Isaac Angel
Analyst · JP Morgan. Please go ahead. Mr. Coster, you may proceed
Thank you very much, Doron, starting with Slide 20 for an update on operations. As I mentioned in my opening remarks, this was a very good year for Ormat, and I would like to elaborate on some of the achievements being accomplished. We have discussed few times in 2015, the joint venture with Northleaf Partners through which we monetize the portion of our portfolio and provided the company with additional capital for expansion. The partnership has progressed exactly as we hoped it would and we expect to add the second phase of Don Campbell power plant with the joint venture in the first half of 2016. We also successfully completed the share exchange transaction with our former parent entity, Ormat Industries. The net result of this transaction increase the public float of our stock from approximately 40% to approximately 76% of our total shares outstanding, which helped to expand and improve our liquidity. This transaction also streamlined and simplified Ormat’s corporate structure. With these two milestones, serving as a foundation, we share with the market a new multi-year strategic plan for long-term sustainable growth at an Analyst Day in March in New York. This plan involved facility optimization to maximize profitability, geographic expansion, and market expansion involving Ormat transitioning from a leader in geothermal energy to a global leader in renewable energy. During the year, we have refined and started to implement a number of the elements of the new plant and pleased to report that we made significant steps to gain each of these components of our strategy. Moving to Slide 21; we made improvements in all aspects of our value chain with using manufacturing lead-time, improving management control and procurement. This process translates into a significant improvement in gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margin, if [indiscernible] on the Electricity segment on Slide 22, generation in 2015 was 4.8 million megawatt hour compared to 4.5 million megawatt hour in 2014, which represents 8.6% increase primarily as a result of the second phase of Don Campbell and McGinness power plants that commenced operation in 2015. We have made planned level adjustments, designed to optimize our electricity generation including the elimination of older or less efficient components with the goal of improving profitability. This progress is evident in the financial results we are reporting today. We see improvement in the adjusted EBITDA per megawatt with the similar levels in 2015 compared to 2014, despite commodity impact on revenues. We see a significant reduction in O&M cost and we see a reduction in CapEx per megawatt from a range of $4.5 million to $5 million per megawatt to a range of $4 million to $4.5 million per megawatt. We believe that new capacity that was recently added from Olkaria power plant in Kenya should further improve operation margins, which will in turn drive higher levels of adjusted EBITDA and profitability. Turning to Slide 23, we also made progress in our geographic expansion goals as evidenced by the recent announcement the signing of binding Memorandum of Understanding to acquire, gradually, 85% of geothermal power plant in the Island of Guadeloupe. As we stated at the Analyst Day, growth through M&A is a key part of our overall strategy. Our strong balance sheet positions Ormat well to execute additional strategic execution – acquisitions. As it relates to our goal of expanding our technological and geographical base in the geothermal market, we announced the milestone collaboration with Toshiba. For nearly five decades, Ormat is focused on and maintain a leadership position with low to medium to the geothermal projects. Toshiba is the recognized leader in the higher-end of the technology. Together, Ormat and Toshiba are well positioned to bid on and win product contracts as well as potential projects based on the combined technologies of these two leaders. Already we are seeing expansion of opportunities related to this collaboration. Finally, looking this market expansion to new activities, we are evaluating several solar PV projects outside the U.S., as well as storage projects in the U.S. Turning to Slide 24 to an operation update. Our current generation capacity increased to nearly 700 megawatts. We made a few adjustments to reflect the updated status of our generating capacity. We increased McGinness Hills and Don Campbell complexes generating capacity to 83 megawatts and 41 megawatts respectively to reflect the enhanced performance of these plants. The generation capacity of Ormesa complex was reduced to 42 megawatts mainly to a permanent shutdown of one of the steam turbines and some of the old OECs not that we optimized plant performance. Turning to Slide 25; we’ve continued to expand our portfolio of geothermal plants. In January, we’ll reach commercial operation of Plant 4 in Olkaria III complex in Kenya. This expansion increased the complex total generation capacity by 29 megawatts to 139 megawatts. Together with the McGinness Hills and Don Campbell second phase in the last 12 months, we commenced commercial operation of three new power plants in an aggregate capacity of over 90 megawatts. All three plants were constructed and start operation well ahead of planned schedule and will contribute to 2016 revenues. We will not have been achieved – we will not have been able to achieve this, if we don’t have an in-house products division. Again reinforcing the importance are vertically integrated and well balanced business model. Moving to Slide 26 for an update on projects under construction. We plan to add 160 megawatts to 190 megawatts by the end of 2018 by bringing new plants online, expanding existing plants as well as adding capacity from a recent acquisition. As part of this expansion plan, we recently announced the commencement of construction of the Platanares geothermal project in Honduras. In December 2015, we concluded the drilling activity as well as extensive tests that support our decision to construct a 35 megawatt project, which is larger than initially estimated. The project expects to reach commercial operation by the end of 2017. We also initiated development of efforts in two projects in Nevada: Tungsten Mountain and Dixie Meadows are each expected to generate 25 megawatts to 35 megawatts, once they come online in 2017 or 2018. We have drilled several exploration wells both sides. And while drilling activities ongoing, we are making progress towards securing PPAs. We believe that these projects may qualify for the production tax credit. In Sarulla, Indonesia, engineering and procurement for the first phase is completed, while in progress for the other two phases. The construction for the first phase is in progress. The infrastructure work has been substantially completed. The major equipment including Ormat’s OECs and Toshiba’s steam turbine for the first phase have arrived to the country, larger portion already at the site. The drilling of production injection wells is also in-progress for all three phases, but currently the project company is experiencing some delays mainly in the meeting some of the drilling milestones as well as few EPC milestones. It should also be noted that project is facing some cost overruns resulting mainly from drilling. The consortium members are examining the significance of these cost overruns and their potential implications for the project’s budgets as well as for the financing of the project since the cost overruns and drillings delays may impact the project’s ability to drove on the debt financing and force additional equity investment by the consortium members. All contracting milestones under Ormat supply agreement were achieved and the manufacturing work is currently progressing as planned. The first phase of operation is expected to commence towards the end of 2016. And the remaining two phases of operations are scheduled to commence within 18 months thereafter. We also expect to close the acquisition of Bouillante Geothermal Power Plant in Guadeloupe Island by May 2016, which will be immediately accretive to Ormat’s EPS. The projects are just described as well as additional projects including Menangai in Kenya are under various stages of development and expected to support our expansion by the end of 2018. Besides the investment in new projects, we are continuing our exploration and business development activities to support future growth. If you could please turn to Slide 27, you’d see that our CapEx requirement for 2016 is approximately $264 million. We plan to invest a total of approximately $83 million in capital expenditures, on new projects, under construction and enhancements and additionally approximately $101 million are budgeted for exploration activities. Development of new project is investment in new activities that reflects expenditure under the new strategic plan and maintenance CapEx for operating projects. In addition, $63 million will be required for debt repayment. Turning to Slide 28 for an update on our Product segment. Our backlog, as of February 23, 2016, stands approximately $256 million. Our backlog together with the new contract that we expect to sign will support our financials. Moving to Slide 29 for a regulatory update. Increasingly, government and private sectors are taking actions to fight climate change and move towards to low carbon resilient and sustainable future. We have seen this in the United States as key states set long-term goals, established minimum requirements and create incentives for the use of renewable energy. As we have previously noted, in October, California expended on its existing renewable portfolio standard or RPS policy. The new low requires that utilities procure 50% of their electricity from renewables by 2030, an increase of 33% required by 2020. Hawaii is an even more aggressive low requiring that 100% of its energy come from renewables by 2045. And in December, the United States Congress agreed to grant extension to the tax credit for geothermal energy as part of the broader production tax credit program. While these programs within the United States are encouraging, in December we also saw action on a global level. In December 2015, 195 countries signed a historic agreement at the Paris Climate Change Conference, held in Paris. For the first time, all countries committed to setting nationally climate targets and reporting on their progress. We believe that submission of national targets in five years cycles signal to investment within technology innovators that the world will demand increased use of renewable energy in the decades to come. This comes after a group of 20 countries including the U.S., U.K., France, China, and India pledged to double their budget for renewable energy technology over the next five years as part of a separate initiatives called mission innovation. World leaders are clearly increasing the focus on renewable energy. Geothermal is based on the energy is uniquely positioned to benefit from this trend and Ormat is focused on remaining a global leader in this space. Turning to Slide 30 for our 2016 guidance. In 2016, we expect total revenue to be between $620 million and $640 million. We expect revenue in our Electricity segment to be between $410 million and $420 million. The Electricity segment revenue guidance assumes current oil and natural gas crisis. For the Product segment, we expect revenues to be between $210 million and $220 million. We expect 2016 adjusted EBITDA from $300 million to $310 million. This estimate includes approximately $9 million of expected income related to tax equity transactions compared to $25 million in 2015. Excluding this demand, the expected increase in adjusted EBITDA should reflect an operational growth of between 9% to 13%. We expect annual adjusted EBITDA attributable to minority’s interest to be approximately $17 million. This amount assumes the inclusion of the second phase of Don Campbell power plant in the joint venture with Northleaf. In summary, 2015 was a very good year for Ormat and I’m excited about our future. The significant declines in the price of oil and natural gas have impacted many industries and we are not immune, while we cannot predict what will happen in the commodity markets during 2016. We can state with growing confidence that the demand for renewable energy is growing. Volatility of fossil fuels only contributes to this demand. This creates an environment where leaders, like Ormat, can grow and expand their market share. It is truly an exciting time to be a part of this great company, and I’m optimistic about the future of Ormat into geothermal industry in general. This concludes our remarks for today and I thank you very much for your ongoing and continued support. Operator?