John Haudrich
Analyst · Adam Josephson from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please ask your question
Sure, sure Adam, thanks. So let me address those questions there. So on the accounts receivable side, yes, we will have something in this $140 million plus or minus impact because of that change in regional change and I'll touch base on that in a moment. The other element is then on the inventory side. Given that we are curtailing right now, we anticipate to make substantial progress on that, but there might still be one or two days of IDS [ph] still outstanding and that might add up to about $30 million. So that that's kind of the zip code of the pressure that you're seeing on the accounts receivable side. So the other question then is, what's going on with receivables? Okay, so as we've mentioned before in the prepared comments, we are seeing growth this year as expected in the Latin American countries, Brazil, Colombia where we're expanding – in those particular markets. They traditionally have longer payment terms as a geography compared to for example, where we're seeing declines in the sales volume, in particular in the U.S., even Mexico and China have slower, lower terms, days outstanding than other parts of the business. So that's really causing the shift and it gets more significant towards the end of the end of the year because that happens to be the peak seasonal period for Latin America given southern hemisphere, and then in the U.S. and Mexico and China being in the Northern Hemisphere, so it's a little bit slower. And when we refer to regional and customer mix, that's the term we use for it. We're not trying to distinguish that there's particular customers being broken out, only in that, that's kind of a nomenclature that we refer to there. So this is substantially just a regional change. And I would also say that on the accounts receivable, our collection processes are actually quite good and this is just a structural change in the terms given those changes. The other question then is CapEx, okay so $350 million to $375 million is the number that we had indicated. Yes, maintenance capital is somewhere in the zip code of $300 million, plus or minus. So this includes that investment, plus primarily MAGMA investments and in some residual carryover effect to some projects that we have underway that we’re really tied to the growth that we had spoken about some of the new on boarding of volumes and things like that. With this kind of activity, we can maintain our competitive advantage, our cost position, because we are maintaining at the appropriate levels. Ultimately down the road, the balancing between that and strategic capital for growth is going to be under review. But especially with on boarding so much of what we just talked about this year, and Gironcourt and a number of other things underway, we're obviously digesting all that activity right now.