Earnings Labs

The New York Times Company (NYT)

Q2 2009 Earnings Call· Thu, Jul 23, 2009

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Please stand by. Good day, everyone and welcome to the New York Times Second Quarter 2009 Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions). For opening remarks and introduction, I'd like to turn the conference over to Ms. Catherine Mathis. Please go ahead.

Catherine J. Mathis

Management

Thank you and welcome to our second quarter earnings conference call. We have several members of our senior management team here today to discuss our results with you, and they include Janet Robinson, our President and CEO, Jim Follo, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Martin Nisenholtz, Senior Vice President, Digital Operations. Because Scott Heekin-Canedy, the President and General Manager of the Times is traveling on business today, we have asked Denise Warren and Roland Caputo to join us. Denise is Senior Vice President and Chief Advertising Officer at the New York Times Media Group and she is also General Manager of nytimes.com. Roland is Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for the New York Times Media Group. All comparisons on the conference call will be for the second quarter of 2009 to the second quarter of 2008 unless otherwise noted, and our discussion will include forward-looking statements. Our actual results may differ from those predicted. Some of the factors that may cause them to differ are included in our 2008 10-K. Our presentation will include non-GAAP financial measures and we have provided reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures in our earnings press release, which is available on our corporate Web site, www.nytco.com. An archive of this call will be available on our website as will a transcript a version that's downloadable to an MP3 player. With that, let me turn the call over to Janet Robinson.

Janet L. Robinson

Management

Thank you, Catherine and good morning everyone. While we continue to experience a very difficult economic climate in the quarter as well as secular changes affecting the entire media industry, we made significant progress in decreasing our cost base and reducing and restructuring our debt. For the second quarter, operating profit was $23.3 million compared with $40.3 million in the second quarter of 2008. Excluding depreciation, amortization, severance and a pension charge, operating profit was $66.1 million, compared with $100.5 million in the second quarter last year. Earnings per share were $0.27 compared with $0.15 in the second quarter of 2008. This quarter's EPS was favorably affected by a $0.26 income tax adjustment and unfavorably affected by $0.04 for a premium payment on debt that we redeemed, $0.02 for a pension withdrawal obligation related to the closure of City & Suburban and $0.01 for severance. In the second quarter of last year, we had $0.11 per share for severance. Adjusting for these special items, EPS was $0.08 compared with $0.26 in the same period last year. This quarter our operating costs fell 20%. Given our strong cost performance, we have increased our estimate for cost savings in 2009. In the first half of the year, we reduced operating cost by approximately $210 million. For the full year, we expect to save approximately $450 million. That amounts to 16% of our 2008 cost base, and we will continue to look for new ways to reduce expenses. On the divestiture front, last week we announced an agreement to sell our New York City classical radio station, WQXR FM to subsidiaries of Univision Radio, Incorporated and WNYC Radio for a total of $45 million. The transaction will enable WQXR to continue its 73-year legacy of providing classical music and other cultural programming to…

James M. Follo

Management

We continued our strong expense discipline in the second quarter and managed our costs even better than we did in the first quarter. As Janet said, operating costs declined 20% as reductions occurred in nearly all major expense categories. We are putting an even greater emphasis on lowering expenses and plan to decrease our operating costs by approximately $450 million in 2009. Across the board we have been reducing costs, but some of the major year-over-year savings we expect in 2009 are approximately $117 million for C&S, $65 million for newsprint, $50 million in severance expense, $18 million as a result of changes in our benefit plans for non-union employees, $10 million in the second half of the year from our unions in Boston, $9 million in the second half of the year for the consolidation of The Globe's two printing plants and significant savings as a result of the decrease in the size of the company's workforce which at the end of June was down 19% from the prior year. In addition, salaries were reduced in the second quarter which is also providing us with savings. Severance costs were a penny a share in the quarter or $1.7 million compared to $0.11 per share or $27.6 million in the same quarter last year. Depreciation and amortization increased 5.5% to $34.4 million from $32.6 million in the second quarter of 2008 primarily because of accelerated depreciation for the consolidation of The Globe's printing plants. Newsprint expense decreased 24.5% mainly from lower volume. Newsprint transaction prices peaked last November and have decreased steadily since. Forecasters believe that the price will continue to decrease this month and are likely to hit bottom during the third quarter. Prices are expected to remain under pressure unless there is a substantial reduction in capacity. Interest…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). Your first question comes from Alexia Quadrani – JP Morgan. Alexia Quadrani – JP Morgan: A couple of questions, first on the circulation front you continue to see very good growth in circulation revenues particularly in New England in this quarter. Do you have any sense about how much more you think you can continue to raise rates for your papers before you see an inverse impact on volume which will have a negative impact to circulation revenues?

Janet L. Robinson

Management

Well, with the increases we are seeing less than forecasted declines in the volume and circulation, but the revenue is performing very, very nicely. When indeed, we have always raised, when we have raised rates we have always have forecasted of course beforehand to judge what volume impact it will have. And thus far both at The Times and at The Globe with these recent increases we are very pleased to note that indeed they are performing well. The cancellations are well below our expectations. Alexia Quadrani – JP Morgan: And then if you look at specifically The New York Times property, could you give us any color in terms of the ad revenues declines you are seeing there? What portion really comes from a hit to rates versus ad volume decline?

Denise Warren

Analyst

It's primarily volume. Rates more or less held as a result of the mix, more national business versus classified. It's primarily volume.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from John Janedis – Wells Fargo Securities. John Janedis – Wells Fargo Securities: Sorry if I missed this, but, Jim, on the cost side can you talk more about the rest of the year? I think the guidance implies a mid-teens decline. And just given what you printed in Q2 and with the newsprint prices easing versus last year, is there any reason why the high-teens decline wouldn't continue or even get better as we go through into 4Q?

James M. Follo

Management

Look, if you recall last year as we went through the year, our cost performance was much more aggressive as we went deeper into the year. So we had a fair amount of staff layoffs last year that was cycling for us. So just like the comparisons get easier on the revenues they get more difficult on the cost side. We obviously had some meaningful benefit this quarter as well on buy-outs although we do expect that to continue as well. You are right though that we will have a number of initiatives back half of the year, but it's principally because we're cycling against some pretty aggressive numbers in the third and fourth quarter of last year. John Janedis – Wells Fargo Securities: Martin, can you just talk a bit more about where you're seeing on the display side with the news media, did any major customers pull out? And do you think you're losing share relative to the total industry?

Martin A. Nisenholtz

Analyst

No, I mean I'll ask Denise to comment on this specific to The New York Times, but I don't think we can point to any major losses. I think that her comments about overall volume on the side, on the businesses, is true of the digital side as well. I would point out that, to point to Janice's comment about most of the hit, a disproportion of the hit coming in the classifieds area.

Denise Warren

Analyst

Can I just jump in and remind you again that we had a really, really, really robust quarter overall for nytimes.com last year, but really in the display area? So we are up against really significant comps. That's just some context that I think is important that you have. And just based upon what we've been seeing in the marketplace comparing to other sites there, we do believe we are taking share in the display marketplace, and we do believe we are performing better than most of our competitors in the display marketplace.

Martin A. Nisenholtz

Analyst

I mean Yahoo just announced a 14% decline in display. I think, while we're not breaking out the numbers, I think our display performance overall at nytimes.com and across the News Media Groups was better than that.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). Your next question comes from Craig Huber – Barclays Capital. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: A few questions, can you just personally pick for the newsprint, what the average percent price change year-over-year and also the consumption for newsprint in the quarter? I have some follow-ups.

James M. Follo

Management

Well the price was basically flat in the quarter. It was favorable by 2%. The volume was really what drove that. As we get into the second half of the year, as I said, you will begin to see some fairly significant price reductions year-over-year, and I think that will generate some fairly significant savings in the back half of the year. As we said I think the total savings for newsprint is $65 million and the total savings on newsprint through the first six months of the year was about $12 million. So you will see some fairly significant improvements in that line in the second half. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: And then my second question, in the newspaper division, what is the percent change for your non-newsprint cash costs adjusting for these various one-time items you point out in the press release?

James M. Follo

Management

Well just on a kind of on a pre-buyout basis, which is really where most of the big numbers are we were down about 20%. And within that number, and then we detail it in the back, raw materials in total were down about $17 million on total cost declines about $122 million. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: And then this is sort of a follow-up, on the advertising pricing front when I asked Gannett on their conference call, they admitted basically their average newspaper ad rates were down 5%, 5.5% in the second quarter year-over-year. When I asked McClatchly the question, they said it was some number, advertising rates for the newspapers were down north of 4% to 5%: And then Journal Communications, obviously the Milwaukee newspaper, they said that their average rate for newspapers is down 12.8%. Just want more clarity as you look across your portfolio, I'd be curious if the cost of the Times, the Globe and your regionals, how much was your ad rate percent change year-over-year for your newspapers. I just honestly have a hard time believing it was flat. I mean, everybody else is down those meaningful numbers, or were you just talking about the New York Times and you haven't talked as yet about the Globe and the regionals?

Janet L. Robinson

Management

Yes, the comment was just about the New York Times. I did not comment about the Globe and the regionals. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: What about the Globe and the Regionals?

Janet L. Robinson

Management

I think there's rate pressure certainly across all newspapers and I see – we can certainly say that that's the case at the regionals and at the Globe, but it is not meaningful. I think the people at both the Globe and the regionals are working hard to make sure that they are holding rate as much as they possibly can. There are more issues in regard to volume as opposed to rates. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: But, Janet, you'd be talking down 1%, 2% or 3% in that range?

Janet L. Robinson

Management

I don't think we need to quantify. I think it's in the – a low range. Let's put it that way. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: Okay. And then the other thing is you talked about I think the month of June, the decline there better than the overall second quarter. You talked about in your press release and your comments that the third quarter you thought your advertising declined and you said you'd be down – the rate of decline –

Janet L. Robinson

Management

Moderating slightly. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: Would be down slightly, moderating slightly. Isn't that really just based on the comparisons are significantly easier in the third quarter? I'm looking at your numbers from a year ago. It's about four percentage points difference.

Janet L. Robinson

Management

Well, certainly, Craig, the comps are assisting us as the year goes on and that is true I think of really all newspaper companies, all media companies, primarily because the recession really started to hit much harder in that period of time. But what we are seeing is that there is a loosening up of some of the budgets that were very much rock solidly closed in the first half of the year. There are more requests for proposals in many of the categories. That's not to ensure that these budgets are going to be robust or their commitments are going to be robust, but it is encouraging to see that indeed many of the advertisers are looking at ways in which they can utilize the vehicles within our portfolio. Craig Huber – Barclays Capital: And then back to my ad rate question for you flagship paper you are saying you think the rate is basically flat year-over-year there?

Janet L. Robinson

Management

Yes, and again, this is a really complicated question as you know, very difficult to answer because we have so many different categories and so many different factors. But it's a lot to do with mix and it's a lot to do with the fact that as advertisers reduce volume they move up on the rate card, so their rate actually does go up. And that's – those are just two of the key factors that you should be aware of when we think about and we talk about this issue.

Denise Warren

Analyst

That is also true, Craig, in regard to Boston and the regionals, when looking at their rate cards for newspapers it is important to note that when the frequency drops the rate increases.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Scott Davis – JP Morgan Scott Davis – JP Morgan: Yes, hi, just a small point. I wanted to follow up, Martin, on what you were saying when you made reference to similarly taking some market share versus some of the big guys like Yahoo, and one of the things they mentioned on their call was that despite the fact that the number wasn't good, it felt like pricing for some of their categories of advertising was starting to improve. And then as you spoke to them more it seemed like the large advertisers in particular as compared to the small advertisers were showing some signs of early stress. Are you seeing anything that would be similar or different to that?

Martin A. Nisenholtz

Analyst

Let's have Denise take that for the nytimes.com business.

Denise Warren

Analyst

So in terms of pricing, we've, for the first half of the year, maintained and grown our pricing slightly on the online side. We did see a slight dip in Q2 on some of our premier units but again, that's really a result of the robust comps that we were up against in the prior year. We have introduced several premium display units that are garnering significant premiums and rates in the marketplace so that is really helping our display position and will bode well for us in the coming year. Scott Davis – JP Morgan: Okay. And then, Martin, you suggested something as related to CPCs increasing. Could you add a little color to that?

Martin A. Nisenholtz

Analyst

Yes. I actually didn't. It was I think Janet described the CPC strength in her introduction. The only thing I'll add is that we have seen better CPC results in the second quarter at about.com and we expect to continue to see good results on CPC. The business is quite positive at this point.

Operator

Operator

And that is all the time we have for questions today. I'd now like to turn the conference back over to Ms. Mathis for any additional or closing remarks.

Catherine J. Mathis

Management

Thank you all for listening today and if you have any additional questions, please give me a call.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's presentation. Thank you for your participation.