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Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Thu, May 9, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Ormat Technologies First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] And please note that today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Josh Carroll with Alpha IR. Please go ahead.

Joshua Carroll

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Hosting the call today are Doron Blachar, Chief Executive Officer; Assi Ginzburg, Chief Financial Officer; and Smadar Lavi, Vice President of Investor Relations and ESG Planning and Reporting. Before beginning we would like to remind you that the information provided during this call may contain forward-looking statements relating to current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections of future events and are forward-looking as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements generally relate to the company's plans, objectives and expectations for future operations and are based on management's current estimates and projections, future results or trends. Actual future results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risks and uncertainties. For the discussion of such risk and uncertainties, please see risk factors as described in Ormat Technologies annual report on Form 10-k and current reports on Form 10-Q that are filed with the SEC. In addition, during the call, the company will present non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITA. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures and management reasons for presenting such information is set forth in the press release that was issued last night as well as in the slides posted on the website. Because these measures are not calculated in accordance with GAAP, they should not be considered in isolation from a financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. Before I turn the call over to management, I'd like to remind everyone that a slide presentation accompanying this call may be accessed on the company's website at ormat.com under the presentation link that's found on the Investor Relations tab. With all that said, I would now like to turn the call over to Doron Blachar. Doron, the call is yours.

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Thank you, Josh and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. During the first quarter, Ormat delivered strong financial results driven by improved operating performance and continued growth across all 3 segments. This quarter, the company saw a 21% increase in total revenues, a 25.5% rise in earnings per diluted share and 14.4% increase in adjusted EBITDA when compared to the first quarter of last year. The first quarter results were fueled by organic growth that includes the successful execution of our strategic plan and enhance operational efficiency at existing facilities, which together contributed more than 50% of the increase in revenues and in EBITDA. In addition, these results were positively impacted by the recent acquisition of assets from Enel Green Power, North America. Our electricity segment continued to drive growth. This quarter, record results reflect an impressive improvement in operational performance at Puna and at our Heber 1 facility, which was partially operational during the prior year quarter. Furthermore, the new capacity we added last year in North Valley and Dixie Valley and the new acquired assets added this year helped grow our electricity segment economics relative to the comparable prior year period and also offset the impact of business interruption insurance income of $6.7 million included in last year's first quarter results. In the storage segment, we experienced a greater degree of stability in revenues from several new projects launched in 2023 that helped improve the segment's gross margin. The East Flemington project that came online in the first quarter also contributed to our results and we expect the Bottleneck project to come online towards the end of the second quarter. In our product segment, our backlog has continued to stay strong due to the growing demand for geothermal products with year-to-date revenues increasing by an impressive 147%. Since the beginning of the year, we added including the Enel assets, 130 megawatts of new generating capacity. Combined with the potential uplift from our successful drilling campaign in Kenya and the macro drivers, we are confident in meeting both our long-term capacity expansion goals and our financial targets for 2024 and beyond. On a macro base, the global demand for renewable energy continues to grow, driven by increasing environmental concerns, supportive government policies, attractive power purchase agreements and increased renewable demand, including from data centers. Our diverse portfolio of geothermal, solar and energy storage solutions positions us well to capitalize on these favorable tailwinds. Now before I provide further updates on our operations and plans, I will turn the call over to Assi to review the financial results. Assi?

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst · Derek Podhaizer from Barclays

Thank you, Doron. Let me start my review of our financial highlights on Slide 5. Total revenue for the fourth quarter was $224.2 million, up 21% year-over-year. This was driven by growth across all 3 segments. Ormat's first quarter 2024 gross profit was $78.8 million, up by 3.6% versus $76.1 million in the first quarter of 2023, resulting in a consolidated gross margin of 35.3%. Net income attributable to the company stockholders was $38.6 million or $0.64 per diluted share in the quarter compared to $29 million or $0.51 per diluted share in the first quarter of the prior year. Excluding onetime M&A expenses related to the Enel recent acquisition, our adjusted net income attributable to the company's stockholders was $39.6 million or $0.65 per diluted share. This represents a significant increase of 36.5% in adjusted net income attributable to the company's stockholders and 27.5% in EPS compared to the same quarter last year. The solid earnings and EPS growth were mainly the result of the new assets added to the portfolio relative to last year's first quarter and a lower tax rate as we continue to capture benefit from the IRA tax credit. Adjusted EBITDA of $141.2 million increased 14.4% in the first quarter compared to $123.5 million in the prior year period. The year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA was driven by growth in all 3 segments, with the electricity segment leading the increase largely, as a result of better performance of operating assets that led to increased generation, the commercial operation of North Valley last year, the inclusion of the new acquired Enel assets in our portfolio and a larger contribution from tax equity transactions, offset by $6.7 million of business interruption insurance income recorded last year related to Puna. On Slide 5, we break down the revenue…

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Thank you, Assi. Turning to Slide 11 for a look at our electricity segment operating portfolio. As previously mentioned, generation growth in our core electricity segment was positively impacted by several CODs that occurred last year after the first quarter and the COD of Steamboat Solar this year. In addition, generation grew from the contribution of the newly acquired geothermal and solar assets. Our Puna complex also helped drive generation growth during the quarter as its generating capacity continued to ramp up relative to last year, running at 30 megawatts over the last 2 quarters. This further accomplished by increased generation at Heber 1. In total, we added 110 megawatts since the beginning of the year to the electricity segment portfolio and grew the generation by 7.9%. Turning to Slide 12 for an update on our operating footprint. At our Olkaria power plant in Kenya, our operational teams are continuing to work to increase capacity and we are currently operating at close to 130 megawatts. Our drilling campaign in Olkaria has continued to show positive results and we continue to believe that the connection of the new wells will both support generation upside and improve future performance. In Guadeloupe, as announced before, we signed a 30-year PPA with EDF for the development of a new 10-megawatt geothermal power plant, which helps support our capacity growth target and strategically expand our presence in the attractive Caribbean region. The new geothermal plant will be added to our existing 50 megawatts [ Bouillante ]. This and the expected 10-megawatt Dominica power plant currently under development will bring our total geothermal capacity in the Caribbean region to 35 megawatts once the plants become operational in 2025. And on the strategic front, on Slide 13, we announced in January that we completed the acquisition of…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Noah Kaye from Oppenheimer.

Andre Stillman Adams

Analyst · Oppenheimer

You've got Andre Adams on for Noah. So the first question would be, you've seen good performance so far from the Enel asset. Can you give us a little bit more color on how you're proceeding with the previously announced capacity upgrades? And if you could provide any more detail on the new opportunities you're pursuing with those assets, whether they're greenfield or brownfield specifically?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Thank you. This is Doron. So then, as we said, we're performing a little bit better than what we expected as part of the acquisition. The enhancement that we plan to have by the end of '25 are on track. We actually started already in one of them, the engineering part. And with the other 2, we are finalizing our detailed plan and we'll start engineering and manufacturing immediately afterwards. So things are on track as we expected. The improved enhancement that we see, we actually have spoken with our off-taker in -- mainly in Cove Fort and there is a very strong -- there's a very strong demand for additional megawatts and we are working with him to see if we can increase the interconnection and the PPA, which is very much in favor. We do believe the resource and support more -- existing resource can support more megawatts than what we anticipated originally. And so that these 3 stars will align, we'll be able to do more than what we have expected. It might move the enhancement a few months forward, but it will be more done. So these are brownfield. And since we do see this very strong demand over there, we believe that we might be able to expedite also the greenfield which was forecast a few years down the road, but we might be able to bring it a bit earlier.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Justin Clare from ROTH MKM.

Justin Clare

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

So I wanted to start off here just -- you had mentioned data centers earlier and there's obviously pretty strong demand for firm renewable power from data centers. So wondering if you could just speak to the opportunity that you're seeing there for Ormat to serve that need, whether from the geothermal side of your business or from the storage side of your business?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

Well, as you said, the market today is very -- in very strong demand from the utilities, but also from the data centers. We've been approached already by a few data centers that are looking for green and base load renewable energy. We are discussing with them. And geothermal, it is specific sites, we are discussing with them exactly how we can connect to them to make sure that they can get the green energy that they are looking for. And I hope that in the next few months, we'll have some more updates to you, but we are in discussion with some of them. The pricing over there are very high. The pricing that we see in the PPA from the utilities, if we talked in the past in the $80s, I can say today that the discussions for geothermal are in the $90s and above that even. So there's a lot of demand and we're trying to see how we can generate more and more electricity from our facilities.

Justin Clare

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

And then maybe shifting over. You did mention that you've had success in the drilling campaign with your Olkaria facility and there's potential upside to the generation there. I was wondering if you could just speak to the time frame at which we could potentially anticipate more capacity coming online? And then can you remind us, do you need to update the PPA as you increase capacity there? And then is there any potential change to the PPA pricing either for the existing capacity or for the new capacity?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

So thank you. So I'll start with [indiscernible] PPA for 150 megawatts with the existing pricing. This is what we have signed and that's what we can reach. Above 150, we'll obviously need to negotiate an additional PPA. The drilling campaign was very, very successful. We're able to drill to the deep reservoir, which is structurally a new reservoir for us. We see on occasional days, very, very high generation above or close to 140 megawatts. But it's not yet stable. We expect towards the end of the year, we will be able to make some adjustment to the partner. And hopefully, by that time, we'll be able to generate closer to 140 megawatts. But we are very, very encouraged with the campaign that we did. It went to a totally new reservoir and it was very successful.

Justin Clare

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

And then just one more on storage. We've heard the pricing for batteries continues to trend lower here. So just wondering if you could update us on what you're seeing. We've also heard that there's potentially more favorable terms being offered from suppliers. And wondering, could this affect your CapEx expectations moving forward here? And I guess, maybe could you also comment on the project returns for storage and how attractive those might be?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

So we definitely see the price of batteries going down. It will help us to release more projects with higher returns. We are able to see a low double-digit returns on our project [ IRR ] on the storage. We do see between the battery suppliers, although most of them are from China, competition between them where they are trying to get more market share between one and other. But we definitely see -- we feel more comfortable today with securing batteries, contracts. The delivery times of batteries have become much faster than in the past. In the past it would have been 18 months, sometimes even more than today. You can get between 12- to 18-month delivery time. So definitely, the market on the battery side has changed significantly and we hope and expect it to continue.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Levine from Citi.

Ryan Levine

Analyst · Ryan Levine from Citi

To follow up on some of the earlier comments, you mentioned opportunities to pursue developments with some of these data center customers at about $10 per megawatt up above previous pricing. What markets are you targeting for that customer base? Is this some of the Western U.S. states or other parts of the world?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Ryan Levine from Citi

At this stage, we are targeting purely the western part of the U.S. We had some discussions about supplying somebody that will build data center someplace on the international front. But we see this is very early. But if somebody will decide to develop a data center in Guatemala or Kenya, we'll be very happy to supply him with green energy from our facilities over there.

Ryan Levine

Analyst · Ryan Levine from Citi

And in the slide deck, as highlighted the successful campaign in Kenya. Can you provide a little more color around the markers of that success or what you're seeing from that drilling campaign?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Ryan Levine from Citi

The campaign basically is split into 2. On one hand we drilled into our existing reservoir, which is relatively shallow, which was okay to support the existing generation. But we also drill towards the deep reservoir. Deep I mean, around 10,000 feet which is the deepest that we've drilled, Ormat has drilled so far. And here, it is very good reservoir. It has potential to increase the generation to the area of the 140 megawatts. We've seen that for a short period of time, but we need to make some adjustment to the partner in order to be able to accept this strong resource. And we expect that to happen towards the end of the year.

Ryan Levine

Analyst · Ryan Levine from Citi

And last quarter, you had highlighted some trade route redirection to away from the Suez Canal. Is that still going on? Is there a way to quantify the impact to your business from margins or outlook?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Ryan Levine from Citi

The change of route that we mentioned happened and once it happened, it doesn't change to take it into account. So the shipping time is extended by 2 weeks. And once you aligned all your projects, all your manufacturing and delivery times to that, then it doesn't impact anymore.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your next question comes from the line of Derek Podhaizer from Barclays.

Derek Podhaizer

Analyst · Derek Podhaizer from Barclays

Maybe just to continue the conversation on Kenya. Could you provide us an update on the collections progress and whether you're collecting in USD or not?

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst · Derek Podhaizer from Barclays

As we mentioned last year, we do expect improvement in the collection in Kenya. Over the quarter, you will see it in our cash flow. Our operational cash flow was one of the probably, the strongest ever in Ormat history. I think it was close to $120 million received on the presentation. And it was supported by a very good collection in Kenya. We collected in the last 4 months in addition to the current billing over $25 million. So almost $60 million in 4-months collection. I don't think we've seen as much in the last few years. The dollar in Kenya, we do see a shift. They had a very successful bond offering for the government. And as a result, the currency is in a much better situation. And I can tell you that we are very pleased with the situation in Kenya these days.

Derek Podhaizer

Analyst · Derek Podhaizer from Barclays

Maybe just expand on the $150 million you're expecting in cash payments from the PTC ITC. We saw $29 million first quarter. So maybe walk us through how that will step up for the remainder of the year, just as you see it today?

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst · Derek Podhaizer from Barclays

So just to explain, the $150 million is a cash item, not all of it will flow through the P&L. The 2 largest items in that are 2 cash equity transactions that we plan to make this year, one for the Heber power plant that is already operating and one for the Beowawe power plant that is basically, as we speak, starting to operate. So those combined will bring close to $100 million of that $150 million. In addition to that, we have 2 storage assets that are coming online this year. One has already came online, which is East Flemington. And the second one, which is Pomona, which is very close to start operating in the next few weeks. So between those 2, we expect to get roughly $35 million to $40 million of cash. So when you combine those, this is almost all of the $150 million. The remaining is PTC transfer, mostly for the Heber power plant that we generated last year and this year, we're generating around $4 million quarter of PTC over there. So when you think about it, some of it will flow to the P&L, all of the ITC storage would flow to the P&L. All of the PTCs transfer will flow to the P&L. And then the tax equity transactions on the geothermal which is roughly $100 million will flow to the P&L over the next 8, 9 years evenly. But the most important thing is that we're expecting $150 million in cash. When you combine it with our very strong EBITDA this year, it gets us to a point that Ormat almost is fully covering all of its needs, including all the growth CapEx, which we haven't been in that situation for years.

Derek Podhaizer

Analyst · Derek Podhaizer from Barclays

And then maybe just lastly on the CapEx. I noticed in the deck it was revised up $550 million to $570 million for '24. It looks like it's all in storage. So maybe some color on that. What's driving the increase to your CapEx budget for the year?

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst · Derek Podhaizer from Barclays

What we see on storage is 2 things that are really helping us pre-releasing projects that you don't see their names yet. The first thing is, as mentioned on the call before by Doron, battery prices are down close to 50% versus 2 years ago. So that -- this has enabled us to release more projects. So that's one thing that we are already building project. And second, PPA prices are almost at the level that they were before the IRA came in. So we are in a very strong demand for PPAs on one hand. And then battery prices are coming down. So we are pre-releasing more projects. Some of it includes buying some batteries for those projects and therefore, you see some increase. But what will happen next in the next few quarters, you will see us bringing more projects to you guys, maybe even as early as between now and year-end. Maybe we'll talk about it in the Analyst Day, but there are more projects that are coming online and therefore were increasing. We don't see an increase in the current project CapEx. Actually, we see a decrease. So it's coming from new projects.

Operator

Operator

And your next question is from the line of Jeff Osborne from TD Cowen.

Jeffrey Osborne

Analyst · Jeff Osborne from TD Cowen

Just 2 quick ones. I might have missed it, but did you provide an update or could you provide an update on the domestic storage battery supply that you're aiming to achieve? I think that was later this year, early next.

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst · Jeff Osborne from TD Cowen

At this point, it looks like the best route is to focus and buy Chinese manufacture batteries. Of course, we're talking to many manufacturers to see who will be the first one that will start producing in the U.S. to try to [ titrate ]. We also see that this may way to get the domestic content even when buying Chinese batteries, it is still very preliminary. But for example, it looks like Tesla that does buy outside the U.S. battery cells are eligible or at least potentially eligible for the domestic content. So there are 2 route, just to be clear. One, to buy use manufactured batteries, they don't exist yet. And it will be probably slightly more expensive. And the second route is to see is there a way to buy Chinese manufacture batteries and to make enough work on them to make them eligible for the extra 10%. But I will say one thing. We did see a few weeks ago that there were new map of battery of areas that will be eligible for energy community additional 10%. And it might be this indication that some of our projects that we have on the books today that we thought that we'll have a 30% BRAC, actually going to get to 40% because of the area that they are. So there are positive things on both sides. I just want to make a comment I responded earlier and I said that the ITC is related to Pomona. We just said the ITC is related to Bottleneck, which is a project that we -- it cost us slightly over $100 million and has a 40% ITC percentage eligible for it.

Jeffrey Osborne

Analyst · Jeff Osborne from TD Cowen

And the last one I had is just can you remind us, is there any renewals that you have coming up in the next 2 to 3 years? Certainly, there's a lot of demand for green base load power like you offer just was unclear to me. With the existing assets, do you have any renewals that would be up for potentially signing at a much higher price?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Jeff Osborne from TD Cowen

So we have a list of the projects on the presentation that are coming online in the coming years. We have some renewals that are coming on as well as new contracts, [indiscernible] Beowawe is one of them, which is an enhancement and change of the contract. We have Heber that is changing in '26. We have the Galena and Steamboat that also expect to change end of PPA and go to the new PPA towards the '26, '27.

Jeffrey Osborne

Analyst · Jeff Osborne from TD Cowen

But just to be clear, Doron, I thought many of those -- weren't those for the 150 megawatts combined, I think it was that you signed a couple of years ago for LADWP, the Southern California Basin, or no?

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Jeff Osborne from TD Cowen

Some of them are for LADWP. Some of them are for NV Energy. Somehow we are negotiating the Heber 1 is none -- is to none of those. So we are negotiating today a PPA, kind of PPA with SCPPA that ends the end of '25 and we are now negotiating a new PPA for the extension. We have quite a lot of demand for it. So I think we have all of them going into existing portfolio PPAs and some to new ones. We're also looking to see how we can optimize the existing PPAs as we sign to make sure that it's a win-win situation for both partners.

Operator

Operator

And that concludes the Q&A session for today. I will now turn the conference back over to Doron for closing remarks.

Doron Blachar

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Okay. Thank you, everyone, for joining us. The quarter was a very good quarter. The demand that we see in the U.S. from utilities and data centers is very, very strong and increasing and obviously pushing PTA pricing up. We see the improved operations in Puna that is doing -- that is done in the quarter over 30 megawatts and is continuing like that and the success campaign in Olkaria. So we're very encouraged for this year and for the coming years and we look forward to see all of you in New York at our Investors and Analyst Day in June. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining us. Enjoy the rest of your day. You may now disconnect.