Rod Larson
Analyst · Tudor, Pickering
Good morning, and thanks for joining the call today. At this time of the year, most of the questions we receive are focused on the coming year. So we're happy to start by providing you our initial thoughts on Oceaneering's 2022 outlook. As announced yesterday, we're initiating 2022 EBITDA guidance in the range of $225 million to $275 million. At the midpoint, this would represent a 16% increase as compared to our revised guidance for calendar year 2021 adjusted EBITDA midpoint of $215 million. We're confident in our ability to deliver this solid improvement in 2022 based on the quality and efficiency gains from process enhancements, continued recovery of the global economy, commodity prices supporting increased activity in our energy segments, solid fundamentals in our Aerospace and Defense Technologies segment and year-over-year backlog improvement in our Manufactured Products segment. This level of 2022 performance also underpins our expectation to generate similar levels of free cash flow as compared to 2021. Now I'll focus my comments on our performance for the third quarter of 2021, our current market outlook, Oceaneering's consolidated and business segment outlook for the fourth quarter and full year of 2021 and our initial consolidated 2022 outlook including the previously mentioned EBITDA guidance range and expectations to generate similar levels of free cash flow as compared to 2021 to support growth activities while continuing to improve our net debt position. After these comments, I'll then take some -- make some closing remarks before opening the call to your questions. Now to our third quarter summary results. Our planning and preparation were instrumental in our team's ability to navigate through the challenges presented during the third quarter, which included hurricanes, inflation, a tightening labor market and a constrained global supply chain. Despite these challenges, we produced consolidated EBITDA of $50.3 million, a decrease from the second quarter of 2021, but within the guidance range provided at the beginning of the quarter. We made additional progress with debt reduction during the third quarter with $32.5 million of open market repurchases of our 2024 senior notes, bringing the total repurchases to $63 million for the year. During the third quarter, we generated $36.5 million of cash flow from operations and generated $24 million in free cash flow. Our cash balance at the end of the third quarter fell slightly to $448 million, primarily due to the aforementioned repurchases of our 2024 senior notes. Offshore work in our energy-focused businesses remain seasonally active during the third quarter. However, our operations in the Gulf of Mexico were muted by Hurricane Ida and high loop currents. In general, each of our 5 operating segments performed as forecast at the beginning of the third quarter. Now let's look at our business operations by segment for the third quarter of 2021. Subsea Robotics or SSR revenue increased slightly with good continuing offshore activity levels as compared to the second quarter. However, operating income declined primarily from lower margins for remotely operated vehicle or ROV services, attributed to changes in geographic mix and the special bonus that recognized our technicians for enduring extended work rotations throughout 2021 due to COVID-19 challenges. As a result, SSR adjusted EBITDA margin of 29% was slightly lower than compared to the second quarter. The SSR revenue split was 79% from our ROV business and 21% from our combined tooling and survey businesses compared to the 80-20 split, respectively, in the immediate prior quarter. Sequential ROV days on hire increased slightly as offshore activity remained seasonally active. With an increase in days for both drill support and vessel-based services, days on hire were 14,474 as compared to 14,005 during the second quarter, a 3% increase. Our fleet use was 57% in drill support and 43% in vessel-based services versus 58% and 42%, respectively, in the second quarter. We maintained our fleet count at 250 ROV systems, and our third quarter fleet utilization was 63%, up slightly from 62% in the second quarter. Average ROV revenue per day on hire of $7,858 was 2% lower than the average ROV revenue per day on hire of $8,056 achieved during the second quarter. At the end of September, we had a 58% drill support market share with ROV contracts on 77 of the 133 floating rigs under contract, which was the same share as the prior quarter when we had ROV contracts on 73 of the 126 floating rigs under contract. Subject to quarterly variances, we continue to expect our drill support market share to generally approximate 60%. Turning to manufactured products. Sequentially, our third quarter 2021 operating income and operating income margin were essentially flat with the second quarter despite marginally lower revenue. Third quarter 2021 revenue of $75.4 million remains suboptimal, which continued our challenge -- to challenge our ability to leverage the cost base of this business. Activities in our mobility solutions or nonenergy manufacturing remains subdued, but are expected to see a gradual increase as the economy continues to recover. Our manufactured products backlog on September 30, 2021 was $334 million, improving on our second quarter backlog of $315 million. Our book-to-bill ratio was 1.3 for the 9 months ended September 30, 2021, and was 1.0 for the trailing 12 months. Offshore projects group or OPG third quarter 2021 operating income was relatively flat as compared to the second quarter of 2021 on an 11% decline in revenue. Revenue benefited from good ongoing seasonal activity and inspection, maintenance and repair or IMR work in the Gulf of Mexico, despite some work delays caused by Hurricane Ida and high loop currents. The conclusion of field activities on several projects in Angola was the primary driver for the sequentially lower third quarter revenue. Operating income margin improved from 7% for the second quarter of 2021 to 8% in the third quarter of 2021, primarily due to improved performance on the Angola riserless light well intervention project. Integrity Management and Digital Solutions, or IMDS, sequential operating income was higher on relatively flat revenue. Operating income margin improved to 9% in the third quarter of 2021 as efficiency improvements continue to show incremental benefits. Aerospace and Defense Technologies or ADTech third quarter 2021 operating income declined from the second quarter of 2021 on a 15% decrease in revenue. Operating income margin declined to 16% as expected due to a higher component of low-margin manpower activities. Unallocated expenses of $31.8 million were slightly higher as compared to the second quarter of 2021, but less than expected, primarily due to delayed spending on information technology infrastructure. Now I'll address our outlook for the fourth quarter of 2021. We are projecting a decline in our consolidated operating results on slightly higher revenue with EBITDA being approximately the same as our third quarter 2021 results. Although we do expect to see some benefit from the work that was pushed out from the third quarter of 2021 as a result of hurricanes and loop currents, we still expect to see the typical seasonal slowdown in offshore activities during the fourth quarter. Broadly for the fourth quarter of 2021 as compared to the third quarter, we expect improved operating profitability in our energy segments to be offset by lower AdTech operating results and higher unallocated expenses. For our fourth quarter 2021 operations by segment as compared to the third quarter of 2021, for SSR, we are projecting relatively flat operating profitability on a modest decrease in revenue as compared to the third quarter. ROV days on hire are forecast to decline due to typical seasonal factors with good survey activity continuing during the fourth quarter. Our forecast assumes overall ROV fleet utilization to be in the high 50% range. SSR EBITDA margin is anticipated to improve as compared to the third quarter due to the exclusion of one-off expenditures that impacted the third quarter. As of September 30, 2021, there were approximately 15 Oceaneering ROVs on board 11 of the 17 floating drilling rigs with contract terms expiring by year-end. During the same period, we expect to have 29 ROVs on 25 of the 37 floating rigs to begin new contracts. For manufactured products, we anticipate a significant increase in revenue and operating profitability as the higher level of awards seen over the first 3 quarters begins to flow through our manufacturing facilities. Operating margins are projected to improve to the mid- to high single-digit range as we expect to be better able to leverage our cost base. Award activity continues to look promising in our energy products businesses. We expect continued near-term headwinds in our Mobility Solutions businesses as our customers seem focused on strengthening their balance sheets before committing to new CapEx projects. We continue to forecast a book-to-bill ratio of between 1.1 and 1.5 for the full year of 2021. For OPG, we project substantially lower revenue and lower operating results due to typical fourth quarter seasonality and the reduction in contribution from field support activities in Angola. Operating income margins are expected to decline to the low to mid-single-digit range, primarily as a result of fixed cost being spread over a lower revenue base. As mentioned, we expect some carryover of third quarter Gulf of Mexico IMR activity that was delayed due to Hurricane Ida and high loop currents, but do not see this as significantly improving fourth quarter results. For IMDS significantly improving fourth quarter results. For IMDS, we expect both revenue and operating results to remain relatively consistent from the third -- with the third quarter of 2021. For ADTech, we forecast relatively flat revenue and lower operating results as compared to the third quarter. For the full year of 2021, we continue to expect operating margin to be approximately the same as the adjusted operating margin for 2020. Unallocated expenses are expected to be in the mid-$30 million range due primarily to increased spending on information technology infrastructure. And for the full year of 2021, based on our segment level guidance, we are expecting that each of our operating segments, except for manufactured products will show sequential year-over-year improvement. We expect to generate adjusted EBITDA within the narrowed range of $210 million to $220 million. We are also narrowing our guidance for capital expenditure to the range of $45 million to $55 million. Our guidance for cash tax payments remains in the range of $40 million to $45 million. We continue to expect $28 million of remaining CARES Act tax refunds with $4.7 million of this amount received in the third quarter of 2021. The timing of receipt of the remaining $23 million of these payments whether in 2021 or 2022 remains uncertain. Regardless of the timing of these payments, we continue to expect positive free cash flow generation for 2021 to be in excess of that generated in 2020. Now turning to our balance sheet. Our net debt position improved during the third quarter as we repurchased an additional $32.5 million of our 2024 senior notes for a year-to-date repurchase total of $63 million. Our cash flow from operations was $36.5 million, and we had $448 million of cash and cash equivalents at the end of the third quarter. We continue to expect free cash flow generated in 2021 will exceed that generated in 2020. We are well positioned to address the maturity of our 2024 senior notes. And we have our undrawn revolver, which steps down from $500 million to $450 million during the fourth quarter of 2021 available to us until January 2023. Now looking forward to 2022. Confidence is returning to the energy services industry and commodity prices appear supportive to continued gradual growth in offshore oil and gas markets over the short and medium term. And we anticipate accelerating interest and growth in offshore energy transition markets, including offshore wind over the longer term. We believe that our energy segments are positioned to benefit from the growth in both of these markets. We also believe that our government-focused segment ADTech remains well positioned for continued steady growth in aerospace and defense markets. Accordingly, in 2022, we anticipate increased activity and improved operating performance across each of our operating segments, led by gains within Subsea Robotics and offshore projects. At this time, we forecast EBITDA in the range of $225 million to $275 million in 2022, serving as the catalyst for generating healthy levels of cash flow from operations. With higher projected levels of cash flow from operations, we expect to be able to invest more in growth capital expenditures in 2022. With a firm capital discipline focus, as demonstrated over the past several years, we expect to generate positive free cash flow at levels similar to 2021. We'll provide more specific guidance on our expectations for 2022 during the year-end reporting process. In summary, based on our year-to-date financial performance and expectations for the fourth quarter of 2021, we're narrowing our adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $210 million to $220 million for the full year. I'm encouraged by the positive market fundamentals supporting our traditional businesses and our increasing participation in emerging markets. Confidence is returning to the energy services industry and especially to those companies that can help their customers achieve carbon reduction goals. This, combined with an expected rebound in our Mobility Solutions businesses and continued growth in our government businesses underpin our general expectation for increased activity levels over the next several years. Our focus continues to be on generating positive free cash flow in 2021 and 2022, attracting and retaining top talent, mitigating the effects of inflation and supply chain issues, addressing our 2024 debt maturity, maintaining financial flexibility and growing Oceaneering by leveraging our technologies and capabilities into new markets. We appreciate everyone's continued interest in Oceaneering, and now we'll be happy to take any questions you might have.