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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Good afternoon and welcome to OppFi’s Fourth Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] And it is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Shaun Smolarz, Head of Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.
SS
Shaun Smolarz
Analyst
Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. On today’s call are Todd Schwartz, Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman, and Pam Johnson, Chief Financial Officer. Our fourth quarter 2022 earnings press release and supplemental presentation can be found at investors.oppfi.com. During this call, OppFi will discuss certain forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and assessments made by OppFi’s management in light of their experience and assessment of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors they believe to be appropriate. Any forward-looking statements made during this call are made as of today and OppFi undertakes no duty to update or revise any such statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Important factors that could cause actual results, developments and business decisions to differ materially from forward-looking statements are described in the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the sections entitled Risk Factors. In today’s remarks by management, the company will discuss certain non-GAAP financial metrics. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures can be found in the earnings press release issued earlier this afternoon. This call is being webcast live and will be available for replay on our website. I would now like to turn the call over to Todd Schwartz.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
Thanks, Shaun and good afternoon everyone. We’re excited to begin 2023, and we believe our business continues to stabilize and strengthen. As founder of OppFi, I returned as CEO a year ago and immediately took steps to enhance our leadership team as well as talent in key roles throughout the company. While the macro environment in 2022 was challenging in many ways, we persevered with resiliency, focus, and a relentless emphasis on improvement. As a result, despite significant economic headwinds, including a 40-year peak in inflation, we delivered record net originations, total revenue, and ending receivables for the full year. As a result, we achieved our eighth consecutive year of profitability, exceeding our profitability guidance for 2022. Although, challenging at the time, we embraced the learnings from 2022 as they provide a distinctive competitive advantage. We believe that embedding these learnings into our operating processes going forward enhance our ability to deliver a stable, profitable platform across economic cycles. We are optimistic about 2023, while remaining mindful of the continuation of an uncertain macroeconomic environment. The experiences of 2022, coupled with our 10-year business history, give us the confidence that we can control our success by balancing originations growth, overall risk, and expenses. Pam will review our fourth quarter and full year results in detail, as well as discuss guidance for Q1 and full year 2023. Before she does, I will cover four topics. One, some highlights from our Q4 and full year 2022 financial performance; two, an update on strategic business initiatives for 2023; three, our macroeconomic outlook and quarter to date business trends; and four, our long-term growth strategy. Our fourth quarter results were driven by credit performance and operational leverage through expense reductions. This enabled us to beat the top end of our full year guidance for…
PJ
Pam Johnson
Analyst
Thanks Todd and good afternoon everyone. We are very pleased to have achieved our eighth consecutive year of profitability with record net originations, total revenue, and ending receivables. In addition, we exceeded all of our full year 2022 guidance metrics that we reiterated in our third quarter earnings release: total revenue, operating expenses as a percentage of total revenue, excluding interest expense, add-backs and one-time items; and adjusted profitability. For 2022, adjusted net income was $5 million, resulting in adjusted earnings per share of $0.06. Total revenue increased 29% to $453 million, while net originations were up 27% year over year to $758 million, driving a 19% increase in ending receivables to $403 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $54 million. For the fourth quarter, total revenue increased 25.1% to $120 million, despite our net originations of $187 million, which was the same as the year ago period. This reflects the credit adjustments made in the third quarter. From a mix perspective, in the fourth quarter, approximately 54% of originations were to existing customers for refinanced loans. On an absolute basis, new customer loan originations for the quarter decreased by 10% year over year due in part to the credit adjustments implemented in the third quarter, while existing customer loan originations increased by 10%. We are very pleased that new originations for the lowest credit risk tier increased by 328% year over year. We accomplished this with strategic marketing initiatives, including adjusted our filter criteria with key digital marketing partners, as well as moving upmarket with our direct mail campaign. Our annualized net charge-off rate as percentage of average receivables was 71% for the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to 53.2% for the prior year quarter. As a percentage of revenue, the annualized net charge-off rate was 59.8%, compared to 43.2% last…
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from the line of Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.
MG
Mike Grondahl
Analyst
Hey, thanks, guys. The first question, could you just talk about the yield environment that you’re seeing? And are you seeing any compression there? And then secondly, just what’s the one or two main attributes that you’re seeing that gives you some comfort that charge-offs peaked in 4Q?
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
Yes, good question. Just to clarify, though, when you say yield compression, can you be more specific. So I answer your question correctly.
MG
Mike Grondahl
Analyst
Yes, I mean, I guess, I’m just saying what are the yields you’re offering in the market? And have you had to lower those or are those compressing at all? I mean, I don’t know that they are, but that’s what I’m asking.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
Yes, pricing. So the answer is no. There is been some favorability there. I think Pam had mentioned this that we are we are currently, on behalf of the bank partners, originating the highest percentage of low-risk customers that we’ve seen. Part of this is macroeconomic situation that’s going on in the country, where we’re seeing significant tightening still going on above us. Then obviously, with the banks right now, that’s going to exacerbate it. But also due to our marketing team and our funneling, we’ve been able to find new pockets and be able to go after growth in those areas. So it’s a little – it’s a attribution of it, it’s a little bit of both.
MG
Mike Grondahl
Analyst
Got it. And then I guess, the one or two attributes you’re seeing, that make you believe net charge-offs have peaked.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
Well, listen, I think there is uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment for different swaths of customers, in particular, it’s our customer. I said it many a times last year, spike high inflation is probably the most painful for our customers, which peaked in in last year, and we think it peaked in Q4. We usually kind of – the way we look at things is when loans are originated, usually 6 months after is kind of when we would see the spike in charge-offs. But for our customers specifically, we’ve seen significant improvement. Customers that we lend to, the middle-income consumers, they have changed their behaviors. We’re pretty sure of it. They have been able to adapt to the high price environment. And when things changed, they were kind of in shock and people had to adjust their lifestyles. But what’s happened now is, people have done that, and we’ve been able to see significant improvement in our FPD rates and total DQ rate. Also, the other thing I’ll say is unemployment, right? So unemployment remaining low has been very beneficial for our customers. Our customers are gainfully employed. And then that has been something that we kind of forecasted to tick up. And I think everyone is surprised with how unemployment has stayed so low.
MG
Mike Grondahl
Analyst
Got it. And maybe I’ll just ask one more. But historically, I thought your collection strategy was pretty hands off, and it sounds like you’re kind of leaning into collections a little bit. You said something about recoveries were being up 26% year-over-year. One, could you just kind of describe that collection strategy and two, what’s the dollar amount associated with up 26% like, what were recoveries last year and this year?
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
Yes, I will. I can pull the number for you while I’m talking, but we’re going to pull for you. But it’s interesting you say that. So OppFi has never been an aggressive collector of debt. We have always been a humanistic, value-based recovery strategy where we treat people with dignity and respect, and we’ve continued to do that. But that doesn’t mean that product features like a portal, a self-service payment portal, for settlement offers, for collecting on people’s loans, and making it easier for customers to pay with more debit card integrations and abilities to pay, is really where we’re seeing a lot of the pickup, right? And so how we treat our customers and our thoughts around that, they are never going to be aggressive. And – but we do make sure that we give customers options and we’re prudent on follow-ups and settlement offers to make sure that we’re successful.
MG
Mike Grondahl
Analyst
Got it. Thank you.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
And Pam has pulled the numbers. I think you had a question on the increase. Go ahead.
PJ
Pam Johnson
Analyst
Sure. Mike, we had about $12 million in recoveries in 2021, and we had over $15 million in 2022.
MG
Mike Grondahl
Analyst
Got it. Okay. Great. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of David Scharf with JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
DS
David Scharf
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I had a few I wanted to touch on. One is somewhat guidance related. But we obviously got good color from you directionally on the expected pace of losses, given the credit tightening mid-year, last year, and how those run off. Can you give us a sense for how to frame what you think of is a normalized loss rate? Obviously, 2021 was depressed based on stimulus. Late 2022 is elevated based on some of those vintages that were originated with neobanks and other sources. Where should we be ending this year if we should think of the end of ‘23 as a more normalized level?
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Yes. It’s a good question. And I’ll take the first question of the target of [indiscernible]. So historically, OppFi has been around 10 years now. We’ve achieved mid to – mid-30s percentage of revenue, that has historically been where the business operates very efficiently and where we’ve had it. I think that obviously spiked this year, but our goal is to get that back down into the mid-30s in a normalized environment. I think this year, we still have a little bit flowing through in the first quarter. Obviously, we’re optimistic on what we’re seeing on that front and feel really, really good. But we are still dealing with some of that but feel like we’re going to make significant progress if things continued the way they are looking as far as our early indicators.
DS
David Scharf
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Got it. Understood. Todd, I also wanted to just dig a little more into some of the strategic initiatives you were talking about, and specifically, you made reference to sort of product and asset adjacencies. And I guess, I’ll just play devil’s advocate for a moment. Historically, the equity markets haven’t been very kind to consumer lenders that have branched out very often expanding their products in – under the guise of, there is a lot of different ways to serve our existing customer. Even if well-founded, very often sticking to the knitting strategy has been rewarded mostly. Can you talk about, just given where your market share is now, the opportunity in front of you with just your core lending business, maybe what the thought process is about expanding corporate development activities as opposed to just staying focused on the core product?
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Yes. So to be clear, be focused is the core business. That is the focus. And we think there is a lot of growth and opportunity in – just in our core business and we can do that. I do think though, as we look to the future, like the current environment is actually starting to get more active. Whereas, like two years ago, everything was so overvalued and there was no – there was really no value in our ability to really find value. There are some specific verticals we’ve identified that are pretty sizable addressable markets, that there is real profitable growth that we think matched up with our consumer business and our brand equity and our skillset, could not only drive future net income growth for the business but also, it’s a diversification away from our core business, which gives people comfort that there is new revenue and profit streams. And we feel like in this environment, maybe with – it’s a little premature now. But we feel like coming, there is going to be accretive acquisitions out there, and that can definitely help us with our long-term vision and story. And so we’re starting to – last year was all getting the business stabilized. We focused on balance sheet. We focused on really targeting those high-risk customers, and we’re going to continue to do that. That is the priority this year, to make it really clear. But we think that there is going to be some opportunity coming in this economy with some of the dislocation that we’re seeing today. And listen, I – and yes, that’s what I’ll say on that.
DS
David Scharf
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Okay. No, understood. And then maybe just lastly, I guess in today’s environment, particularly the news flow in the last couple of weeks, kind of be remiss if I didn’t ask, just the relative stability of deposits and otherwise, your bank partners, particularly your leading partner. Anything you can comment there?
PJ
Pam Johnson
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Yes, I’ll take that one, David. We’re not exposed to any losses from Silicon Valley Bank or Signature. We have really good strong relationships with some very strong banks and really have concentrated our deposits and our banking relationships with those two strong players.
DS
David Scharf
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Got it. Got it. And actually – and also, Pam, I guess what I was really referring to is just the relative – FinWise and the banks that you partner with to be the lender of the actual originator, whether there is anything they have been impacted at all? I’m not aware of anything, but I just wanted to ask.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Yes, I don’t – yes, I don’t have a crystal ball and what’s going to happen to the whole regional and small banks in this environment. It’s – I think we’re all waiting and seeing there. I do feel that the guaranteeing of deposits by the Fed in the FDIC was the right move to prevent run on regionals from just a overall standpoint, that’s how I feel about it. However, we have no knowledge. And we’ve checked in with all our bank partners and all our partners and have no exposure to SVB or Signature.
DS
David Scharf
Analyst · JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Got it. Great. Thank you very much.
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from the line of Chris Brendler with D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
CB
Chris Brendler
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
Hi. Thanks. Good afternoon, guys. Just wanted to drill in a little bit more on the credit picture, just because given the fair value accounting it’s a little more difficult to see from the trends you’re talking about. Can you just give us a little more color, if possible, on your delinquency trends into the first quarter that’s given you the confidence? And it sounds like, from the fair value marks – slides that maybe the back-book was causing some of the elevated charge-offs in the fourth quarter, and therefore – that’s why, things don’t get better because the back-back is wondering off. Anymore color there would be great? Thanks.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
Yes. Specifically, we’re looking at early indicators. Like, we have a lot of history from the 10 years of operating that – our level of confidence in our early indicators. And similarly in July, when we made one of the largest credit adjustments in the company history, we kind of used early indicators to determine future forecast and profitability and gross charge-offs. So our early indicators are very favorable. Obviously, we do realize the environment right now is a little – there is a little volatility out there in the economy. But we feel really good that the credit adjustments that we’ve tested into, made and now, fully deployed, and continue to refine and improve, were the right ones. And our level of confidence is growing as the year goes on.
CB
Chris Brendler
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
Okay, great. That’s helpful. I just wanted to ask also on the front end of the business, the competitive environment sort of when you guys first came public, it was a very strange macroenvironment where demand was artificially low. And I assume that’s changed dramatically in the last 18 months. But I think as you look into ‘23, it feels like you’re OppFi should be a good spot from a competition perspective, like probably more loan volume they can handle. But just given the offset of what’s happening on the credit front, how do you balance those two? And what does that mean from a net basis on the origination growth outlook? Thanks.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
Yes. I mane, we’re not – by no means, we are not loosening credit. That’s pretty certain. What we have found, though, is with predictive attribute sets, you can make customers look low risk and we’ve tested into that. And that is looking accurate. On the growth side, though, we see less competition. There is been a couple of players non-public, one public player, I won’t mention any names, that’s gone private. And then there is been some more regional players that are not showing up as frequently and maybe dealing with some balance sheet issues as well. So we feel like we’re in a really strong position. We are the leader in our space, in our credit bands, and we feel really confident. And also, I mentioned this couple of times, but seeing the largest percentage of low-risk customers that we’ve seen historically.
CB
Chris Brendler
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
Okay. And one more as I have you is just new Castlelake facility was disclosed in December, any color around the terms of pricing? Sort of how you came to close that deal? Obviously, a pretty impressive transaction in this macroenvironment. And I hope it speaks to the confidence that not only you, but they have in your credit performance, would be great to hear.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
Yes, it’s on the same terms as our other facility. Obviously, interest rate increases are real, and it’s something we’re watching closely. But that’s on all facilities with floating rate based off SOFR. But as far as the terms go, LTV terms and flexibility, it’s substantially the exact same.
CB
Chris Brendler
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
Great. Thanks, Todd.
OP
Operator
Operator
There are no further questions in the queue. And now, management will answer your questions submitted via the webcast.
SS
Shaun Smolarz
Analyst
Why was the corporate share repurchase program not utilized in the fourth quarter?
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
Okay. Yes, I mean, first of all, I’d like to start by saying, I personally purchased shares, my family personally purchased shares. But when you’re looking at some of the – first of all, the opportunity set, there is a – we feel really strong right now and our confidence level just on credits is getting higher and our ability to find very profitable transactions for growth is first and foremost. I think right now though, coming out of this, we see some competition around us where there is some balance sheet issues. And we’ve come out of this with a really strong balance sheet, with a really strong cash position – unrestricted cash position and feel that we want to see a couple more cards before we just start investing in spaces and being very thoughtful and strategic about where we want to allocate that capital. And I think right now – I forget who said it, but cash is king in this environment. And then having a strong balance sheet is definitely something that we’ve prioritized and have worked through and feel really good about. So it’s not to say that the company is not going to purchase coming up here. We still think the stock price is disconnected from its long-term intrinsic value. And so personally, the family is purchasing. Just the company we decided, we’re going to wait for the time being.
OP
Operator
Operator
And as there are no more questions from the webcast, I’d like to pass it back to management for any closing remarks.
TS
Todd Schwartz
Analyst
I want to thank everyone for joining us today. We’re excited by our start to 2023 with improved credit performance and a higher mix of origination to the lowest credit risk tiers. We look forward to updating you again on our progress in May. And we expect to report our Q1 results then. Thanks, everyone.
OP
Operator
Operator
This concludes today’s conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a great day.