Jeff Glajch
Analyst · Loop Capital. Please go ahead
Thank you, Corning. On Slide 5, you can see the consolidated results in the first quarter. The contractual price improvements in rubber and mix improvements and specialty far outweighed the lower volume, most of which occurred in the specialty business. The EBITDA increase of $18 million, and adjusted EPS increase of 30% to $0.74 are a result of the aforementioned improvements in pricing and mix. Please note that all key metrics in the first quarter showed solid sequential increases. One thing I would add, regarding the first quarter results, is that there were some timing impacts and smaller non-repeating items which benefited the quarter. This is one reason why we are not changing our guidance for the year. On Slide 6, the declining Q1 volume versus last year was expected and is primarily in our specialty business. However, we continue to see strong gross profit per ton gains in both businesses, this helped us achieve the record adjusted EBITDA. These margin gains are from contractual base price improvement in rubber, mix in specialty, as well as the timing and non-repeating items I noted earlier. On Slide 7, looking at specialty in Q1, volumes decreased, but were up 14% sequentially, as demand held up well despite the overall economic conditions. Adjusted EBITDA increased 50% sequentially while decreasing 12% year-on-year. Note the gross profit per ton continues to be strong and growing, both in the quarter and the trailing 12 months and is now above $900. Finally, we saw gains across all key metrics on a sequential basis. Slide 8 shows the key factors affecting adjusted EBITDA for the specialty business compared with last year. As noted earlier, the volume reduction was significant. However, that volume reduction was nearly offset by improved pricing and mix. You can achieve this when you don't try to chase volume in a soft market. Slide 9 looks at the rubber business with improvements to all metrics on a year-over-year basis, except for a modest volume decrease. Also it is important to note here, that all financial metrics in rubber including volume were up substantially. Gross profit per ton, was up from $321 to $467 in the quarter. I believe a good ongoing comparison is the 2022 full year average of $336. You should expect GP per ton to be in the mid-400s throughout 2023. We believe approximately $100 of this gain was due to pricing. This improvement reflects the 2022 pricing cycle, which was driven by our requirements to achieve a market return on capital including our air emissions control related investments. We continue to believe that we and our shareholders deserve to achieve a market return on those investments. Higher pricing enables plant reliability investments and supports our customers. We are confident with the progress we have made in rubber pricing is sustainable due to the continuing trend toward localization or deglobalization, as well as the customer -- the significant customer investments in onshoring. Furthermore, there are ongoing regional supply demand imbalances in the robber markets in both North America and EMEA. Slide 10, shows the key factors adjusting, -- affecting adjusting -- adjusted EBITDA for the robber business. Strong base price, as discussed earlier, is a key -- is clearly the key driver. Before I pass, the call back to Corning I'd like to provide an update on our share buyback and debt level. With strong cash flow in Q1, we were able to fund $29 million in share buybacks in the quarter. As of the end of the quarter, we have completed approximately two thirds of our $50 million share buyback program at an average price of $22 per share. We also reduced our debt by $36 million to $822 million. Our debt-to-EBITDA ratio now stands at 2.49. We expect this ratio will continue to decrease across 2023, with our improved EBITDA the levels and likely further debt reduction. I would expect we will end the year in the middle of the 2 the 2.5 range. As announced earlier this week, we achieved the emission targets tied to short term loans. And with a 10-basis point decrease in interest rate for those loans, we expect to save approximately $650,000 over the next 12 months. The strong cash flow was driven by earnings, but also by improved payment terms. We believe the improved terms contributed $40 million of cash in Q1. This step change will stay with us going forward and I expect some additional benefit in Q2. We now expect to complete the current buyback in the next couple of weeks, and we'll initiate the new buyback afterwards. We will pace the new buyback slower and prioritize growth and profit enhancing projects first, and as long as we stay in or near our debt rage, we will opportunistically repurchase shares with a portion of our free cash flow. I will turn the call back Corning to discuss our 2023 guidance for the rest of the year.