Robert Trauschke
Analyst · Bank of America
Thank you, Jason, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on today's call. It's great to be with you. As some of you may be aware, we are finishing up a very large restoration effort in our service territory. I think we're going to talk a lot about weather today. On Monday, October 26, an ice storm moved into our service area. And over the next 3 days, we experienced 3 separate waves of sleet, freezing rain and, even for us, uncharacteristically high winds. This early season storm brought about a significant accumulation of ice on leaves and trees and weighed down lines and infrastructure, causing an extraordinary number of outages and damage to the system. When it was all said and done, we found ourselves facing the worst storm in the company's history, causing over 400,000 outages at its peak. This extraordinary situation required our best and most extensive restoration efforts. We've mobilized contractors and mutual assistance personnel from 18 different states. We put more than 4,000 restoration personnel in this field. Before I go any further, though, I would like to offer our thoughts and prayers to a mutual assistance lineman and his family, who was injured while helping us restore power to our system. Or certainly, our thoughts and prayers remain with them. At this point, power has been restored to 372,000 customers. Included in this effort was an extraordinary effort to ensure all 800 pulling locations within our service territory were operational for the election on Tuesday. I want to thank our customers who have been so supportive of our workers during this time, and I want to thank the women and men who spent their days and nights, working long hours in difficult conditions to restore service to our customers. Your support is truly appreciated. The other thing I wanted to point out was to help our customers in need. We donated $500,000 to the United Way to assist with shelter, food and water and other support for those in need by this storm. Turning to the quarter. Earlier this morning, we reported third quarter ongoing consolidated earnings of $1.04 per share compared to $1.25 per share in the third quarter of 2019. At utility, we reported $1 per share compared to $1.13 in the third quarter of 2019. But just to set this up, to summarize the year-to-date results against our original guidance. We've been impacted by about $0.09 of weather, 7 of which occurred this quarter, $0.03 from COVID, $0.02 from a debt issuance we made as a conservative measure at the onset of the pandemic and $0.02 from an additional ad valorem tax, the state of Oklahoma [indiscernible] us this year. But as you'd expect, we've adapted and continued to drive savings out of the business, equal to about $0.10. So basically, we've covered all the COVID impacts, the incremental interest and all these other items and 1/3 of the weather with these savings. To turn that around and say differently, but for the big weather impact, we would have been at the upper end of our original guidance. The adjustments we've made to our business will offset the COVID related load impacts that we expect to carry over into next year as we continue down the path of economic recovery. A core focus of ours is maintaining a strong balance sheet and continually view our balance sheet as key to handling situations like this that arise. Steve will discuss the detailed financial results and guidance in a moment. But before he does, I'd like to spend a few minutes to update you on the economic recovery in our service territory and our third quarter operational accomplishments before offering some closing remarks. Last quarter, I described our performance this year as excelling through challenging times, and that continues as we operate at a high level while dealing with the impacts of COVID. Interestingly enough, we've continued to add customers at a 1% annualized rate, and the Oklahoma and Arkansas economic recoveries are moving forward. In September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that Oklahoma City was tied for first with the lowest unemployment rate for large metropolitan areas at 4.9%. The state of Oklahoma had the ninth lowest unemployment rate in the nation of 5.3%, which is down from a high in April of 14.8%. In Fort Smith, the unemployment rate was 6.3 in September, showing the strength of these economies across our service territories. While COVID has impacted our business, our service territory is building momentum. Improvement in weather-normalized load continues month-over-month across all of our customer classes. During the second quarter call, we reported that our weather-normalized load was down 3.2% through the first half compared to the same period in 2019. In the third quarter, we've seen continued improvement. Year-to-date, we are now down 2.5% on a weather-normalized basis compared to '19. And based on our analysis and based on our discussions with various customers, we expect continued improvement and forecast the year-end load to be down about 1.6% on a weather-normalized basis. So let me describe the load impact to our customer classes in the order of their contribution margin. Looking at residential. On a weather-normalized basis, load remains above 2019, with each month since April being above the same periods in 2019. Year-to-date, residential load is up 3.3% compared to '19. We are seeing the same trend with commercial customers with month-over-month improvements. After a rough start, early on in the pandemic, our commercial classes steady improvement had weather-normalized load in September, 2.4% above 2019 levels. Year-to-date, weather-normalized commercial load is down 3.7%, which is an improvement from being down 5.6% back in June. Industrial load continues to show month-over-month improvements. Year-to-date, industrial load is down 6.6% compared to 2019, where it was 7.6% below 2019 back in June. And finally, our oilfield load remains down, but each month of the third quarter was an improvement. To the second quarter. And year-to-date, it is down 5.3% compared to 2019. We believe the economy is coming back, load is returning, and weather will find its way back to normal. We are strong and poised to come out of the pandemic even stronger. Operationally, our teams are delivering exceptional results across the board. And I couldn't be proud of the work they're doing, under very difficult circumstances, all observing enhanced safety and health protocols. Our crews spent a number of weeks during the quarter in Louisiana and in the Northeast, and one of the great aspects about our industry is when help is needed, we all come together with mutual assistance. Since we reside in Oklahoma and Arkansas, we received more than our fair share of severe weather throughout the year. Our philosophy is to help whenever we can because we know we will need the support in the future. Hence, the gratitude we have for the support we have with us today. Our grid enhancement projects continue in Arkansas with our upgraded circuits continuing to impress. We are on our way with the grid enhancement projects in Oklahoma, and we're expecting to provide customers the same positive results that we've seen in Arkansas. On the regulatory front, we're pleased to reach to a unanimous settlement agreement on our Oklahoma grid enhancement plan. As a matter of fact, final vote on the proposed order in that case is on the agenda today at the commission. Our goal from the very beginning was to secure a mechanism for recovery of our grid enhancement investments in order to provide better value to our customers. This is an important step in derisking the regulatory environment in Oklahoma and bring value to our customers. The great enhancement plan will benefit our customers today and in the future with fewer outages, faster restoration and rates that will remain among the lowest in the country. I realize some of you may be cautious about Oklahoma regulation. Our goal is for Oklahoma to be viewed as a constructive regulatory jurisdiction. Through a positive working relationship with the commissioners and staff, our practice of smaller, more straightforward filings on a more frequent cadence, we believe, is working. Moving to Arkansas, we reached a unanimous settlement agreement in our effort to build a 5-megawatt solar farm in Arkansas. This will be our first farm in Arkansas and our first voluntary solar tariff offered to customers, and we expect an order from the Arkansas Commission very soon on that one. We also filed our third Formula Rate plan update in Arkansas on October 1. And FRP has been a successful regulatory mechanism that's facilitate investment in Arkansas, most notably the highly effective grid modernization projects that have delivered significant reliability improvements in a very short period of time. On the environmental front, we recently announced our plans for the conversion of 50% of our light-duty vehicles to electric by 2025 and 100% by 2030. We'll also make some additional modifications to our medium and heavy-duty fleet, all of which supports our goal to decrease emissions from the company's fleet vehicles by 60% by 2030. We are proud of our ESG efforts, especially around the environment. We have industry-leading emission reductions, and we'll continue to improve on those reductions. We're not waiting for 2050, but acting now and are already ahead of the curve. We've met our 2019 goal of having our CO2 emissions reduced 40% below 2005 levels. We are well on our way of meeting our goal being 50% by 2030, which is consistent with the Paris Agreement. In addition to those reductions, we've avoided another 3% of CO2 emissions with our very successful domain response in energy efficiency programs. We continue to look for more opportunities to reduce or offset our CO2 footprint and advance technology. OG&E was the first to bring renewables, both wind and solar, in Oklahoma. We've built four solar farms already. We're adding our fifth next year. And we've done all of this and still have lowest rates in the nation. As we continue to recovery, let me point out how I believe our sustainable business model has the company and our service territories poised to grow. So when looking at rates across all classes, S&P Global has reported that OG&E had the lowest rates in the nation in 2018 and '19. And we believe those low rates are the key to economic development in both Oklahoma and Arkansas. In just the third quarter, we've seen 9 new economic development announcements, 7 in Oklahoma, 2 and Fort Smith. That economic development will bring 24 megawatts of new load more than 2,700 new jobs to our service territory just in one quarter. Between 2011 and 2019, we've invested $6.2 billion into our business, and our rates are 7% lower now than they were in 2011. By the time we finish 2020, our O&M per customer expense once again will be lower than it was in 2011. So our sustainable business model of growing revenues by tracking new customers and managing expenses by utilizing technology, becoming more efficient, has produced the lowest rates in the country. This, in turn, attracts more customers and allows for more investments, and the cycle continues. I'd like to talk about the 3 Rs when it comes to how we operate. The first 2 are reliability and resiliency, and they're understood. We'll invest in projects like grid enhancement to improve the reliability and resiliency of our system for our customers, but we will also manage the business in a way that our shareholders can reliably count on us to deliver the results we say we will and being resilient enough to come through even in difficult times. The third R is responsiveness, and that really is just our efforts to respond to the ever-increasing wants and needs of our customers and providing innovative solutions for the benefit of their homes and businesses. Before I go any further, I would like to remind everybody this will be Steve and Todd's last call with us. I do want to extend my sincere gratitude to both Steve and Todd for their many, many contributions to the company. As for Steve's replacement, I will make an announcement on Steve's replacement before year-end. Quickly turning to Enable. I'm very aware of the market sentiment around the midstream sector, the market sentiment with a bias towards pure-play utilities. We're not going to comment or participate in the speculation that is out there. As I've continually said, speculation does not help Enable, and we are focused on maximizing the value of Enable for the OGE shareholder, and that has been consistent, and we'll continue to think that way. We all anxiously await the results of the election on Tuesday. Let me just say this. This is OGE's 30th presidential election since we were incorporated 1902. I'm confident whomever the winner is, we will work effectively with the administration to advance our industry and our business and our company, just like we've done in the 29 elections before this one. So as we look to next year, we have several key items to execute on. In addition to grid enhancement, we'll complete the new Arkansas solar farm and continue to look for additional opportunities. New rates will go into effect in April for the Formula Rate plan in Arkansas. We will file our fourth FRP update in October, where we will likely request an extension for an additional 5 years in that program. The FRP has been a productive mechanism that strikes the right balance between enabling investment, improving customer experiences. In closing, I'd just like to be clear that from the initial shock wave of the COVID pandemic earlier this year to what has now essentially become a new normal, employees at OG&E continue to perform at a high level, safely energizing life for customers and our communities. I am encouraged by the ongoing recovery in our economy. We're watching this very closely. And as this develops, we will have plans to update our CapEx and our integrated resource plan outlook on our February call. Our customers will benefit from us having the lowest rates in the nation, and both Oklahoma and Arkansas benefit from the economic development that is facilitated by these rates. As our local economies continue to gain strength, we will focus on executing on our business strategy and building value for our shareholders as we excel and grow with our communities to do this. Thank you. And now I'll turn the call over to Steve.