Frank Burkhartsmeyer
Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead
Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. I’ll begin today with a summary of our reported figures and then dive into the drivers of our operating results. For the quarter, we reported consolidated net income of $35.8 million, or $1.24 per share, compared to a net loss of $90.2 million, or $3.13 per share for the same period in 2017. For the year, we reported consolidated net income of $64.6 million, or $2.24 per share. This compares to a net loss of $55.6 million, or $1.93 per share for 2017. The net loss reported in 2017 reflects two non-cash items that occurred in the fourth quarter of that year. The impairment of our Gill Ranch gas storage facility, partially offset by a benefit related to the federal tax reform legislation. In my remarks, I’m going to focus on comparing our 2018 results with adjusted non-GAAP 2017 numbers, which excludes the effects of these two non-cash items. For a complete reconciliation of adjusted 2017 measures, please refer to the tables on the last page of our press release. Finally, note that, I will describe earnings drivers on an after-tax basis, using the statutory tax rate of 26.5%, which is close to our effective tax rate of 26.4% for the year. Now moving to these adjusted financial results. For 2018, we reported net income of $64.6 million, or $2.24 per share, which was within our guidance range of $2.10 to $2.30 per share. This was also in line with adjusted 2017 net income of $64.5 million, or $2.24 per share. As we reported in the second quarter, we have removed the results for Gill Ranch storage to discontinued operations, following the execution of an agreement to sell the asset. The company reported net income from continuing operations of 67.3 million, or $2.33 per share, compared to continuing operations for 2017 of $68.7 million, or $2.39 per share. Annual earnings from the Natural Gas Distribution segment declined $0.14 from factors that I’ll discuss next, while results from other improved by $0.08, as asset optimization benefits from our mist gas storage facility and transportation capacity improved in 2018. Turning to the Natural Gas Distribution segment. Margin declined $6.6 million, largely due to a $5.8 million revenue deferral from tax reform in 2018, which was offset by a decrease in income tax expense. The effects of warmer weather in 2018 were largely offset by the benefits of customer growth, new rates in Oregon and higher margin from industrial customers due to system restrictions during an October Canadian pipeline incident. While the weather normalization mechanisms in Oregon provide a large degree of margin stability, we do not have a normalization mechanism in Washington, and a portion of our Oregon customers have opted out. In 2017, weather was 15% colder than average. By contrast, the second-half of 2018 was warm, resulting in the year being 15% warmer than average. Also affecting the segment’s earnings was a $4.4 million increase in O&M, reflecting higher payroll and benefit costs and a $2.9 million increase in depreciation. Finally, as previously noted, income tax expense declined due to the decrease in the federal statutory income tax rate, offsetting the decrease in margin from the revenue deferral. Moving to quarterly results. For the fourth quarter of 2018, we reported consolidated net income of $35.8 million, or $1.24 per share, an increase of $5.9 million, compared to adjusted net income of $29.9 million, or $1.04 per share for the same period in 2017. Earnings from the Natural Gas Distribution segment increased by $0.09, while results from other also increased by $0.09 from the asset optimization benefits I previously mentioned. Looking at the Natural Gas Distribution segment, margin increased $2.1 million from customer growth, new Oregon rates and higher-margin from industrial customers, which more than offset the effects of warmer weather. Quarter-over-quarter O&M expense was generally flat with higher – slightly higher depreciation expense. Tax expense was lowered by $7.5 million, reflecting the lower federal statutory income tax rate. A few notes on cash flow. During 2018, the company generated $169 million in operating cash flows, down $38 million from 2017 due to elevated gas prices at the end of 2018 and higher income taxes. We continue to reinvest back into the utility with $215 million in capital expenditures related to system reinforcement, customer growth and the North Mist Gas Storage Expansion project. Our balance sheet remains strong with ample liquidity. Regarding the Oregon general rate case. The order received in October provides an estimated overall net income benefit to Northwest Natural of $10.4 million and an additional $15 million in annual cash flows. As David mentioned, in February, we reached a settlement with all parties regarding the two remaining items. We estimate the February settlement will provide another $1 million annual and net income benefit and approximately $6 million of additional cash flows. If the Commission approves the settlement, we will record a non-cash $6.7 million charge related to the pension balancing account in the quarter in which we received the order. Moving on to 2019 financial guidance. Capital expenditures for 2019 are expected to range from $230 million to $270 million, including significant projects related to replacing equipment at our mist gas storage facility, renovating several resource facility across our service territory and investing in a new headquarters building, as well as some technology refresh. For the five-year period ending 2023, we estimate capital expenditures to range from $850 million to $950 million, including $820 million to $910 million related to the gas utility and $30 million to $40 million related to the water business. In addition, the company initiated 2019 earnings guidance to date for continuing operations in the range of $2.25 to $2.45 per share. Guidance assumes continued customer growth, average weather conditions and no significant changes in prevailing regulatory policy mechanisms or outcomes or significant laws or regulations. Note, as we have not received the final order for the Oregon rate case, guidance does not assume the potential charge related to the pension balancing account. Finally, this guidance excludes the expected gain related to the settlement of Gill Ranch and any operating losses associated with it. These items are reported in discontinued operations. With that, I’ll turn the call back over to David for his concluding remarks.