of the world for us to operate in. Lilly has operational and it's on logistical challenges because of culture, et cetera. But we are positioned to do everything that we have discussed with the operators, and we'll see. I mean, this is new territory. It's a new geography, a new demographic that's focusing extensively in the Gulf as you say. But I think we'll start to see how to adapt to that model. I mean, it's not like we haven't done work in the region before on land. So, I think we're going to be fine. And I think the cruise line hopefully will be successful.

Gregory Miller

Analyst

And then as a follow-up, Norwegian, as you know, put out some new ship orders. And over time, some of these shifts will be larger in terms of passenger capacity. I'm curious in an early stage, do you have any sense of the implications for you all in terms of potentially the size of your wellness facility on the new vessels, increase in staff, potential changes to the thermal suite, if there's anything that you could share at this time that would be interesting to hear.

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

Whenever there are large vessels announced like the ones they have, we're first in line to ask for more space, particularly in the Medispa area, more staff. Obviously, those are always at a premium because everybody else wants to do the same thing that's offering some amenity or service on board. So yes, we talk to them as early as we can and try and switch it up where needed. And to the extent that we can increase the offering and footprint in Medispa wellness, we'll continue to push very hard on those new ships with bigger passenger accounts. But having said that, I mean, NCL's spas are beautiful. They're cutting edge. And I would imagine part of our discussions and negotiations with them on layouts should be positive towards getting us what we need with the Medispa offering.

Gregory Miller

Analyst

I agree having seen some of these ships in person.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Assia Georgieva from Infinity Research.

Assia Georgieva

Analyst

Leonard and Stephen, congratulations on a great quarter and a great outlook for the rest of the year. Again, March 19, thankfully it's over. So. just looking at both from an operational point of view, obviously, things are going very well. And we are going to be -- well, we are seeing growing occupancies. We're not still quite at 2019 levels across all banners. So that, to me, seems an opportunity. Pre-bookings growing, and especially, as you mentioned, on Norwegian, you're not quite yet on all ships. So Q3 would provide another opportunity with a great wave season. So the third point, I guess, I'm trying to make, we have higher-quality passengers, yet one slight offset might be the fact that for one of the banners late Q3 and into Q4, ticket pricing is coming down, therefore, quality of passenger may be coming down. How would you balance this on the operational part? And secondly, in terms of equity structure, balance sheet, buybacks and the potential dividend, you're in better shape seems to me than you have been in the last 5 years. So, really glad that the Board authorized the $50 million opportunistic buyback. And today might not be the date for an opportunistic buyback given how well the stock has reacted. Is the $50 million kind of time limited? Or is this again up to your discretion in terms of what the markets are doing?

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

I'm going to answer the first part. Stephen can answer the second part for you, Assia. But certainly, load factors continue to improve across all the banners. Some may not be quite full in 2019, but overall, load factors are much improved versus the first quarter of 2023. And obviously, we started according to that improvement. So, I'm not too worried about that. And to the extent that some ticket pricing looks a little weaker in the third quarter, the quality of passenger who's buying that cheaper ticket is not necessarily the same passenger coming into the spa. So, I'm not really concerned. And to the extent that we do need to modify anything, which I'm not sure we need to as long as we continue to penetrate around about that 11%, 11.5% of the best passengers, which we target, it should not materially impact us if anything at all. I'll turn the next question over to Stephen.

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Leonard. Assia, the short answer to your question is no, there is no time limit in terms of when we can utilize that authorization. So again, it will be opportunistic and we will buy on weakness.

Assia Georgieva

Analyst

Again, today, it doesn't seem to be the date to do so.

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

Probably not today. Exactly.

Assia Georgieva

Analyst

But I'm very glad to see the lack of opportunity today. So great job. One last question, and I'm not sure that you can answer this in such a public forum. The RCL renewal, would that generally be within standard term, meaning 5 years or so?

Stephen Lazarus

Analyst

It's a multiyear agreement. Yes.

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

Yes, it continues beyond 5 years. So, we're in really good shape with that. So, long runway on both Celebrity and Royal, which we're extremely pleased and honored to have been awarded that contract.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Leonard Fluxman for any closing remarks.

Leonard Fluxman

Analyst

All right. Thank you, and thanks, everybody, for joining us today. I want to, again, congratulate my entire leadership team and the team across all of our ships on land and training, all of our academies. An incredible quarter, continue to execute fantastically. Thank you so much, and we look forward to speaking with all of you when we report second quarter earnings results.

Operator

Operator

You may now disconnect. Thank you.