Scott Montross
Analyst · Brent Thielman. Brent, your line is now open. You may ask your question
As we discussed during our last call on February 3, when we announced the acquisition of Geneva Pipe and Precast, we have two parts to our growth strategy. First, to maximize our core steel pressure pipe water transmission business by continuing to focus on cost reductions in lean manufacturing, and by pursuing limited but known growth opportunities ultimately leading us to our acquisition of the Ameron Water Transmission Group, in July of 2018, which was immediately accretive to the company's financial results. We now have approximately 50% of the steel pressure pipe market, which is generally a $450 million to $600 million market with fairly limited expansion and acquisition opportunities, which is why there's a second part to our growth strategy which is to grow in an adjacent water segment, having superior growth opportunities, strong margin characteristics and a better cash flow profile. We chose the Precast concrete market, which led to our recent acquisition of Geneva Pipe and Precast. The acquisition of Geneva Pipe and Precast diversifies our product offering and opens avenues for growth by significantly expanding our available market, adding innovative products that are expected to provide organic growth opportunities, and creating opportunities for expansion and acquisitions. As of December 31, 2019, our backlog for the Northwest Pipe legacy business was a year end record of $258 million compared to $270 million at the end of the third quarter, and $252 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2018. The strong demand levels, elevated backlog and stable competitive landscape that we experienced throughout 2019 led to a fourth quarter that had the highest gross margin since 2013, and a full year that had revenue and gross profit that was close to historical highs for our water transmission steel pressure pipe business. Looking at the first quarter for the legacy Northwest pipe business, the first quarter is generally the time of the year when weather events or customer delays affect our business. We have seen some jobs that have pushed out into the second quarter. As a result, we expect our backlog to drift a bit lower, but remain elevated by historical standards. Revenues are expected to be similar to the first quarter of 2019 with gross margins that are four to five percentage points higher. Weather issues and customer job delays have affected the first quarter backlog, revenue and gross profit. For the newly acquired Geneva Pipe and Precast business in the first quarter, which will include the months of February and March, we expect to generate several million in revenue and gross margins that are expected to be similar to the recent highs that we've seen in the legacy business. The following is a look at current and upcoming water transmission projects. In the Texas market, the SWIFT program has funded over $8 billion in projects over the last six years. SWIFT has expected to continue to fund major programs like the Houston project and Bois d'Arc Lake well into the future. The Houston surface water project is a major multiyear, multi-agency program with a series of segments representing 90,000 tons of pipe. Northwest Pipe has been the successful bidder on multiple Houston segments, representing over 15,000 tons of pipe. The production of the individual segments are in various stages from pre-manufacturing to ship complete. We are forecasting that an additional segment or segments of the Houston surface water program will bid throughout 2020 representing an additional 50,000 tons. Bois d’Arc Lake project by the North Texas Municipal Water District has begun construction and represents approximately 60,000 tons of pipe. Northwest Pipe was a successful bidder on a portion of the raw water line in on all of the finished water line for the Bois d’Arc Lake project. The segments that we were awarded represents approximately 50,000 tons of pipe which are currently in various stages of production and delivery. The balance of the IPL project representing 32,000 tons is expected to begin bidding later this year and continue through 2020. We were one of the major suppliers on the IPL project between the years of 2013 and 2017. In the Western market, California prop 1 $7.1 billion bond for water infrastructure has created the much needed funding for projects within the state. According to California Natural Resources Agency 86% of those funds have been appropriated for various projects. We expect requirements for these projects to stretch out over the next several years. Water reuse programs have generated new opportunities in California market in which we expect to see bidding activity continue for the next year representing 10,500 tons. The PCCP rehabilitation programs will result in about 10,000 tons annually over the next two to three years. The site's reservoir is a water storage project that has received funding from prop 1. It will involve over 30 miles of 144-inch pipeline. The project is projected to begin in 2024 to 2025. In North Dakota project has slowed on the 140 mile 87,000 ton Red River Valley Water Supply project, as it is competing for funding with an urgent flood diversion project, which appears to be taking priority. We are hopeful that bidding on this project will start with a two mile demonstration segment this year. Navajo-Gallup is a multi-phased major project underway in New Mexico. Northwest Pipe was selected to supply the last large diameter phase, which represents over 7300 tons of pipe, production has started on this segment. Throughout 2019 we saw strong bidding volumes, stable bidding market in a backlog that remained close to historical highs for the entire year, a year which ended with revenue and gross profit close to historical highs for water transmission business. The bidding volumes look to continue to be strong in 2020 with a continuation of a number of large multi-year programs. We expect continued strength in our backlog for the near-term and continued positive business conditions through 2020. As we move forward, we will be focused on one; the successful integration of Geneva Pipe and Precast; two, improving the performance of the business by focusing on margin over volume; and three, driving cost reductions and efficiencies is all levels of the company. At this time, we'd be happy to answer any of your questions.