John Haudrich
Analyst · JP Morgan
Thanks, Al. Let’s turn to slide six. Due to the very strong impact of foreign currency translation, we are again showing prior year results on a constant currency basis. We believe this provides a clearer picture of our underlying performance. In the second quarter of 2015, sales were $1.5 billion. This is 15% lower than prior year. You can see that $240 million or more than 90% of the decline was attributed to the stronger U.S. dollar. Price was flat at the enterprise level. Higher prices in South America were essentially offset by modestly lower prices in the other regions. Shipments globally were down about 1%. Excluding Brazil, volumes were flat year-on-year. As you can see on the right hand side of the slide, our segment operating profit was $187 million, down from $262 million in the prior year. As expected, the stronger dollar weighed heavily on segment operating profit. Beyond that, price and the margin impact on sales volume carried over from the top-line. Results were impacted by cost inflation, the effect of engineering activity on production, and prior year one-time items that we’ve already discussed. Moving to EPS on slide seven. Second quarter adjusted EPS was $0.60 which compared to $0.65 in the prior year quarter in constant currency. On the whole, the main components of our earnings moved in the direction and on the order of magnitude consistent with the guidance we presented at a sell side conference in early June. Segment operating profit accounted for a $0.19 headwind. The net of non-operational items added $0.14 to our EPS. Corporate costs were favorable and benefited from lower pension expense and higher machine part sales for engineering projects conducted by our licensees. We realized a $0.02 benefit from net interest expense in the quarter driven by the debt refinancing already mentioned. We had an effective tax rate of 17% in the quarter, lower than the prior year rate. That said, we expect that our full-year 2015 tax rate will be between 23% and 25%. The $100 million accelerated share repurchase program that we finished in May reduced our share count and contributed about $0.02 to EPS. For the full-year, we expect about a $0.05 favorable impact on EPS from share repurchases. Let me shift momentarily to GAAP EPS. In the second quarter, we reported $61 million of pretax charges that were not representative of ongoing operations. About half of that charge stemmed from bond redemption premiums and fees related to refinancing activities. Separately, we recognized the impact of modest restructuring activities at several sites around the world. And finally, there were initial one-time costs related to the proposed Vitro acquisition. In all, EPS was at the high end of our range as somewhat weaker than expected volumes in Brazil were offset by a tax rate that was marginally better than expected. Moving to slide eight, we continue to actively manage our capital structure. We renewed our bank credit agreement in the quarter and repaid $300 million in high coupon debt that was due in 2016. Both of these efforts enhanced our credit and liquidity profile. As noted earlier, the strong U.S. dollar negatively impacted our consolidated earnings. However, this trend favorably impacted the considerable amount of non-U.S. dollar denominated debt that we have in our capital structure. Like many other manufacturing companies, we have a large pension liability to manage. In recent years, we have taken actions to reduce that liability including buyouts and converting several major plans to defined contribution plans. Keep in mind that our underlying earnings performance is partially masked by pension accounting guidelines. If you back out the non-cash charge in pension related to the amortization of actuarial loss, for instance, you would see that the business is generating $0.50 per share higher earnings than one sees in a quick review of our financials. On the equity side, our buybacks this year amounted to 4 million shares. We expect to repurchase another 25 million shares by the end of 2015. Turning to the third quarter outlook on slide nine. Currency will continue to be a strong headwind. We reported adjusted EPS of $0.75 per share in the third quarter of last year. Using June 30th rates, prior-year results were more like $0.60, an impact of about 20%. Overall, we do not see material changes from first half of 2015 in the business environment. That said, let me provide some insight on our third-quarter outlook, by region, on a constant currency basis. In Europe, buying should be stable with the prior year and the year-on-year price declines experienced in the first half of 2015 will continue rather than abate, as we had expected. While most of our engineering projects were concentrated in the first half of 2015, we do expect some work to continue into the early part of the third quarter. Production and efficiency should improve over the course of the quarter. We estimate the combined effect of price and production downtime will negatively impact results by nearly $20 million compared to the prior year. However, this should be partially offset by the $8 million energy credit mentioned earlier. For North America, gains in craft beer, spirits, food, and nonalcoholic beverages should counterbalance the continued decline in mega beer. We expect continued performance of our manufacturing and supply chain operations which will compare favorably with prior year largely due to our efforts to better match production with sales. However, this will be partially offset by the costs associated with two more furnace rebuilds than the prior year quarter. Overall, we expect North American profit to be modestly higher than the prior year. In South America, we anticipate that price increases will mitigate cost inflation. We expect sales volumes will be down low single digits, reflecting macro uncertainty, primarily in Brazil. As a result, we see South America generating lower year-over-year operating profit. In Asia Pacific, we expect segment profit will improve modestly from prior year. In sluggish overall market conditions, our volume should benefit from the new beer contract in Australia. The region will also benefit from less production downtime. Non-operational items should be favorable compared to the prior year, lower pension and interest expense will help. Keep in mind that the $0.15 currency adjustment, already noted, includes the translation benefit from interest expense related to our non-U.S. dollar denominated debt. While we see no change in our annual tax rate guidance, the third quarter rate should be at the low-end of our full-year range, plus EPS will benefit by $0.01 or $0.02 from a lower share count. Taking into account all the puts and takes, we expect our adjusted EPS to be in line with the prior year in constant currency terms. Note that the U.S. dollar has strengthened compared to June 30 rates. If current rates hold, the currency pressures would reduce EPS by another $0.03 in the third quarter compared to this outlook. Let’s turn to our full-year guidance on slide 10. We are taking $0.10 off the upper end of our previous EPS guidance, reflecting economic weakness in Brazil and ongoing competitive pressures in Europe. That said, we still expect second half year-on-year comparisons to fare better than those of the first half. Sales volumes, other than South America, are expected to be modestly better year-over-year and production volumes should improve driven by higher sales and more normal levels of engineering and maintenance activity. We have not changed our target for cash flow for the year. Although the midpoint of our earnings guidance is modestly lower, other cash flow sources and uses are tracking with our expectation. Notwithstanding this year’s $80 million currency headwind on cash flow, we remain focused on generating $250 million in free cash flow in 2015. Of course, while we generate cash in local currency, our cash flow is reported in U.S. dollars. Since we make most of our cash in the fourth quarter, exchange rates in that quarter will have a significant impact on full-year results. Please note that this guidance excludes any impact of the proposed acquisition of Vitro’s food and beverage glass container business. At this point let me turn the call back over to Al.