Kevin McEvoy
Analyst · Blake Hutchinson from Howard Weil. Your line is open
Good morning and thanks for joining the call today. One year ago, on our fourth quarter and year-end 2015 earnings call, I talked to you about what a tough year 2015 was and with such limited visibility we could not predict how weak 2016 might actually be. Well, one year later, with 2016 in our rearview mirror, we can hardly wait to welcome back those tough times we experienced in 2015. For 2016, adjusted operating income of $135 million represented a 69% fall from the $440 million achieved during 2015. We really did not foresee the extent of this precipitous drop caused by a major reduction of activity levels and pricing across all of our oilfield operating segments. Regardless, we are very pleased that during the year, we were able to adjust our cost structure to remain profitable between all of our operating segments and continue to generate a substantial amount of free cash flow. Today, we still have limited visibility and activity levels continue to indicate a downward trajectory, with customer offshore spending levels still being curtailed or even lower. Consequently, we are forecasting a further decline in our profitability or operating margins for 2017. On last year’s call, I mentioned that we had undertaken a series of initiatives to align our operations with the then current and anticipated decline in activity and pricing levels. Our focus has been organizing more effectively and managing our cost structure. Accordingly, these restructuring steps included a sizeable reduction in our workforce. We made these difficult decisions to enable our organization to be leaner and appropriately sized with the expected level of business. We believe our demonstrated cash flow generating capabilities and our liquidity provide us ample resources not only to manage our business to this prolonged downturn in activity, but to also position ourselves for the eventual upcycle. Like many of our customers, we remain committed to deepwater. We intend to continue investing in our current and adjacent market niches, with more focused on our customers’ operating expenditures and the production phase of the offshore oilfield lifecycle. Beyond 2017, with stable and improving oil prices, we foresee an increase in deepwater expenditures and improving demand for our services and products. Now moving on to our earnings results; as reported in our press release, for the fourth quarter, we incurred a loss of $0.11 a share as we recognized $12.9 million of pre-tax charges and an increase in the annual effective income tax rate. On an adjusted basis, our quarterly earnings of $0.03 per share approximated our expectations and the consensus estimate. For the fourth quarter, adjusted operating income was $21.6 million lower than that of the immediately preceding quarter due to reduced profit contributions from most of our segments with the exception of Asset Integrity. Almost one-half of the decline was driven by lower activity levels and profitability in Subsea Projects. The increase in the 2016 effective tax rate was primarily due to a change in the mix of the income or losses between the U.S. and certain foreign jurisdictions. This resulted in a recapture of prior year U.S. manufacturing deductions and a limitation of the current benefit from certain foreign tax payments. Looking at our business operations on an adjusted basis for the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter, ROV operating income was down, resulting from a 14% reduction of revenue and 16% fewer days utilized. As we said in our past conference calls, lower operating margins can be partially contributable to depreciation - higher percentage of revenue during periods of low utilization and pricing. During the fourth quarter, ROV depreciation and amortization equated to 27% of revenue. Our adjusted fourth quarter ROV EBITDA margins remained respectable at 35% compared to 36% in the third quarter. During the fourth quarter, we added one new ROV to our fleet, ending the year with a total of 280 vehicles. Our ROV fleet utilization for the fourth quarter was 50%. As in recent quarters, the decline in utilization percentage of our ROV fleet is attributable to the reduced number of working floating drilling rigs, and the overall low level of deepwater vessel activity. While we endeavor to place more of our ROVs on vessels, we need a sizable increase in our customers’ offshore spending levels for there to be a discernible increase in ROV fleet utilization and profitability. Our fleet mix during the quarter was 67% in drill support and 33% on vessel based work. At the end of December, we had 89 ROVs on 80 contracted floating drilling rigs or 53% of the 151 floating rigs under contract. During the quarter, we were on 14 of the 17 rigs whose contract ended or terminated early and four of the six rigs that got contracted. Turning to Subsea Products, adjusted operating income declined due to lower margins on manufactured products as we processed backlog and new orders with lower pricing. Our Subsea Products backlog at the end of 2016 was $431 million, compared to our September 30, backlog of $457 million. The backlog decline during the quarter was primarily related to umbilicals. Our book-to-bill ratio was 0.82 for the quarter and 0.68 for the full year of 2016. For Subsea Projects, operating income was down substantially due to lower contribution from our diving operations, lower vessel pricing, the previously scheduled drydock of the Ocean Patriot, and a seasonal decrease in survey work in the Gulf of Mexico. Also in December, the Normand Flower charter expired and we reached an agreement with the vessel owner to maintain our ROVs on-board and to only pay for the vessel when we use it. Looking at Asset Integrity’s quarterly results, adjusted operating income was up, due to better execution in the completion of several jobs. For our non-oilfield segment, Advanced Technologies, operating income declined, primarily due to a seasonal slowdown in work for the U.S. Navy. Unallocated Expenses were in line with prior quarter. During the fourth quarter, our cash position increased $9 million to $450 million. Our adjusted EBITDA was $65 million. Our organic capital expenditures for the quarter totaled $29 million. Additionally, we paid $15 million in cash dividends and yesterday we declared $0.15 per share dividend to be paid in March. I’d now to turn my focus to our results for the full year 2016 on an adjusted basis. For 2016, we reported adjusted net income was $75 million, or $0.76 a share, reflecting the prevailing market conditions, our operating income fell substantially from 2015. However, each of our segments were profitable on both in ton adjusted and adjusted basis. Operationally, we generated adjusted EBITDA of $369 million. We generated $341 million of cash provided by operating activities which resulted in $228 million of free cash flow after $112 million of organic capital expenditures. It is interesting to note that on $206 million less net income compared to 2015, our free cash flow was reduced by only $132 million because of our ability to control capital expenditure spending. Our free cash flow allowed us to return $94 million to our shareholders in the form of cash dividends during the year. To accomplish these financial results in this challenging market, we had to take cost cutting and optimization measures. In doing so, we right-sized our workforce. After taking into accounts the restructuring steps at the end of 2016, we will have reduced our workforce to approximately 8,800 people from approximately 12,400 employees at the end of 2014. These are never easy decisions and we are committed to treating employees affected by these actions with respect and transparency. We combined operating groups with a focus on eliminating layers of management to reduce costs and created efficiencies by pulling offshore technicians, cross-range to support multiple service line activities. We delivered supply chain savings by partnering with our customers and suppliers to develop cost effective solutions that deliver value through quality and contract management and increased responsiveness. We benefited from a share service model as we continue to leverage resources, people, processes and technology across our worldwide organization, the lower cost by gaining efficiencies, through continuous improvements in standardized processes. Also of note, we are pleased with these other achievements during 2016. We maintained our impressive safety record while restructuring our workforce. And successfully acquired the OPEC focused assets of Blue Ocean Technologies and Meridian Ocean Services to complement our existing assets and further penetrate the well enhancement and underwater in lieu of dry-docking or UWILD markets. We announced a two year extension to January of 2019 under the Field Support Vessel Services contract with BP and Angola. Under this contract, we are also pleased to announce that BP has decided to exercise three of its five one month option periods, extending the Ocean Intervention III from April through July of 2017, leaving two remaining option periods for further extension of one month each. We entered into a long-term ROV vessel support services contract with Heerema for multiple vessels. We recently entered into a long-term contract with a high-spec vessel operator to provide eight work class ROVs including subsea tooling, survey and associated services, engineering, communication and data solutions to support their global operations. We reduced our vessel charter obligations when the Olympic Intervention IV and Normand Flower charter obligations expired in July and December respectively. We strengthened our liquidity as evidenced by our substantial increase in cash and our bank - extending our 90% of our $300 million term loan and our $500 million undrawn revolver each for an additional year. These achievements were possible, thanks to the dedication and support of our employees. Looking ahead to our 2017 macro outlook, we are likely to face a third consecutive year of declining offshore spending, totaling almost 20%. With this type of spending forecast, most analysts and rig owners are forecasting further reductions in the contracted floating rig count. At the end of 2016, there were approximately 25 floating drilling rigs that had contract end dates in the first half of 2017. We have ROVs on board 21 of these rigs. We also expect 17 rigs to begin new contracts during the same period and we have ROVs on 11 of them. However, we are encouraged by signs of improvement at certain long-term industry drivers and fundamentals in the markets we serve, including the price of oil, which is rebounded higher. Crude oil prices ended the year about $50 a barrel. The Brent price ended 2015 at $54 a barrel, $17 higher than at the end of 2015. OPEC and non-OPEC countries were seemingly more interested in cooperating to support the long-term health and price of oil. Many economists and analysts are projecting the long-term price of oil to be in the $65 range. Our customers have become focused on improving their returns thereby driving efficiency and standardization, resulting in overall lower cost breakeven and shorter duration to first oil. This makes many offshore developments and ground field opportunities competitive with many shale plays. While the industry has decreased or deferred offshore FIDs, our top 20 customers in the oilfield sector which comprise approximately 70% of the revenue in our oilfield based segment remain committed to the portfolio development of other reserves and have not decreased their long-term exposure mix away from the offshore sector. Lastly, we believe the new administration in Washington is more offshore knowledgeable and energy friendly which may result in a positive change for our industry. Turning to our outlook for 2017, on our last conference call, we projected 2017 to be marginally profitable at the operating income line on a consolidated basis. Today, we reaffirm that projection as we expect a further decline in our profitability. Below the operating income line, we are projecting a loss from our equity investment in the Medusa Spar as production has declined, and our interest expense is expected to be slightly higher in 2017 than 2016 due to higher rates and less interest being capitalized. As mentioned previously, we have taken steps to right-size the organization for our anticipated 2017 planned business volume. Should the market rebound earlier, we believe we will be able to attract the required talent including rehiring many former employees. Directionally, for our business operations by segment, we see ROV results being down driven by a reduction in the number of working days and further reduction in average revenue per day on hire across our geographic areas of operations due to the expected continued decline in contracted floating rigs. With the down-cycle and offshore rig activity expected to continue, our fleet NEXXUS is projected to shift towards vessel based utilization, while our overall fleet utilization is expected to be in a 50% range for the year. We need a sizeable increase in our customer’s offshore spending levels for there to be a discernible increase in ROV fleet utilization and profitability. We expect our ROV EBITDA margins to be above 30% for the year. Subsea Products results are expected to decline due to lower pricing in current backlog and new orders. Until we see an increase in backlog and throughput, we expect our Subsea Products’ operating margins to be in the mid-to-high single digit range. Our expectation considers the impact of the cost restructuring measures taken during the fourth quarter. For Subsea Projects, we expect another challenging year with reduced vessel activity offshore Angola and continued competitive pressures on a vessel day rates in the spot or call out market in the Gulf of Mexico. For Asset Integrity, we expect results to be down slightly. For our non-oilfield segment, Advanced Technologies, operating income should improve due to a meaningful increase in activity and profit contribution levels within the commercial theme park arena, if the expected projects come to fruition. On a year-over-year basis, we expect higher unallocated expenses as 2016 results included the impact of reversing earlier accruals associated with our long-term incentive compensation plans, as it became evident during the year our performance targets would not be achieved. Unallocated expenses are estimated to be in the mid-to-upper $20 million range per quarter. For our first quarter 2017 outlook, we anticipate that our results will be considerably lower when compared to our adjusted fourth quarter results due to a continuation of weak demand for our services and products, exacerbated by seasonality. We expect sequentially lower operating income primarily from our Asset Integrity business segment, and higher unallocated expenses. We also expect a discrete additional income tax provision in accordance with the new accounting standard associated with our share based incentive plan. And lastly, let’s turn to our liquidity and potential uses of cash. As mentioned earlier, we ended the year with $450 million in cash and cash equivalents with no near term loan maturities. Our bank debt maturities are now $30 million in October of 2018 and $270 million in October 2019. We have $500 million available under our undrawn revolving credit facility, $450 million of which does not expire until October 2021. The $500 million of public debt is not due until November of 2024. Over $300 million of the cash on our balance sheet at December 31 was in the United States. We believe this provides us the financial flexibility to operate through the cycle, invest in Oceaneering’s future and return cash to our shareholders. For 2017, we expect our organic capital expenditures to total between $90 million and $120 million, including approximately $55 million to $65 million of maintenance capital expenditure and some amounts required to complete the Jones Act vessel Ocean Evolution and the well intervention equipment recently purchased as part of our Blue Ocean Technologies acquisition. At an operating income break-even level, and with this level of organic growth, we should still generate a substantial amount of free cash flow in 2017. Our cash priorities remain unchanged. Our number one priority remains improving our portfolio organically and through bolt-on acquisitions. Our next priority is to return cash to our shareholders through dividends and possibly repurchasing shares. In conclusion, heading into 2017, we are faced with a third consecutive year of declining offshore activity for the oilfield services industry, but we remain confident in our ability to manage our business through this cycle. We intend to stay focused on our operations, organizing more effectively and maintaining our market positions. We have a stable balance sheet and are confident in our cash flow generating capability. We have been, and will continue, adapting and making changes as necessary and take advantage of opportunities that may emerge with more focus on our customers’ operating expenditures in the production phase of the offshore oilfield lifecycle. We are leveraged to deepwater and longer term, deepwater is still expected to play a critical role in the global oil supply growth required to both replace depletion and meet projected demand. Finally, I want to thank our employees and management teams. It has been a difficult and stressful two years. We have been tenacious and resilient and we’ll continue to adapt as we prepare for the eventual offshore market upcycle. We appreciate everyone’s continued interest in Oceaneering and I’ll be happy to take any questions you may have.