Marvin J. Migura - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Analyst
Good morning and thanks for joining the call. And even though Jay could not be here this morning to do his usual great job on his call, I'm inviting you to stay on the call a bit and hear what he wanted me to share with you. Again Jay seriously regrets not being able to talk to you about our results and outlook. I will do my best to stand in for him; it is a pleasure for me to be here with you today to talk about Oceaneering. We achieved record quarterly earnings of $55 million which demonstrates the healthy demand we are experiencing for our subsea services and products. We continue to expect two achieve a fifth consecutive year of record earnings per share in 2008 in the range of $3.53 to $3.61. At the midpoint our guidance is up slightly from what we indicated on our last call. This is based on our year-to-date earnings performance and improved fourth quarter business outlook for our subsea Products business to perform inspection and repair work in the after months of Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. We expect to report record fourth quarter earnings. During the third quarter we purchased approximately 1 million shares of our common stock at cost of about $55 million, this completed our outstanding Board authorized stock repurchase program. To enhance our future financial flexibility during the quarter we obtained a one year unsecured $85 million term loan to augment our existing $300 million revolving credit facility. We had 122 million of available credit on committed credit lines at the end of the quarter. As of September 30 we had $303 million of debt and $981 million of equity on our balance sheet. Our debt to capitalization percentage was 24%. As you have read, heard or written about the financial markets are in turmoil, oil prices have declined perceptively and we are facing the possibility of a global recession. It would be presumptuous to claim we have all the answers as to the impact this environment will have on our business particularly with regard to commodity prices, the level of our customer's capital spending on deepwater exploration and development and the timing of sanction project. Consequently we're not at this time going to give our customary detailed annual earnings guidance for the up coming year. We do believe however that with average oil prices above $70 per barrel, we will achieve record earnings in 2009 for the sixth consecutive year. Under this scenario we further believe that next year's EPS growth will be double-digit on a percentage basis and we will have earnings at least $4 per share. We believe our 2009 growth in earnings will be led by profit improvements from ROVs and Subsea Products. We anticipate adding 24 to 30 vehicles to our ROV fleet next year and expect to achieve an increase in days on hire and will continue to push for higher average pricing. Our Subsea Products earning growth is projected to come largely from increased demand for our specialty products like ROV tools and field development hardware and from efficiency gains through manufacturing process improvements. Our preliminary forecast for 2009 includes Subsea Projects operating income to be at about the same level as that of 2008, and we are expecting a decline in most operating of about $10 million next year. This anticipated reduction is due to the likelihood that our FPSO, the ocean producer will be off contract for an extended period of time as it comes to the end of its seven year contract offshore, Angola. And we will not have the $2 million gain from the sale of Los Angles center, we realized earlier this year. At $4 of EPS in 2009 we should generate at least $340 million of cash flow defined simply as net income plus depreciation. We believe our anticipated cash flow from future operations and our debt availability gives us ample liquidity to continue to invest for the future or sustain a slow down in business activity should one occur. Preliminary, we anticipate spending no more than $175 million on capital expenditures next year as compared to our estimate of $250 million for 2008. Our 2009 CapEx will be primarily dedicated to support growth of our ROV fleet to meet firm demand. Our CapEx estimate is all inclusive and contains maintenance CapEx projects as well as potential acquisitions. We will not add further Subsea Products manufacturing capacity, and we will be more selective in our acquisition criteria. In summary, with our ability to generate significant annual cash flow and our decision to reduce capital expenditures, we expect to generate a substantial amount of cash which will be available to pay down our debt in 2009. We do not pretend to have a bulletproof business strategy. But do believe our customer spending on deepwater prospects will be less susceptible to a decline in commodity prices than those in shallow water or on land. We continue to like our position in the overall oil field services and products market. Market conditions may change but our commitment to our shareholders remains the same. We have seasoned management in place that has experienced previous oil field service industry cycles. We are confident in our ability to adjust our business plan as maybe dictated by the market. One last comment about 2009, based on our preliminary and conditional estimate of at least $4 earnings per share, we would expect our EPS for the first quarter in the year to be in the range of $0.70 to $0.80. This is consistent with our historical quarterly earnings profile and takes into account normal seasonal declines in activity for our ROV Subsea projects and inspection business. Moving on to our third quarter results; our ROV business achieved record quarterly operating income as we attained all time high days on hire and average operating income on hire of over $3000 per day. During the quarter, we added nine systems to our fleet. At the end of September we had 223 systems available for operations, up 19 from September a year ago. We now anticipate adding approximately 26 new systems to our fleet this year, 10 in the fourth quarter. Our fleet mix utilization during September was 64% in drill support and 36% in construction and field maintenance, this compares to a 61.39% mix in June of this year and a 68.32% mix in September 2007. Sequentially, operating income rose 6%, at 31% operating income margin percentage for the quarter was the highest achieved over the last five years. Average revenue and cost per day on hire declined primarily as a result of a change in job mix to more drill support work. Our fleet utilization rate was 84%, the same as the second quarter but our days on hire increased by 5% as we grew our fleet size. Year-over-year operating income was over 25% higher due primarily to higher than the first three quarters of 2007. We are now projecting annual 2008 ROV operating income growth to be $40 million or more. This would represent a growth rate of about 28% over last year's record. Our Subsea Products segment operating income during the third quarter improved sequentially due to higher throughput at our Multiflex umbilical manufacturing plants. Year-over-year Subsea Products operating income declined on lower sales of specialty products and higher BOP control system engineering and manufacturing cost. We had a good third quarter and remain optimistic about our outlook. However, we did not achieve an improvement in operating results to the extent we had projected earlier. We realized a lower than anticipated operating income margin during the third quarter due to higher development cost on BOP control system and a different mix in specialty product sales. Consequently we now expect our Subsea Products annual operating income growth this year to be approximately 11% or at least $10 million more than 2007 which was up 73% from the prior year. On a general note, we believe our sector of the greater Subsea Products market continues to experience project delays and an overall lower level of activity than we would otherwise expect in a rising deepwater and the Subsea completion market. At the end of the quarter, our products backlog was $334 million down 10% from the end of June largely, due to a drop in umbilical backlog. Given the record level of throughput at our umbilical plans this was not particularly surprising. While bid activity remains at a high level the lack of visibility on timing of the placement of orders causes us to be cautious about forecasting backlog. At this time we're expecting our Subsea Products backlog to remain at the same level or be slightly up at year end. Given the uncertainty of when a umbilical order flow rate will increase we are implementing steps to improve our manufacturing efficiencies. This includes the recent internal announcement of up to a 25% reduction in workforce at our U.K umbilical plant. This right sizing is not expected to diminish our ability to respond to our customer's needs in 2009. It has been apparent for some time that industry servicing umbilical manufacturing capacity exceeds current market demand. We believe a more efficient manufacturing operation will make us more competitive and service well in the intermediate and long term. Our Subsea Projects business as expected and discussed in our last earnings conference call was sequentially comparable to last quarter. Our results included the cost we incurred to mobilize our new charter deepwater vessel the Olympic Intervention IV to the Gulf of Mexico and to complete its final outfitting for service. The OI IV charter began in late July and the vessel commence work in mid December performing inspection and repair work in the aftermath of Hurricane Gustav. Also in mid September one of our dynamically positioned vessels The Performer began work under a one year term contract. This vessel is primarily being used to support man diving in ROV services offshore Angola. This contract represents our first step-out to expand our Gulf of Mexico projects business into the rolling West African Subsea market. Year-over-year Subsea Projects operating income decline is expected due to a softer market for our services as a result to the substantial completion of work associated with the damaged caused by hurricanes, Ivan, Katrina and Rita. For the reasons we've previously discussed including the line down of hurricane work and our vessel dry docks schedule, we anticipate that our Subsea Projects operating income for the year 2008 will be about 25 to 30 million or 27% less than the phenomenal amount we earned in 2007. Moving on to cash flow, if you add depreciation back to our net income, we generated nearly $83 million in cash flow during the third quarter. If you add depreciation back to our operating income, you get $118 million. However you choose to measure our cash generation you'll find an increase of more than 5% over last year's third quarter results. Capital expenditures during the quarter totaled $52 million. These investments were predominately for upgrading and expanding our ROV fleet and our Subsea products manufacturing facilities. Over 80% of our investments during the quarter and over 90% year-to-date have been in our ROV and Subsea product segment. At present we anticipate spending about $250 million in capital expenditures in 2008. The remaining projected expenditures are approximately $50 million, consists mainly of additional ROV fleet growth and organic growth investment in Subsea products. Our balance sheet remains in good condition. As I mentioned earlier, at the end of September, we had debt of $303 million and equity of about $1 billion. Our debt to cap percentage was 24% and as noted in the press release, we believe we will have ample cash flow in 2009 to fund additional growth and to generate the funds to repay debt. If our actual cash inflows fall short of our expectation, we will further reduce capital spending in response to a weaker market environment. The vast majority of our projected CapEx is to fund ROV growth and only a small percentage of the total $175 million is actually committed at this time. Unallocated expenses declined sequentially and year-over-year as a result of lower incentive compensation expense particularly that element related to restricted stock units awarded under a long term plan adopted in 2002, which fluctuates with the closing price of Oceaneering stock at the end of each quarter. Two-thirds of the remaining outstanding restricted stock units under the 2002 plan vest in 2009 and the balance vest in 2010. No awards subsequent to those made under the 2002 plan require mark-to-market accounting. Our other expenses during the quarter consisted primarily of currency translation losses as the U.S dollar strengthened relative to the real in Brazil where we use the dollar as the functional currency. To give you some sense of this, the value of the U.S dollar versus the real increased 20% from the end of June to the end of September. This U.S dollar strengthening, and the resulting expense basically negated the gains recorded in other income as the U.S dollar weakened against the real earlier in the year. For clarification, currency translation gains and losses related to the changes in the U.S dollar exchange rate against the British pound, sterling, or the Norwegian kroner do not flow through our income statement because we use the local currency in those countries as our functional currency for accounting purposes. With this in mind, and based on the relative exchange rate of the U.S dollar to other currencies at this time, we see no material risk to our 2009 EPS estimate of $4 a share related to future currency movements. In summary our third quarter performance overall was in line with what we had anticipated. And we are looking forward to achieving record earnings in 2008 for the fifth consecutive year. Our focus on providing products and services for deepwater and Subsea completions, positions us to participate in a significant secular growth trend in the oil field services and product industry. Looking forward, we see specific signs of a healthy deepwater and Subsea market that will drive demand growth for our services and products in 2009 and beyond. As of the of the end of September, over 95% of the existing 210 floating rigs in the world were under contract. And over 80% of these are contracted through 2009. 100 additional floating rigs were scheduled to be delivered during the remainder of 2008 through 2012 and 70 of those have been contracted long-term for an average of six years. This year, seven new rigs have been delivered, four during the third-quarter. All of these have been placed into service and we have ROVs on all of them with two on one rig for a total of eight vehicles. In addition to the delivered rigs, ROV contracts have been led on 22 of the remaining 100 new rigs and we have won 19 of them to provide 23 ROVs. We anticipate three additional new rigs will be delivered by year-end 2008, and we have the ROV contracts on them to provide four ROVs. In 2009, according to ODS-Petrodata, 25 new rigs are scheduled for delivery. Of these, we currently estimate 19 will actually we placed in service next year. We have the ROV contracts on 13 of these rigs to provide 16 vehicles. And another company has the ROV contracts on two of these rigs. That leaves 4 2009 ROV contracts yet to be awarded, and we are pursuing them. 30 of these rigs are going to work for Petrobras in Brazil, and the others going to work for Reliance in India. Given the recent deterioration in the global credit markets, the decline in the price of oil and the threat of a global recession, it is quite possible that some of the new rigs currently on order may not be built. In fact, construction had not yet started on 34 of the 100 rigs on order as of the end of September. Assuming that 20 of these rigs were either be delayed beyond 2012 or cancelled, this would still represent an additional 80 rigs to the current fleet of 210. So, we're still talking about growth of nearly 40% in the floating rig fleet. And growth of a 190% in the high specification fleet which currently totals 42 rigs. This is the ROV service market we dominate and we believe we're in the pole position to seize this growth opportunity. Moreover, the delays or cancellation being envisioned should not affect 2009 or our projected ROV drill support growth. We believe yesterday's announcement by Transocean of a five year contract award for a new build also a deep water drill ship at a high day rate to begin the fourth quarter of 2010 underscores the strength of the deepwater exploration market even in the current environment. In addition to the current rigs being built an international ship broker reports that about 180 Subsea support vessels are under construction with anticipated delivery days by the end of 2011, of these we estimate that a minimum of 125 will require at least one ROV each. While our ROV business represents our single largest growth opportunity, we like our position in Subsea products as well as our other business segments. With our existing assets, we are well positioned to supply a wide range of the services and products required to support the growing deepwater exploration, development and production efforts of our customers. We believe Oceaneering's business prospects in 2009 and beyond remain promising. We have the financial resources to continue our growth and intend to do so albeit on a tempered basis until we have a better clarity as to how 2009 unfolds. For 2008 we expect our net income to result in record earnings per share of $3.53 to $3.61. For the fourth quarter of 2008, we're projecting EPS in the range of $0.88 to $0.96. Sequentially, we expect quarterly operating income improvements from Subsea products on the strength of higher OIE specialty product sales and Subsea projects due to inspection and repair work necessitated by hurricanes Gustav and Ike. We expect the results from ROV's and mobs to be about the same as that of the third quarter. And we anticipate a sequential quarterly decline in profit contribution from inspection due to normal seasonality. In summary, our quarterly results continue to demonstrate our ability to generate excellent earnings and cash flow. We believe our business strategy is working well for both the long term and the short term. Our technology gives us operating leverage to take advantage of the high level of deepwater and Subsea completion activity currently underway. The long term market outlook for our deepwater and Subsea service and products offering remains promising despite the recent deterioration in global economic condition. Deepwater remains one of the best frontiers for adding large hydrocarbon reserves with high production flow rates at relatively low finding and development cost. We're expecting record annual earnings for the fifth consecutive year in 2008 and with escalating demand for our ROV's and Subsea products, 2009 should be even better. We appreciate everyone's interest in Oceaneering and we'll be pleased to answer any questions. Question And Answer