Charles Herlinger
Analyst · Kevin Hocevar with Northcoast Research. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Jack. Good morning, everyone. Turning to slide nine and our consolidated fourth quarter results. Our overall volumes decreased by 2.8% or 7.7 thousand metric tons from the prior year’s quarter to 272.9 thousand tons with the major components of this decline attributable as they have been throughout much of the year to the closure of our Ambès, France rubber facility, capacity reduction in the U.S. and the ongoing conversion of capacity in South Korea. Revenues nonetheless increased by 4.4% to €288.5 million in the quarter compared to €276.3 million last year, largely due to the pass-through of higher feedstock costs. Our overall contribution margin declined in the fourth quarter, falling 4.1% to €112.9 million versus €117.7 million in the prior year’s period. As the top waterfall chart on the right hand side of the slide shows, this drop in contribution margin was driven by the change in volume, as well as the impact from sales mix, foreign exchange effects and feedstock mix. Efficiency gains, face price and other items providing a partial offset. Referring to the second waterfall chart on the right hand side, the contribution margin declined in the quarter was more than offset by positive foreign exchange impact on our fixed costs and by SG&A costs savings. As a result, adjusted EBITDA increased by 0.7% to €56 million. Our adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.4% declined by 70 basis points versus last year's fourth quarter in large part due to the higher revenue base. The waterfall chart on the bottom right hand side of this slide analyzes the change in our operational results of EBIT, which decreased from €36.7 million to €26 million in the fourth quarter of 2017 compared to the fourth quarter of 2016, as a result of the decline in the contribution margin, an increase in depreciation associated with the rubber footprint restructuring in Korea, and the impact of hurricane Harvey, as well as rubber footprint restructuring expenditures and other one-time items, offset by fixed cost reductions and favorable foreign exchange effects associated with our fixed cost base. The waterfall chart on the bottom left hand side of this slide analyzes net income development, which showed a double-digit gain to €21.1 million versus €18.6 million in the prior year's quarter. The bigger swing factors here being, a one-time income tax benefit as a result of U.S. tax reform, offset by the increase in depreciation as just referred. Now turning to slide 10, which shows our full year cash flow dynamics and our key balance sheet metrics as of December 31, 2017. For all of 2017, we generated €151.8 million in cash from operations, a figure with which we are satisfied, especially considering the upward movement in oil prices, mainly during the second half of the year, which impact the carrying value of our working capital. Our uses of cash over the same period, which include capital expenditures, interest payments, required debt repayments and dividends, totaled €145.9. As a result, our cash position prior to voluntary debt repayments increased by €5.9 million in 2017. Looking at our balance sheet as of December 13, 2017. The Company had cash and cash equivalents of €60.3 million compared to €73.9 million on December 31, 2016. The Company's non-current indebtedness as of the fourth quarter end was €567.6 million with net debt of €520.7 million, taking current Term Loan B and local debt into account, which represents a leverage ratio of 2.29 times, LTM adjusted EBITDA, down from 2.5 times versus the prior year's level and a new low for Orion as a public company. Slide 11 presents our initial 2018 guidance and further cash flow detail regarding base business requirements and capital allocation. We currently expect adjusted EBITDA for 2018 to be in the range of €230 million and €250 million based on the assumptions that volume growth will be in line with current GDP expectations, and as oil prices exchange rates and feedstock impacts will be at levels experienced late during the fourth quarter of 2017. Since we expect to begin reporting our results in U.S. dollars rather than euros with the first quarter 2018 results and based on the same set of assumptions, we are guiding to full year adjusted EBITDA between $270 million and $300 million. With the performance in 2017 as a backdrop and with the positive expectations we have in the future development of the business, it is appropriate to address the company’s thoughts on capital allocation. Mainly we expect our dividend levels to be oriented towards increases in net income, while we confirm our intention to remain in a net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio in the range of 2.0 to 2.5 times based on the current pipeline of investment opportunities. Furthermore, it is intended to implement a program to buyback upto $20 million of Orion shares over the coming year as opportunities arise to do so. We expect base capital expenditures to be approximately €80 million, including completion of the Korean capacity transfer but before EPA related CapEx. We expect that the cash proceeds derived from the sale of our plant site in Seoul, Korea will more than offset all the capital expenditures and other costs associated with this consolidation project. As for the remainder of our guidance metrics, we expect depreciation and amortization to be approximately €80 million. Our tax rate expectation for 2018 on pretax income is at a rate of 32% to 33%. As far as our stated intent to convert our financial statements from IFRS to U.S. GAAP, we expect currently this to take place during the second half of 2018, but to switch to U.S. dollar reporting and to U.S. GAAP accounting are important milestones for us to be eligible for inclusion in the relevant U.S. equity indecies, and thus open ownership of Orion stock to the increasingly significant demand from index driven investors. I will now turn the call back to Jack, who will wrap up our prepared remarks before we head to Q&A.