Earnings Labs

OraSure Technologies, Inc. (OSUR)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 3, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the OraSure Technologies, Incorporated 2021 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Adrian, and I’ll be your operator for today’s call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I’ll now turn the call over to Scott Gleason, Interim CFO. Mr. Gleason, you may begin.

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Good afternoon, and welcome to the OraSure Technologies third quarter 2021 earnings call. I am Scott Gleason, the Interim CFO and SVP of Investor Relations and Communications. Presenting with me today is from OraSure is Dr. Stephen Tang, our President and Chief Executive Officer. As a reminder, today’s webcast is being recorded and a recording along with the presentation accompanying the webcast can be found on our Investor Relations website. Before we begin, you should know that this call may contain certain forward-looking statements, including statements with respect to revenues, expenses, profitability, earnings or loss per share and other financial performance, product development, performance, shipments and markets, business plans, regulatory filings and approvals, expectations and strategies. Actual results could be significantly different. Factors that could affect results are discussed more fully in the company’s SEC filings, including its registration statements, its Annual Reports on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, its quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and its other SEC filings. Although forward-looking statements help to provide complete information about future prospects, listeners should keep in mind that forward-looking statements are based solely on information available to management as of today. The company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after this call. With that, I’m pleased to turn the call over to Dr. Steve Tang.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Thanks, Scott, and thank you to everyone for joining us on the call today. This quarter, OraSure once again delivered strong top line performance with sales of our core products growing 37% year-over-year. As an organization, we began setting the stage for even more rapid growth as we look forward to fiscal year 2022. The global pandemic is providing the impetus to fundamentally transform our company into a higher growth and more innovative organization with broader customer reach, both within and outside the United States. Perhaps as importantly, what we call effortless diagnostics, which are diagnostic products and collection kits that are so simple in design that can be used in any setting are having a watershed moment. Consumers, healthcare workers and regulators are seeing the power of these tests can have on addressing our greatest public health challenges. We see significant opportunity to capitalize on these trends and utilize InteliSwab growth to permanently enhance our operational profile and our competitive positioning through investments in automation and efficiency. We will increasingly talk about these plans as we transition into fiscal year 2022. We remain highly focused on executing on our strategic priorities, including capitalizing on COVID-19 testing opportunity, expanding our sample collection and molecular services businesses and even further, in support of our multi-omics discovery in diagnostics, expanding our global reach and driving innovation with a focus on achieving higher growth for both internal R&D and M&A. I would now like to discuss our progress in each of these areas. First, as we look to the COVID-19 testing opportunity, we are convinced that COVID-19 testing will be an integral part of our business over the long-term. Internal and external market models project testing demand based on vaccination rates in epidemiology and forecast a slow taper in disease instance and testing…

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Thanks, Steve. I’m pleased to discuss our financial results for the third quarter and provide updates on our financial outlook. First, from a top line perspective, we deliver total revenue of $53.9 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to $48 million in the prior year, representing year-over-year growth of 12%. Excluding COVID 19 revenue, our core business grew 37% in the quarter to over $40 million, reflecting a continuation of the strong growth trends we saw last quarter. This quarter, we had record diagnostic revenue, which was $23.5 million versus $16.3 million in the previous year, reflecting 44% growth. This growth was driven primarily by InteliSwab. Our HIV business was relatively flat year-over-year for two reasons. First, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation subsidy for our international HIV self test business expired in the second quarter, which negatively impacted revenue despite test volume growth on a year over year basis. Secondly, we continue to see logistical issues with shipping and with our NGO partners in Africa, which impacted international HIV sales as COVID-19 spiked in much of Africa and Asia this quarter. We anticipate some improvement on this front in the fourth quarter. In terms of domestic HIV testing, there was a recent publication with results from the center for disease controls take me home program, where our OraQuick HIV self test were shipped directly to consumers. The study found that 37% of the high risk consumers receiving a test had never been tested at all in the past and 56% had not been tested for HIV in the last year. This data was very positively received and we are optimistic that it could lead to further utilization of home HIV, self testing. As a reminder, our OraQuick oral fluid HIV test is the only over the counter…

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Thanks, Scott. Our goal all along is to emerge from the pandemic as a larger and faster growing company. We strongly believe that the tailwind behind InteliSwab revenue is longer than most investors give us credit for and will facilitate significant growth investment in the organization in the coming years. We also see additional tangible benefits, such as growing our customer base, expanding our global reach into new markets and demonstrating the significant clinical importance of effortless diagnostics that empower consumers and healthcare workers. Our expertise in this area positions us exceptionally well for the healthcare market of the future. With that, I’d like to turn the call back over to Scott for Q&A.

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Thanks, Steve. Operator, we’re now ready to begin the Q&A portion of the call. We would ask that you limit your questions to one question and one follow-up to ensure broad participation.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We’ll now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Vijay Kumar from Evercore.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi. This is Kevin on for Vijay. And thanks for taking the question. Looking at guidance for 4Q, guide seems to imply a decline in base business growth, excluding COVID. Considering volumes and utilization is normalizing, what is causing the decline? And can you just walk us through the assumptions for 4Q guidance? Thank you.

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Thanks for the question, Kevin. This is Scott. There’s a couple of factors. When we look at the fourth quarter that we mentioned on the call, they’re really driving that sequential change in the core business. The first one is when we look at the molecular kits business, some of our larger and more consumer-focused customers there changed the timing of some of their ordering patterns, where they took more products in the third quarter. And so we would anticipate that that portion of the business being down in the fourth quarter. The second factor is just when you look at the COVID molecular collection kits, we are modeling that business being down sequentially. As I stated on the call, that’s potentially a conservative assumption given some of the conversations we’ve had with our customers, but we feel it’s prudent right now, just given what we know in terms of the outlook. And so those are really the two factors outside of InteliSwab that are driving kind of the core piece downwards on a sequential basis.

Operator

Operator

Vijay, do you have another question?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

No, that’s it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Okay, thank you. And our next question comes from Andrew Cooper from Raymond James. Your line is open.

Andrew Cooper

Analyst

Hey, guys. Thanks for the questions. Maybe first just thinking about sort of the capacity ramps and what’s going on there. Previously, we talked about technology transfer and now we’re hearing about some new things in terms of the incoming raw materials and the processing steps. So are these related or are these kind of new challenges? And can you just give us a little bit more flavor for what these issues are and how you can go about resolving them and how quick that can actually occur?

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes, certainly, Andrew, it’s Steve. These are not different problems than what we expressed after our call in August for the second quarter. What we’ve been doing is narrowing down the factors effectively, and that’s why we have expressed them today in terms of certain raw materials and processing steps. So we are successfully worked the list of potential issues down to a small number. And I think what you can read into this is, first of all, we’re not happy with the situation. We’re not – we’re doing everything we can to resolve it as quickly as possible. Many people are working 24/7 on this. But obviously, when you leave $400 million in customer orders on the table are not able to fulfill them that is highly disappointing. So, I want to say that upfront. Having said that, when we provided our guidance for the fourth quarter, $30 million in InteliSwab sales for 2021 and looked at the ramp to 4 million tests per month in the first quarter next year and then moving to 8 million tests per month by June, all that has built in expectations for the ramp up from here. So it’s not where it needs to be today, clearly, but I think we see the path forward from here. We understand the issues. We’ve gotten experts from our equipment manufacturers, additional expertise in engineering and lateral flow technology. So, we are on it. I think we’re very close to having this fully resolved in the near future.

Andrew Cooper

Analyst

Okay, helpful. And then…

Scott Gleason

Analyst

No, Andrew, I think the only thing I would add to that it’s important to understand that we are scaling on a weekly basis. It’s just not quite yet at the rate that we wanted to be at this point.

Andrew Cooper

Analyst

Understood. Understood. Okay. And then maybe as a related follow-up and then I’ll stop. Just as we think about the government contract in terms of the big purchase order and that volume or that capacity that you’re expecting to reach, it doesn’t necessarily leave a ton to try to – a ton of slack to hit the full $205 million purchase. How do we think about maybe timing of the shipments there? And then what’s left to necessarily go out to the more kind of traditional market? How do we think about what the mix might look like from that perspective?

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes, Andrew. So we receive orders from the government on a weekly basis and we’re working the product mix in real-time here. But I think we’ve shared previously, the preponderance of the government orders are going to be in 2022, so we’re just starting with them. And the government has actually been very responsive to our need to supply commercial customers. Part of the $400 million in customer order demand that we cited in our call are not only driven by retailers like Walgreens and Walmarts, but there are large Fortune 500 employers who are buying in bulk for testing and programs, probably in anticipation of the Department of Labor and OSHA regulations, which will come on stream fairly soon. So I think we can work the product mix in a way that’s favorable to our bottom line and that’s a discussion we have with the government every week.

Andrew Cooper

Analyst

Okay, great. I’ll stop there. I know we wanted to limit it. I might hop in back at the end. Thanks.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Thank you.

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Thanks, Andrew.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Brandon Couillard from Jefferies. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey, guys. It’s Matt on for Brandon. I just want to add one on the M&A pipeline, Steven. You noted you’re evaluating a number of opportunities, especially in the area of next-gen diagnostics. I think you coined it effortless diagnostics. Just add a little more color on the pipeline today, if it’s a little bit more actionable than maybe it has been in the past. And then as we think about any potential deals, kind of talk about more tuck-ins where you can build out the menu over time versus something that could be potentially more transformative. Thank you.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes. Certainly on that. So we’ve been talking about the deal flow for some time. And obviously, that change is depending on the circumstances and willing sellers, let me put it that way. Today, I think we’ve never seen a more robust pipeline than we have for the rest of the year. And you’re absolutely right, we have called out effortless diagnostics and next-generation platforms and that’s certainly an area we’re interested in. But they’re also, as you said, tuck-in opportunities like the deals that we’ve done over the past three years, CoreBiome, Diversigen, Novosanis, et cetera, UrSure. These are all companies that could have impact in the three to five-year time period. But there are bigger deals out there that we’re looking at. And I think that our ability to transact has never been better given what the prospects are right now in the pipeline.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Super. Thank you.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Frank Takkinen from Lake Street Capital. Your line is open.

Frank Takkinen

Analyst

Steve, Scott, thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to start with the $400 million in orders you referenced. Give us a little bit more color on that if you can. And specifically how much of that do you think is still up for grabs versus how much of that was maybe a function of delta variant spiking and individuals rushing out to shore up their inventory in relation to that. So just maybe give us a little feel into the durability of that $400 million.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes, certainly, Frank. Thanks for the question. It’s hard to say how much of that $400 million we can convert because circumstances change over time. But I think you’re right in calling out the demand initially based on delta variant. But I think also in the factors that matter, back to school and back to work programs are still underway today. And there’s been an endemic shortage of rapid antigen test, not only from us but from other manufacturers as well. So we expect to convert some of that $400 million. We can’t say exactly how much. We – customers – we kept in touch with these customers throughout this process and have tried to schedule when we can have capacity to meet their needs. And so we expect some of them to come back, probably not all of them to come back based on the circumstances. But the other thing which I think is very important is the use of rapid antigen test is a new phenomenon for everybody. This is not something that people have been used to doing routinely, weekly, daily, whatever the case may be based on your exposure pattern to other people. But they’re starting to understand it, which I think is driving initial awareness and demand. And then as I mentioned previously, Department of Labor, OSHA requirements for testing in vaccination, I think, will be make clearer what the need is for anybody that’s convening people together, whether they’re employers or sports stadiums or concert venues, nursing homes, prisons, et cetera. We’ll have a tighter, I think, specification, what’s needed and the requirements for employers from there. So we’re very optimistic that there’s going to be reoccurring demand and that’s why we pointed to the durability of this opportunity for OraSure.

Frank Takkinen

Analyst

And then just a follow-up for Scott. I heard a lot of moving pieces in gross margins. I heard your comment about Q4 likely to be similar to Q3. Maybe give us a little sense to how gross margins you feel will look once we get through the different manufacturing and scale up inefficiencies that we’re experiencing now, some goalpost would be fantastic if we can think about getting back to the 50% range or if it’s 40% range anything in that area would be great.

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Frank, I think it’s important, first off, just to point out, we had a kind of a number of transitory factors this quarter, right? We cited the issues associated with the InteliSwab scale up. We’re just not efficiently utilizing our overhead. We’re doing a lot of employee training as we get ready for a manufacturing at higher levels. And so that was a major issue in the quarter. We also had the reserve of $1.8 million, which had a pretty significant impact on the margins this quarter. And then the other piece is the exploration of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation subsidy. I think when you look to next year and you think about our margin structure, I think when you think about the core business, the core business obviously depends on mix. But the core business, our gross margin structure currently is in kind of the mid to high-50s. And then obviously, we have the InteliSwab component, right, which will be at a lower gross margin. And so hopefully, that gives you a little bit of granularity in terms of kind of how to think about the overall margin structure next year.

Frank Takkinen

Analyst

Got it. That’s helpful. Thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Vijay Kumar from Evercore.

Vijay Kumar

Analyst

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Steve, one, I just want to make sure I understand the Q4 base business trajectory. My math 2Q base revenues were $40 million, right. We had a total of $54 million with collection InteliSwab was about 14-ish. The guidance for Q4, is it implying a sequential step down from the $40 million for the base business? Look, historically, your Q4 revenues have been higher than 2Q and from everything that we’ve been hearing, utilization is getting back to normalcy post the disruption in the third quarter. Can you just talk about the base business sequential should be above or below the $40 million that we saw in 3Q?

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes. Vijay, thanks for the question. I’ll state the top line and then Scott can give you detail. This is similar to a previous question, though. What’s driving that sequential step down in the fourth quarter in the base business is timing for our Genomics sector within Molecular Solutions. And so it’s saliva collection kits, primarily driven by consumer-based companies who change their buying behavior. You may recall historically that the fourth quarter is when they normally made their big buys, in this case, they made their big buys in the third quarter. So it was a timing issue primarily related around that particular issue.

Vijay Kumar

Analyst

Understood. And just on a couple of clarification on that questions. Scott, did you say core gross margins from mid to high-50s? And if I did hear that that correctly, pre-pandemic, you guys were running at 60, 60-plus. What’s caused as gross margins to step down to the mid to upper-50s?

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Yes, Vijay. There’s been a couple of drivers there. The first one is really kind of related to product mix, right, as we look at some of the mix issues. Now, when we talk about core, we’re obviously also excluding the COVID collection kits, which are one of our highest gross margin businesses. The second piece, which has kind of driven some changes is the expiration of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation subsidy. And so when we look at our international business, the gross margins for that business are quite a bit lower than the overall gross margins. And then the third component is really tied to similar things that other companies are seeing in terms of shipping costs and labor costs have obviously been on the rise. And so it’s really those three factors that have really driven the changes that we’ve seen there.

Vijay Kumar

Analyst

Understood. And Steve, just one, the last one for you. On the code manufacturing side, the $4 million monthly run rate in January, is that now – have all issues been resolved and are there still outstanding issues? Are there any risk to hitting that $4 million in Jan? And if we do hit $4 million a month on the production side, what’s the right way to think about code assumptions for fiscal 2022 for antigen revenues?

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes. So Vijay, we haven’t given guidance for InteliSwab revenue for 2022, at least not yet. And the way you think about the $4 million is, that’s our current projection based on our current course and speed of manufacturing, okay. So like anything else, there is risk in that. But that takes into account the time frame that we believe we need to do to solve the issues that we have in hand related to raw material variability and certain processing stuff variability. So that $4 million just ties to the – what we’ve stated before, which is 70 million units of InteliSwab per year, which also takes into account that in our base business, there’s somewhere around 15 million to 20 million units for the OraQuick platform embedded in that. So those numbers do tie together based on our machine capacity and also our time frame for fully resolving the manufacturing issues.

Vijay Kumar

Analyst

What are these issues, Steve, the manufacturing issues? Is that, maybe in simplistic firms, basic blocking and tackling or would be something perhaps more of a process related change that could have some risk?

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Well, they’re not process related changes. It’s the same process and bill of goods and processing steps that we’ve had from the EUA process on. So the challenge has been moving from more of a manual process to an automated process. And so that’s where – when and where the issues became apparent as we shared in August. And so we’ve been working diligently. So I want to be clear, there are not any new problems that have developed since we reported in August. And in fact, we’ve narrowed our sights on the critical few, involving raw materials and certain processing steps.

Vijay Kumar

Analyst

Understood. Thanks, guys.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Thanks, Vijay.

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Thanks, Vijay.

Operator

Operator

Okay. Our next question comes from Patrick Donnelly from Citi. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

This is [indiscernible] on for Patrick. I was wondering if you guys could touch on, I guess, what you’re seeing in hiring retention and wages. I know we’ve talking about couple of other companies and there’s some issues there given inflation and everything. I was wondering if you guys could expand upon that. Thank you.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Certainly, Elizabeth. It’s no doubt a tight labor market and we’ve experienced that primarily in the Lehigh Valley, where we’re hiring to ramp up for InteliSwab, particularly in the manufacturing area. Having said that, I think we are getting traction of late in filling key roles. But this is an endemic issue today. I think there’s a – I think it was a macro view that came out a week or so ago that said that labor costs have gone up in the past quarter more so than they have been in previous quarters for some time. So we’re not immune to that phenomenon. But I think we are successful in hiring folks. I think the most successful we’ve been is when we hire folks that are referred by other employees. And so I think there’s a stickiness to that sort of retention when somebody knows that somebody else is at the company and that continues to, I think, give us good employees that stay with us for the long-term.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you. And just as a follow-up, are you guys seeing any impact from the nursing shortage unemployment there? Thank you.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

I don’t think we can identify anything from the nursing shortage perspective. No, not particularly.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

You’re welcome.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Andrew Cooper from Raymond James.

Andrew Cooper

Analyst

Hi, thanks for let me hop back in. Maybe just to talk about something that’s not COVID for a minute here. You talked about having submitted to the FDA for the GUT – the commercial GUT microbiome product. Can you give us a little bit of flavor for the use cases you see there and where you think we are in the process of having some of those things that have historically been a little bit more on the research side and not really kind of true commercial, where are we in terms of those things hitting more of a commercial use case in a commercial market?

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes, Andrew. Thanks. This is a lot like skating to where the puck is going to be, right. And so what we have in-store for this FDA-cleared device for the microbiome is for its use in clinical trials. So when you need a FDA-cleared device for that process, and there are several of our customers, which we reported back in August, who are in therapeutic development programs, Phase 1, Phase 2 clinical trials, et cetera. In addition, there is an inherent reliability when you have an FDA-cleared device, even though you may not need it immediately. So this is very similar to where we were with our saliva collection device, early days in 2015, 2016, where we took the steps to get that device cleared. And then the FDA, as everyone knows, required of consumer genomics companies that have their protocols, FDA cleared. And so we were in the right place and the right time based on our investments in moving through FDA clearance for saliva collection device and we’re doing the same for the microbiome. So I think we are arriving at the point of an inflection for commercial use for our product in clinical trials and beyond. So I think that we see similar here, which is based on our own experience, and that’s what we’re planning for.

Andrew Cooper

Analyst

Okay, great. I’ll stop there. Thanks, again.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Thanks, Andrew.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Jacob Johnson from Stephens. Your line is open.

Jacob Johnson

Analyst

Hey, good evening, everybody. Steve, something you called out in your comments and in your deck is that the increased investment in your internal R&D pipeline. Can you want to talk about kind of what the initiative is there? And then maybe for Scott, if you could just kind of help frame up how we should think about the pickup in R&D expenses maybe as we head into 4Q and beyond that to the extent you want to?

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Yes. Certainly, Jacob. So I’ll start with some of the products that I mentioned in the call here. We’re working towards an HIV self-test to be cleared in Europe next year. We’re working towards a PrEP adherence product. We’re working towards the 510 clear device for the microbiome, which I just mentioned, as well as the metatranscriptone product and service offering for the microbiome as well. And not to big note in all this is a cost reduction for our InteliSwab product, which is good, which we’re moving through online as well. So there are a number of key activities here that we’ve outlined and highlighted, which I think will be – give us engines for growth through these innovations, and that’s why we’re making the investments today.

Scott Gleason

Analyst

Yes. And Jacob, I would just add to that. Obviously, it hasn’t been lost on us with the significant uptick in revenue we’re going to see with InteliSwab next year. One of the things we’ve looked to do is to enhance and build out our internal R&D function. And so that will be part of a process that will be starting really as we go into next year. Right now you’re also seeing some increased research and development spend associated specifically with the InteliSwab. And so the studies that we are running for the EUA label expansions, for instance, those are all really hit in the second half of the year here. And so those are also part of the cost. Our study for CE Mark will obviously be in there. And so there’s several things ongoing on the InteliSwab front.

Jacob Johnson

Analyst

Got it. I leave it there. Thanks for taking the questions.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

You’re welcome.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions. I’ll turn the call back over to Stephen for final remarks.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Thank you all for…

Operator

Operator

Somebody just stepped in.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

Okay. One more, right.

Operator

Operator

Yes. Let me just take Stephen Tang – no, dropped, nevermind. I’ll turn back over to Stephen, sorry.

Stephen Tang

Analyst

No worries. Thank you, everyone, for participating in our call today and your continued interest in OraSure. We wish you a great afternoon and evening, wherever you are. Stay safe and be well. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today’s question-and-answer session and conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.