James C. Kneale - President and Chief Operating Officer
Analyst · RBC Capital Market
Thanks John, and good morning. As John and Curtis mentioned, the Partnership had an outstanding second quarter. Let's review each of business segments. The natural gas gathering and processing segment's second quarter operating income increased 65% and year-to-date results increased 76% compared with the same periods in 2007. Higher NGL, crude oil, and natural gas prices were the primary drivers of these increases. The segment also benefited from higher throughput in 2008. Increased drilling activity continues to provide additional opportunities to replace natural production declines and for growth. So far this year, we have connected over 200 wells to our system, a 15% increase over the same period in 2007. Our contract mix by volume has remained relatively unchanged in the past two years, at 60% fee base, 32% of proceeds, and 8% keep whole. We are pleased with the progress we have made in the restructuring contracts, of the contracts, providing a more stable earning stream, while allowing upside potential and we do not expect material changes to our existing mix in the future. As Curtis mentioned, we have also been proactive through hedging to minimize the risk associated with the commodity price volatility and provide for more predictable performance on both our percent of proceeds and keep whole contracts. The natural gas pipeline segment second quarter 2008 operating income results increased 50% and year-to-date results improved more than 20% compared with the same periods in 2007. The growth reflects an increase in transportation margins which came primarily from higher throughput and the impact that higher natural gas prices had on our net retained fuel position. Storage margins also improved compared with the second quarter of 2007 due primarily to higher storage fees as a result of new and renegotiated contracts. Another contributing factor to the quarter's growth was lower operating cost which decreased 17% from the same period last year, mainly due to lower ad valorem taxes and timing of operations and maintenance cost. This segment has begun construction on the Guardian Pipeline expansion in the Green Bay, Wisconsin. We're now estimating the cost to be in a range of $277 to $305 million. As with any construction project of this magnitude, cost and completion dates are affected by a number of regulatory and environmental variables. In addition to factors such as weather, the amount of rock encountered, and increasing right-of-way cost. Changes in the right-of-way cost, along the Guardian Royal are to some degree the result of rising corn and soybean prices, which have affected the value of the land. We will continue to keep you updated on our progress, but we currently anticipate the pipeline being in service by year end. Now let's take a look at the two natural gas liquid segments, both of which had another outstanding quarter. The natural gas liquid gathering and fractionation segment, second quarter operating income increased 31% over the same period in 2007. Driving most of the increase was higher throughput from continued NGL supply growth in the mid-continent. 2008 second quarter results also benefited from wider regional NGL price differentials between Conway and Mont Belvieu, offset by narrow product prices differentials between ISO and normal butane. Year-to-date results improved 36% compared with the same period in 2007. Again, the leading driver was increased throughput across the system. Volumes gathered increased 16% and volumes fractionated increased 14%. Also contributing to the earnings increase were wider regional NGL price differentials. Our continued focus on growing NGL supplies has lead to higher asset utilization rates that now exceed 90%. This supply growth is one of the key drivers for our NGL storage fractionation and pipeline infrastructure expansion projects in Kansas and Oklahoma. In the second quarter 2008, we completed most of these expansion projects. The cost increased slightly from the $216 million previously announced, mainly as a result of further increasing the capacity of the previously idled Bushton, Kansas fractionator by an additional 30,000 barrels per day. Initially, we planned to increase the capacity of the fractionator from 80,000 to 120,000 barrels per day. However, due to increased demand we increased the total capacity to 150,000 barrels per day. Costs were also slightly higher due to increases experienced in construction labor rates and material cost as well as delays from frequent heavy rainfall this spring. Also as a part of these expansions we have upgraded the storage at Bushton to accommodate additional Ethane/Propane product, and constructed a 135 mile, purity product distribution pipeline from the Bushton complex to our Medford, Oklahoma complex, where product can be moved to Mont Belvieu, Texas, through our existing and newly expanded sterling distribution pipeline. This increased infrastructure capacity, much of which is currently online, will accommodate our new NGL supplies from the Rockies, as well as future growth in the Mid-Continent. Upon final completion of these projects in the third quarter of 2008, we have increased our total fractionation capacity to 549,000 barrels per day, up from 399,000 barrels per day. Our natural gas liquids pipelines segment also had a great second quarter, with operating income increasing 18% over the same period in 2007 and NGL volumes transported increasing 35% over that same time. For the first half of 2008, operating income increased 39% and NGL volumes transported increased more than 40% or 89,000 barrels per day. Most of these increases are due to the addition of the 1600 mile NGL and refined petroleum products pipeline system we acquired in October 2007, as well as continued supply growth that I previously talked about in our NGL gathering and fractionation segment. Now let's review the status of some of our largest projects in our natural gas liquid business. We continue to make progress on the construction of the over Overland Pass Pipeline. We have completed approximately 730 of the 760 miles of the pipeline. As you may recall, the Wyoming office of the Federal Bureau of Land Management requested that we temporarily idle construction in certain restricted areas to accommodate the seasonal migration patterns of big game animals, the nesting activities of birds of prey, and the sage grouse habitat. As of all this first, both the sage grouse and rafter restrictions have expired and construction in these restricted areas is now underway. However, we may continue to be affected in certain areas due to the potential presence of nesting birds. As the nesting activities run their natural course, we still expect to have much of the pipeline operational beginning in the third quarter, with the remainder of the line coming on in the fourth quarter. The current total cost estimate for the Overland Pass is between $575 and $590 million reflecting the anticipated 10% cost increase caused by the delays that we mentioned during our conference call last quarter. Although our costs have increased, so have the throughput commitment, resulting in continued very favorable economics for this project. Overland Pass will provide much needed NGL takeaway capacity in the Rockies. Potential new development in the region continues to exceed our original expectations. The volumes committed to Overland Pass Pipeline are approaching 140,000 barrels per day, which includes the previously announced William's [Ph] commitment for 60,000 barrels with growth prospects under development for up to an additional 60,000 more barrels per day over the next 3 to 5 years. We have previously mentioned our ability to expand the pipeline with minimal cost to 220,000 barrels per day. And after further engineering evaluation we now have the capability to expand Overland Pass up to 255,000 barrels per day with additional pump facilities. Construction of the Arbuckle Pipeline is well underway. In our last call we mentioned timing and cost could be affected by factors such as the uncertainty of weather, right-of way-acquisition [audio gap]. Pipeline right of way cost have increased dramatically in the recent months as Barnett Shale development has increased with the demand and costs for easements to unprecedented levels. We recently completed negotiations with pipeline contractors providing us with better visibility into the expected labor cost compared with what we had estimated more than a year and a half ago. To reflect these increased costs, we have updated the pipeline project estimate, which we now expect to be $340 to $360 million. Much like Overland Pass, new processing plant development and the timing of NGL volumes coming online along Arbuckle are also exceeding our original estimates. While the pipeline is designed with a capacity to transport 160,000 barrels per day, of un-fractionated NGLs, it can't be expanded to over 210,000 barrels per day, with additional pump facilities. At the time of startup in 2009, we currently expect Arbuckle to be shipping approximately 65,000 barrels per day of dedicated NGLs to our Mont Belvieu fractionator and other facilities in the Texas Gulf Coast, with another 20000 barrels per day expected from new plant dedications that are currently under negotiation. Based upon our current commitments and producer's projections of increased production and indications of interest from NGL producers, we are projecting Arbuckle throughput to reach its maximum capacity of 210,000 barrels per day, within the next three to five years, as the development of new processing plants continue in Oklahoma, North Texas and in the Barnett Shale. As Curtis mentioned, we are increasing the Partnership's earnings and cash flow guidance for 2008. In addition to strong results in the first half of 2008, in all four business segments, we expect commodity prices to be higher than the levels we provided in our previous guidance, benefiting that the natural gas gathering and processing and pipeline segment. As we've mentioned earlier, we have hedges in place for the rest of 2008 on the majority of our commodity exposure in the partnership. Higher commodity prices, combined with higher NGL throughput in our natural gas liquids gathering and fractionation segment, will more than offset, the impact of Overland Pass Pipeline coming on later than originally anticipated. Looking at the EBITDA projections for the growth projects that we have previously provided, the numbers have improved due to increased volume projections on several other projects and moved around somewhat primarily due to the delay in Overland Pass. The 2008, EBITDA projection has been reduced, about $24 million, due to the delay on Overland Pass, which is reflected, in our revised 2008 guidance for the NGL pipeline segment. The projection for 2009 EBITDA for the growth project is unchanged at $260 million. The 2010 projection of $300 million is now estimated at $360 million, up 20%. We expect this number to grow in 2011 and beyond as NGL volumes continue to grow. Finally I'd like to recognize the Partnership's Mont Belvieu, Texas fractionator employees who were recognized last month by the Occupational Safety and Health Administration for achieving three years of excellence in employee health and safety. John, that concludes my remarks.
John W. Gibson - Chief Executive Officer, ONEOK Inc.; Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, ONEOK Partners, L.P.: Thanks Jim. Before we turn our focus to ONEOK, I'd like to make a few additional comments on the Partnerships growth activities. As you just heard ONEOK Partners is continuing to make good progress on its internally generated growth projects. And as I have mentioned before, we've identified a slate of new projects, not yet announced that will require capital investments averaging $300 to $500 million a year between 2010 and 2015. Managing these costs and schedules for these projects remain a top priority for me and the rest of the management team. I'd like the put the cost increases and delays that we have experienced on some projects into perspective. More than two years ago, we purchased the pipe for our three announced NGL pipeline projects, Overland Pass, the Piceance Lateral, and the Arbuckle Pipeline. This was a good decision for our company. As it enabled us to avoid the significant run up in steel prices that the industry has experienced, and is facing today. In fact we estimate this decision saved almost $100 million of additional capital costs. What we did not forecast correctly however, was the increase in labor costs, we have incurred since the Overland Pass and Arbuckle Pipeline projects were first planned and announced several years ago. And as we have shared with you before, Overland Pass has also experienced some regulatory delays. These two factors alone have contributed to most, if not all of the cost increases and start up delays on Overland Pass. In hindsight, we should have reacted more quickly at the beginning of the project to resolve the regulatory delay that affected the receipt of our initial permit, a delay that resulted in our having to construct portions of the pipeline during one of Wyoming's harshest winters in the generation. The delay in receiving our permit not only delayed our pipeline start up, it also added the additional labor costs associated with winter construction. So on Overland Pass the lesson learned was to focus the necessary resources on the front end of the project to better understand both regulatory and wildlife issues. On Arbuckle Pipeline, the initial cost estimate was developed more than a year and a half ago. We underestimated the magnitude of the labor cost increases we've experienced and the difficulty in cost of acquiring right away in the Barnett Shale area, near Fort Worth, where we've been buying easement by the foot, rather than buy the rod. While the steel cost increase did not affect the cost of pipe for Arbuckle, these increases did have an effect on the cost of valves and fittings. Both Overland Pass and Arbuckle are still economically attractive projects provided much needed service for producers and processors, and are key to our growth in the NGL sector. Even with these increased costs, these projects remain very attractive investments. Principally because of the hard work, and tenacity of our commercial teams, as they have secured more NGL volumes that will flow earlier then we initially anticipated. This has allowed us to expand the capacity of and throughput commitments on these two pipelines to offset the increased cost and avoid any adverse effect on either project's economics, while again meeting the needs of our customers. These current announced projects still provide us with attractive returns. At an equivalent multiple of EBITDA of six times or better or said another way, an un-levered pre-tax return on invested capital, in the range of 12% to 14%. As Jim mentioned, the timing of the EBITDA from these project has shifted somewhat with 2010 EBITDA expected to be approximately 20% higher to $360 million from $300 million and EBITDA from these projects will continue to ramp up beyond 2010. Now let's turn our focus to ONEOK, where Curtis will review the second quarter financial highlights. Curtis?