Martin Hoffmann
Analyst · Michael Binetti from Credit Suisse
Thank you, Caspar, and hello, everyone, also from my side. With CHF 291.7 million and 66.6% growth, net sales in Q2 has been by far the strongest in the history of On. In June, for the first time, net sales in the single month exceeded CHF 100 million. And net sales in the first 6 months of the year have grown by 67.2% to CHF 527.3 million. Our adjusted EBITDA more than doubled compared to Q1. And if you exclude the extra airfreight, which was needed to overcome the residual impact of the supply side from last year's factory closures, our gross profit margin and adjusted EBITDA margin for both Q2 as well as half year 1 would already reconfirm our long-term profitability target. We could not reach such incredible results without the dedication and passion our team puts into all parts of the business every day. We have grown from 1,150 to almost 1,500 team members since the beginning of the year. Over the last weeks, Caspar, David, Marc, Olivier and I had the opportunity to visit our North America team in their new office in Portland, our tech and happiness delivery team in our recently opened office in Berlin and our development and innovation team in Ho Chi Minh City. After 2 years, we were also allowed again to visit Tokyo to meet with the Asian teams and to see firsthand how On's new Tokyo store resonates very strongly with Japanese customers. We also had the opportunity to visit many of our factories and factory owners to align on our joint growth plans. And last but not least, we opened On Labs which is what we call our new office in Zurich. And for the first time in 4 years, all our Switzerland-based teams are now starting the launch runs from the same building where they share a coffee on our community platter. We also had the opportunity to already welcome many of our global key retail partners to our new home base. On Labs also serves as the new innovation heart for On. More than 30% of the space is dedicated to research and product development, allowing us to take Swiss engineering to the next level. We have even opened our own sample production line to produce shoes and apparel samples on site. Together with an elevated computer simulation programs and the world-class sport science laboratory, we are now able to test and refine innovation at a much higher pace. And On Labs is home to our first owned retail store in Europe which allows us to test the latest innovations for On store design and to further build a strong run community in our hometown. Now let me turn to our financial performance in the quarter in some more detail. Our net sales growth has been stronger than expected and driven by all channels, regions and product categories. The success of our latest product launches exceeded our own expectations and lower airfreight rates allowed us to deliver more product to meet the incredible demand we have seen at our retail partners as well as our own direct-to-consumer channel. In Q2, we saw our omnichannel strategy shine again with strong growth of 70.1% in wholesale and 60.8% in direct-to-consumer. In wholesale, growth was driven by the continued gain of market share with most of our existing retail partners. This is driven by the success of existing and new products as well as a further selective expansion of our doors with our global and regional key accounts. We see the strong growth in our D2C channel consisting of On's own e-com and own retail as a further validation of our ability to build and retain a loyal fan base and to provide the best and most authentic experience to our customers. For the first time, direct-to-consumer net sales surpassed CHF 100 million in the quarter, reaching CHF 105.6 million. The contribution of net sales from the D2C channel was 36.2% for the quarter versus 37.5% in the same period last year. Especially in Europe, Q2 D2C sales last year were still inflated by the ongoing lockdowns. Germany, for example, only lifted restrictions in May 2021. Starting in October, we expect to roll out our new website, which will provide our friends a much more tailored, individualized brand experience. And it will allow us to show more product details, which we believe is a key driver for further growth of our apparel share. Within D2C, while still a small part, we are pleased to observe the success in increasing contribution of our own retail stores. The new flagship stores in Tokyo and Zurich had a very successful start financially but also as hubs for the local run community. Our New York City flagship store had its strongest quarter in history, driven by a significant increase in in-store traffic. This success is giving us a lot of confidence for the next stores in the U.S. We expect to open On L.A. in September and On Miami in December. The opening of our London store will be slightly delayed to very early 2023. With that, we expect to end '22 with 13 owned and operated stores in China and 6 own retail stores in all other markets. As mentioned, all regions contributed significantly to the net sales growth. In North America, we continue seeing the strong brand momentum that has been fueled by the IPO, by a strong product market fit of our existing and all recently launched products and by the successful expansion of our collaboration with the best key accounts and specialty stores in the region. Q2 net sales in the North American region more than doubled, increasing by 102.5% to CHF 181.7 million. With this, North America accounted for 62.3% of our business in the 3 months' period. Net sales in Europe grew by 17.5% to CHF 83.3 million. Wholesale has grown overproportionately as we continue seeing a stronger shift from online to off-line shopping. Also D2C sales in Q2 last year had been elevated due to the sustained lockdowns in many key markets. In addition, net sales growth has been negatively impacted by a weaker euro and British pound compared to the Swiss francs. We continue to be very encouraged by the development in individual markets within Europe, including, but not limited to, U.K. and France. Net sales in Asia-Pacific grew by 52.2% to CHF 17.9 million. The very strong growth in Japan and Australia allowed us to offset most, but not all, of the impact from the extensive lockdowns in China. Our warehouse in Shanghai and around half of our China stores have been closed for 2 months, resulting in approximately CHF 5 million lost sales. Due to the structure of the China business, the impact is overproportionate on our D2C and apparel business. As soon as restrictions were lifted, we have seen a very strong recovery in China. And in June, our own retail locations had their strongest month in history. Finally, Rest of World net sales grew by 224.2% to CHF 8.8 million, reflecting the post-COVID recovery in many of our distributor markets as well as some earlier shipments of fall/winter products compared to Q2 last year. Moving to the performance by product category. As Caspar mentioned, our expanded line of innovative performance running shoes is driving market share gains in the running market, both from existing as well as new customers. The Cloudultra and Cloudvista have become favorite on the feet of trail runners. And the Cloudnova continues to drive us to new customer groups. Net sales from shoes increased by 68.2% year-over-year for the quarter to CHF 280.6 million. Net sales from apparel product grew 31.3%, which was slightly below our expectation, but also shows the large opportunity that we have in this category given the strength and penetration of our brand in footwear. Our strategy to build On as a sportswear brand has been validated in Q2 by the ongoing very strong apparel sales in our own retail stores as well as in shop-in-shop environment. The apparel share in our new Tokyo store is already at 18% and in Zurich at 19%. In Europe and North America, we continue to invest in shop-in-shop installations, for example, in Nordstrom, Sport Chek and . As a result, we see both strong uplift in overall sales and a significantly higher apparel split between 15% to 25%. Finally, net sales from accessories increased by 51.9% to CHF 1.8 million. Gross profit in the second quarter 2022 was CHF 160.8 million compared to CHF 106.3 million in the previous year period. As expected, we continue to selectively use airfreight in Q2 to ensure key product availabilities. We have, however, come a step closer to normalization and have reduced the required airfreight share in comparison to the first quarter. As a result of the investment into air freight, our gross profit margin decreased from 60.7% in Q2 last year to 55.1% in Q2 this year, but was up sequentially from 51.8% in the first quarter of the year. In Q2, we continued to invest in all parts of the business while still delivering profitability despite significant airfreight costs. SG&A expenses before share-based compensation and excluding CHF 3.3 million IPO-related equity transaction costs in Q2 2021 were 48% of net sales in Q2 this year compared to 48.7% for the same period last year. Share-based compensation led to a lower expense, both in Q2 this year and in the prior year period due to reductions of existing provisions to reflect revised estimates in connection with future option exercises. Despite the investment in airfreight as well as the higher-but-controlled SG&A expense, we achieved a strong adjusted EBITDA of CHF 31.4 million, an increase of CHF 4 million and 14.7% compared to prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q2 this year was 10.8% compared to 15.7%, with this reduction, again, largely being a result of airfreight costs. Moving to the balance sheet. Capital expenditure for the quarter was CHF 11 million or 3.8% of net sales, largely consisting of investments into new owned retail stores, office build-out as well as into IT infrastructure. Inventories increased by CHF 54.3 million compared to end of March, reflecting the significantly improved supply situation. With this position, we were well equipped to deliver our strong fall/winter season preorders beginning as of early July. Higher working capital was a key driver for the reduction of our net cash from CHF 600.4 million at the end of Q1 to EUR 557.7 million at the end of Q2. So our strong balance sheet allows us to pursue our ambitious growth plans and upcoming investments. Now let's look ahead. To help frame our financial outlook, let me share our view on some of the underlying drivers. First, the macroeconomic environment. Despite the macro uncertainty, we currently do not see any signs of a slowing demand for On products. Appropriately, in an environment like this, some key accounts have started to pay more attention to their in-store inventory, but sellout numbers for On have stayed consistently strong. And we are clearly planning the business this year for continued strong growth, but we are also focused on controlled and durable growth, which I will come back to at a later point. Second, given the macroeconomic uncertainties, we took the decision to grow our cost base more conservatively and to reduce our goal for new hires for the remainder of the year. And while we felt the importance for our teams to come back together physically after the end of the pandemic, we plan to make more use again of the proven ability to working together virtually and to reduce travel in the months to come. Third, our financial results are impacted by the current volatility of currencies, especially the strength of the U.S. dollar and the weakness of the euro in ratio to our reporting currency, Swiss franc. A strong U.S. dollar versus Swiss francs can be considered a tailwind for net sales and absolute gross profit by having a negative impact on gross profit margin. A weak euro versus Swiss franc has a negative impact on net sales, on gross profit and gross profit margin. We will continue to report our results on a stated basis and focus on the underlying business development, but the continued high volatility of currencies may impact those reported results. Our guidance in general is based on spot rates. Fourth. Thanks to the dedication and commitment of our factory partners. We were able to compensate for the majority of the lost production capacity during the factory closures last fall. Our supply situation has improved significantly. And as announced in earlier calls, we expect to use a more standard ocean freight for the vast majority of shipment. But our recently launched Cloudmonster and Cloudrunner are exceeding expectations. And in order to provide sufficient supply, we decided to continue investing into airfreight for both franchises in Q3 to meet this demand. This will have a limited impact on our gross profit margin of 150 to 200 basis points in the third quarter. In addition, we expect an additional 50 basis points headwind for Q3 and Q4 from the current currency rates. With all that context as a backdrop, based on the performance we have seen in the first half year, we are once again raising our outlook for 2022 from CHF 1.04 billion to CHF 1.1 billion, which effectively passes through slightly more than our Q2 overperformance for the full year. This new top line reflects a strong full year growth of 52% compared to 44% in our previous guidance. As always, we will continue to strive to exceed this number but only in the service of a durable, long-term growth. Let me explain what we mean with durable and controlled growth. We are thinking long term, and our goal is to build a durable company at the intersection of performance, design and impact. Managing that growth ensures scarcity, which is the key driver to build desire and to maintain our position as a premium brand. It also allows a balanced growth across both channels and all regions. Growing strongly, but controlled also puts focus on efficiency across all parts of the organization as a prerequisite for a continued increase of our profitability. And last but not least, the strong focus on tighter inventory control, premium positioning and the controlled growth of the cost base makes On more resilient against the impact of a potential economic downturn. The higher net sales will allow additional growth-focused investments into the brand and the team while increasing our adjusted EBITDA target for the full year to CHF 145 million, reconfirming our goal of an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.2% for the year, even at a significantly elevated top line outlook. As you can see, a foundation is being laid for a larger and even more profitable company in the years ahead. Not even 12 months ago, we filed for our initial public offering. So much progress since then. We became a more diverse, inclusive and more sustainable company. We introduced new exciting innovation and sustainability-driven apparel and footwear products for running, outdoor and performance all day. We entered into new markets, including Latin America and Hong Kong. And we started to work with some of the largest key accounts in the world to increase our share on runners' feet and also with the younger community. We have grown our last 12 months revenue by 64% from CHF 570 million to CHF 937 million. And our teams achieved all of this despite the ongoing impact from COVID-19 factory closures in Vietnam and the recent lockdowns in China. Almost 600 people started at On since the IPO, and we are proud to welcome them in our new offices around the world. We're equally proud about our athletes, their success and their passion for innovation that has driven the development of exciting new products. But most importantly, our culture has not changed and continues to be ruled by our 5 spirits. The athlete, explorer, positive, survivor and the team spirit. They will continue to drive our future and we couldn't be more excited about all the opportunities we see in front of us. We will continue to ignite the human spirit through movement and [indiscernible]. And with that, Caspar, Marc and I would like to open up the session to your questions. Operator, we are now ready to begin the Q&A session.