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Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX)

Q3 2018 Earnings Call· Mon, Oct 29, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Orthofix Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following managements prepared remarks, we will have a question-and-answer session, and instructions will be given at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today’s conference is being recorded for replay purposes. It is now my pleasure to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Mark Quick, Director of Business Development and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Mark Quick

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the Orthofix third quarter 2018 earnings call. Joining me on the call today are President and Chief Executive Officer, Brad Mason; and Chief Financial Officer, Doug Rice. I’ll start with our Safe Harbor statements, and then pass it over to Brad. During this call, we’ll be making forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. All statements other than those of historical fact are forward-looking statements, including any earnings guidance we provide and any statements about our plans, beliefs, strategies, expectations, goals or objectives. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements as there’s no assurance that the matters contained in such statements will occur. The forward-looking statements we make on today’s call are based on our beliefs and expectations as of today, October 29, 2018. We do not undertake any obligation to revise or update such forward-looking statements. Some factors that could cause actual results to be materially different from the forward-looking statements made by us on the call include the risks disclosed under the heading Risk Factors in our Form 10-K for the year-ended December 31, 2017, as well as additional SEC filings we make in the future. If you need copies of these documents, please contact my office at Orthofix in Lewisville, Texas. In addition, on today’s call, we’ll refer to various non-GAAP financial measures. We believe that in order to properly understand our short-term and long-term financial trends, investors may wish to review these matters as a supplement to financial measures determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Please refer to today's press release announcing our second quarter 2018 results for reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to our U.S. GAAP financial results. At this point, I'll turn the call over to Brad.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Thanks, Mark and good afternoon, everyone. I'll start by giving you a summary of our third quarter 2018 performance, after which Doug will discuss the financial results that we reported today. I will then follow up with our outlook for the remainder of 2018, before taking questions. In the quarter we not only had solid top and adjusted bottom line performance, but also made great strides in aligning our Orthofix Spine businesses. Starting with the top line, we reported net sales of $111.7 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 6.1% as reported and 6.6% in constant currency. As announced in June, we are aligning our business unit structure around two pillars, spine and extremities. Within Orthofix Spine, there are three reporting segments. The first is bone growth therapies, formerly called BioStim. This segment consists of spinal fusion therapy, which includes our Spinal Stim and Cervical Stim products and bone healing therapy, which is our Physio Stim product. The second segment is Spinal Implants, which includes Spine Fixation our legacy fusion implant products and spine motion preservation, the spinal kinetics M6 disc. The third segment is Biologics, which includes our various biologics tissue forms. This alignment of our spine product lines under a single Orthofix spine organization is intended to drive both organic and inorganic growth. The platform of market leading differentiated technologies coupled with both an improved product development pipeline and continued business development execution puts Orthofix Spine in a position for accelerating and sustainable growth. In total the Orthofix Spine including bone growth therapy, Spinal Implants, Biologics and Spinal Kinetics, produced $84.8 million in reported sales in the third quarter, which was a 6.3% increase over prior year. Now beginning with the bone growth therapies reporting segment, we reported net sales that grew 8.2% in Q3 over prior year.…

Doug Rice

Analyst

Thanks, Brad and good afternoon, everyone. Our financial results had many highlights this quarter including strong top-line growth, margin expansion within our organic business, a lower effective tax rate and increased cash flow. I'll start by providing some additional details into our net sales and earnings results and then discuss some of our other financial measures. As Brad noted, total net sales in the quarter were $111.7 million, up 6.1% on a reported basis and 6.6% on a constant currency basis when compared to the third quarter of 2017. When adjusting for Spinal Kinetics sales and MTF Biologics' contractual fee change, net sales were up 5% over prior year in constant currency. The growth in the quarter was primarily driven by our Bone Growth Therapies and Extremities businesses with stabilization in Biologics. Under the new ASC-606 revenue recognition standard that we were required to adopt at the beginning of 2018, we generally recognize revenue at the time of invoice and no longer on receipt of cash for certain of our OUS net sales to stocking distributors. As I previously mentioned, the differences between the current and historical methods may vary on a quarterly basis but overtime, we believe that the differences will not be significant. When comparing our Q3, 2018 growth to the prior year period using the newly adopted revenue recognition methodology for both periods, our constant currency growth rate was 6%. Please refer to today's earnings release and the footnote in the 10-Q for further analysis. Gross margin in the third quarter of 2018 was 78.5% compared to 77.5% in the prior year period. The 100 basis points increase was driven by continued improvement in our inventory management initiatives and cost savings resulting from our U.S. restructuring in late 2017. These improvements more than offset the non-cash purchase…

Brad Mason

Analyst

Thanks, Doug. I'll now finish my prepared remarks with our updated guidance. For the full year, the company is narrowing its expectations for reported net sales from $450 million to $456 million to $451 million to $455 million, which represents a year-over-year increase of 4.0% to 4.9%. This guidance is based on current foreign exchange rates and includes the impact of the MTF split change in the Spinal Kinetics acquisition. For the fourth quarter, we expect reported net sales to be in the range of $119 million to $123 million. At the midpoint of this range, this represents 3.5% reported and 4.1% constant currency growth. When applying this year's new revenue accounting standard to prior year period, year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter is expected to be 8.6% reported and 9.6% in constant currency and for the full year 5.5% reported and 5.8% in constant currency. Please refer to the table in the earnings release for a reconciliation. Regarding the full year growth contribution from each reporting segment, we continue to expect Bone Growth Therapy business to grow in the 4% to 5% range. We now expect Spinal Implants growth including Spinal Kinetics to be in the range of 10% to 12%, which reflects our lower expectations for international Spinal Implant sales and some disruption in the U.S. business due to the realignment. Including the impact of Spinal Kinetics, we now expect to achieve adjusted EBITDA in the range of $85.8 million to $87 million for the full year 2018, and adjusted earnings per share to increase to $1.70 to $1.75 using weighted average shares of 18.9 million and a non-GAAP long term tax rate of 35% for the first half of the year and 29% for the second half. For the fourth quarter, we expect adjusted EPS to be in the range of $0.46 to $0.51. With that operator, we're now ready to open up the lines for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Bruce Nudell of SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi, this is [indiscernible] on the line for Bruce Nudell. Thank you for taking my question. Can you just quickly comment on the prospects for the rebound in biologics and international spine?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Sure. Sorry, I didn't catch the name.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Stan.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Hey, Stan this is Brad.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi, Brad.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Hi. So in terms of Biologics, we had a nice quarter with 4.6% growth in volume, we expect the -- obviously the MTF split change will come off -- that comp will come off in March of this next year and should get back to some normal sorts of growth rates. But I think that the big opportunity in the Biologics business is really the realignment of our overall Spine businesses. In our Biologics business we have many, many distributors out there that are smaller in nature. I think once we can attract larger more influential distributors in addition to who we have out there today by -- through the attraction of our M6 disc and our Bone Growth Therapies products and those sorts of things I think we will see a nice uptick in the Biologics business over time. So I think may be starting mid next year, we should start to see that sort of impact. I've mentioned that before and we still have that same expectation. In regards to the OUS Spinal Implants business, that's now under new sales leadership, it's under Tom Afzal, who was the president of Spinal Kinetics business and all of their businesses currently OUS, he has a great network setup worldwide, particularly in Germany where they're a very large player and other places around the world. So we're doing some hiring there and I would give that another couple quarters before we see that start to tick up and that would be my expectation.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. And my next question, can you just comment on the impact or if any on the increased focus on the larger competitors on closed robotic spinal systems to garner increased pull through of their entire product lines? Is there any associate impact on your markets?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Not at this point Stan that we're seeing. I mean, overall, robotics is still less than 15% of the procedures out there. We do recognize that that is going to be a significant part of the future. And I know the estimate show in the next three years at 15% could go to 30%. So as we think about our business development opportunities that's certainly one of the areas where we will focus and making sure that we don't get left behind in whole wave of navigation and robotics.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Great, thank you for taking my questions.

Brad Mason

Analyst

You bet, Stan.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Raj Denhoy of Jefferies. Your line is now open.

Anthony Petrone

Analyst

Thanks. This is Anthony for Raj. How you guys doing?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Good Anthony, how are you?

Anthony Petrone

Analyst

Doing well. So, couple start on the top-line, just high level. I'm just wondering, if we reconcile for ASC-606, our math is telling us just from the numbers in the queue that it would be around 4%. I'm just wondering if that's the correct way to look at it. And then the top-line one also would be what was the contribution from Spinal Kinetics in the quarter in dollars if you have that? Thanks. And I have a couple ups.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Sure. Spinal Kinetics in the quarter with $2.9 million and in terms of -- we have a little bit different numbers in terms of 606. But Doug can speak to that.

Doug Rice

Analyst

Yes. We've got a lot of different things going on with revenue this year with Biologics (inaudible) the rev rec change in the Spinal Kinetics. But on a new-to-new basis, which we covered, our reporting growth would have been 5.5%. And on a new-to-new basis, which we think is more appropriate at 6% for the quarter constant currency. Thank you.

Anthony Petrone

Analyst

All right. With a follow-up on that as well. But maybe a couple of follow ups, just one would be in Extremities obviously the rebound there. I'm just wondering, Brad, you mentioned the catch up order. So should we interpret it that the entire $1.4 million was sort of recognized in the quarter and that some of that carry into the fourth quarter? And then also does that include and I'm not sure if it does, but the launch of RIVAL foot and ankle I think that's still to come?

Brad Mason

Analyst

So it was not quite the full $1.4 million, but it was pretty close to it for the quarter. Where I expect to see whatever was left to come through in Q4, but say 90% of it came through in Q3. Anthony, and then, it does not include anything for RIVAL, we don't anticipate to be relaunched until probably mid-next year at this point.

Anthony Petrone

Analyst

Okay. And then, the last one for me would just be maybe high level comments as we think about margins next year maybe directionally, what do you think in terms of overall margins from the realignment Bone Growth Spinal Biologics in 2019? Will it take longer than next year to realize? Do you expect an impact at the adjusted EBITDA line? And then maybe also just Spinal Kinetics, how will that be margin accretive as well in 2019? Thanks.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Sure, Anthony. So the realignment of the -- or the alignment of the businesses that we're doing in Spine is really not about cost savings. I think ultimately as we get into 2020 probably we will see some there, it would be my expectations. That's really about driving top-line more than anything else. So we do have -- I have committed to 100 basis points per year for three years or sooner on our organic business. And I'm happy to say that on our organic business year-to-date, we're at -- when we adjust out stock-based comp and other adjustments out of EBITDA we’re up 192 basis points. We’ve made very, very good progress I expect that to continue into 2019. Not sure we'll get all the way to the 300, but hopefully we will on our organic business. Now the Spinal Kinetics business will be a little bit dilutive to that. And because of the spending that we're going to do to launch the product as well as the R&D spending to get the product approved from the regulatory agencies. So I hope that answers and if not I'm happy to follow up further.

Anthony Petrone

Analyst

That's helpful. Thank you.

Brad Mason

Analyst

You bet. Thanks for calling.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeffrey Cohen of Ladenburg Thalmann. Your line is now open.

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

Hey, Brad and Doug, how are you?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Good, Jeff. How about yourself?

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

Just fine. So could you give us a little further color on the succession and the softness? More specifically, could you give us a little deeper color as far as specific geographies? Where they were light kind of some of the ancillary commentary from the field as far as turnaround both specifically on geographies outside U.S. as well as U.S.?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Sure. So outside the U.S. is where the majority of our shortfall was in the quarter. It was down 19% over prior year, where our U.S. business was pretty close to flat, but down about 1.5 points. But outside the U.S., it really is in -- the shortfall was in Germany and Australia, couple of places that we know the issues. Germany is a place where we expect to kind of realign our business there overall, not just in our Spine products, but also in Extremities. And Tom Afzal who's the General Manager of Spinal Kinetics for us was the CEO there. He has very strong connections in Germany and we're hopeful that he can have a pretty significant impact there as well as Australia and other territories as well. So I would give that a few more quarters before we -- we'll give him a little bit of time to ramp up and work as magic. And then in the U.S., it was pretty broad based a little shortfall to what we would have normally expected for the quarter. Anytime you make leadership changes Ray Fujikawa and Bob Goodwin were both Presidents, one of Spine Fixation and one of Biologics. They're transitioning out of the company. That makes distributors sales agents a little bit nervous. But as we bring everything together under Brad Niemann name and with the talent that he has on his team in both leading the sales, although we're keeping the same sales management in each of these businesses, or each of these product lines. But also on the marketing side and R&D and other areas, we think that they will pretty quickly see the benefit of all of that and realize the benefit of that. And we'll recover in the U.S. business in the next few quarters as well. So it would be my expectation.

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

Okay, got it. And Doug has clarified the $4.4 million impairment piece out of the $5.2 million from Bone Biologics. You expect a couple of hundred thousand follow on for Q4. And is there anything else expected in the fourth quarter?

Doug Rice

Analyst

No other changes expected at this time. We're still very hopeful about the technologies that the company is developing this $200,000 is our net remaining exposure that will remain on our books until we give further information.

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

Okay. And another quick one on taxes for modeling purposes for the balance of this year as well as for 2019 you said use 35% for the front half of 2019 and 29% for the back half, is that correct?

Doug Rice

Analyst

Just for 2018 we use 35% in the first half of the year and effective July 1 in the third quarter we lowered it to 29%. So short of any changes that's the rate that we're using to adjust our long-term rate.

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

Okay. And you said that was for 2018 or 2019?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Well, first half of 2018 was different at 35% and we lowered it this quarter for Q3 to 29% and that will stay in place until we get -- until we reevaluate. So I would expect that rate to stay at or near that level in the 2019.

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

Okay, perfect. And one more if I may. You talked about the guidance on percentage increase for Spinal Implants. I think you said 10% to 12% were you indicating that for the fourth quarter or for the full year 2018?

Brad Mason

Analyst

That was for the full year 2018.

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

10% to 12% for the full year.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Right. And I think I missed something in my prepared remarks here too just to let you know, Jeff, we continue to expect Biologic sales to decrease in the mid-single-digits for the full year primarily due to the MTF fee reduction. And we now expect Orthopedics Extremities sales to grow in the mid-single-digits for the full year.

Jeffrey Cohen

Analyst

Okay, perfect. That does it for me. Thanks guys.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Thanks, Jeff.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ryan Zimmerman of BTIG. Your line is now open.

Ryan Zimmerman

Analyst

Thanks for taking the question. So, a lot of questions have been asked, but you know I just want to check how are you guys thinking about the commercial launch of the M6 disc in the midst of all these changes in the Spine segment? I mean, how do we know that all the issues will be resolved and the launch of the M6 won't be delayed in Spine because of what you're going through right now with the leadership changes?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Well there -- hey Ryan, it's Brad. They're unrelated. So the team that has done all the work on the M6 disc in the U.S. is at Spinal Kinetics and still very actively engaged, there's no crossover, no risk that any kind of changes to our overall leadership affects that at all. Certainly we don't know what to expect totally from the FDA, so our best guess is still July of next year. We've got a submission to make here in the very near future. And once we make that submission they’ll have some time to respond to that and then depending on the response we go from there. So that's the normal process that everybody goes through and -- but there's nothing in the market and there's nothing that's with the FDA nothing that’s with our realignment that will affect that in any way at all.

Ryan Zimmerman

Analyst

Okay. Thank you for taking the questions, guys. That’s it for me.

Brad Mason

Analyst

You bet, Ryan. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jim Sidoti of Sidoti and Company. Your line is now open.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Good afternoon. Can you hear me?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Sure can, Jim.

Doug Rice

Analyst

Hey, Jim.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Great. So I understand the disruption outside the U.S. in the Spinal -- for the Spinal distribution with the changes made there. Can you remind me what the disruptions were in the U.S. for the Spinal distribution?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Yes, just a just a change in leadership of that business remembering that the vast majority of our independent reps are out there are not exclusive to us. So as they see change they can tend to get nervous and back off a little bit and maybe sell some of their other lines a little bit more aggressively than ours. Once they -- so it's a little bit of an engagement issue. Once they see the new structure, the people taking hold and things going well and giving them more opportunities than that flips pretty quickly and we re-engage. And again this isn’t huge numbers we're talking about hundreds of thousands of dollars not millions of dollars here. So as you -- as we think about this I want to keep it in perspective. So that we expect we're seeing good signs in October and hopefully that will continue. But I would give it another couple of quarters to kind of resolve itself as the new alignment takes hold.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Okay. And then my other question was the charge for strategic investments in the quarter, is that related to new acquisitions or is that related to the integration of Spinal Kinetics?

Brad Mason

Analyst

Yes. Yes. It’s both. Yes, it's a combination.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Got it. All right, thank you.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Great, thanks Jim.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen this concludes today's question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Brad Mason, Chief Executive Officer for any closing remarks.

Brad Mason

Analyst

Thank you operator and thank you all for joining us on the call today. I look forward to speaking to you again soon and have a nice evening.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes today's program you may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.