Charles Herlinger
Analyst · Barclays. Please proceed with your question
Yes, Hi, Mike, it’s Charles. Yes, you’re obviously right. It was a very good year, 2016. And we think it's a very good springboard for our further progression in 2017, I'll make that clear up front. I think we are really guiding with a range that is consistent, including where it starts, with what we did last year I mean we haven’t forgotten the lessons learned in terms of delivering guidance. But just in terms of broad numbers, you take where we are for 2016, you factor in the fact that we expect through the growth that you just mentioned in specialty and rubber – these round numbers now – about €10 million of EBITDA through the regular development of the business. We're going to have the benefit of Ambès, the French plant, fixed costs being out of the system, as we said, for the whole year starting in 2017, and we're going to get some improvement on efficiencies and so on and so forth, which is going to get us to the top of the guidance. And a bit beyond, potentially. Against that, Mike, as we mentioned during 2016, we've got some feedstock cost increases in Asia, variety of reasons and that will serve to pull that projection, as it were, down towards the middle range of the guidance. But as I said, it's a combination of that. We like to start broad; we narrow the guidance as the year progresses, as we have shown, for example, in 2016. And we look very confidently into the development of the business in the coming year.