Charles Boynton
Analyst · ROTH Capital
Thank you, Howard. As Dan mentioned, Q2 was the strongest quarter in the history of Nextpower with revenue of over $1.1 billion, up 23% year-over-year and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $250 million, up 12% year-over-year and driving a 23% adjusted EBITDA margin. Adjusted free cash flow was approximately $135 million for the quarter and $240 million year-to-date, which helped to fund our acquisitions and stock repurchases in the quarter. We ended the quarter with over $1 billion of cash and no debt. As our platform expands, we are managing the business for the long term with a focus on cash generation and driving adjusted EBITDA dollars while investing in future growth. The quarter included for the first time contribution from Nextpower Energy Storage. Our storage business delivered a very strong quarter with approximately $100 million of revenue and more than $20 million of EBITDA. The sales pipeline is strong, and we are on track for a solid second half of the year. We also closed the acquisition of Zimmermann last week. We expect this acquisition to be accretive out of the gates. The total deal consideration of EUR 230 million is lower than we previously announced and was changed to an all-cash deal. We are also reducing our expectations for this business to approximately $100 million of revenue and $10 million of adjusted EBITDA for the balance of the fiscal year. This transaction, while small, is strategic as it expands and diversifies our TAM with new products and new markets, leverages fixed costs and allows us to drive attachment of our new suite of products such as eBOS, power conversion, foundations and storage. Driven by strong execution and bookings across all our businesses, we are increasing our fiscal year 2027 outlook. We expect revenue of $4.2 billion to $4.45 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $890 million to $940 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.61 to $4.87 per share. We are also increasing our free cash flow estimates from $450 million to over $500 million. We will expand on our financial outlook at our Capital Markets Day on November 16. Based on current customer delivery schedules, we expect second half revenues to be more heavily weighted toward Q4 with Q3 revenue down sequentially from our record Q2, but up approximately 10% year-over-year. This dynamic sets us up for a very strong finish to the fiscal year with potential record revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Q4. Now some details on what we see for second half of the year and first part of fiscal '28. We are building out the NX Power Conversion product line for both solar and storage. Over the next 12 months, we expect to invest approximately $40 million of CapEx to build out our U.S. manufacturing plant and as previously disclosed, expect a P&L impact of approximately $50 million, primarily R&D and COGS as we ramp and scale this business. This ramp recently started and is accelerating since we closed the transaction in Q2. We expect to ship products by the end of next summer and achieve over 10 gigawatts of capacity by the end of calendar '27. On the supply chain side of our business, we are seeing significant cost increases in diesel, steel, freight and logistics. Our globally distributed supply chain allows us to partially mitigate the impact of these cost increases and helps protect Nextpower and our customers. We treat our customers as partners and are working with them to share the increased costs where appropriate. These dynamics are not new to our industry. At times, they are headwinds and other times, they are tailwinds. We expect logistics and freight costs to eventually revert back to a more normal baseline, but likely beyond our fiscal year 2027. For full year 2027, we continue to expect adjusted gross margins in the low 30s and adjusted EBITDA margins in the low 20s. While in the back half of the year, we expect adjusted gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margin to be in the high 20s and high teens, respectively. We are investing for the future in both R&D and M&A, but also buying back stock to offset dilution. We remain focused on long-term growth of both free cash flow and EBITDA dollars. With that, I'll pass it back to the operator for Q&A.