M. Kevin McEvoy
Analyst · Ole Slorer
Good morning, and thanks for joining the call. I'm happy to be here with you today. Our record first quarter EPS of $0.69 was above our guidance range of $0.55 to $0.60 and was up 47% compared to the first quarter of 2012. Year-over-year, all of our operating business segments achieved higher income led by Remotely Operated Vehicles and Subsea Products. We are well positioned to participate in the growth of deepwater and subsea completion activity currently underway, and our outlook for 2013 remains very positive. Given this outlook and our first quarter earnings performance, we are raising our annual 2013 EPS guidance. Our new guidance range is $3.10 to $3.30. 2013 is expected to be another record earnings year. We continue to anticipate global demand growth for our services and products to support deepwater drilling, field development and inspection maintenance and repair or IMR activities. Based on our historical seasonal quarterly earnings distribution, you might think that given our exemplary first quarter performance, we should be raising our EPS guidance range even more. There are 2 reasons we are not. First, our above-guidance first quarter performance was, to a large extent, attributable to an acceleration of the timing of forecasted work in our Asset Integrity and Advanced Technologies business segments. And second, our earnings forecast, as is customary for this time of the year, includes a significant amount of unbooked or speculative work. As always, our guidance range is consistent with our internal forecast. We simply have no basis to be more aggressive as our view of the 2013 has not changed much since our last quarter. Of course, we will revisit our earnings guidance after our second quarter results have been recorded and as second half of 2013 is underway. At the top of our guidance range, we are contemplating a growth in earnings of over 50% in just 2 years. And as you may recall, 2011 was also a record earnings year. Yesterday, we announced a 22% increase in our regular quarterly cash dividend to $0.22 from $0.18 per share. This underscores our confidence in Oceaneering's financial strength and future business prospects. I'd now like to review our first quarter oilfield segment results. Year-over-year, ROV operating income improved 16% on the strength of higher demand to provide drill support and vessel-based services, particularly in the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Africa. Our ROV days on hire increased 13% to the approximately 21,700 days. We also benefited from a 5% increase in average revenue per day on hire, which was driven by an escalation in vessel-based work. Sequentially, operating income improved on an increase in days on hire and an improvement in margin. The margin improvement was as expected due to unanticipated fourth quarter 2012 expenses related to our U.K. pension plan adjustment and vehicle umbilical repair and maintenance cost. Our fleet utilization rate during the quarter was 83%, up from 79%, both sequentially and year-over-year. We expect that our fleet utilization for 2013 will remain about the same as that of the first quarter worth 83%. Operating margin during the quarter was 29%, the same as 1 year ago, and up from 27% last quarter. We continue to anticipate a 30% annual margin for ROVs in 2013. During the quarter, we put 6 new ROVs into service and retired 1. At the end of March, we had 294 systems available for operation, up from 270 1 year ago. 3 of the new ROVs went to work onboard vessels and 3 went into drill support service. Our fleet mix during the quarter was 74% drill support and 26% on vessel-based work. This compares to a mix last quarter of 75-25 and a 78-22 percent split in the first quarter of 2012. We were experiencing a trend of growing demand to perform vessel-based work. Year-over-year, over half of our increase in days on hire was attributable to this activity. We still anticipate adding 30 to 35 vehicles to our ROV fleet in 2013, 24 to 29 during the remaining 3 quarters. Now turning to Subsea Products. Year-over-year, first quarter operating income improved 45% on a 24% increase in revenue due to higher demand for all of our major product lines. Margin improved 3%, principally due to the fact that additional support cost we have incurred to grow the business were spread over a larger revenue base. As anticipated, sequential operating income declined due to project timing. The 21% decrease on a 14% drop in revenue was due to reduced sales of tooling in Subsea Hardware and lower umbilical plant throughput. Margin consequently declined 2%. For the year 2013, we continue to forecast that Subsea Products margin will likely be lower than the 21% of 2012 due to the anticipated change in sales mix featuring a higher percentage of umbilical revenue. However, we still expect record segment operating income for the year. Our Subsea Products backlog at quarter-end was $776 million compared to $402 million at the end of March 2012 and $681 million at the end of December 2012. Year-over-year and sequentially, the backlog increase was largely attributable to umbilical awards and the BOP control system contracts we announced during the first quarter of 2013. As for our remaining business operations for the first quarter, Subsea Projects' operating income was higher year-over-year on a full quarter of work on a field support vessel services contract offshore Angola that commenced in February 2012. Sequentially, as expected, operating income declined due to seasonality in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. Near the end of March, our 5-year vessel charter for use of the Ocean Alliance commenced upon completion of its shipyard modifications. We immediately put this vessel to work on an IMR job in the Gulf of Mexico. Asset Integrity operating income improved year-over-year on higher service demand in most of the geographic areas in which we operate. Furthermore, during the first quarter of 2012, this segment's results were adversely impacted by a low profit contribution from operations we acquired in December 2011 and for execution of a job in the U.S. Sequentially, operating income increased somewhat due to better job execution and a favorable service mix. Additionally, Asset Integrity's results during the fourth quarter of 2012 included cost we incurred associated with closing a nonprofitable operation in Sweden and a U.K. pension plan adjustment. Compared to prior periods, Asset Integrity operating income margin improved, as we expect it, to its normal double-digit range. Advanced Technologies achieved record operating income on the timing of completion of navy vessel and submarine repair and maintenance work, contract award fees and improved execution. In summary, our first quarter results were above our expectations and we look forward to realizing another year of record EPS performance in 2013. Our focus on providing products and services for deepwater and subsea completions positions us to participate in a major secular growth trend in the oilfield service and products industry. We were pleased with our cash flow generation capability as demonstrated by $160 million of EBITDA during the quarter. Capital expenditures for the quarter totaled about $94 million, of which $70 million was invested in ROVs and $14 million was spent on Subsea Products. Now let's talk about our 2013 EPS outlook. As I've stated earlier, we have raised our 2013 EPS guidance range to between $3.10 to $3.30. Compared to 2012, we expect all of our operating business segments will achieve higher income in 2013, notably, ROVs on greater service demand to support drilling and vessel-based projects, Subsea Products on higher demand for all of our major product lines led by Subsea Hardware, and Subsea Projects on a full year of work offshore Angola. I believe we are well prepared for the opportunities we face in 2013 and have the assets in place to take advantage of growing demand for our services and products. For 2013, we anticipate generating over $690 million of EBITDA. Our balance sheet and projected cash flow provide us ample resources to invest in Oceaneering's growth. Our CapEx estimate for this year, excluding acquisitions, is $300 million to $325 million. Of this amount, approximately $175 million is anticipated to be spent on vehicle upgrades and adding systems to our ROV fleet, about $100 million is for enhancing our Subsea Products' capabilities. Our focus in 2013 will be on earnings growth and investment opportunities for both organically and through acquisitions. Moving on to our second quarter outlook. We are projecting EPS in the range of $0.81 to $0.86. Sequentially, we anticipate quarterly operating income improvements from all of our oilfield business segments: ROVs due to an increase in fleet days on hire and some margin improvement, Subsea Products on the strength of higher demand for tooling in Subsea Hardware, Subsea Projects on a seasonal demand rise in Gulf of Mexico activity and Asset Integrity due to the normal seasonal increase in activity led by refinery maintenance and offshore production platform inspections in the North Sea. We are, however, forecasting this segment's operating income in quarter 2 to decline year-over-year. This is attributable to the acceleration of work into the first quarter of 2013 and an anticipated reduction in the amount of production platform work we performed during the second quarter of 2012 offshore Norway which was at an unusually high level. Looking beyond 2013, we remain convinced that our strategy to focus on providing services and products to facilitate deepwater exploration and production remains sound. We believe the oil and gas industry will continue to invest in deepwater as it remains one of the best frontiers for adding large hydrocarbon reserves with high production flow rates at relatively low finding and development costs. Therefore, we anticipate the demand for our deepwater services and products will continue to rise and believe our business prospects for the next several years remain promising. At the end of March 2013, there were a total of 94 new floating rigs on order. 65 of these rigs are not contracted to work for Petrobras in Brazil and we expect all of them will go to work for other operators. On these 65 rigs, 20 ROV contracts have been let and we have won 16 or 80% of them, leaving 45 contract opportunities left to be pursued outside of Petrobras in Brazil. At the end of March, 99 of the 142 existing high-spec drillships and fifth and sixth generation semis were contracted to operators other than Petrobras in Brazil. We had ROV contracts on 75 of these for a market share of 76%. If all 65 of the non-Petrobras rigs I mentioned are placed into service, this fleet of 99 will grow 65% to 164 rigs. So the visibility of the secular growth outlook for this market remains very promising and looking forward, we see no reason why we will not continue to be the dominant provider of ROV services on these rigs. Each additional floating rig represents an opportunity for us to put another ROV to work in drill support service. As the use of floating rigs grows, we believe it is inevitable that discoveries will eventually drive orders for Subsea Hardware to levels not previously experienced and demand for ROVs to support vessel-based activities should follow. If the trend of 3 vehicles in the global ROV fleet for every floating rig continues, we estimate that future demand growth for ROVs to support vessel work may exceed 180 vehicles at some point following the new rig in-service days. We estimate Oceaneering's market share of the vessel-based ROV fleet at about 20% and see no reason we will not at least maintain this share in the future. To meet visible growing rig in vessel service requirements, we are forecasting future demand growth for ROVs will be approximately 275 vehicles. So we anticipate the fleet will grow about 35% over the next several years. We expect to capture roughly 30% of this market demand growth or about 80 incremental vehicles. 45 to 50 of these will likely be in support of drilling operations, all of which, we anticipate will be in service by 2016. The in-service timing of the remaining vehicles for vessel-based work is indeterminate but will likely lag those required to support drilling. Quest Offshore's latest Subsea Hardware forecast for the period 2013 to 2017 includes an increase in tree orders of about 55% over the previous 5 years. In 2013, tree orders are projected to rise over 2012 by more than 25% to 523, an all-time high, eclipsing the previous record of 426 trees in 2006. While we don't make trees, orders for subsea trees drive demand for a substantial amount of the ancillary subsea production hardware that we manufacture. For example, Quest is forecasting nearly a 40% increase in umbilical orders for the 5-year period 2013 to 2017 compared to the previous 5 years. Umbilical orders in 2013 are forecast to rise to about 1,800 kilometers, up over 60% from the 1,115-kilometer level in 2012. Furthermore, renewed industry and regulatory emphasis on safe and reliable operations is providing additional opportunities for us to demonstrate our capabilities. With our existing assets, we are well positioned to supply a wide range of the services and products required to safely support the deepwater efforts of our customers. We believe Oceaneering's business prospects for the long-term remain promising. Our commanding competitive position, technology leadership and strong balance sheet and cash flow enable us to continue to grow the company, and we intend to do so. In conclusion, our results continue to demonstrate our ability to generate excellent earnings and cash flow. We believe our business strategy is working well over both the short- and long-term. We like our position in the oilfield services market and are leveraged to the growth of deepwater and subsea completion activity that is currently underway. The longer-term market outlook for our deepwater and subsea service and product offerings remains promising. Renewed industry and regulatory emphasis on reliable equipment and redundant safety features of deepwater operations has caused our customers to be even more focused on risk reduction. This elevates the importance of the utility and reliability of our ROV services and related product offerings and reinforces the benefit of our value sell. For 2013, we are anticipating that we will achieve another record year of EPS performance. We believe this distinguishes Oceaneering from any other oilfield service companies. We appreciate everyone's interest in Oceaneering. I will now be happy to take any questions that you may have.