Earnings Labs

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Wed, May 6, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Onto Innovation First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. Later, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. I would like to turn the conference over to your speakers today, Mr. Michael Sheaffer. Please go ahead, sir.

Michael Sheaffer

Analyst

Thank you, Angela, and good afternoon everyone. Onto Innovation issued its 2020 first quarter financial results this afternoon shortly after the market closed. If you have not received a copy of the release, please refer to the Company's website at www.ontoinnovation.com, where a copy of the release is posted. Joining us on the call today are Michael Plisinski, Chief Executive Officer; and Steven Roth, Chief Financial Officer. As is always the case, I need to remind you of the safe harbor regulations, any matters today that are not historical facts, particularly comments regarding the Company's future plans, objectives, forecasts and expected performance consist of forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such estimates, whether expressed or implied, are being made based on currently available information and the Company's best judgment at this time. Within these are a wide range of assumptions that the Company believes to be reasonable. However, it must be recognized that these statements are subject to a range of uncertainties that can cause the actual results to vary materially. Thus, the Company cautions that these statements are no guarantee of future performance. Risk factors that may impact Onto Innovation's results are currently described in Onto Innovation Form 10-K report for the year ended December 2019 as well as other filings with the SEC. Onto Innovation does not update forward-looking statements and expressly disclaims any obligation to do so. Today's discussion of our financial results will be presented on a non-GAAP financial basis unless otherwise specified. A detailed reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP results can be found in today's earnings release. I will go ahead and turn the call over to Mike Plisinski. Mike?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Thank you, Mike. Good afternoon everyone and welcome to Onto Innovation first quarter earnings call. I'll begin our call with an update on COVID-19 and its impact on our business. Then I'll cover the highlights for the first quarter, followed by Steve's financial review and finally our outlook for the second quarter. So, let's begin. At Onto Innovation, our battle with COVID-19 started in January with the lockdowns in Wuhan China. Since that time, we've implemented increasingly more comprehensive safety policies for our staff and suppliers to reduce the impact of the virus on our business. As a result of these proactive steps, we kept our global staff safe and met our customer commitments in the quarter. In addition, we expedited a few systems, roughly $3 million in revenue from the second quarter. These systems were pulled forward at the request of customers concerned with future supply chain disruptions impacting their rent plans. In total, we ended the quarter with nearly $140 million in revenue, which was at the high-end of our guidance range and represented 16% growth over the reported prior quarter. Over half of our quarterly revenue came from 5 of the top 7 capital spenders in our industry and lifting Atlas metrology revenue growth by double digits over the prior quarter. Demand for our process control solutions for 5G applications also surged in the quarter, resulting in double digit growth for both inspection and metal metrology systems. In addition to supporting the strong demand for our products, while overcoming challenges posed by the COVID pandemic, we also accelerated our integration tasks. In April, we implemented another $6 million in annualized integration synergies, which we expect to be fully realized by the end of the third quarter. In total, we expect to end this year with over $20…

Steven Roth

Analyst

Thanks Mike. Before I begin my remarks as Mike noted, the finance results present here will be on non-GAAP basis except where are noted. And that the non-GAAP presentation of the new merged company no longer excludes stock-based compensation. Also, this is the first full quarter of the financial results of the merged company. In the fourth quarter, our financial results represented the operations of Rudolph for the full fourth quarter, but only the results are former Nanometrics since the closing of the merger on October 26. I recognize that this partial period results may comparability somewhat difficult, and I'll try to bridge those differences for you. As Mike mentioned, our first quarter revenue was $139.9 million above the midpoint of our guidance. For the fourth quarter of 2019, we reported revenue of $120.6 million, which excluded 10 million of Nanometrics' October shipments and $1.7 million at deferred revenue that would have been in our results if we had closed the merger at the beginning of the quarter. Therefore, the full fourth quarter of the combined company would have been approximately $132.3 million. Based on those adjusted numbers, our Q1 results represent a 6% increase over the prior quarter. Breaking the revenue down by market, revenue from advanced nodes accounted for 44% of revenue, strength mainly in memory. Specialty devices and advanced packaging customers accounted for 35% of revenue, and the remaining 21% of revenue came from our software and services business. We had two customers in the quarter, both top five capital proven spenders that represent a greater than 10% of sales. As we've discussed, one of the benefits of the merged company is the broad and diverse customer base with over 150 customers from silicon wafer manufacturers all the way to advanced manufacturing customers. Turning to gross margin,…

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. The impact of the pandemic adds new level of uncertainty that is difficult to quantify, both in the chance of occurrence of an outbreak and its impact to operations. As I mentioned earlier, we have implemented a variety of protocols to maintain the safety of our staff and reduce the risk to our business. Likewise, we're working very closely with our suppliers to share best practices we've developed to reduce their risk. We intend to maintain these protocols throughout the quarter independent of the eventual loosening of government restrictions. Our guidance assumes these steps will continue to prove effective, and as a result, our operations will continue to function. Obviously, if our procedures fail to prevent or contain an outbreak in one of our factories or our suppliers unexpected, unexpectedly miss deliveries, then we could be negatively impacted beyond our guidance range. So, let's discuss what we see for demand. Much like the first quarter, we see markets continuing to benefit from investments in 5G. In March, analysts in Asia reported that Chinese smartphone shipments rose to 21 million units down year-over-year, but up 200% percent over the prior month. Apple smartphones in China improved significantly more than expected in March, increasing 20% year-over-year and 400% over the prior month. Looking beyond China, Qualcomm recently reported that 30% of the phones sold in March were 5G enabled, and 71% of the new phone launches in March supported 5G. So, most of this initial 5G product demand is coming from Chinese and other Asian handset manufacturers. As mentioned earlier, these customers are supported by a global ecosystem of manufacturers, which we support. We believe our strong position across the 5G ecosystem will contribute to another sequential quarter of double-digit growth for our inspection platforms. For advanced nodes, we…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question is from the line of Quinn Bolton with Needham. Please go ahead.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst

Hey guys. Thanks on the first quarter results in a challenging environment. I wanted to start off with the advanced nodes specifically the Atlas. It sounds like you said the 14% growth was driven mostly by DRAM, but wondering if you also saw foundry strength and then have a have a follow up?

Steven Roth

Analyst

Hi, Quinn, it's Steven Roth. So, yes, we had very strong DRAM growth in the quarter overall, but we also had a fairly strong foundry in the fourth quarter. So while there wasn't an increase over quarter over quarter, I would say, I mean, it was it was it was flat quarter over quarter, but still very good portion of the overall business in both quarters.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst

So flat off a pretty high base in Q4.

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Yes.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst

And then, a second question you guys didn't mention the Commerce Department actions, tightening the export controls around military use and military end users in China. Just wondering over the past week, if you've had a chance to look at those new regulations that come effective at the end of June and whether that might have any impact on the business specifically, will it require you to get new licenses to ship to customers in China? Thank you.

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Yes, so we've been working with council in Washington, D.C. as well as our own council of course here to try and understand the dynamics in play there. We do fall under some of those restrictions. Our products are impacted, but the level of impact is still -- there's a lot of uncertainty there. So, we're still trying to work through that and we would expect to have a better understanding within the next week or so.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst

Can I just follow-up on that? Do you think if you fall under, then that means you may be required to get a license under that interpretation?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Either a license or there's other, if you make a memory chip in the memory chip is used in a toy or military device, the customer may or may not be actually selling to the military. So, we have to understand is can the customers certify that they're building these for consumer devices and making that an option as well?

Quinn Bolton

Analyst

Great. Thank you, Mike.

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

It's really not totally clear at this point.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

And you next question is from the line of Patrick Ho with Stifel. Please go ahead, sir.

Patrick Ho

Analyst

Thank you very much and glad to hear everyone is well. Maybe Mike or Steve, in terms of the gross margin profile, it was pretty strong given a lot of the disruptions that occurred during the quarter. Maybe from just the COVID-19 perspective, how much I guess balancing that you have to do? Or how much of an impact did that issue cause on the gross margin line for the March quarter? And how much of an impact you think it'll have in the June quarter?

Steven Roth

Analyst

Hi, Patrick, it's Steve. So, as you can see in the prepared remarks, we were able to pretty much, the team really stepped up and we put in our processes in place and things like split shifts and things like that. So, we were able to just continue to execute on the existing orders we had. Mike mentioned that we pulled in a couple of tools that customer requested. The product mix was what we had planned, maybe before this kind of all happened. So, I would say from the costs affecting the gross margin line. Most of that stuff was coming from the obviously the tool, price, prices everything were all similar to what we would expect in a normal environment. Obviously, a little bit of the above the line costs maybe have been reduced from a travel perspective for service guys and stuff is things really slow down towards the end of the quarter. But we still got to get these tools in place and we obviously have a lot of people that are in the field trying to put -- obviously, you're doing that without travel. So, we're doing our installations in the countries at which those are there. So, I would say, there really was no effect, really very minimal effect on Q1, and the mobile operating under and really don't that impacting Q2 that's why we're kind of sitting in where we are.

Patrick Ho

Analyst

Great, that's really helpful Steve. And maybe as a follow-up for you in terms of the inventory on your end, obviously your customers and their end user customers are building some inventory level and things that I've heard is the entire food chain at some levels, building buffer inventory, given the uncertainty that's out there. Your inventory levels look relatively healthy. So, for this very disruptive environment, can you talk about how you're ensuring that you'll have the necessary supplies and inventory given the uncertainty in the marketplace?

Steven Roth

Analyst

Yes, so, I mean, obviously it's up there, right up there with the number one thing we're looking at is obviously the delivery of material. I mean, obviously, we have fairly decent build cycles. So, we obviously ordered this stuff in well advance to the quarter, that would get your time we've monitored that there have been a couple of places where we things got disrupted especially out of Malaysia earlier in Q2, but we've been pretty much while there's still a couple of things we're monitoring. We've been getting commitments from our suppliers and delivery dates for the material. So, it's a risk of course, but because you don't know what can happen next. But I would say right now we're seeing, on the impact from a Q2 standpoint, we see the stuff coming in to make sure we can hit the numbers that were given out.

Operator

Operator

And your next question is from the line of Tom Diffely with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Franco Granda

Analyst

This is actually Fraco on for Tom today. I was hoping to get your view on semiconductor units for the year. You obviously talked about 5G driving unit growth in the first half, but would that be enough to kind of drive growth for the entire year if impact slowed down?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

I think there's a combination. It's not just 5G, but there is also a lot of data center demands, a lot of PC refresh cycles that we're seeing. And as people start to adjust to this work from home environment, people start to drive more social media and sort of remote engagement tools that are based up in the cloud and data centers. So, the question is really, how much of the demand has been accumulating and will be resolved over the second next two quarters, versus how much will continue as consumers start to come back hopefully in the next several quarters. And I think on -- so that's one thing on the demand side, which you asked, but I think it's also important to note that a lot of our customers are investing in the next technology ramps, which so far, short of a push out here or there and only, maybe part of their ramp being pushed out. They've all been very confident in moving forward with their ramps. So, that's also a positive from the industry perspective.

Franco Granda

Analyst

Okay. Now, that's helpful. Thank you. And then one question on the Gen 6 tool, you terminated your relationship with your China partner. How do we expect that will change sort of the timing of the roll out for that?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Well, as you know, we've achieved all the technical milestones that we had targeted, and let's say the next big milestone was the customer engagement and locking in a customer for that tool. So, the struggles we were having with our partner, was sort of inhibiting that progress. So, now we're in the process of re-engaging. But as you know, there's a lot of travel restrictions, people who aren't meeting that customers and one of the hot zones or at least a couple of the customers there. So, we'll have more clarity as we reengage and get more direct feedback. But we are encouraged that, the feedback we've gotten from the accounts has been very positive and there are projects that they've been looking at for that Gen 6 tool.

Operator

Operator

And your next question is from the line of Craig Ellis with B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey guys, this is Carlin Lynch [ph] on for Craig. Thanks for taking my question. I guess I want to start on the synergy front. Obviously great job there and you identified some additional synergies beyond the one that you had started with. As you look out even farther, just kind of from a high level perspective, do you see further kind of synergy harvesting as you look into the back half of the year and maybe calendar '21? Or is this kind of...

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

I think the additional synergies we see are more in the product rationalization and some of the supply chain rationalization that we see, that we see the ability to execute on. So, those will be more ongoing sort of business processes that we bring together. I wouldn't say that, those are projects that we'll be investing in and then coming through. So, there are more synergies. There are also more revenue synergies that we're identifying. I mentioned a few of them as the e-diagnostics and some of the software that we're employing to help to improve the service organization and add value-added services there. So, I think there's more that we're uncovering and we expect more in 2021.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. Got it. Okay. And then I guess just kind of generally, obviously, the whole situation is pretty unclear right now with COVID-19 and travel restrictions. But if you think about kind of half on half linearity, through the year, do we start to get some of those revenue synergies that you talked about, which could drive half on half growth or is that kind of still pretty up in the air at this point?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

I think it's early for the revenue synergies to drive half on half revenue growth. I think we might be able to see some revenue, but it will be still very relatively small, and then growing and building into the following year. But as far as half over half, if the customers continue to execute to the plans that they've discussed, we would see enough customer demand to drive half over half growth. I think there's a lot of certainty that as everybody is trying to understand the impact of a global recession and pandemic. And is it a U or L shaped curve, but yes, so far, that's, that's what we're seeing.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

So just to be clear, you guys haven't seen any like early signs of demand disruption in the back half of the year?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

We have, this was the year that was forecasted. We had some peers coming out 20% growth and things like this. We didn't see that much growth, but we did see some growth. And we have seen some reduction of that growth, but still growth. So over 2019 and you can see even our first half is still 6.5% is at the midpoint of our guidance or at the Q2 guidance level. So we if we continue to if the customers execute, we do see the demand, potentially driving additional growth in the second half.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your next question is from the line of David Duley with Steelhead, please go ahead.

David Duley

Analyst

Yes, a couple of questions from me. Could you help us understand what your current lead times are for the Atlas product and the inspection products? And have you seen those lead times to extend or contract or whatever they done over the last quarter?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

The lead times so far haven't changed dramatically. We've had some supply chain issues that we've worked through that move things around, but those were specific vendors that we had to work through some issues with. But overall, the lead times haven't changed dramatically. What we've tried to do is drive more discipline with the customers and cooperate with the customers to get orders in a little sooner, so we can be more specific and make sure that they have the parts or the unique configurations that they care about, as we have to -- we can't carry as much inventory and all the different options in the supply chain can't react the way the way it would have in the past. So, that's how we've been dealing with, maintaining, more or less maintaining the lead times.

David Duley

Analyst

And what roughly are they then? How many weeks?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

I would say 8 to 16 anywhere between 2 and 4 months.

David Duley

Analyst

And could you elaborate a little bit more on the DRAM win that you talked about? I'm sorry. I didn't quite write everything down right, didn't hear everything you mentioned about what products were associated with that when and perhaps help us understand. Did you take market share from somebody? And why would why did you win the business?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

On the DRAM side, we won the business because of the capability of the tools. I can't speak if we've gained extra share or not. We had a position within this account. We were pleased by the magnitude of the adoption of our products across not just the Atlas product line, but also our integrated metrology product line and the MetaPULSE as well. So I didn't see or get a measure of what the competitors may have gotten. I know we achieved what we expected to achieve. And yes, so it's hard to say whether we gain share or not. But we for sure, we're pleased with the level of adoption the customer had for our products and technologies.

David Duley

Analyst

And then final thing for me, could you just talk about the segments in the June quarter I think you mentioned the front end semiconductor business, if you could just talk about each segment and what you would expect it to do going into the second quarter and why?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

So, we mentioned the advanced nodes would be between the first and the second between the levels of the first and fourth quarters. So, declining a little bit as some of the customers are delaying some expansions or pushing out after some growth in Q1 and as rebalance. So balance between DRAM NAND and logic, almost equally. And growth from 5G we see continuing for driving the specialty and advanced packaging, primarily the inspection business. So, that's where that's what we see. And then the services and software remain relatively flat at these high levels, near record levels.

David Duley

Analyst

Sorry, I just want to put one more in there. I know it's early on, but based on your backlog and your commentary, it seems like you would expect Q3 revenues to be flattish? Or what sort of scenarios are you kind of considering at this point given all the cards that you can look at now?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Q3, if all the customers continue with their plans, Q3 should be relatively strong, but there's a lot of uncertainty -- relatively so flat to up, but there's a lot of uncertainty right now. Customers are looking to understand what's the impact of that COVID pandemic, they are looking to understand the impacts of supply chain not just on us. We can build tools, but if they -- if a process equipment suppliers can deliver. Now, there's no need for additional process control. So, there's a lot of uncertainty that customers are working through right now, as they think about what they're doing for Q3.

Operator

Operator

And your final question is from the line of Mark Miller with Benchmark. Please go ahead.

Mark Miller

Analyst

Just want to try to get your impression of the decline that you're speculating in the DRAM and logic? One interpretation could be that because of the virus that there was a lot of purchases of laptop computers during the quarter and that was kind of spiked up. Another concern is that people were stockpiling chips, which are internal interpretation, the slowdown to either those theories work or do you have another believe?

Michael Plisinski

Analyst

Well, that's what the customers are trying to ascertain. So, we've heard commentary from customers that they're not sure. I think TSMC actually said this publicly. They're not sure how much of the demand they're seeing is built up versus sustainable demand. So, built up of inventories versus not, and I think that'll take a few months to play out. And then on the DRAM or advanced memory side, I think it's a similar situation where you've got data centers expanding. I think we've seen some commentary from some of the larger data center service providers that they were constrained, and they wanted to spend more capital but they couldn't because of supply chain receiving equipment. So, that implies that there's pretty strong demand out there still, and that we're not seeing an inventory problem. So I think, there's two different there's competing views and we need a few months to see how that really plays out. For us, we're prepared for either way. As I mentioned, we accelerated some synergy, so we're prepared if things stay at this level to have healthy bottom line. So, we can continue to invest, continue to accelerate our roadmaps, and at the same time, we're prepared within the manufacturing organization to be able to ramp when the demand returns.

Operator

Operator

And I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Michael Sheaffer for closing remarks.

Michael Sheaffer

Analyst

Thank you, Angela, and thank you all for your support, and a special thank you to the dedicated Onto Innovation team for overcoming many challenges in this quarter, I also want to thank our suppliers and our customers for their support and cooperation during these challenging times. And Angela, that completes our call.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation and having a wonderful day. You may all disconnect.