Jim Hallett
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open
Thank you, Michael, and good morning ladies and gentlemen and welcome to our call. Today, I plan to review our performance for the third quarter, discuss TradeRev performance in our push to win the dealer-to-dealer space, talk about how we prepare for catastrophic weather events in the salvage business and update you on the impacts of the recent storms we’ve had in our business, update you on our outlook for used car volume and values and then I will update you on the progress of our proposed spin-off of Insurance Auto Auctions and conclude with some comments on our 2018 guidance and the status of our potential acquisitions. Looking at KAR’s performance for the third quarter, we saw 11% growth in consolidated revenues, which drove 24% growth in net income per share. Our performance was negatively impacted by a $15 million pretax loss from TradeRev in the third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was up 3% over the prior year excluding acquisitions adjusted EBITDA was up 10%. I think this demonstrates the strength of all of our core businesses. I will provide more commentary on TradeRev in a few moments. ADESA’s performance in the third quarter was what I would call a mixed bag. Revenues increased 10% and this was 8% excluding TradeRev in 2018. However, gross margin was weighed down by the mix of ancillary services, expansion and the expansion of the ADESA Assurance program that reduced gross margins by 50 basis points alone and the transportation incentives that were offered by TradeRev. In terms of the number of vehicles sold, we saw the trends that we’ve been discussing for the year continue. Total volume at ADESA increased to 11% with same-store volumes up 7%. The same-store volumes were driven by a 14% increase in commercial vehicles, offset by a 9% decline in dealer consignment vehicles. Obviously the mix shift continues. The mix shift is contributing to a strong ARPU at physical auction. ARPU of $850 per car sold was up from $781 per car a year ago. We also had a nice increase in online only ARPU $126 per car sold up from $112 per car sold last year. Insurance Auto Auctions continues its strong run in the third quarter. Revenue was up 12% on volume growth of 6% and the strong proceeds are driving this higher revenue growth and of course contributing to strong margins. Our actual inventory levels were down 9% due to fewer hurricane vehicles, excluding the CAT vehicles from inventory this year and last. Inventory was up 4%. I will spend a little more time talking about how we prepare for major storms such as hurricanes that can impact our financial performance in a few moments. AFC had a good quarter, while our credit losses were only 1.5% of average receivables for the quarter this was up from 1.1% last year. We continue to see strong credit quality throughout the portfolio. With that said, we are expecting credit losses to be slightly higher in the fourth quarter than we’ve experienced in each of the first three quarters. Now, let me provide you with more of an update on TradeRev. First, let me highlight that we are achieving our goals for volumes sold. Although not included in our financials last year, TradeRev volume in the third quarter more than doubled. As we discussed last quarter, we have added to the cost structure of TradeRev in order to accelerate the pace of the introduction into new markets. The increased costs are people on the ground in local markets, inside support for field and IT staff to continue the evolution of our product and support – and to support the operations as the business grows. I’m even more confident today that TradeRev is a transformational product and is where dealer-to-dealer transactions are going. This is an excellent complement to the other auction venues offered by ADESA. In terms of the financial impact on our consolidated results TradeRev will lose money during the next couple of years as we focused on expanding to new markets and develop our existing markets and adapt the customer service model to the needs of our customers. We believe it’s important to keep our customers than our potential investors informed on the progress of TradeRev as it is impacting our current profits in the expectation of creating significant shareholder value in the future. We plan to provide more details on the impact of TradeRev will have on our 2019 consolidated results in our next call in February. Now, let me talk about the hurricane season and the impact on Insurance Auto Auctions. Over the past several years, our Insurance Auto Auctions team has continuously improve this ability to prepare for and to respond to catastrophic events that result in increased total loss volumes from its insurance customers. We have a dedicated CAT Response Team that works year round in preparation for catastrophic events. We have refined operating practices for the field to ensure a consistent customer experience. We deploy assets to areas near potential storms in advance. Our real estate team has secured land in high risk areas and has the playbook to follow for securing additional land on a short-term basis as needed. Our technology team can stand up our technology in a matter of days following an event so we can process and sell vehicles at very quickly. And last, we have established a company-wide network of volunteers willing to assist local operation when a catastrophic event occurs. In the case of Hurricane Florence, we were prepared for a major weather event and the impact was significantly less than forecasted. We incurred cost in advance of the storm hitting land, but as you can see in the third quarter results, we were able to manage the cost to a level that did not impair our performance. To be clear, catastrophic weather events will not be moneymakers for our salvage business. We believe our advanced planning and all of the steps that have outlined to improve our readiness will mitigate the level of negative impact these events will have on our financial performance. Now, let me touch on the condition of the used car market in North America. Used retail sales continue to be strong, wholesale used car prices have continued to increase year-over-year in the third quarter, and volumes especially off lease and repo supplies are strong. As I look forward, we’re beginning to see some price pressure on wholesale values. Nothing unexpected, but any decline in values will be a change from what we’ve seen in 2018. Our supply remains strong, is off lease and repo vehicles have increased over the prior year. We expect the supply of off lease and repo vehicles to continue growing in 2019 before potentially leveling off in 2020. In new car activity remains steady at about 17 million units sold for 2018. So this gives us confidence as we look forward beyond 2020. I know everyone is interested in the status of the spin. So let me give you a brief update. First, everything is advancing as planned. We’re currently working with the Internal Revenue Service and Revenue Canada on the reviewer of our proposed transaction. We have been responding to questions and nothing has arisen that changes our expectations on the tax treatment of the spin. We plan to update the Form 10 with third quarter information prior to Thanksgiving. We will be including pro forma information for the capital structure of SpinCo, and I will let Eric provide an overview of the proposed capital structure in his remarks in a few moments. Nothing has arisen that changes our expectations for completing the spin and we’re prepared to move quickly once all the information needed is available. I will conclude with an update on our guidance and some comments on our plans to deploy capital. We have not made any changes to our guidance in the third quarter. We expect adjusted EBITDA of $895 million to $925 million for the year. As a result of our investment in launching TradeRev, I expect we will be in the lower end of the range of our guidance for 2018. In terms of capital deployment strategies, we continue to focus on acquisitions that contribute adjusted EBITDA. Our primary focus is on new geographic markets outside of North America. I have nothing to announce today, but we are making progress. We plan to fund the targeted transactions with available cash and our existing revolver if needed. In addition to international opportunities, we will also continue to look at businesses that can enhance the service to our customers in North America. Although much smaller in size, we’re also looking at a couple of tuck-in acquisitions here in North America. Our current targets are profitable and provide the opportunity for growth within the KAR network of services. So that concludes my remarks for now. I will turn it over to Eric for some additional commentary, and we will be back for a Q&A. Eric.