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OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN)

Q4 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 19, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the OPENLANE Fourth Quarter and Year-End Results 2024 Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions]. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Itunu Orelaru. Please go ahead.

Itunu Orelaru

Analyst

Thanks operator. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to OPENLANE's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 earnings call. With me today are Peter Kelly, CEO of OPENLANE, and Brad Lakhia, EVP and CFO of OPENLANE. Our remarks today include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results or performance to differ materially from such statements. Factors that could cause such differences include those discussed in our press release issued today and in our SEC filings. Certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under the SEC rules will be discussed on this call. Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP measures are provided in our earnings materials and available in the Investor Relations section of our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Peter. Peter?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Thank you, Itunu, and good afternoon, everyone. I'm pleased to be here today to share OPENLANE's fourth quarter and year-end results. I'll start with a few highlights, but spend the majority of my time, discussing our strategy as where OPENLANE is headed. Brad will then walk you through the financials and provide our guidance for 2025. OPENLANE had a very positive fourth quarter and full year 2024. Customers are responding to our unique offerings and the differentiated value we deliver in terms of ease, speed and outcomes. The momentum that we're building in the market is tangible and all of this is reflected in our results. During the fourth quarter, we grew consolidated revenue by 12% and consolidated adjusted EBITDA by 18%, driven mainly by a 9% increase in Marketplace volumes. This marks the 7th straight quarter of year-over-year volume growth in the Marketplace segments, which included a 15% increase in dealer volumes. The Marketplace also generated $31 million in adjusted EBITDA during the quarter, an impressive 30% increase. On a full year basis, OPENLANE generated $293 million in adjusted EBITDA, driven by a 24% increase in Marketplace adjusted EBITDA. We also generated $293 million in cash flow from operations and our gross merchandize value grew 12% to $27 billion, another powerful indicator of the momentum we're building in the market. I won't spend a lot of time in our Finance segments today, given our detailed AFC investor update last November, but I will call out that AFC grew floor plan originations, held the loan loss rate to its lowest level in eight quarters and generated $159 million of adjusted EBITDA for the year. So in summary, OPENLANE’s consistent pattern of growth and financial performance clearly demonstrates the strong scalability characteristics of our asset-light digital model. And it fuels my…

Brad Lakhia

Analyst

Thank you, Peter. We had a successful 2024 and fourth quarter, delivering strong operating and financial results. The investments made in innovation, our go to market strategies and our disciplined cost management culture are reflected in these results. The OPENLANE team executed in a superior manner, resulting in a strengthened Marketplace platform that is winning in the market and consistently delivering excellent and easier customer outcomes. As usual, certain comments I make related to consolidated OPENLANE and the Marketplace segment are on a net revenue basis, which excludes the impact of purchased vehicle sales. In addition, my comments will be on a fourth quarter year-over-year basis, unless I state otherwise. I will start with the results at the consolidated level and we will then cover segment results. Finally, I will wrap up with some commentary and expectations for 2025. Our consolidated revenue was $455 million, up 12%, the third consecutive quarter of top-line growth reflecting improved momentum in each of our segments. Revenue growth was mainly driven by the 9% unit volume growth within our Marketplace segment. Total cost of services was $245 million, up 19%, primarily due to increased Marketplace volumes and mix shift. Adjusted EBITDA was $73 million, up 18%, while full year adjusted EBITDA was $293 million, up 8% driven by increased Marketplace volume, lower SG&A and increased auction fees. Consolidated SG&A for the quarter was $100 million, down 2%, while full year consolidated SG&A was $409 million, down 3%. This reflects the successful execution of our cost savings initiatives, which have more than offset General inflationary headwinds and the incremental go to market investments we made in the second half of 2024. The net decrease in SG&A is primarily attributed to lower compensation expenses and professional fees and the realization of cost savings from our technology,…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And the first question will be from Bob Labick from CJS Securities. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi, this is Will in for Bob. With the industry decline in off-lease vehicles, how are dealers handling trade-ins? Are they keeping more and setting less option or have volumes have been steady?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Thank you, Will. Volumes have been steady or strong. Our D2D volume growth in the fourth quarter was 15%, that's the strongest growth we had all year. So very pleased with that number. We grew our active base of sellers and buyers. We had some really strong months of new dealer sign ups on the platform as well in the United States in the fourth quarter. So I was really pleased with all of that. And even though we didn't say it in our remarks volume of listings, I believe grew even faster than the 15% volume of sales. So I'm not noticing any lack of inventory out there at dealers, at least not to this point. So, feeling good about that, Will. Thank you.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you. Very helpful. And then just one more. Do you expect Canadian wholesale volumes to be affected by tariffs or trade war? Thanks.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Yeah. I guess, what I'd say to that is, first of all, I think OPENLANE is very well positioned to survive - to prosper and do well in any sort of environment we find ourselves in. If I look at the fourth quarter, we see progress - strong progress on the commercial front, with commercial volume growth, new customer wins and strong progress on the dealer front, just which I was just speaking about. So, I feel good about how we're positioned exiting the year and starting the New Year with our asset-light business model, with our strong balance sheet, and frankly, with the management team that has been through I'd say some challenging macro environments here over the last four years. So I feel really good about that. There's a lot of speculation out there about tariffs. Will it be applied, how will they apply to? Will they apply to used cars? What are the percentages? So there's a whole range of variables there that I don't really want to speculate on. What I am confident that this company is well positioned to prosper in whatever environment we find ourselves in.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Thanks, Will.

Operator

Operator

And the next question will be from Rajat Gupta from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Rajat Gupta

Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking the question. I just had one first question on the D2D volumes. Nice acceleration here, progress here, so congrats on that. Curious if you could give us a sense of what do you think the market did in the quarter and what your share gains were in the U.S. specifically? And then as a follow-up question, anything you could give us in terms of what's baked into your guidance? It's a wide range obviously, in terms of your outlook for both dealer and commercial volumes. Thanks.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Thanks, Rajat. So let me take the first part of that question first. So, I guess, yeah, in dealer, I’m pleased with the performance in the quarter, as I mentioned, was our strongest quarter of the four quarters in 2024, 15% year-on-year growth. We saw solid growth in both the United States and Canada. So good growth in both markets. I feel good about that as well. Not only volume growth, but volume growth on vehicles offered for sale and on participating sellers and buyers. So, I feel really good about that. Your question had sort of specifics around the United States. In the United States, I feel really good about the additional investments we leaned into sort of at the end of the second quarter, beginning of the third quarter. So that was a strategic decision we made coming off of the OPENLANE rebranding, the integration of the commercial inventory we felt now it was time to sort of hit the accelerator a little bit on our go-to-market approach. So we made some, I’d say, very targeted and thoughtful investments, both in technology, in sales and marketing efforts to go out there and sort of grow participation. And I see that paying off. I don't think we've seen the full payoff from that yet. But I think some of the impacts of those investments were much, drove the improving performance through the end of the fourth quarter. So feeling good about that. Frankly, that caused me to increase those investments slightly towards the end of the fourth quarter as well. So, we've got some strong momentum here going into 2025. And I guess, as I look at the U.S. market, Rajat, I see us as a fairly – today, a fairly small player market share-wise in a very large…

Rajat Gupta

Analyst

Understood. Great. Thanks for the color. I’ll jump back in queue.

Operator

Operator

And the next question will be from Craig Kennison from Baird. Please go ahead.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. And Brad, just want to wish you well, you had a very positive impact on OPENLANE. Maybe I would start with you, Brad. I see a line item on the cash flow statement tied to what looks like about $80 million. Is that basically the key business?

Brad Lakhia

Analyst

Yeah, that's accurate. That's accurate.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Okay. Thank you for that. And Peter, I think you mentioned on the off-lease side, you had an award back. Maybe just add a little color to whether that's an incremental share gain or a customer that had left and come back or just a renewal of a customer that had already been with you?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Yeah, Craig, thank you. It’s more a question of a customer that had left and come back. We don't typically talk about customer wins and losses, but I can recall in our prior earnings call that came up as a question with this specific customer. So it was probably four years ago that customer left. So they've had three years on an alternative platform and this would be year four. They ran an RFP late last year. We were successful. So we will be onboarding that customer towards the end of this year. It won't have any real material volume impact in 2025. I want to be clear about that. In fact, we'll incur some cost in the implementation of the process in 2025 and again, that's reflected in our guidance. But the volumes will start to show up in 2026 and beyond. So I would consider that incremental share at this point, although it was win back from four years ago, let's say.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Thank you. And then, Peter, just a few moments ago in response to another question, you talked about integrating Commercial inventory and the Dealer platform. Can you just shed a little more light on exactly what that means?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Yeah, thanks Craig. So again, the focus here being innovation, making the process easy and how our combined platform as we integrate these digital assets enables us to sort of innovate faster, move faster, et cetera. So, let me touch on two sides of that. So first of all, just over a year ago, when we launched the OPENLANE Marketplace brand in the US, that's when we integrated the Commercial off lease inventory when it hits the open cycle, okay? The open part of its lifecycle into the - what up to that point with the backlog cars Marketplace and then we rebranded all of that to OPENLANE. That was our OPENLANE launch. So what we've seen since then, frankly, Craig, first of all, we've seen a significant increase in the volume of vehicles being purchased by franchise dealers and that's very encouraging. It's also understandable because these all leased vehicles would typically appeal more to a franchise dealer audience. But we've seen strong growth there and continuing growth in terms of the numbers of franchise dealers that are logging on as buyers in our OPENLANE Marketplace. So obviously that's a positive we want to keep that going. What we launched with One App here just last month, what that did, Craig was, we when a dealer logs onto the - particularly Marketplace or the particularly app on their phone, if they're a franchise dealer and they have access to the private labels is, let's say they're - let's say they're a franchise that has that we support their brand and that's obviously the majority of franchise dealers out there. They can find within the app a seamless single sign on login to their private-label. So to some extent, we're trying to make that app sort of an anchor point for the dealer. So that they can launch into their private-label, but also they can buy cars in the open and of course they can sell. So that was kind of what the thinking behind the One App, and that's now live with our customers and we're excited about that. So I think I hope hopefully that explains this.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Yes, it does. Thank you.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

And the next question will be from John Murphy from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

John Murphy

Analyst

Good evening everybody. Peter - Peter, and it's Ryan. When we look at the adjusted EBITDA for 2024 full year, you'd mentioned the key was 2% to 3%. So if you adjust for the midpoint of that, you get about $286 million of EBITDA sort of the base versus the $290 million to $310 million or sort of $300 million at midpoint. So it indicates about 5% organic EBITDA growth. Can you just kind of talk about between Marketplace and AFC where you see sort of the - that that growth coming from? Because it sounds like, yeah, I mean from a finance perspective there is going to be some challenges and without that volume, AFC might not actually see that much loan growth. So, just curious between the two segments where you think that 5% EBITDA growth will come from and how it will be generated?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Yeah. Well, thanks John. So let me comment first of all on the guidance at a sort of a high level. Then I'll, get a little bit more into the details of your question, as well. So first of all, in terms of the guidance overall, there are four factors I think of and Brad referenced some I'll just repeat them here in terms of how to think about our guidance. One is the sale of the Automotive Key business. You're right 2% to 3% of revenue 2% to 3% of last year's EBITDA. That's not - that's obviously taken out of our guidance. You've done that math already. I think the strong US dollar has created a little bit of a headwind on some of our Canadian and European profits, okay? I don't overstate that, but you can do the math on that, but there's a little bit of a headwind there reflected in that. And then I think the one you mentioned Commercial volume headwinds for sure we recognize going into this is a year of lower off Lease maturities. So that's been reflected. And then finally, increased investments in the, US go to market. We made some investments in late Q2. We did a little addition to that in late Q4. We will have the full year sort of carry of those investments through all of 2025. Notwithstanding that, we forecast a strong year of with increased EBITDA despite that headwind on the Commercial side. So I feel really good about that. In terms of contribution, I would say most of the incremental dollars in our model are on the Marketplace side, okay? So we'll see how the year plays. I was pleasantly – so I won’t say surprised, but I was pleased with the AFC performance we saw in the fourth quarter, but in terms of our guidance, I'd say most of that gain would be on the Marketplace side of the business.

John Murphy

Analyst

That's right. And then just a second question. I mean - you keep talking about sort of changes to the product and One App and sort of how you're marketing - going to market, to the customer. When you talk about the technology, some of it sounds very intuitive in that idea of baking in the closed private-label auctions into the - to the app. So it's, one entry point and one place or landing spot for the dealer. It sounds like it's very intuitive and makes a lot of sense. But is there any confusion in the market as your changing this technology with dealers that are literally just trying to buy and sell at a wholesale level and then buy and sell on the – or sell I should say on the retail side. Is there any kind of growing pains as you're kind of making these adjustments? Or are the dealers very receptive and tech-savvy maybe even more so than a dumb auto analyst might be. To kind of absorb these things and really leverage the power in doing so, because some of it sounds confusing, some of it actually sounds very exciting. I’m just curious, what their aptitude is for really leveraging the tech?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Yeah, John, it’s a very good question. And I guess what, here is what I’d say, first of all, dealers, give us high marks on the ease and simplicity of our platform to use. Like when we talk to our dealers, a lot of dealers tell us, your Marketplace from a use perspective, it's my favorite one of all because it's so easy to use. So, there's a lot of sort of sophistication behind the scenes. We try to make the experience very easy. Do we succeed all the time? Perhaps not. But I think we do pretty well on that front. Now the downside of that John is dealers they build a habit of, the app works like this and the buttons are here and I know how to use it. And it's almost second nature. So, when you change stuff, you'll get a - you'll typically get a range of feedback, some maybe early adopters and love it and some people like, Why? What just happened? So, you got to be careful on that. I think we try to be very thoughtful about that. We try to do AB testing. We try to roll out a new feature to a smaller audience first and iterate through it and all those types of things. So, yeah, I think we got to be careful about moving people's cheese. I think that's the expression. I will say though, I mentioned that dealer in the Midwest who said he'd never heard about OPENLANE till six months ago. The odd thing about that dealer, that dealer had been buying on a private-label side of ours for probably over a decade. He just didn't know. It was open, because it was branded as an OEM, right? And OPENLANE was sort of invisible in that process. But we knew that customer, right? So, what we're trying to do, John, with some of these changes and it had enabled - is kind of bring have these sort of dealers realize oh, this is a company I'm well aware of, I've been doing business with them. I've had a good experience for a long time, oh, and now I've got the opportunity to sell my wholesale units through them, and that's part of our sort of go to market angle, as well.

John Murphy

Analyst

And interestingly, that's helpful. Let me ask one last question. You're talking about dealer-to-dealer, quite a bit which makes obviously a ton of sense as a growth area. But I've never really heard you guys you draw a line at demarcation of what percentage or what portion is franchise dealer versus independent used car dealers? And it sounds like the franchise dealers are growing part of the pie, maybe on the buy and sell side. I mean, is there any kind of dimension you could give us there on the growth between the two? Or how much franchises is driving the growth versus the independents?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

We don't break it out hard and fast, John, but I'd say, to give you sort of rough understanding of it. The Commercial volume that we sell, most of that - most of that volume was purchased by franchise dealers. You could say 70-ish percent of the commercial cars we sell is purchased by franchise dealers. Within the dealer-to-dealer market most of the volume offered for sale is from franchise dealers. And when I say, most, 70%, 80% and most of the volume purchased, is purchased by independent dealers. And again, 70%, 80%. That's rough math, but that's directionally accurate enough for to give you an understanding of the business.

John Murphy

Analyst

But is there an opportunity on the on the franchise dealer side to increase that even potentially even more on the buy side of the equation?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

On both. I mean, there's an opportunity to increase it on the sell side for sure. And obviously on the - we hope on the buy side, as well.

John Murphy

Analyst

Yeah. Okay. All right, very helpful. Thank you.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Thank you, John.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Bret Jordan from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Bret Jordan

Analyst

Hey guys.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Hi Bret.

Bret Jordan

Analyst

If you look at, hey, if you look at ‘25 and I guess with a couple of new entrants in the auction space that used to be primarily salvage and the other legacy whole car guys. Do you see the environment becoming more competitive? I guess, from a promotional standpoint or just the struggle for market share and what’s at least on the commercial side and sort of cyclically pressured or is the current state of competition sort of what we could expect to be seeing for ’25?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Yeah. Brett, I don't - we don't comment on any one specific competitor. I actually don't see it like, you see it, I actually see it maybe the opposite that the choices are being maybe more clarified for customers. But we'll see. But I guess here's what I would say. First of all, when I think about our company OPENLANE, I feel really good about the positioning that we have. I think our positioning actually is better than ever, both whether it's with commercial sellers or with franchise dealers or independent dealers. And I think that's also reflected not just in our own internal surveys, but, but through some third-party surveys, as well, asking dealers who are your most preferred wholesale auctions. OPENLANE has been rising the ranks. And we’ve only been in market in the US again with the OPENLANE brand for 16 months. So I feel good about that. I feel good about our strategy, delivering the better Marketplace, delivering better, technology and improving the customer experience. I think we've got a really strong differentiation on the commercial seller side. We are the leader with off Lease remarketing. 2025 will be a challenge, but those volumes are going to grow in ’26, 7 and beyond. We're a leader there. That's going to be a strong source of differentiation for our company, but also a strong source of volume growth, as well. And I feel like our dealer-to-dealer offering is stronger than it's ever been. I think we're getting better outcomes. We're seeing more customers participating. And I think, again, like I said, in a remark earlier, we're a relatively small market share in a big TAM, but we've got a really strong offering. So I think, viewed over the long term, we're going to grow our volume and gain share in that category. So, listen, I am focused on what we offer. And I'm feeling really good about what we offer vis-à-vis what competitors might offer at the present time.

Bret Jordan

Analyst

Okay. And I guess, within just from a modeling standpoint in ‘22 lease originations troughed. Is there any notable quarter that had the least or was it just sort of a low lease origination through the year just given the shortage of supply?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Well. The - if we look at the year, the quarterly year-on-year decline, in lease originations, they were sort of at their max in Q1 and Q2 of 2022, okay? And then, they started to diminish in Q3 and 4 and then they - I believe they returned to growth in Q2 of 2023. So we kind of take a roughly three year lag to that. To think of our maturity profile and then, the wild card in there is if the consumer payoff percentage, which has been declining slowly, it hasn’t declined, it's still way higher than it was pre-COVID, okay? I want to be clear about that. But it has been declining modestly. If that continues to decline, that could cause a little acceleration in some of these - in some of the pace of return. But I don't want to sort of place a bet on that at this moment in time.

Bret Jordan

Analyst

The tariffs change, the consumer payoff, if the cost of a new vehicle goes up by $5,000 because of - on average, because of tariffs, does that - do you think that drives up the underlying used value and creates a more attractive environment?

Peter Kelly

Analyst

It probably doesn't help to be honest, Bret. Like, I think, if new vehicle values go up by X, you could probably assume used vehicle values go up by about half of X. The off lease equity gap has been narrowing. And that's, that's leading to some, this consumer payoff percentage declining, which is what I referenced. But that trends might cause a bit of a delay to that. I don't think it changes the overall narrative. But it might be - it might just push it out a quarter or something like that. But yeah, we'll have to see how that plays.

Bret Jordan

Analyst

Thank you.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

You're welcome, Brett.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's question-and-answer session. I will turn the conference back to Peter Kelly for any closing remarks.

Peter Kelly

Analyst

Well, thank you, Chad and thank you everybody for your questions and your continued interest and support of OPENLANE. As I mentioned during the call, I believe we've entered 2025 with positive momentum. Our Marketplace is well positioned for long-term sustained growth in both Dealer and Commercial. We have a category-leading Finance business. And we're continuing to extend our technology advantage on multiple fronts. So I remain very optimistic for OPENLANE’s future and I look forward to updating you on our progress and our first quarter performance later this spring. Thank you everybody. Have a good evening.

Operator

Operator

And thank you sir. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.