Earnings Labs

Owens Corning (OC)

Q2 2021 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 28, 2021

$123.76

-1.40%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Owens Corning Q2 2021 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note today’s event is being recorded. I now would like to turn the conference over to Amber Wohlfarth. Ms. Wohlfarth, please go ahead.

Amber Wohlfarth

Analyst

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the time to join us for today’s conference call and review of our business results for the second quarter 2021. Joining us today are Brian Chambers, Owens Corning’s Chair and Chief Executive Officer; and Ken Parks, our Chief Financial Officer. Following our presentation this morning, we will open this one-hour call to your questions. In order to accommodate as many call participants as possible, please limit yourselves to one question only. Earlier this morning, we issued a news release and filed a 10-Q that detailed our financial results for the second quarter 2021. For the purposes of our discussion today, we have prepared presentation slides that summarize our performance and results and we’ll refer to these slides during this call. You can access the earnings press release, Form 10-Q and the presentation slides at our website, owenscorning.com. Refer to the Investors link under the Corporate section of our homepage. A transcript and recording of this call and the supporting slides will be available on our website for future reference. Please reference Slide 2 before we begin, where we offer a couple of reminders. First, today’s remarks will include forward-looking statements based on our current forecasts and estimates of future events. These statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially. We undertake no obligation to update these statements beyond what is required under applicable securities laws. Please refer to the cautionary statements and the risk factors identified in our SEC filings for a more detailed explanation of the inherent risks and uncertainties affecting such forward-looking statements. Second, the presentation slides and today’s remarks contain non-GAAP financial measures. Explanations and reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures may be found in the text and financial tables of our earnings press release and presentation, both of which are available on owenscorning.com. Adjusted EBIT is our primary measure of period-over-period comparison and we believe it is a meaningful measure for investors to compare our results. Consistent with our historical practice, we’ve excluded certain items that we believe are not representative of our ongoing operations when calculating adjusted EBIT and adjusted earnings. We adjust our effective tax rate to remove the effect of quarter-to-quarter fluctuations, which have the potential to be significant in arriving at adjusted earnings and adjusted earnings per share. We also use free cash flow and free cash flow conversion of adjusted earnings as measures helpful to investors to evaluate the company’s ability to generate cash and utilize that cash to pursue opportunities to enhance shareholder value. The tables in today’s news release and the Form 10-Q include more detailed financial information. For those of you following along with our slide presentation, we will begin on Slide 4. And now, opening remarks from our Chair and CEO, Brian Chambers. Brian?

Brian Chambers

Analyst

Thanks, Amber. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for today's call. I hope all of you are staying healthy and safe. Owens Corning posted record second quarter results today, contributing to an outstanding first half of 2021. During the quarter, we continued to see broad strength across many of our end markets, but our results are not only being driven by favorable market conditions. As Ken and I will discuss today, our commercial and operational execution continues to accelerate our performance and create new opportunities for growth. This puts us in a great position to consistently generate strong earnings and cash flow and continue to deliver greater value to our customers and shareholders over the long-term. During our call this morning, I'll start with an overview of our second quarter results before turning it over to Ken, who will provide additional details on our financial performance. I'll then come back to talk about our business outlook for the third quarter. As always, I will begin my review with safety. During the second quarter, we maintained a very safe environment with an RIR of 0.51, a significant improvement compared with the second quarter last year. Nearly two-thirds of our facilities have remained injury-free this year and over half have done so for more than a year. And while we are seeing an increased risk associated with the Delta variant, we continue to operate all of our facilities with a strong focus on working together to keep each other, our customers and our suppliers healthy and safe. Financially, we delivered record second quarter revenue of $2.2 billion, an increase of 38% compared with the same period last year, up 35% on a constant currency basis. And adjusted EBIT of $408 million, which is a record for any quarter historically.…

Ken Parks

Analyst

Thanks, Brian, and good morning, everyone. As Brian commented, Owens Corning had an outstanding second quarter, delivering record quarterly results. Commercial execution led to top line growth of 17% sequentially and 38% year-over-year. Commercial execution, coupled with strong operating performance led to gross margin expansion of over 400 basis points from Q1 and more than 600 basis points from the same period one year ago. Overall, in the second quarter, we generated record quarterly adjusted EBIT along with adjusted EBIT margins of 18%. The stronger earnings, combined with a continued focus on working capital management and capital investments resulted in healthy free cash flow generation in the quarter. While demand conditions remain strong across the markets we serve, our ongoing execution across the business was fundamental to driving this performance. As we talked about in the Q1 call, we're managing an increasingly inflationary environment, primarily relating to asphalt and other petroleum-based materials, along with transportation costs. Overall, positive price realization more than offset the inflation headwind in the quarter. Maintaining this positive balance remains a focus as we move through this inflationary environment. Now, turning to Slide 5, we can take a closer look at our results. For the second quarter, we reported consolidated net sales of $2.2 billion, up 38% over 2020 and with double-digit revenue growth in all three segments, reflecting the robust U.S. residential housing market and the broadly stronger commercial and industrial markets. Adjusted EBIT for the second quarter of 2021 reached $408 million, up $241 million compared to the prior year and was highlighted by EBIT margin improvement sequentially across all three segments. Adjusted earnings for the second quarter were $274 million or $2.60 per diluted share compared to $99 million or $0.91 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2020. Depreciation and amortization…

Brian Chambers

Analyst

Thank you, Ken. During the second quarter, we continue to position ourselves to capitalize on near-term market opportunities while investing in longer-term growth driven by key secular trends. As we move into the second half of the year, we expect U.S. residential repair and remodeling and new construction end markets to remain robust and our global commercial and industrial end markets to continue to strengthen. In terms of inflation, we expect material and transportation cost increases we faced in the first half of the year to continue in a more significant way in the second half. And we will continue to carefully monitor and manage the regional impacts of COVID on our businesses. Throughout the first half, the execution of our key operating priorities has generated strong financial results, and we expect this to continue in Q3, delivering another quarter of year-over-year revenue and earnings growth. Now consistent with prior calls, I'll provide a more detailed business specific outlook for the third quarter. Starting with Insulation. We continue to see strong demand in our North American residential fiberglass insulation business and anticipate our volumes to be up approximately 10% versus prior year. We expect pricing to continue to improve during the quarter, with realization of the increase that went into effect at the end of June. In our technical and other building insulation businesses, volumes should also grow approximately 10%, with increasing demand for our products in global building and construction applications. Pricing should also continue to improve through some additional realization from prior increases. In terms of inflation, we expect material and transportation cost increases in the third quarter to be higher than what we experienced in Q2 but anticipate that additional price realization will result in a positive price/cost mix in the quarter. Additionally, we expect our fixed…

Amber Wohlfarth

Analyst

Thank you, Brian. We are now ready to begin the Q&A session.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from Matthew Bouley with Barclays.

Matthew Bouley

Analyst

I'll start with a question on the North American fiberglass volume outlook. I think you just guided to 10% growth in Q3. Obviously, this is in light of what you're seeing with homebuilders and sort of restricting sales pace in a lot of different places. And I'm just curious how you're embedding some of that into your volume outlook or perhaps some of the effect beyond Q3 into Q4? Just what are you kind of hearing and expecting around U.S. new construction. Thank you.

Brian Chambers

Analyst

Good morning. Thanks for the question. I think overall, I mean, we expect new construction to continue at a solid pace through the back half of this year. And as we've talked about on previous calls, I mean I think housing and particularly new construction housing in the U.S. market has been underbuilt for several years. So, we would expect that we're going to continue to operate in this kind of range of 1.5 million to 1.6 million housing starts. We think that, that is very sustainable given demographic trends. So, we have seen also the same kind of reports on builders and when we talk to our contracting customers. As I've talked about previously, I think part of the constraint on building supply is broader than just raw materials or material - building material inputs. They're around land availability and development, around construction labor. So, I do think there are some headwinds to growth in housing, much above these rates unless some of those kind of fundamental issues get addressed in terms of land development and labor availability. I do think that material suppliers, like ourselves and others will get caught up in terms of our supply chain to be able to service higher growth. But I do think there's going to be some of those headwinds that may impact starts moving a lot higher than where they are today. But I would emphasize that today's pace of housing is at a very robust pace, solid pace. And we think that gives a great environment for our business to continue to grow in. So, we're going to continue to work hard to service our existing customers. We brought on some additional capacity through this year to produce more. Overall, we're going to produce significantly more this year than last year in terms of our volume between capacity adds and also the additional operating time, some we lost last year with some of the COVID impact. And we are positioning ourselves to produce more installation next year to service our customers and growth that we're seeing in the market. So, we think overall in our network, we're very well positioned and we think housing is going to continue to be a good tailwind for us going forward.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from Kathryn Thompson with Thompson Research.

Kathryn Thompson

Analyst · Thompson Research.

It really ties into broadly the roofing demand that touches both on the Composite side and your Roofing shingle side. And one of the feedback that we're getting in the field is given high demand and just keeping up with demand. Plants in general have to reduce the number of SKUs they manufacture in order to kind of keep up demand. I wanted to get your thoughts on that, but also to tying in the Composites with underlayment your ability since capacity utilization is high on the Composite side, has that also been a bottleneck in order to meet demand?

Brian Chambers

Analyst · Thompson Research.

Yes. Thanks, Kathryn. I think we've continued to see and hear about material challenges in our Roofing business. I mean, asphalt was a very supply constrained in the first part of the year with low refinery utilization rates. We've seen that improve and we've seen other materials inflate quite a bit. Part of that is some of the capacity constraints we're working through. And then as you're saying, certainly glass mat in terms of Composite materials has also been a bottleneck. So we are fortunate in that we are vertically integrated and produce our own glass fibers and glass mat. So that does give us a capability in terms of supply as well as design that we've talked about in the past that we have with our internal production. But our Composite assets, our non-woven assets, we are running at full capacity. It's why we've announced a plant expansion in our Fort Smith facility to come on stream in early 2023 to be able to bring on more net capacity to service both the roofing market and our specialty non-wovens that services gypsum and polyiso and other materials. So I think we are working through a very tight supply environment through this year, and we think that's going to continue to also be an impact in the overall roofing industry. And that's, I think, going to be a bit of a governor on the amount of industry capacity that can be produced. I think we saw that materialize in Q3 or Q2 and in our guide to Q3, we think that the industry is probably running pretty full out for what can be produced relative to the raw material inputs available. So I think overall, again, we see benefits of a vertical integration strategy. We think that's going to continue to serve us well going forward. We do have capacity that we will be adding to the network to address some of the growth in these areas that we see. So we think we're, again, well-positioned near-term and longer term in terms of our production capacity.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from Mike Dahl with RBC Capital Markets.

Mike Dahl

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

I had a two-part question on just the capacity decisions around Santa Clara and Eloy. Correct me if I'm mistaken, but I think the Eloy plant has been mothballed since 2010. So just wondering if you could take us through the decision and the rationale in terms of why investing in that plant made more sense than modernizing Santa Clara? And also second part, just anything that we should be thinking about in terms of whether it's CapEx or start-up costs associated with that facility as it comes back online. And also, sorry to sneak one last in. But in the answer around the rationale, if you could give us any sense of just with new lower-cost capacity, what that relative margin profile or return profile is likely to look like with Eloy versus Santa Clara? Thanks.

Brian Chambers

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Thanks, Mike. We'll try to hit all one. Let me start just broadly with the Santa Clara decision. I mean, our Insulation business delivered another great quarter in Q2 and continues to build momentum. And a key part of that success really has been in our residential business, where we have been focused on building and operating flexible, cost-efficient network that can service our customers through a variety of demand scenarios. And our team has done just phenomenal work in terms of improving productivity, increasing our process efficiencies, increasing our throughput through the entire network. So given all of this work, we thought it was the best time in the right time to monetize a very valuable piece of real estate that sits in the heart of Silicon Valley. And then better leverage some existing assets that we have in the West Coast to service our customers in that region. And so that was the premise for this decision. So we've agreed to sell the property to a real estate developer for $240 million. As part of this transaction, we plan to continue to operate the facility for at least another year and then use that time to build out capacity in our Nephi, Utah facility and then restart our Eloy, Arizona facility. So as you've pointed out, Eloy has been a plant that we have not operated in over a decade. So it's been there and been available to us. But we think that these actions are going to better leverage those two facilities. They are a little more flexible assets that we can turn up and down around very cost effectively. And it also then allows us to balance our capacity in the region to service demand in the region. So we will, through these two facilities have…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from Stephen Kim with Evercore ISI.

Stephen Kim

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Thanks a lot guys. Lots of things we could ask about, but I am going to ask about insulation again. Brian, you made some interesting comments about housing starts and your expectation, 1.5 million in the near term. You talked about land constraints and some other things the builders are talking about which are certainly issues near term. However, over the next couple of years, one would imagine that a lot of those things will dissipate and I guess my question in aggregate is to try to understand net of Santa Clara coming down and the restarting of Eloy potentially expanding capacity within those plants versus what was there before. How much of a net capacity change in terms of sellable product, I guess, volumes, do you anticipate once all is said and done from the plants, the capacity additions as you envision them today, maybe put that in terms of a housing start growth figure or for the industry that you think could be satisfied? And then secondarily and kind of part of that, I know that you all have ongoing productivity initiatives. I think you talked about that one is, on average, you target about 2% productivity improvement a year in insulation. I know that you guys just recently launched the NextGen insulation product. I was curious as to whether you thought that, that had the potential to expand your capacity or add productivity by a greater degree than that 2% that you've historically tried to target. Thanks.

Brian Chambers

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Great. Thanks, Stephen. So broadly, I guess, I'll try to address the first one. I mean, when we look at the capacity puts and takes for how we've been operating in Santa Clara. I think what we're adding in capacity in terms of Nephi and Eloy more than offset anything that we've been running there with the single production line in Santa Clara. So we retain that operating capacity. So I would say net-net of all the moves, all the puts and takes. Our net operating capacity is not going to change by this decision. And when we look at the ads we have made over the last few quarters and both loose fill and Bats & Rolls capacity, as well as the additional production time we are getting this year versus last year. We really believe we've now got installed capacity to service market, I'd say, in the 1.5 to 1.6, which you can interpret as kind of up to about 1.6 million housing starts. We feel like we can service that market with the capacity that we've installed. So I think we're playing a little bit of catch-up as we brought this capacity on. So I think we continue to produce more quarter-over-quarter sequentially as we finish the year. And then we'll start going into 2022 with all this capacity installed in place full year running, and we feel like we're going to be in a good place to service that. No look, we would like to see housing starts move up beyond 1.6. I mean there's - again, we think housing has been underbuilt for the last several years. I think that is a growth trajectory we'd like to see move beyond that. But as I've said and as you were asking about, I do think there…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from Truman Patterson of Wolfe Research.

Truman Patterson

Analyst

Just a quick question on inflation. You all had about $120 million of raw material and transportation inflation for the total company in the second quarter and oil natty gas transportation costs remain pretty elevated. I'm just hoping you can give us an idea how you're thinking about that balance or thinking through that, the balance of the year and when you end up seeing inflationary pressures peak?

Brian Chambers

Analyst

So Good morning, Truman. Thanks for the question. We are, as indicated in our earlier comments kind of anticipating additional inflation above the levels that we saw in the second quarter to flow into the third quarter. I think a big component of that is our outlook and what we're seeing in the area of asphalt. So we expect that to continue to be inflationary, probably a little bit more in the third quarter. We are seeing inflation, as you said, on transportation. That's a piece of this as well as anything really petroleum based on energy costs. When it peaks we do think third quarter is going to be more than Q2. It's hard to call what's going to happen in the fourth quarter specifically. But what I will tell you is that we're pleased with the proactive nature of the businesses and dealing with inflation early on and initiating appropriate price increases to recover it. You called out the $120 million that we saw in the second quarter for inflation overall for Owens Corning. And very specifically, the flip side to that is we actually saw about $144 million, $145 million of positive pricing impacts flow through to the business overall. We fully anticipate that we'll continue to manage through this inflationary environment, and we expect to continue to remain price cost positive as we move through the balance of the year.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from Phil Ng with Jefferies.

Phil Ng

Analyst · Jefferies.

Congrats on a very strong quarter. I wanted to get your take, Brian, on channel inventory and roofing and how long would it take to kind of bring that back to a more normalized level? And when you look out to 2022, appreciating you're lapping pretty strong demand in the last few years, do you see demand holding up pretty steadily here? Or how are you going to think about the longer-term outlook on Roofing demand?

Brian Chambers

Analyst · Jefferies.

Thanks, Phil, and good morning. Overall, I think our Roofing business continues to perform at a very high level, and we continue to see market demand remain very strong. So I think as we do our contractor surveys, we're seeing good leads good backlogs continuing. So that's our best indicator of kind of ongoing strength in terms of contractor work that we think is going to continue here into the third quarter and probably in the back half of the year. In terms of distributor sales, I mean, we continue to hear that out-the-door sales remained very strong in most parts of the country. I think we've seen a little bit of impact in the Midwest region with a little bit lower storm volume. I think we talked about that on the last call that storm demand was tracking a little lighter. We actually saw that continue to track a little lighter than prior year in the second quarter. But overall and fundamental kind of re-roof, repair, remodeling, that continues at a very high rate. So, I think we saw a market shipment close to 44 million square in Q2. We are guiding that we expect to see a similar amount in Q3. So manufacturers, I think, pretty much producing all they can and shipping that. And so far, we've not seen a lot of channel inventory increases on a broad basis. So again, maybe some regional pockets here or there, but I think most distributors are still running with historically very low inventory. So if we continue to see this kind of robustness in outdoor sales, which we expect in Q3, we think that, that's going to continue to keep inventory levels in distribution low as we go into the fourth quarter. And then the fourth quarter will be…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from Yves Bromehead with the Exane BNP Paribas.

Yves Bromehead

Analyst · the Exane BNP Paribas.

I just wanted to know if you could provide some additional granularity on the technical and the non-residential part of the insulation market. Can you maybe help us to understand where we stand versus the levels of 2019 and how are you thinking about that going forward? And also anything on pricing here, if you could maybe quantify what you've been able to achieve and split that between Europe and the U.S., that would be really helpful. Thank you very much.

Brian Chambers

Analyst · the Exane BNP Paribas.

Yes. Thanks. I think we've seen broad strength in our technical and other insulation businesses. So this is a set of businesses that this is going to be our mineral wall or on glass, our foam products. About a third of that business is into residential applications. For example, in Europe, our mineral wall is used in residential applications. In the U.S., we see some of our - like our Flex stock insulation in HVAC systems and Home. So it's about a third residential and about two-thirds kind of commercial and industrial. And I'd say that, broadly speaking, in Q2, we saw product lines across the board, grow on a year-over-year basis. And in fact, we're operating at or above kind of those 2019 levels. So we've seen good recovery in the end markets. I think, both in the U.S. and Europe. So from a demand standpoint, we see that continuing. I think on the non-res piece, we're seeing a rebound in commercial projects. We're seeing more activity there. I think some of the recent trends in the U.S., ABI index and other kind of Dodge momentum reporting would show that there's a pretty robust project activity pipeline being built. We're starting to see that, and our backlogs in this part of our business where it's a little more project-driven. So we're seeing that increase in pipeline. We're seeing an increase in just the project work getting completed now again. So I think we're seeing broad strength in both product lines. And I would say, Europe and U.S., tough to cut the trends. I think we're seeing pretty consistent growth in both regions for the product lines, and we expect that to continue into Q3. From a pricing standpoint, I mean, what we love about this business is that it's…

Ken Parks

Analyst · the Exane BNP Paribas.

And the only thing that I would add to it, just to give a little bit more specificity on the price side of your question is that, in the second quarter, while as I said in the earlier comments, we were still kind of lagging behind a little bit versus inflation. We did see positive pricing in technical and other insulation for the quarter overall, so positive move continuing to step up. And as Brian said, achieve those pricing actions that we've announced and launched and beginning to recover well on those.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from next question comes Keith Hughes with Truist. Please go ahead, Mr. Hughes, your line is live.

Keith Hughes

Analyst · Truist. Please go ahead, Mr. Hughes, your line is live.

Just shifting back to composite insulation. I know some of that business is built to inventory, some of the more commodity-type products. Are there still shortages on that product? And do you anticipate those to continue into the second half of the year?

Brian Chambers

Analyst · Truist. Please go ahead, Mr. Hughes, your line is live.

And Keith, which product line are you referring to? I didn't quite catch you.

Keith Hughes

Analyst · Truist. Please go ahead, Mr. Hughes, your line is live.

Within composite. Within composite. I know some of that is built almost at inventory and some of the less technical products in composite insulation. How is capacity there?

Brian Chambers

Analyst · Truist. Please go ahead, Mr. Hughes, your line is live.

Yes. No. Yes. We're seeing that inventory levels in those channels as well are - is low. So as demand has picked up in the end markets, even for those product lines, we are seeing a fairly tight supply chain. And we're seeing a lot of our production in our shipments than going right into use and not into inventory. So we think that there - the channels are still running in those product lines with pretty low levels as well.

Amber Wohlfarth

Analyst · Truist. Please go ahead, Mr. Hughes, your line is live.

And we have time for one last question.

Operator

Operator

Yes. Thank you. And that comes from Michael Rehaut with JPMorgan.

Mike Rehaut

Analyst

Thanks. I appreciate you guys sneaking me in here. Just wanted to circle back to production capacity and inventory levels across the businesses. Earlier, you talked about the fact that in roofing, you're not seeing a lot of channel inventory increases currently, and it might take a couple of quarters to rebuild those inventory levels. I know it's kind of a broad question, but I was hoping, at least, to give some sense across each of your three businesses, Insulation, Roofing and Composites. If you have any sense based on your current view of where backlogs are, in terms of order backlogs and whatnot, your own production rates and any incremental capacity coming online, when you might expect to be in a more even demand supply dynamic. In other words, today, everything is working on a sold-out basis, inventory levels are very low. When you might expect, just based on - and I'm not asking necessarily that to forecast future demand per se, but programming’s sake, let's just say that the current demand levels persist. When might you see things even out where the industry is getting back to a more normalized level in terms of inventory levels and production capacity?

Brian Chambers

Analyst

So Mike, it's going to be a little difficult for me to probably answer that directly because it does really depend on the demand environment. I would share with you, broadly speaking, certainly through Q3, and we're probably indicating a little bit as we kind of finish the back half of this year. We continue to see broad demand strength in the market. So we're not seeing demand trends for our product lines soften in the near term. And so that's going to create a pretty great demand environment for us to continue to operate in. Now we have been and continue to make capacity adds to be able to produce more material that we have been ramping up over the last couple of quarters and through this first half, that would continue in many of our product lines in insulation and composites, where we have some opportunities. So I think though that right now, our view is that's just keeping up to try to continue to service a pretty robust demand environment. So I – my best view would be, I think this starts to – we get a clear picture maybe as we go into '22. But I think as we finish and operating here in Q3 in the back half, I think we're going to run with pretty tight supply chains. And then as we look into '22, we're going to see kind of how the demand environment is materializing. Certainly, we're going to have some more capacity available on a year-over-year basis. to service that. And then we'll see how that impacts the overall supply chain.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And that does conclude the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the floor to Brian Chambers for any closing comments.

Brian Chambers

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, everyone, for your time and your questions today. We very much appreciate it. Certainly, our second quarter performance has been outstanding and really has gotten us off to a great start. Our global teams continue to execute at a high level, really demonstrating the exceptional operational capability of our people and the earnings power of our company. And we expect to deliver another quarter of year-over-year revenue and earnings growth here in Q3. So we look forward to speaking with you again in October during our third quarter call and at our Investor Day on November 10. And until then, I hope you and your families remain healthy and safe. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.