James Kelly
Analyst · B. Riley Securities
Thank you, Ruxandra. Please turn to Slide 20. This morning, we announced our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. Details of our results can be found in our press release issued today and in our Form 10-K filed with the SEC. Please turn to Slide 21. I will begin with key highlights from our fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results. We reported total revenue of $1.1 billion, a 65% increase year-over-year. As a reminder, our current year revenue results include $625 million that is primarily noncash revenue recognition from the resolution of Nuvaxovid APA agreements with Canada and New Zealand announced in the first quarter of 2025. For the fourth quarter of 2025, we reported total revenue of $147 million, a 67% increase compared to the same period in 2024. In addition, we reported positive income for both the full year and fourth quarter of 2025. We believe this reflects important progress as we improve our financial performance on many fronts, including addressing historical liabilities. During 2025, we continued to drive down our combined R&D and G&A expenses. On a non-GAAP and net of partner reimbursement basis, we reduced these costs by 42% and 53% for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, respectively. We accomplished these reductions while continuing to execute on partnership commitments and targeted core R&D investments to drive value. Novavax ended 2025 with $857 million in cash and accounts receivables. In addition, we added another $80 million of nondilutive cash in the first quarter of 2026 including a $30 million Pfizer agreement upfront payment and a $50 million initial draw from the new $330 million credit facility announced today. We executed this new credit facility with MidCap Financial to enable flexibility and continued access to nondilutive capital as we execute on our growth strategy. Based on the combination of our year-end 2025 cash and receivables and the $80 million in nondilutive cash in the first quarter of 2026, we believe we can fund our operations into 2028 without contemplating any new cash flow to Novavax. That said, we do anticipate the addition of significant cash flow from partners over time. Please turn to Slide 22 for a recap of our full year 2025 financial performance compared to our revenue framework and expense guidance. A reminder for all is that our non-GAAP adjusted total revenues exclude Sanofi supply sales and royalties that totaled $22 million in 2025. On a non-GAAP basis, we achieved $1.1 billion in adjusted total revenues. This was approximately $50 million higher than the midpoint of our revenue framework range and was driven by additional Nuvaxovid product sales, primarily to Israel as we delivered doses on an amended APA schedule. Additional adjuvant supply sales and royalties from Takeda and the Serum Institute as they continue their successful marketing of Nuvaxovid in Japan and R21 malaria vaccine in Africa, respectively. And finally, $22 million additional from R&D reimbursements from Sanofi related to clinical supply and support for commercial manufacturing preparations for the 2026, '27 season. These points highlight strong execution as we support our customers and partners and advance our growth strategy. For combined R&D and SG&A, I'll begin with GAAP performance of $500 million that was approximately $20 million favorable to the midpoint of our guidance. This was primarily related to R&D cost reductions and lower spend in the fourth quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, the approximately $42 million favorability result comes from a combination of the $20 million in lower GAAP R&D spend and the $22 million increase in Sanofi R&D reimbursement noted earlier. Please turn to Slide 23 for a detailed view of our fourth quarter revenue results. For the fourth quarter of 2025, we recorded total revenue of $147 million, a 67% increase year-over-year. A few comments on fourth quarter results. Nuvaxovid product sales of $20 million was split between Israel APA deliveries and Novavax sales to other global markets. Supply sales of $19 million reflected both Nuvaxovid finished goods sales to Sanofi and Matrix-M adjuvant sales to our partners. Sanofi licensing, royalty and other revenue of $98 million was primarily driven by the $50 million in milestones for the achievement of MAH transfers for both the U.S. and Europe and $28 million from R&D cost reimbursement in the period. We look forward to Sanofi's Nuvaxovid commercial efforts in 2026 and beyond. Importantly, 2026 reflects the first year where Sanofi is in a position to leverage all the commercial tools to compete effectively in the U.S. and global markets. Please turn to Slide 24. We made significant progress improving our cost structure in the fourth quarter of 2025, and I will focus my comments on our non-GAAP results for combined R&D and SG&A net of partner reimbursements. We delivered a 53% decrease in the fourth quarter of 2025 with major contributions from both R&D and SG&A as we executed on our cost reduction program. This highlights that excluding the R&D reimbursed by partners, our fourth quarter cost structure is just under half the size of where we were a year ago and annualizes to a $328 million run rate, highlighting that we are on track for a significantly lower spend profile as we enter 2026. Please turn to Slide 25. Now since I've covered most of fourth quarter and full year financial results already, I'll emphasize the positive operating and net income for both the fourth quarter and full year 2025. Please turn to Slide 26. Taking a moment to recap accomplishments made towards improving Novavax's financial strength and performance. Key takeaways from this work are that we've put Novavax in the position to have an estimated cash runway into 2028 and prior to contemplating any new cash flow into the company as we drive towards our goal of non-GAAP P&L profitability as early as 2028. Keys to the timing of our path to non-GAAP P&L profitability are the successful development and regulatory approval of the Sanofi flu/COVID combination program and successful commercial execution by Sanofi on both the COVID and combination programs. This could be further supported by any additional cash flow from new business development agreements and further cost reductions. Please turn to Slide 27 for a review of our multiyear combined R&D and SG&A expense guidance. We are committed to continuing to streamline our operating expenses to enable value creation. Today, and for the first time, we are providing our 2028 guidance of $200 million or below. This 2028 target calls for a $200 million and approximately 50% decrease compared to 2025. For 2026 and 2027, we're improving our non-GAAP combined R&D and SG&A expense guidance by $25 million each year to $325 million and $225 million, respectively, at midpoint. Importantly, in 2026, we anticipate operating at an approximately $200 million core spend profile when excluding costs tied to completion of partner and APA performance obligations. These include non-reimbursed Sanofi R&D support and COVID strain change and commercial manufacturing support of approximately $125 million and $25 million in 2026 and 2027, respectively. As these near-term activities are completed, we expect to be in a position to further decrease our cost. We recognize that reducing cost is only part of the value equation. Novavax's core combined R&D and SG&A run rate of approximately $200 million or below is focused on a targeted R&D investments to unlock value from our technology, including advancement of the early-stage pipeline with the potential to bring at least one program into the clinic as early as 2027, generation of new data supporting partnering Matrix-M, advancing our adjuvant technology for both infectious disease and oncology use, including new formulations as we look to build a portfolio of adjuvants and support for our ongoing Matrix-M manufacturing operations. Please turn to Slide 28. Now turning to our 2026 revenue framework. For 2026, we're following an approach similar to the 2025 revenue framework in that our non-GAAP adjusted total revenue excludes Sanofi supply sales, royalties and milestones from CIC and Matrix-M. This means there may be revenues in 2026 that are additive to our expectations for adjusted licensing royalties and other revenue. We believe that in the 2026, '27 season, Novavax royalties will grow significantly as compared to 2025 as 2026 reflects the first year where Sanofi is in a position to leverage all the tools needed to compete effectively in the U.S. and global markets. For 2026, we expect to achieve adjusted total revenue of between $230 million and $270 million. This includes $35 million to $45 million of Nuvaxovid product sales under existing orders to Israel and Germany, $40 million to $50 million of adjusted supply sales to our license partners, which primarily reflects sales of Matrix-M, $155 million to $175 million in adjusted licensing, royalties and other revenue consisting of $70 million to $80 million in R&D reimbursement as we continue our R&D support and technology transfer activities for Sanofi. $50 million to $60 million from other partner revenue from Takeda, Serum Institute and Pfizer, including the $30 million upfront payment under the Pfizer agreement received in the first quarter of 2026. And finally, $35 million of noncash amortization related to the previously received upfront and R&D milestone payments from Sanofi. While our current revenue framework excludes the potential for the $125 million milestone linked to the initiation of a Sanofi flu/COVID combination Phase III study, we are encouraged by Sanofi's progress and public comments and look forward to sharing updates in the future. In addition, we are highlighting our expectation that we will be earning the Sanofi $75 million technology transfer milestone although we are excluding this milestone from our 2026 revenue framework at this time. This is due to the recent Sanofi request that we complete a subset of these tech transfer activities at a new manufacturing site, and we are evaluating the potential timing impact of this request. We don't anticipate the outcome to impact either our stated estimated cash runway or vaccine supplies for the current or future seasons. We look forward to sharing additional updates as we improve Novavax's financial performance, cost structure and strength to deliver shareholder value. With that, I'd like to turn the call back over to John for some closing remarks.