Jim Hallett
Analyst · JPMorgan. You may now ask your question
Thank you, Michael, and good morning ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to our call. Today I plan to cover three topics. I want to review 2020; provide you with an update on the integration of TradeRev and BacklotCars; and review our guidance for 2021. Let me start with acknowledging the challenges that we faced in the most unusual year. Obviously, COVID-19 impacted all businesses in 2020, including KAR. We remain committed to providing the safest possible working environment for our employees and our customers. With the challenges COVID-19 created in our workforce, we also saw challenges that directly impacted our marketplaces for our wholesale used cars. We continue to operate our auctions on our digital platforms, Simulcast, Simulcast+, OPENLANE, TradeRev and DealerBlock. But demand was very low in April, as uncertainty was prevalent throughout the automotive ecosystem. We continue to offer vehicles only through our digital marketplaces from mid March through the remainder of 2020. The key challenge that we faced in the second quarter was the need to accelerate the development of our digital marketplaces. This increased level of online bidding began literally over a 2-week period, and our technology teams had to make sure our systems were always available and there were no service disruptions caused by the increased use of our networks. I'm extremely proud of the collective effort of all KAR employees to make this happen. In the past, many investors have asked me what keeps me awake at night. And technology and digital disruption have always been at the top of the list. Well, while the challenges of 2020 took technology and digital disruption to a new level, we responded quickly and today we have the best collection of digital assets in the entire industry. We were able to accelerate the transition of our legacy physical auction business to a digital operating model in a matter of weeks, instead of the 3 to 5 years that we anticipated at the beginning of 2020. Another challenge that we faced in 2020 was handling our workforce. In late March, we closed all of our auctions and sent our employees home with pay to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 was having on the safety of our employees and our customers. We furloughed 11,000 of our 15,000 employees globally. In April, our weekly revenue had fallen to as low as 10% of the prior year revenue, the low point for KAR Global performance. By May, we began to see some recovery in demand. Our supply at the time was strong as inventory had been building up at our sites, it became obvious that our business process had changed and many of these changes were going to be permanent. We leaned heavily into technology for auctions and supporting our back office functions. Changes in the business operations and especially all of our support functions led us to permanently eliminate 5,000 positions, reducing our annual payroll costs by over $150 million. By fall, we had our headcount and cost structure aligned with the business in our digital auction process. We saw the impact of the permanent changes in our cost structure in our third quarter results and expect this to contribute to an improved financial performance going forward. And then we saw a resurgence of COVID-19 with the impacts that went beyond what we had experienced in the spring. We saw the supply of used vehicles tighten and our inventory levels continue to decline as retail demand remains strong, resulting in strong conversion rates and high wholesale prices. Lower transaction volumes lead to reduced performance in the fourth quarter despite all of the reductions that we've made to our cost structure. In any organization people are the most valuable asset. In this environment, the strain and the uncertainty our people are feeling is the most challenging aspect of running the business today. And it looks like it will be a while longer before we see relief from the strain of COVID-19. Now let me share some of our accomplishments in 2020. First, we have successfully migrated all of our auction platforms to digital marketplaces. This has been a strategic direction for KAR for over 2 years, and we were able to accelerate the pace of change during 2020. We are committed to operating a digital marketplace business supported by services and logistics capabilities that make the wholesale process easy and efficient. Our collection of digital assets that we have strategically focused on building and acquiring over the last 5 years put us in a unique position to move forward with a digital business model. It is true that many of our competitors are running cars through the lane despite the increased COVID numbers over the past several months. But we have not returned to the old way of doing business and don't believe there is any evidence that running cars across the block improves the financial outcomes for our customers. We are committed to providing our auction services digitally going forward. In 2020, we introduced Simulcast+ to the marketplace. Simulcast+ is a fully automated auction that can easily sell cars from multiple locations using technology instead of people to manage and run the auction event. Simulcast+ has proven to expand the geography represented by buyers and this improves liquidity for the sellers. We are also not tied to a sale day event when using Simulcast+. We can operate Simulcast+ any day of the week from one or multiple locations. These can be ADESA or customer locations. And the Simulcast+ platform gives us additional digital capabilities that allow our sellers to manage the auction event in real time without leaving their office. We have provided a number of demos to investors this year. And if you've seen one of those virtual tours, you saw that we have a significant amount of information available to both buyers and sellers that lead to strong pricing and conversion on the Simulcast+ platforms. We see a number of benefits for both buyers and sellers. We've seen increased liquidity, we're able to reach a greater number of buyers that are interested in the car being offered, we've seen lower costs to execute the transactions for all involved and it is easier to integrate data and analytics in the process -- excuse me, that is available to all parties. Better information leads to better price attainment on the vehicle and realistic expectations by the sellers as to what is the current value of the vehicle. Another success in 2020 was the improved growth and profitability for our TradeRev platform. Our combination of dealer consignment sales teams of ADESA and TradeRev has been a success. We reduced the use of incentives and focused on service levels. We simplified our auction process in order to provide a better experience for our customers. We generated positive earnings for several months in 2020 and have proven this business model can be profitable growth going forward. And we acquired BacklotCars in order to accelerate our growth in the dealer-to-dealer segment in the U.S market. And finally, let me talk about the permanent reductions in our cost structure. First, the changes we made and moving to a digital business model allowed us to make permanent reductions in our labor costs both direct labor and SG&A. Our SG&A was down year-over-year in Q4 by $25 million. This decrease was achieved, despite adding $5 million of SG&A in the fourth quarter related to BacklotCars. Even though our costs were able to -- even though we were able to reduce our costs, our fourth quarter performance fell below our expectations as we saw the supply of wholesale vehicles decline throughout the entire industry. Our volumes in Q4 reflect the slowing of the economy in response to the increased COVID cases. I do not believe the lower volumes reflect the seasonal impacts or the permanent disruption of our marketplaces. I believe the factors that negatively impacted our supply in Q4 are transitory. Now, let me give you a real time update on TradeRev and BacklotCars. First, we are migrating all U.S dealer-to-dealer transactions that previously took place on TradeRev to the BacklotCars platform. We ran a pile of migration in three U.S markets in January to refine our migration playbook. We were pleased with the results of the migration and the acceptance of BacklotCars platform by our TradeRev customers in these markets. Beginning February 1, we initiated the migration of all U.S TradeRev customers to the BacklotCars platform. We expect the migration activities to be completed in March. By moving our U.S customers from the TradeRev application to the BacklotCars, we will be moving from a timed auction format to a 24/7 bid-ask marketplace. Our analysis of the performance on the two platforms supported this move. We believe running a single dealer-to-dealer digital marketplace will maximize liquidity. Utilizing the inspection process developed by BacklotCars should lower our inspection cost per vehicle and provide greater consistency in the inspection reports for cars sold on BacklotCars platform. And most important, we believe the price realization on the BacklotCars platform in the U.S outperforms the competition in the U.S market. The early results on the migration activities has been very positive. Initially, there was a small reduction in volumes as former TradeRev customers began using BacklotCars platform. The learning curve for our customers seems to be about 5 to 7 days and in the second week we began seeing our combined volumes increase in the markets that were in the first wave of migrations. We believe the BacklotCars is the fastest growing dealer-to-dealer platform in the U.S market. Our goal is simple. We want BacklotCars to be the number one digital dealer-to-dealer marketplace in the U.S. Just to be clear, we will continue to operate TradeRev in Canada. To sum it all up, after 90 days of owning BacklotCars, we are pleased with the performance and the fit with KAR. We have focused -- we have a focused and energetic team leading our efforts to be the leader in the digital dealer-to-dealer transactions in the U.S. Our customers have been receptive to change in the early days of integration activities and bringing the strength of the KAR organization to the outstanding team at BacklotCars is a winning combination that should accelerate the already fantastic pace of growth in the digital dealer-to-dealer space. The last agenda -- the last item on my agenda and important topic for today is an update on our outlook for 2021. We are reinstating annual guidance for 2021. While we continue to be in the middle of the COVID crisis in all of our markets, we believe we are better-positioned to analyze the impacts on our business and assess the likely outcomes on various scenarios. As you saw in our press release, we are providing guidance. The adjusted EBITDA will be at least $475 million and operating adjusted net income per share will be at least $0.87 for 2021. We are not providing a range, but we are providing the minimum level of performance we expect this year. We still have significant uncertainty around the economy, employment, levels of new car production, the timing of repossession activities and many other factors that are still a ways from returning to normal. Obviously, our guidance indicates we expect to continue to be below pre-COVID level of transactions, and this is representative of our industry outlook. I would like to provide some insight without specific numbers into how we see 2021 coming together. First, we expect lower supply of wholesale used vehicles to persist through the first half of the year. As a result, our outlook for the first and second quarter is conservative. We do not believe the second half of 2021 will improve upon the first half of 2021 in the second half of 2020. We have seen good progress in providing vaccinations in the first months of 2021 and expect continued progress on this front in all the geographic markets we serve. We also see stimulus in the U.S., Canada, and European -- and Europe as a positive for our customers in the used car retail market, if passed by legislators. We also believe that our financial performance may exceed 2019 levels before we achieve 2019 volume levels given the improvements that we've made in our cost structure. Let me speak to the parts of the market that we believe will drive a return to normal. First, our digital dealer-to-dealer platforms, BacklotCars in the U.S and TradeRev in Canada are expected to grow substantially over 2020 levels. We expect to continue gaining market share in this channel throughout the year. We are committed to expanding the use of Simulcast+ in 2021. We are targeting an increased number of events using this technology platform. There is tremendous value to using the Simulcast+ platform for multi-location sales events, targeted marketing for similar vehicles that allow us to create events that have high buyer interest and expand the geographic reach of the typical physical auction. And our growth internationally, especially at ADESA Europe, formerly Cars On The Web is very strong and we expect this to continue throughout all of 2021. We have not given a range of guidance. It is difficult to set an upper end of the range with the uncertainty on when operations will return to normal levels. We still have more questions than answers on what our markets will look like, especially in the first half of the year. But we have had have an opportunity to outperform above the adjusted EBITDA and operating adjusted net income per share provided in our guidance once volumes start improving. As a team, we will focus on controlling our costs, increasing our market share. We expect our market share to be driven primarily by digital dealer-to-dealer platforms, BacklotCars and TradeRev, and we will be disciplined around capital deployment. We think our balance sheet -- excuse me, is an asset in the current economic environment. And as we look to deploy capital, we expect uses of capital to have a strong connection to our strategic priorities around the digital transformation of the wholesale used car industry. As I finish, let me summarize my key messages on this call. We are a digital marketplace business that utilizes data and analytics and value added services through a network of locations throughout North America. We are leading the digital transformation of our industry. We have reduced our cost structure permanently, and we expect increased profitability going forward. We have combined two leading digital dealer-to-dealer wholesale auction platforms, and have the goal of being the leading provider in this segment of the market in the United States and Canada. And finally, we believe our balance sheet is well-positioned to support the growth of our business. We will deploy capital going forward on the initiatives that support our strategy. So with that, thank you for your time today. I will now turn it over to Eric for more details on our financial performance. Eric?