Earnings Labs

Omnicell, Inc. (OMCL)

Q4 2023 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 8, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Omnicell Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Financial Results Call. Please note that today's call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to Kathleen Nemeth, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin your conference.

Kathleen Nemeth

Analyst

Good morning, and welcome to the Omnicell fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results conference call. On the call with me today are Randall Lipps, Omnicell Chairman, President, CEO and Founder; and Nchacha Etta, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. This call will contain forward-looking statements, including statements related to financial projections or other statements regarding Omnicell's plans, strategy, objectives, goals, expectations, cost savings actions holistic review of the business or market or company outlook that are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. For a more detailed description of the risks that impact these forward-looking statements, please refer to the information in our press release issued today, and the Omnicell annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 1, 2023, and in other more recent reports filed with the SEC. Please be aware that you should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements made today. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof or the date specified on the call. Except as required by law, we do not assume any obligation to update or otherwise release publicly any revisions to our forward-looking statements. Our results were released this morning and are posted on the Investor Relations section of our website at ir.omnicell.com. Additionally, we would like to remind you that during this call, we will discuss some non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our financial results press release issued today. With respect to forward-looking non-GAAP measures, we do not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP measures on a forward-looking basis, as these items are inherently uncertain and difficult to estimate and cannot be predicted without unreasonable effort. With that, I will turn the call over to Randall. Randall?

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Good morning, and thank you all for joining us. Today, I will walk through our high-level performance for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2023, including some key customer wins. Nchacha will also provide an update on the current demand environment and our Q1 and full year 2024 outlook. Beginning with our results, we delivered overall 2023 financial results roughly in line with the original guidance as we provided in February 2023. However, bookings for full year 2023 were down 19% for the prior year and missed our original guidance. For the fourth quarter, total GAAP revenues were $259 million, down 13% from the prior year. Total non-GAAP EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $24 million above our fourth quarter guidance due to strong expense management versus $26 million for the prior year. GAAP earnings per share was a loss of $0.32 per share versus a loss of $0.64 for the prior year. Now let me be clear, we do not view our recent performance as acceptable. Although we have taken various actions to improve our performance, we intend to take further action. For example, over the past few years, we launched a number of advanced services that are gaining traction with customers and beginning to scale. We also previously announced a heightened focus on managing costs, including an approximate 7% reduction in our workforce announced last quarter. These already announced cost actions are expected to result in $50 million of savings on an annualized basis by the end of 2024. But we recognize we have more to do. Our results tell us there is a need for a thoughtful evaluation of where we can potentially make other changes to improve from our operations and go-to-market initiatives to our product portfolio. Accordingly, we have decided to undertake a holistic review of the business with the assistance of an outside consultant in an effort to determine how we can best optimize our operations and investments. Now Omnicell's strength has been demonstrated repeatedly over the years, and we believe our core Point of Care business remains critical to health systems' ability to safely and efficiently manage medication across the continuum of care. We intend to continue to evolve as a company to improve our performance and deliver returns to our shareholders. We are moving forward with this work with determination and urgency. We will continue to transform the pharmacy care delivery model and advance the industry vision of the autonomous pharmacy. However, we are committed to ensuring we deliver strong returns for shareholders as we work to achieve this mission. I look forward to updating you on the progress. With that, I would like to share [Technical Difficulty]

Operator

Operator

Pardon the interruption, we are experiencing a technical difficulty. Please allow a moment for the conference to continue.

Kathleen Nemeth

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Will you continue the recording, please?

Randall Lipps

Analyst

[Technical Difficulty] industry-wide headwinds impacting hospital and health systems seem to persist in 2023. But as we move into 2024, we are seeing some encouraging signs of stabilization. Industry research indicates that 2024 CapEx budgets could increase year-over-year. In turn, some forecast for predicting that health systems will start moving forward with long delayed capital projects in 2024. However, we believe challenges may persist across the industry, including continuing high labor costs and operating costs. And therefore, we will continue to take what we believe is a cautious approach to managing our business. We continue to believe that Omnicell is an essential part of the solution for the industry. We think we are uniquely positioned to capture incremental market share as hospital cost pressures alleviate and the macroeconomic environment improves. As I mentioned, our lower year-over-year bookings create challenges for 2024, and we expect revenue and non-GAAP EBITDA profit to decline from 2023. However, as we work to transform the pharmacy care delivery model for a combination of automation, intelligence and technology-enabled services, we believe that the solutions we are able to deliver to customers are more important than ever. The total addressable market for medication management remains large. Omnicell has successfully increased our installed base of Point of Care connected devices through market share gains over the previous three years. We are very enthusiastic about and encouraged by the opportunities to deliver product and service enhancements within the XT installed base. We recently launched the XT console upgrade, which is designed to enhance data and network security and improve nursing efficiency and overall user experience for our XT cabinets and showcased this solution at ASHP 2023 Midyear Meeting in December. The XT console upgrade is part of a broader strategy toward a planned XT product refresh. We are investing…

Nchacha Etta

Analyst

Thanks, Randall. And thank you all for being here today. We will discuss our full year 2023 financial performance, the current demand environment, and our Q1 and full year 2024 outlook. Over the last three quarters, we have taken a hard look at our business and products, along with our go-to-market strategy and have given a lot of thought to how we can strengthen and refine certain processes. As Randall mentioned, to better understand the opportunities in front of us and ways we can strengthen our financial performance, we have decided to undertake a comprehensive review of our business and engage a consultant to assist in looking at everything from good opportunities and further operational improvements to productivity enhancements and refinements in our product portfolio. During 2024, we also intend to reevaluate the financial and key performance metrics we report, including bookings and backlog. And we will consider potential new metrics we may be able to share in an effort to provide additional transparency and information to our stockholders. We look forward to updating you on our progress. With that, let me get into results for the fourth quarter and full year 2023 as well as our outlook for 2024. For the fourth quarter 2023, total GAAP revenues were $259 million, slightly above the midpoint of the guidance range we provided during our third quarter 2023 earnings call. Total revenues in the quarter were down 13% compared to the fourth quarter of 2022, reflecting lower Point of Care revenues, primarily as a result of ongoing health care systems capital budget and labor constraints. Services revenue were $113 million, an increase of 12% versus the fourth quarter 2022, primarily driven by growth in Technical Services as a result of strong execution, growth in the installed base and decisive pricing actions. Non-GAAP…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] First question comes from Stan Berenshteyn with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Stan Berenshteyn

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe a couple on the bookings guidance. First, Nchacha, if I heard you correctly, you said Point of Care product bookings is expected to increase in 2024. And if that's the case, can you help us understand what's driving the decrease in overall bookings guidance for the year?

Nchacha Etta

Analyst

Thanks, Stan, for the question. We are continuing to see our customers be more cautious as they consider implementing new workflows that may stress already thinly stretched nursing and IT staff, which potentially impact the timing of contracting and implementing new capital and software projects. While we are expecting a modest improvement in demand for our Point of Care solutions as a result of new innovations and services, we still expect moderation of sales of our XT cabinet based on where we are currently in the XT upgrade cycle. However, in Advanced Services, we continue to work with our customers to navigate the complex regulatory environment for our IV robotics. Please keep in mind that, however, there is a lot of interest in IV services, which is quite strong, and we believe the long-term trends remain favorable.

Stan Berenshteyn

Analyst

Okay. And - sorry, go ahead.

Nchacha Etta

Analyst

I'm saying, we just expect our full year bookings to again be between the range of $750 million and $875 million, but we're very excited about our innovation within the XT platform.

Stan Berenshteyn

Analyst

Okay. So what about on Advanced Services? Are the bookings for Advanced Services expected to be positive or negative for the year?

Nchacha Etta

Analyst

As I mentioned earlier, we continue to see our customers navigate complex regulatory environment within our IV robotics.

Stan Berenshteyn

Analyst

Okay. And so you're saying that Point of Care is seeing modest increase in demand, but XT sales are expected to decline. So on a net basis, our product bookings - just to be clear, our product bookings overall expected to be negative in 2024 or positive?

Nchacha Etta

Analyst

Slightly positive.

Stan Berenshteyn

Analyst

Okay. So that would imply Advanced Services has to be negative, right, to get the overall bookings guidance negative?

Nchacha Etta

Analyst

That's correct.

Stan Berenshteyn

Analyst

Okay. Appreciate that. And then just in terms of the guidance range, it's pretty wide, $125 million. Can you just walk us through what factors influence your guidance range?

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Right. We provide a very reasonable guidance that we believe is what we think we can achieve for the year. Yes. And I think as we introduce new innovation throughout this year, and this is a big innovation year for us, the uptake on that innovation and adoption by our customers is - and that's where we see the lift in product bookings and how fast it can be implemented is - it's varied. So we're just at the beginning of the first phase of the XT upgrade cycle, which means every XT customer is in play now with an offering. And as we continue to innovate, we'll have to see how those new products - how quickly they can uptake. And this is a big year at the beginning of the cycle of these new XT products and platform that will, well, get a lot of customer attention. It's just, do we have enough time this year to get it in the pipeline and get it sold and then eventually, render the revenue.

Stan Berenshteyn

Analyst

Got it. Okay. Well, thanks so much. I'll jump back in the queue.

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Thanks, Stan.

Kathleen Nemeth

Analyst

Thanks, Stan.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Anne Samuel with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Anne Samuel

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Thanks so much for taking the question. I was hoping maybe in the Advanced Services business, can you parse out maybe what some of the key challenges are? Is it still issues around hiring the pharmacy technicians? Or is it something broader within the industry backdrop around demand?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Well, I think IV, a lot of interest and demand. It's just making our way to the regulatory environment is by state. It's not just federal, it's by state. So to achieve that, you have to take the proper steps to get there. So that's the biggest dampener there. And for CPDS, it's really a lot of our customers are looking at where to deploy robotics. Is it in a consolidated service center like Ballad? Or is it in a large hospital? And so these strategies that the customers are looking at are slightly changing from what they have been in the past. And so they're not ready to dive into new innovation until they sort of get their big hospital network strategy built on how they're going to dispense medication across a broad group of hospitals and clinics. And because of that, I think we're in a lot of discussions, but they're moving pretty slow.

Anne Samuel

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

That's really helpful. And then maybe just one more on the bookings. Can you just remind us of the time line of converting bookings into revenue? How long it takes? If we were to start to see a pickup in the macro and maybe some improvement in your bookings, how long would it take for us to see that translate into revenue?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Well, it's a good question because this is one of the things Nchacha discussed about coming up with new metrics, because bookings can be confusing. But the easiest thing is to look at product. Product generally is 12 to 18 months for installation, maybe shorter than 12 months in many cases. So that's a key driver for the business or the near-term part of the business. Bookings in Advanced Services are a multitude different monetization of the stream over either 3, 5, even 10 years. And so it kind of confuses when those backlog dollars will hit the P&L. But they're generally longer than 12 months and three to five years. So it's not the same impact. But the key for us and the way to look at our P&L is we gave guidance on Advanced Services this year for the revenue. So that is the revenue piece of the Advanced Services. The product backlog then is monetized in 6, 12, maybe as much as 18 months. So that's more of the near-term revenue. So you think the Advanced Service product revenue and the product revenue, and that steers you pretty close to how the business works.

Anne Samuel

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Perfect. Thank you so much.

Randall Lipps

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

You are welcome.

Kathleen Nemeth

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Thanks, Anne.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Scott Schoenhaus with KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

Scott Schoenhaus

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

The product bookings - or the product guidance for revenue and bookings. So are you assuming any revenue contribution this year from that new XT Series console that you talked about as a growth opportunity? And then secondly, on Advanced Services, you talked about the regulatory environment pressuring Advanced Services demand for the IVX. But are you also seeing any slowdown in maybe the retail side, EnlivenHealth?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

Well, I think EnlivenHealth is a different business model, mostly SaaS. We did have some churn in the business, but we're not necessarily seeing slowdown in interest or the value that the product line brings. We are seeing - we believe that Advanced Services for IV is certainly a bigger impact. If IV were where we would want it to be, it would be probably riding the ship on the Advanced Service side.

Scott Schoenhaus

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

And then your guidance on the product side for revenue. Does it assume any contribution from the new console...

Randall Lipps

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

Small amount in the back half of the year, yes. But it's a small amount.

Scott Schoenhaus

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

Thanks.

Kathleen Nemeth

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

Thank you, Scott. Next question, please.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Allen Lutz with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Allen Lutz

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and thanks for the questions. One for Randy or Nchacha. On the strategic review, trying to get a sense of where this is focused. Is it more on the operational cost structure? Could it result in the divestiture of assets? And just can you elaborate a little bit more on the scope here, basically everything on the table. And then trying to understand the timing here? Is this something where we should expect a resolution in 2024?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

It's just a holistic operational and go-to-market review, right? I mean, we've got a lot of great products we've either launched or acquired over the last several years, and it's just time to do a review on those. And it's been a long time since Omnicell has had this type of year-end decline. So it just makes sense to do this review.

Nchacha Etta

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Yes. I'll just add to that. Our results tell us that there is a need for a significant and thoughtful evaluation of where we can make changes to improve our performance from operations to go-to-market initiatives as well as our overall product portfolio. And while the cost savings that we've taken already on the way, we need to evaluate opportunities for additional actions that will enhance value creation for our shareholders.

Allen Lutz

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Great. And then on the product bookings, curious - a follow-up to some other questions here. I'm curious if the driver - just to kind of break down some of the drivers around the expectation for higher bookings growth from the product side in 2024. Would you say - what's - as we think about changes in the hospital budgets that you're seeing, the new XT console upgrade, I'm just curious, are those the two things that are providing the greater confidence here as we go through 2024. I'm just curious what you're seeing today as it relates to your conversations with hospitals.

Randall Lipps

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Yes, definitely, the macro environment has improved over time. Still some headwinds there. But the XT product line, which is the Point of Care product line is a big contributor of what's in product. Upgrading the cycle of the XT line is something we did before, right? We went from G3 to G4 with a console upgrade. Now we've got the XT console that's going to be upgraded to the next version, which is a natural thing for customers to do. . It's a playbook that we've run before. So we're really confident that this will resonate with customers, extend their investment they made in the XT product line to bring them more value, provide more security. Some of these keyboards and screens are seven, eight years old. They need to be replaced. So there's a lot of logic there for customers and a little bit more willingness we see for them to invest. And this is not just a pharmacy piece, it's something that will help nursing, which is a very sensitive area of our providers these days.

Allen Lutz

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Great. Thanks, Randy.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Matt Hewitt with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Matt Hewitt

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and thank you for taking the questions. Maybe a couple on the new console upgrade. And Randy, thanks for explaining. I mean, it sounds like it's like the G4. When I think back over a couple of your prior upgrade cycles, you had an external driver that helped kind of expedite the process. I think at one point, it was the EHR meaningful use. You guys were the only ones that had approval for that. And so that helped drive adoption of a new cabinet. And then at one point, it was the Windows 2000 sunsetting. What do you see as a driver for this new console upgrade? Is it on the cybersecurity side? Is there something else that could help externally kind of drive customers to adopt this new platform? .

Randall Lipps

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Yes. In itself, it definitely allows you to access the latest operating systems, which of course everybody is concerned about. And so it is more secure. It's also more efficient for nurses to use it. There's some efficiency enhancements. As well, it is going to be a platform which we will continue to innovate on that will allow them access to these new innovations. You'll have to have the new console to access these additional innovations as we go along. And probably the biggest driver is that if you made an investment in XT, you want to be able to lengthen the life of that frame. And in order to do that, you have to do the console upgrade, because we're not going to allow the continual use of an older piece of equipment when it gets out of date. And so to get that refresh from the frame, you've got to upgrade the console. So it's something that they're used to. It's something that we've done over the years. They understand. And we've had a lot of discussions and pipeline on it. So it's sort of just very early returns. I'd say we're pretty pleased with how it's going, right, or it's expected to go.

Matt Hewitt

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

That's great. And then maybe a similar question or related question. With it just being a software upgrade, should that result in a shorter sales cycle unlike when you're ripping and replacing the full cabinet. Because this is just software, does that result in a shorter sales cycle or shorter implementation cycle, and therefore, maybe help a little bit sooner?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Yes, let me just speak clearly. It is a hardware console. It's like the interaction screen and keyboard to use. But it's a fairly simple exchange. Less than an hour to pull out the old and put in the new, and then it has the new software, and it's ready to go. So it's a little bit simpler to make the sale and a little bit simpler to revenue as well. because you're not doing a forklift of a major product line. You're just upgrading and enhancing the one that's already there with a little bit of hardware and a lot of software.

Matt Hewitt

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Got it. All right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from David Larsen from BTIG. Please go ahead.

David Larsen

Analyst

Hi. Can you talk about your own sort of cost inflation trends along the lines of like steel and freight and your own labor? And then I think you're implementing some price increases for your base to help offset that. How are those being received by your customers? And how far along are we in that process?

Nchacha Etta

Analyst

So we continue to monitor our supply chain risk and the geopolitical environment and the impact that has on our business. And inflation has normalized in recent quarters, but as we take pricing actions, we believe that this will be well received by our vendors.

David Larsen

Analyst

Okay. And then with the XT sort of upgrade, Randy, I think we had been talking about like being maybe 70% or more of the way through sort of this full XT upgrade process on previous calls. I think what I'm hearing from you now is that it's a full reset. Everybody is going to have to go through this new XT upgrade for this new console. Can you talk a little bit about the pricing for that, please? Like how much of a lift should we expect to see per customer?

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Well, just the console alone, and we're looking at an expanded portfolio to take to the customer, which we will announce throughout the year how this broader innovation is going to work. But it's about as these console upgrades generally are about 1/3 of the price of the unit.

David Larsen

Analyst

Okay. So it sounds like it will be actually very material, quite frankly, which is obviously a good thing. And then just my last one is for the 1Q revenue guide, that looks low. So I like how Nchacha beat the guide this quarter. That's great. Are you being conservative with the 1Q revenue guide? Or what is causing the seasonality here? And I guess my concern is if you're not being conservative, then you're kind of expecting a pretty good lift in the back half of the year? Just any color there would be great.

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Yes. Look, we've provided a plan that we believe we can manage the company through, and we remain optimistic about our innovation within the XT platform, which includes this console upgrade, and we expect a modest improvement in demand for our Point of Care as we go into 2024.

David Larsen

Analyst

Okay, thanks. I'll hop back in the queue.

Kathleen Nemeth

Analyst

Thanks, David.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Stephanie Davis with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Stephanie Davis

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead.

Hi, guys. Thank you for taking my questions. I heard in the prepared remarks that you guys are talking about XT as your long-term growth strategy. So I wanted to revisit that. I know at the Analyst Day last year, you talked a lot about moving from more of a services and software play away from just hardware alone. Advanced Services was part of that. Where are you in that transformation? And is that still kind of the long-term target?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead.

Yes. Obviously, Advanced Services is very key, but we'll always have product as part of our business model. And a big portion of this model over the past few years, which generated a lot of growth and a lot of revenue, has been the Point of Care. And so that is impacting our model more than we'd like, obviously, right now. But to get our model back in balance, we need to be able to have those product revenues, particularly from Point of Care, start to drive our growth and increased earnings. But there's a lot of ways we can offer those products. They don't have to be as a product sale alone. We don't really want to be doing product sales alone. We want to do those product sales enhanced with services around them. So it's really key for us to move from selling products to really helping our customers run the day-to-day operations in their medication processes, so they can achieve success. But it does include the offering and the sale of products either embedded in a service or sold as a service surrounded by services. So I don't know if that answers your question directly, but it's the same. It's we're moving forward toward managing our customers' businesses day-to-day with these enhanced services and the revenues that are driving that can be in the form of traditional product revenues, but always adding on Advanced Services to get the results and the outcomes.

Stephanie Davis

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead.

No, that's helpful, that's helpful. And then as you go through the strategic review and you kind of shake that, just get catch up what in business versus what's not, are any incremental end market like the retail pharmacy side of the house that might be more compelling to get into, given some of the headwinds in hospital?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead.

Yes. I think there's - always in the clinics and outpatient, there's a lot of growth there and concerns there that there aren't quite the tool sets that they have on the inpatient side. So a lot of our customers want us to help them figure those out. And certainly, those kind of markets are in our view and either investing or make or buy. So absolutely, those make a lot of sense to proceed in.

Stephanie Davis

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead.

Okay, thanks. I'll hop back in the queue.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Bill Sutherland with The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

BillSutherland

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. Randy, you just mentioned make or buy. I was actually going to ask you what your - any thoughts on the capital deployment side, particularly with the cash building quite nicely.

Randall Lipps

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Yes. I'll let Nchacha come in on the refinancing of the debt, but I should have said that we probably won't be looking at acquisitions until we get sort of the debt side of it addressed here. And that's not too far off in the distant future. I don't know, Nchacha, wound you want to say anything else about that.

Nchacha Etta

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Yes. We continue to be mindful of the upcoming 2025 much already of the convertible senior notes and we are considering various options to maintain strategic flexibility for our company and in an effort to minimize any potential dilution to our stockholders.

BillSutherland

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Got it. Nchacha, the quarterly cadence, particularly on earnings, non-GAAP earnings from the Q1 guidance for the full year, quite a lift. Is it going to be kind of a - should we think of it kind of ratably improving? Or is it more back half loaded?

Nchacha Etta

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

I'll say back half loaded to a certain extent.

BillSutherland

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Okay. And then, Randy, you said not too long ago in a conference that the regulatory headwinds, which are state by state on IVX, you kind of thought that most of the important states, at least, would work through during the course of this year. I think that's what you said. Is that the case, so that we can really expect IVX to be taking off in '25?

Randall Lipps

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

We'll have to see how it goes, but I think '25 is going to be a much better year for IV just because we'll get through some of those states. Some of the things that impacted the IV is what drugs you can mix on site and how long the stability was. And so our original thesis for some of our sites where we were making proposals, the ROIs were as high, so we had to go back and reformulate those and then get hospitals to get engaged on those again. So I think we'll have worked through most of that by the end of this year.

BillSutherland

Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Okay. That's all I have. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Your last question comes from Jessica Tassan with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Jessica Tassan

Analyst

Hi, guys. Thank you for the question. I thought the new deck was really helpful. Slide 14, especially. So I wanted to just get kind of clarity on the enhancement of the XT cycle via console versus the upgrade cycle. I guess, what's the thought process on launching the new console during the end of the XT cycle as opposed to just introducing the new console and cabinet kind of bundled together as a new product cycle entirely?

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Well, this has just been our tradition, and it's also been part of our brand is that if you buy a frame from us, it's good for 10 years, but it includes an upgrade of the console about halfway through to get new enhancements and really replacement of the old hardware or the interface console. So customers kind of expect it, and it generates good revenue for us, and it extends the life of their asset. It makes sense for them to purchase and it keeps customers engaged with us as we move on to product transitions and product rollouts of new products and services. So I would say half of our customers in the last, I don't know, three years have just installed our XT. So it's not the timing to come up with a new piece of hardware, total frame at this point. And so this would be the next logical move for us in our go-to-market. As well historically, this makes a lot of sense. And that's probably the reason we've kind of had this dip as we've tailed off in the XT and we're taking off on the console upgrades is we probably had some of those XT cabinet sales were pooled in through the pandemic process. And so it really created a slack in the rope. And now that we're getting the console going, which is what people expect about this time, it should help us even out and move forward on a more consistent basis to drive revenue and profit.

Jessica Tassan

Analyst

Okay. Got it. That's helpful. So the customers who have already implemented the XT have not paid for the console yet, but they've agreed ostensibly or implicitly to upgrading the console whenever it gets released. Is that fair? And is this kind of an incremental market share driver or a way to drive revenue on the existing XT base?

Randall Lipps

Analyst

This is all for the XT base, and it's quite large for us, right, because of our footprint that we've gained over the last three or four years. So this is a sale into our captured customers' XT base that we have today.

Jessica Tassan

Analyst

Okay. Got it. And then I just wanted to quickly follow up on your commentary about the bookings miss in '23 versus the preliminary guide, so about $150 million at the midpoint. If we imagine that the majority of that is attributable to a miss in central dispensing and the IV compounding robot, it just suggests that there were pretty significant expectations for those two products in the '23 bookings guide. Have you guys thought about or changed your philosophy around guidance for those new products in '24. Just kind of increase the level of conservatism given that they are new products, but...

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Yes, that's a great point. And I think that you see that in our bookings guide that is lower and it reflects those conclusions you just had. So I think that's implied in there, yes.

Jessica Tassan

Analyst

Okay, great. That's it for me. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. We apologize for the technical difficulties during today's conference. I will now turn the call back over to Randall Lipps for any closing remarks.

Randall Lipps

Analyst

Well, thanks for joining us today. We've got a lot to do in '24, but we're really excited about our innovation road path that we believe is really going to drive growth in earnings over the long term. We really have stepped up our focus on our go-to-market, on our innovation consistently even quarter-to-quarter as we move forward. So look for seeing these new innovations as they come out and how they fit into our road map and what they mean to customers and what they mean to our revenue and earnings. In a way, it's really exciting to get to the next phase, which is the upgrade phase and even more rollout of our XT and Advanced Service lines. I also want to thank the Omnicell employees for working extremely hard as we continue to want to deliver great value for our customers and for each other and get our company going back to growth and back to profitability. Thanks, everyone. Cheers.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may now disconnect.