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Universal Display Corporation (OLED)

Q3 2017 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 2, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to Universal Display's third quarter 2017 earnings conference call. My name is David and I will be your conference moderator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the call over to Darice Liu, Director of Investor Relations. Please proceed.

Darice Liu

Analyst

Thank you and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Universal Display's third quarter earnings conference call. Joining me on the call today are Steve Abramson, President and Chief Executive Officer and Sid Rosenblatt, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before Steve begins, let me remind you that today's call is a property of Universal Display. Any redistribution, retransmission or rebroadcast of any portion of this call in any form without the expressed written consent of Universal Display is strictly prohibited. Further, this call is being webcast live and will be made available for a period of time on Universal Display's website. This call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of the date of the live webcast of this call, November 2, 2017. All statements in this conference call that are not historical are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as those relating to Universal Display Corporation's technologies and potential applications of those technologies, the company's expected results as well as the growth of the OLED market and the company's opportunities in that market. These include, but are not limited to statements regarding Universal Display's beliefs, expectations, hopes or intentions regarding the future. It is important to note that these statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause Universal Display's actual results to differ from those projected. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in the company's periodic reports filed with the SEC and should be referenced by anyone considering making any investments in the company's securities. Universal Display disclaims any obligation to update any of these statements. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Steve Abramson.

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Thanks Darice and welcome to everyone on today's call. We are pleased to report another outstanding quarter of solid results. Revenues in the third quarter of 2017 were $61.7 million, operating profit was $15.8 million and net income was $13.5 million or $0.28 per share. During the quarter, we continued to see momentum in the OLED industry, including the launch of new flagship OLED smartphones, growing demand for OLED TVs and plans to launch the world's first foldable OLED display product. The adoption of OLED continues to expand and is fueling the exciting multi-year OLED CapEx growth cycle in which we are in the early stages. IHS Market Research recently forecasted that OLED panel production capacity is expected to more than quadruple over the next five years from approximately 12 million square meters in 2017 to about 50 million square meters in 2022. With the OLED industry's momentum accelerating faster than expected this year, we are raising our 2017 revenue guidance range to $310 million to $320 million reflecting approximately 55% to 60% year-over-year growth. Sid will provide further details shortly. Now let us review some of the industry's recent news and announcements driving this momentum. Samsung introduced the Galaxy Note 8. According to DisplayMate, the Note 8 is the most innovative and high performance smartphone display that the diagnostics research firm has ever tested. DisplayMate said the Galaxy Note 8 is notable for its highest peak display brightness, highest queen resolution and lowest screen reflectance. As a result, the Note 8 was awarded DisplayMate's highest ever A+ grade. On September 12, Samsung announced it is aiming to launch the world's first foldable smartphone in 2018. The innovative benefits of OLED include the ability to manufacture these thin film layers of plastic, making OLED inherently conformable, foldable and rollable. Samsung…

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you Steve and again thank you everyone for joining our call today. Revenues for the third quarter of 2017 were $61.7 million, up 104% year-over-year from third quarter 2016's $30.2 million. Our total material sales were $47 million in the third quarter, doubling year-over-year from third quarter 2016's $23.5 million and sequentially flat from the last quarter. As noted last quarter, we think discussing total material sales, which consists of both development and commercial, provide a better picture of our overall results. Total material sales, by color, for the third quarter of 2017 are total green emitter sales which include our yellow-green emitters were $32.8 million, up 2% sequentially from the second quarter's $32.1 million and up 105% from the comparable year-over-year's quarter $16 million. Total red emitter sales were $13.6 million in the third quarter, sequentially flat from the second quarter's $13.7 million and up 92% from the comparable year-over-year quarter's $7.1 million. As we have discussed in the past, material buying patterns can vary quarter-to-quarter. Some of the contributing factors to this can include consumer product demand cycles, capacity ramp schedules, production loading rates, contractual volume pricing reductions, product mix, material ordering patterns and customer production efficiency gains. Since a number of these factors are moving variables for our customers, they are also moving variables for us. As a result, quarter-to-quarter forecasting remains difficult. Moving to royalty and licensing. Our third quarter 2017 royalty and license fees were $12 million, up 131% from $5.2 million in the third quarter of 2016. Cost of sales, which include Adesis cost of sales, for the third quarter of 2017 were $13.5 million, up year-over-year from the third quarter of 2016's $6.5 million. The increase is due to emitter sales more than doubling year-over-year. Cost of material sales, which only relates…

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Thanks Sid. We are pleased by the consumer market's growing embrace of OLEDs in a myriad of products including wearables, smartphones, IT, automotive, TVs and products the imagination has yet to conceive. Since our inception in 1994, we have invested over $0.5 billion to advance our company from a startup to a leading player in the global OLED ecosystem. Building on our vast experience and know-how, we are continually innovating and creating state of the art OLED emissive systems while also expanding our global IP framework. We are well positioned to leverage our 20 plus years of OLED history and expertise, scale our commercial capabilities and deliver the best emissive materials with the best performance and lifetime. I would like to take a moment to thank our employees for their exceptional work and continued commitment to excellence and innovation. I would also like to recognize our customers, partners and valued shareholders for your ongoing support. We believe that we are still in the early stages of the OLED industry's growth story and our growth story. With the proliferation of OLED continuing to gain momentum, we believe that the runway of growth is long and robust for the industry and for us. And with that operator, let's start the Q&A.

Operator

Operator

Thank you Mr. Abramson. [Operator Instructions]. Our first question is from Brian Lee with Goldman Sachs.

Brian Lee

Analyst

Hi guys. Thanks for taking the questions Congrats on the good quarter. Just not to be too nit-picky, especially after a pretty consistent string of beats throughout this year, but if I take your, Sid, your full-year guidance, your revised guidance and I assume, obviously we know the Samsung payment is coming in, in Q4. You just did a high double-digit number in ex-Samsung royalty revenues and Adesis does a couple million more bucks. If I ex those out, I it implies your materials revenue guidance somewhere in the ballpark of $30 million to $40 million, if I am trying to bridge to your new guidance. So I guess, first question would be, where could my math be wrong? Or maybe secondarily, is there just that sharp a seasonal drop-off that you are anticipating for materials? Or where could the bridge be? Thanks.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Well, you are looking at, I think the royalty assumptions for the non-Samsung license, which is $12 million which kind of distorts this quarter a little bit. But there may be some seasonality that we have historically seen. And when we put the guidance together, our third quarter sales were higher than we had anticipated and we are just not sure that this run rate for the fourth quarter can be as robust. So this is our best guestimate for what the years is going to look like.

Brian Lee

Analyst

Okay. Fair enough. It may be a good segue into the royalty and licensing revenues. It seems like this was the first quarter where LG's revenue contribution from royalty payments was larger than materials purchases and we know OLED TVs, they sound like they have been doing better than expected. But were there any other drivers in the big $12 million number this quarter? Was it mix shift amongst TVs to higher price sets where you get more royalties? Or were there other customers in the mix that drove particular strength in the quarter outside of LG?

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Well, it's difficult to say specifically which customer it's from. We have historically said the bulk was from LG when it was. But our licensing fees are really growing and they are coming from multiple customers now. And we are not going to talk about each specific one, but there are multiple customers now contributing to our licensing revenue. So it is multiple customers in there in this quarter.

Brian Lee

Analyst

And then just on the China revenues. Again, you guys keep hitting new milestones, but that was a double digit million dollar revenue number for the first time for you. Just would be curious to hear your thoughts on whether you think your nearing a tipping point here with your BOE relationship, which I think is a big driver of that? Just any thoughts on the ramp or the opportunity and timing on securing another long-term commitment in China? Thank you.

Steve Abramson

Analyst

There is a lot of activity in China and we are seeing, obviously BOE and a number of other customers building OLED production facilities and becoming larger and larger customers and we fully expect that to continue to grow.

Brian Lee

Analyst

Okay. Fair enough. Thanks guys. I will pass it on.

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Thanks Brian.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jim Ricchiuti with Needham & Company.

Jim Ricchiuti

Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon. A question, just a follow-up question to the prior one about China. If we exclude your major customer in China, it looks like you are showing good growth across the board from other customers. And I am just wondering if you can talk a little bit about, is that concentrated with a couple of customers? Or is it fairly spread out among a number of customers there? And what does the trend look like going forward?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Well, as we said, we do have a number of customers in China. However, BOE is the largest customer that, as Steve said, turns on their flexible OLED fab. So they clearly are the ones that we have been working with the longest and we continue to work with. But we have got a great working relationship with them and we have been working with them for a number of years. But they are the leader in China at this point. There are a number of others but they are smaller.

Jim Ricchiuti

Analyst

Okay. And Sid, can you comment at all about any impact or how would you characterize the pricing environment on materials in terms of anything you could say about volume price breaks that you normally have to extend as a matter of course? Can you talk a little bit about that?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Yes. As you are aware, as we stated in the past, we really don't talk about volume price breaks and when they kick in. But we do provide a number of different variables that impact it. So there are cumulative volume discounts that do kick in and when materials that are adopted continue to go through that cycle, you do see it. But beyond that, we really can't talk much about our pricing.

Jim Ricchiuti

Analyst

And OpEx going forward, should we assume these levels and potentially moving higher as you put more emphasis on some of the development projects on the R&D side?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

I think what we will do on our year-end call is, we will give you guidance on the OpEx. I mean it's increased employee expenses and increased expenses, we have had 55% to 60% growth this year. So those costs have gone up this year. But we will give you guidance when we do our year-end call.

Jim Ricchiuti

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Sidney Ho with Deutsche Bank.

Sidney Ho

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much. Congrats on a solid quarter and raising your full-year guidance. If you look at the upside in Q3, where do you think the biggest surprise came from? Is it emitters? Is it royalty revenue? China? Volume pricing discounts? Or kind of all of the above?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Third quarter shares were clearly higher than we anticipated and I think it is a result of the OLED momentum that's just continuing to grow and has grown year-to-date. There are a number of things that impact it and you got folks that are scaling up. We talked about BOE. We know that a number of other customers, one of the other analysts talked about LG. So you have got a lot of the increases in this quarter that impacted our revenues in this quarter.

Sidney Ho

Analyst

Okay. As my follow-up, I am not trying to ask for guidance for next year yet, but what are your preliminary thoughts on 2018 in terms of market growth maybe by end-market? Do you think ASP will be a headwind next year?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Well, we see we are in a multiyear bull-market for OLEDs. And it's difficult right now. The slope of the trajectory is still to be determined. And for us, we will give full year's guidance in February and there is a number of factors as you are aware that impact our revenues, which include pricing and efficiencies and a number of other things. Capacity coming online, when it comes online, all of those things are things that we take into consideration when we put our guidance together and we will give you more information in our February call.

Sidney Ho

Analyst

Great. And then maybe one last question for me. You guys didn't talk too much about the Samsung contract. Understanding you are not still working with them on it some extension. In the event that there is no agreement by the end of this year, how should we think about the licensing revenue for you in, call it, this tough period?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Well, we been working with Samsung for a long time and we are working diligently to get an agreement. If negotiations lag, as they did in 2010, 2011, we expect to work something out. But we have had a 20 year relationship with Samsung.

Sidney Ho

Analyst

All right. Thank you very much.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jagadish Iyer from Summit Redstone Partners.

Jagadish Iyer

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for taking my question. Congrats Sid and Steve. So two questions. First on, based on the filings that you have had and looking at your customer B in your 10-Q, it looks like and if I do the math and correct me if I am wrong on this one, if I look at the absolute number of the customer B revenues from this quarter, I understand quarter-to-quarter there could be some slight mediations. But it looks like it is kind of flattish around say $19 million or so. But if you could imagine that the OLED TV penetration continues to improve with this particular customer, I was wondering why is the total revenue kind of flattish for this customer for the past three quarters? Or am I doing some things wrong here?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Well, the one that you are talking about, customer B, which is a Korean customer, obviously and is not customer A and on the royalty side, we are a quarter lag. So the royalties that were reported are the Q2 royalties. So there is a quarter lag on when report the royalties. And their production schedule and their ramp, they have been pretty steady this year. So it is probably flattish.

Jagadish Iyer

Analyst

Okay. Fair enough. And the next, the other question is that, your material revenues based on the guidance that you have given for this year, it looks like you might be actually doubling your revenues on the materials front. How much of it do you think is the contribution in a ballpark figure from TVs alone for this year? Thank you.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Well, there is only one customer that makes TVs. So we don't break it out. But I mean, clearly LG is the only supplier of OLED TVs. And there is a reason that the material sales is up significantly is all the new capacity that's put in place this year. We have talked about it for a few years, but there has been a lot of equipment that's been delivered and fabs have been turned on this year compared to last year.

Jagadish Iyer

Analyst

Thank you.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Mehdi Hosseini with Susquehanna International Group.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Yes. Thank you for taking my question. A couple of follow-ups. It seems to me that you recognized another $600,000 in host material. And if that's correct, should we assume that that's a continuation of your work around blue emitter and these are the early stages of commercialization of your blue product?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

No. These are host materials. They are very small and we expect them to continue to be small for the foreseeable future. So these are some existing host materials.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Sure. But we should agree that the TV --

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

I don't think it's $600,000. I thought it was lower than that. But we can double check.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Yes. And then you made a reference to your customers on aggregate increasing production capacity by four times, but the new capacity coming online at PPG would enable you to increase your output or your share of the output by only two times. I know there are details that may not reflect the correlation but if I just think the rate of growth at your customer side, does that imply that you may have to increase production capacity down the road at PPG?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Yes. As Steve said, based upon market projections by HIS, the square meters are going to quadruple through 2022, I believe you said. And we said that at PPG, we are doubling our capacity. We have done this in the past and we analyze our customer needs literally on a monthly basis. We plan our production for the next three, six, nine months and as we believe that we need to add new capacity, we will do that and we will do it in advance of when we fully expect to have to utilize it.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Okay.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

And as we just did, it was $15 million CapEx. It's not a big number.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Sure. So does this doubling up the capacity, does that account for any additional requirement if blue material were to become material? In other words, is blue material baked into the production capacity forecast?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Without answering when we think we will have blue in the marketplace, we look at everything. And we believe that we have enough expansion to meet any demand for our initial production built into that.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Does that include the complete stack of emitting material?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Yes, it includes our red, green, yellow, all of our emissive material that we make at PPG.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Right. Okay. I think I have already asked three questions. But I have a follow-up. May I squeeze in one more?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Sure.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Okay. Just going back to your China, I understand there is a lot of capacity coming online. How should I think about the initial yield curve, learning curve versus the material procurement? And do they have to go to the learning process or learning curve? And I am just trying to little bit understand at what point are they going to be ready to step up and buy materials that would enable them with the step up in production, not just capacity?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Obviously, we can't speak for our customers and we can't talk about any of their capacity utilization. But anyone who first starts out, we have been working for a long time, there is always some startup and there is always us making sure that you can make these and you can yield them and material. But our customers have spent a lot of time and effort to make sure that they are going to be successful. And we are going to do everything we can do to ensure that they are.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Okay. Maybe I will follow up offline for more detail. Thank you.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Hendi Susanto with Gabelli & Company.

Hendi Susanto

Analyst

Sid, if I analyze customer A sales excluding license payment, they were $29.8 million in Q2 and $26.5 million in Q3 and we know that there is the new flagship smartphone adoptions in Q3. So I am wondering how should we decide where that sequential decline in sales to Samsung? Was there any pricing variable there? Or we may not have seen any big surge yet?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Well, there is always pricing, there is always efficiencies and I think that they have been at a fairly steady state for the past couple of quarters in terms of the material. So I don't think there is anything that you can read into the decline because quarter-by-quarter, if you get an order at the end of one quarter versus the beginning of another one, it does have some impact on it.

Hendi Susanto

Analyst

Okay. And then second question, what drove your gross margin outlook to be at the high-end of 70% to 75% range? Is that partially driven by many early adopters that are still in early functions of materials and initial pricing?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

I think it is really the first nine months results when look at it and we look at where we are. You can see that we are at the upper end of the range and so we talked about 70% to 80%. I do think that I think that the margin profile for Q4 is going to be similar to what we have had, so we said it should be at the upper end of the range.

Hendi Susanto

Analyst

Okay. And then one more question. You mentioned that multiple customers are contributing to royalty and license. How should we think about seasonality and timing going forward?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

I mean it will continue to grow. As we get more and more customers that are manufacturing OLED displays, it also may be lumpy at times but I do think that you are going to see that line that's non-Samsung grow.

Hendi Susanto

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Rob Stone with Cowen and Company.

Rob Stone

Analyst

Hi guys. I wanted to ask about progress on OVJP, sort of a two part question. In the past, you had talked about the proving out efficiency similar to the deposition with the existing prototype tool you have and I believe you are working on getting in some more equipment and further proving out the process around maybe this year or early next. So if you could just update us on what's going on in the lab? And then the second part to that question is, you have also mentioned being in discussions with potential equipment partners. So any commentary about that would be helpful. Thanks.

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Sure Rob. Well, both of your statements continue to be accurate. We are continuing to making progress with our research tool. In the lab here, we have designed and are in the process of building the next level tool which should be in end of this year or beginning of next year and that will start working off of that. And we are continuing to explore alternatives on how we may want to best commercialize this technology. We believe that OVJP has a lot of advantages in making large area OLED televisions. So we are very excited about this opportunity.

Rob Stone

Analyst

So once you get in that new tool, say you get in early next year, how long would you need to build some more prototypes and do accelerated life testing before your confident about the results?

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Well, you know Rob, this is a whole project. We are looking at a few years because you continually need to scale up to the next generation. So we are improving in the basic research functions and now we are working on the development and scale up functions. But it's very difficult at this stage to predict the timing.

Rob Stone

Analyst

All right. I wasn't speaking about time to commercialization, per se. I know somebody has got to design and build the full-size machine. What I meant was, when you get that new tool, how long would it take for you to get meaningful test results on, let's say, lifetime?

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Well, our guys are really excited about it. They are going to work really hard. But with any new tool that you have invented you have to work through the kinks. So that's a difficult process to project.

Rob Stone

Analyst

Okay. And then I wanted to the switch over to blue FOLEDs. You mentioned you are continuing to make progress. Any other tidbits you might share on what aspects you are working on or how it's incremental versus the last time? Thanks.

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Well, the object is to get the appropriate efficiencies, lifetime and colors in the molecule and we have a lot of people working on this project. We continue to make progress. We are continuing to get closer to the initial commercial specs. But we cannot yet provide a timeframe.

Rob Stone

Analyst

Okay. And then one more housekeeping question for Sid. So contract research with Adesis continues to grow nicely. Was there anything episodic or one-off in the higher number for Q3?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

No. I think it's the way their business is. I mean their business, it's in line with our expectations and they do have during the year things grow and we are pretty much on target with what we expected for the year. They do a good job down there. They do a really good job down there.

Rob Stone

Analyst

Thank you.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

You are welcome, Rob.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We have a follow up question from Brian Lee with Goldman Sachs.

Brian Lee

Analyst

Hi guys. Thanks for taking the follow up. Just maybe bigger picture longer term question. But just a contractual construct on blue? I know there is still a what-if scenario here. But if you do commercialize, what impact would it have to your existing licensing and material supply agreements at the time? Do you amend the minimum purchase requirements to include blue on top of the red and the green that are embedded in there now? And then separately, would customers have instant access to the material's IP as part of the licensing agreements they have already in place? Or would amendments be required? Just trying to get a sense for what sequence of events would ultimately take place once you have a salable blue in the future? Thanks.

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Sure. Once we get blue, then we will work on those specific issues with our customers and it will likely be the customer specific. It's probably too early to talk about anything right now. But as we know, all of our customers want a phosphorescent blue. The all want a three color phosphorescent system. So we fully expect to be selling it to all the customers.

Brian Lee

Analyst

Okay. Thanks guys.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thanks Brian.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is a follow-up from Hendi Susanto with Gabelli & Company.

Hendi Susanto

Analyst

Hi again, Steve and Sid. Sales in Japan has been encouraging. Would you be able to mention your major activities that are currently going and how many customers you had in Q3 in Japan?

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

We don't specifically break them out. But as you can see customer A, B and C are the bulk of our revenues. We do have multiple customers in Japan but we don't specifically break out the numbers and the names of customers that are down at the bottom of the list, not the bottom of the list but the smaller ones.

Hendi Susanto

Analyst

And you mentioned --

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

But we do have multiple customers in Japan.

Hendi Susanto

Analyst

Okay. That's the answer that I am looking. Thank you Sid.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the program back to Sid Rosenblatt for any additional or closing remarks.

Sid Rosenblatt

Analyst

Thank you for your time today. We appreciate your interest and your support and everyone have a good night. Thank you.

Steve Abramson

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.