Kevin McEvoy
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Your line is open
Good morning, and thanks for joining us. We appreciate your participation today and your continued interest in Oceaneering. 2015 was a tough year and global market conditions are not likely to improve over the course of 2016. While we cannot affect the macro environment we find ourselves in today, we are focused on the reality of the current market and are making changes necessary to manage through the downturn. So rather than beginning my comments outlining the reasons why our earnings in 2015 were less than the record we achieved in 2014, I would like to briefly highlight our cash flow generating capabilities and liquidity which we feel set us apart from many companies in the oil field service space. Despite declining earnings, our annual free cash flow increased year-over-year as we reduced organic capital expenditures and working capital. In 2015, we generated free cash flow of $360 million or 127% of adjusted net income, exceeded the $335 million we made in 2014. We had $385 million in cash at the end of the year and $500 million available under our revolving credit facility. I will talk more about our 2015 cash flow later during the call. Moving on to our earnings results, our fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share was $0.58 excluding the $45.9 million impact of pre-tax adjustments in foreign currency losses and was within the guidance range we gave last quarter. Annual adjusted earnings per share excluding the $81.1 million impact of pre-tax adjustments and foreign currency losses was $2.87 a share, down 28% from our 2014 results. We have undertaken a series of initiatives to align our operations with current and anticipated declines in activity and pricing levels. Given these conditions, we unfortunately found it necessary to reduce our workforce, incur unusual expenses and make certain accounting adjustments. With our limited market visibility on how 2016 may actually be, we are not prepared to quantify the magnitude or the duration of the decline or give annual and quarterly EPS guidance. Looking at our business operations on an adjusted basis for 2015, compared to 2014, ROV operating income declined 32% on 24% less revenue driven by lower demand for drill support services and an 11% reduction in average revenue per day-on-hire. Our annual ROV fleet utilization is 69%, fell from 83% in 2014. Our days-on-hire decreased by 15% to about 83,800 days. Average revenue per day-on-hire of $9634 was down due to an unfavorable change in geographic mix, a weakening of about 22% in the average Norwegian kroner exchange rate relative to the US dollar and lower pricing and customer discounts. During the year, we added 16 vehicles, retired 36 older systems and transferred one to Ad Tech; the net effect of this decreased our fleet size to 315 vehicles compared to 336 at the beginning of the year. We retired a large number of vehicles during 2015 due to low market demand and limited prospective future work. Due to actions we took to control costs, operating margin only dropped to 27% from 30% in 2014. We believe we continue to be the largest ROV owner with an estimated 31% of the industry’s work-class vehicles at year end. We remain the primary provider of ROV drill support service at the end of 2015. Of the 216 floaters under contract, we had ROVs on a 118 or 55%, which is nearly three times that of the second largest supplier. At the end of 2014, we had ROVs on a 162 of the 275 contracted floaters or 59%. The calculated 4% decline in our market share of contracted rigs year-over-year was not due to competitors replacing us on contracted rigs, it was simply a function of which rigs were idled during 2015. Subsea Product’s operating income was down 27% in 2015 relative to 2014 on a 23% reduction of revenue due to lower demand and pricing for tooling and subsea hardware and lower umbilical plant throughput. Umbilical revenue as a percent of our total subsea product’s revenue in 2015 was 33%, about the same as the 32% in 2014. Our year end subsea products backlog was $652 million, down from $690 million at the end of 2014. This backlog decline was related to tooling at subsea hardware. Products book-to-bill ratio for the year was 0.96. For subsea projects, considering the oil price environment and the current global oversupply of vessels, operating income held up relatively well during 2015 due to an increase in diving activity offshore Angola and in the Gulf of Mexico and a higher profit contribution from our data solutions group. The decline of 12% was due to lower deepwater vessel activity and market pricing offshore in Angola and in the US Gulf of Mexico. Within subsea projects, during 2015, we commenced work on a two-year multi-service vessel charter with Shell Offshore for the use with the Ocean Alliance in the Gulf of Mexico that started January the 1st. We experienced a reduction in pricing and work for BP Offshore Angola including the release of the Bourbon evolution 803 that occurred at the end of April. We secured a two-year subsea field support vessel services contract with an oil and gas company in India for use in the Island Pride. With this contract which commenced in November, we expanded our international subsea projects business while reducing our vessel charter exposure to the Gulf which is predominantly as spot or callout demand market. Last April, we acquired C&C Technologies, recently renamed Oceaneering Survey Services, a global provider of survey and satellite base positioning services. Included within this acquisition were customized state-of-the-art autonomous underwater vehicles or AUVs capable of deep ocean survey mapping. The purchase price of $224 million was paid in cash. Due to the deteriorating market condition, the contributions from Oceaneering Survey Services had not been what we initially expected. However, we believe having in-house survey capabilities are complementary to our existing service offerings and will be very positive in the longer-term. Asset Integrity operating income fell precipitously compared to 2014 on lower global demand and pricing for inspection services. Advanced technology’s operating income for the year was substantially lower due primarily to execution issues on certain theme park projects. Unallocated expenses during 2015 were lower mainly as a result of reduced performance-based incentive and deferred compensation expenses as plant targets were not achieved. While 2015 was an extremely challenging year for the industry and Oceaneering, we have taken actions to do more than just survive in this current market, but drive and emerge even strongly than we are today. These actions focus on reducing our costs, and establishing strategic partnerships with suppliers to create innovative cost-effective solutions to maximize the value of our customers that our customers receive. We are also working on ways to further differentiate ourselves with integrated solutions that offer greater customer value, especially in the areas of life of field inspection, maintenance and repair work and decommissioning projects. Since our comparisons have been on an adjusted basis, I would now like to address the adjustments for the year 2015. Our results included $81.1 million of pre-tax adjustments including $15.4 million of foreign currency losses that were primarily attributable to Angola Central Bank devaluation of the kwanza. The remaining $65.7 million of adjustments reflect our assessment of a weaker future business outlook, given the prospect that a depressed oil price environment could be for long. Of this, $25 million was the restructuring expenses incurred principally as a result of workforce reductions and facility rationalization. About $12 million of these expenses were incurred prior to the fourth quarter, and were not identified earlier as being non-operating in each quarter as these were not significant. Of the $65.7 million, $56 million affected the ROV and subsea products results. Other than restructuring expenses, the ROV-related charges consisted of a $16 million inventory reserve, due mainly to having excess ROV umbilicals based foreseeable market demand and a $3 million write-off of residual book value of retired ROV systems. For subsea products, in addition to the $9 million second quarter inventory charge taken as a result of our decision to exit the subsea BOP controls manufacturing business we also reserved about $11 million of other items associated with our umbilicals business. Of this, $5 million was an allowance for a doubtful account and about $6 million was related to non-income tax credit carry-forwards in Brazil that are now doubtful to be realized, due to the reduced level of expected business going forward. Turning next to our sources and uses of cash, as mentioned previously, we had $360 million of free cash flow in 2015 as we generated $560 million of cash provided by operating activities. This amount represented the total of $231 million of net income, $241 million of depreciation and amortization, $88 million of cash reductions in working capital, less $200 million of organic capital expenditures. Our total capital allocation spending was $650 million, compared to $1.1 billion in 2014. We invested $200 million in organic capital expenditures and $244 million on other investments. We also paid $106 million in cash dividends and spent $100 million repurchasing $2 million shares of our common stock. These uses of cash were funded by our cash from operating activities, a decrease in cash of $45 million and an increase in debt of $50 million. Looking ahead to 2016, and for illustration purposes only, at an earnings level of $1 per share, we would generate about $100 million of net income after $240 million of depreciation and amortization. Before considering any changes in working capital or other sources of cash, our cash provided by operating activities would be $340 million. Assuming organic capital expenditures ranging from $150 million to $200 million, our free cash flow would be $140 million to $190 million. This should be more than adequate to fund our anticipated $106 million in dividend payments, and make additional investments or stock repurchases. For modeling purposes, we believe it is fair to assume that for every $0.10 of EPS above or below the $1 EPS is used in the foregoing illustration, the impact on free cash flow would be approximately $10 million. For 2016, our organic capital expenditures are expected to range from $150 million to $200 million and includes $75 million in maintenance capital and some uncompleted project CapEx carried over from 2015. The carryover relates mainly to the completion of the Jones Act vessel Ocean Evolution, several of the spoke ROVs of which we have firm contracts and additional equipment for our IWOCS service fleet. In addition to funding our organic capital expenditures, we expect to continue the quarterly cash dividend of $0.27 a share. We may however revisit our quarterly dividend should market conditions deteriorate to the extent that our projected annual net income would not exceed the current annual dividend. I would like to reiterate the keywords to this statement. We wrote in our earnings release and we are saying again today, we may revisit our quarterly dividend amount of $0.27 per share if our projected annual net income amount does not exceed this annualized dividend amount. We did not write nor did we say that we will lower our quarterly dividend rate in such instance. We simply stated that we might revisit the quarterly dividend amount if our annual projected earnings fall below the implied $1.08 a share. We chose our words carefully understanding this might be one of the focal points of our earnings release in this call. While today, we may not think this to be likely case in 2016, we’ve learned from other service companies and customers alike to never say never, especially when it comes to maintaining the dividend rate; at least not in this environment, when everyone including representatives of most of the sell-side firms listening today have continuously revisited and lowered the expected average price of oil in 2016 and the expected level of spending by our customers. Today we are living in a time of almost unprecedented uncertainty. However, I think we have indicated our committeemen to our current cash dividend to the highest extent possible, or at least reasonable. Our other uses of capital maybe to fund acquisitions or buyback shares. We will consider acquisitions that augment our service and product offerings or add technologies. With respect to share repurchases, at the end of 2015, we had authorization to repurchase an additional 8 million shares. We intend to continue our practice of announcing share repurchases, only after they occur. Turning to our outlook for 2016, we are expecting lower demand for our services and products and renewed pricing pressure and spending cuts from our customers. Consequently, we are projecting that each of our oil field segments will have lower operating income in 2016 than in 2015. Directionally for our business operations, we see ROV results being down on declining demand, notably in the US Gulf of Mexico, for drill support and vessel based work and lower average revenue per day-on-hire. Subsea products’ results are expected to decline on lower pricing and the reduction in umbilical plant throughput and reduced demand for subsea hardware. Subsea projects’ results should reflect lower deepwater vessel demand and diving activity offshore Angola, primarily due to the release of the Bourbon Evolution 803 in April 2015, and the recently announced release of the Bourbon Oceanteam 101 at the end of May 2016. With respect to the financial impact due to the charter cancellation, we cannot comment on the confidential contract terms for any one vessel. This was only one part of the ongoing demand destruction occurring in this extremely low oil price environment. Project management, engineering and vessel services work associated with the provision of the remaining charter vessel, Oceaneering Intervention III is expected to continue as previously contracted with BP Offshore Angola through January of 2017. This year, in the Gulf of Mexico, the term charter for the vessel Olympic Intervention IV expires in July and the charter for the Normand Flower expires in December. We have options to renew these charters or let them expire and release one or both of these vessels. Due to further shipyard delays deliveries of our subsea support vessel the Ocean Evolution, is expected to occur late in the fourth quarter. For asset integrity, we expect results being down on continued lower global demand and pricing for inspection services. For our non-oilfield segment, Advanced Technologies, operating income should improve due to expected better execution on theme park projects and increased activity. On a year-over-year basis, we expect higher unallocated expenses due to provisions for increased performance-based incentives, and deferred compensation. Turning to our first quarter 2016 outlook, we anticipate that our earnings for the first quarter will be down considerably when compared to the first quarter of 2015 and adjusted fourth quarter of 2015. Compared to the first quarter of 2015, we expect each of our operating segments we’ll have lower income led by ROVs on declining demand and average revenue per day-on-hire. Subsea product’s operating income is expected to be lower on reduced demand and pricing for tooling, IWOCS and subsea hardware. Subsea Project’s operating income is expected to be down mainly due to the releases of Bourbon Evolution 803, Offshore Angola at the end of April 2015 and the regulatory inspection dry-dock at the Ocean Alliance in the US Gulf of Mexico during the first quarter of 2016. Compared to the adjusted fourth quarter of 2015, we expect each of our oilfield segments to have lower income led by subsea products on reduced demand and pricing for subsea hardware, a drop in demand for IWOCS services, and lower umbilical plant throughput. ROV operating income is anticipated to be down on declining demand and average revenue per day-on-hire. For our first quarter 2016 outlook, we anticipate that unallocated expenses will be lower than the first quarter of 2015, but higher than the fourth quarter of 2014. The sequential increase is attributable to accruals for 2016 incentive and deferred compensation plans, compared to the 2015 accruals which were adjusted downward. In conclusion, near-term, we believe our liquidity and cash flow generating capabilities provide us with ample resources to manage our business with a backdrop of market uncertainty, falling energy prices, and reduced demand for our services and products. Longer-term, deepwater is still expected to continue to play a critical role in global supply, oil growth required to replace depletion in projected demand. Major deepwater projects remain key long-term growth drivers within international oil company portfolios. In the medium-term we believe there will be an uptick in demand for products and services to extend the producing life of existing offshore fields and to perform decommissioning work. Consequently, we intend to continue our strategy to maintain or grow our market positions and to be prepared to expand our services and product line offerings since suitable opportunities emerge. We believe our seasoned management team, financial strength and cash flow generating capabilities position us well to manage through this downturn. Thank you very much. We will now be happy to take any questions you may have.